prediction models for site specific recommendations
DESCRIPTION
PREDICTION MODELS FOR SITE SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS. Agriculture Extension View Point. Dr. Muhammad Anjum Ali Director General Agriculture (Extension & AR) Punjab, Lahore. FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PAKISTAN (000 TONS). 79.68%. NFDC Reports. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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PREDICTION MODELS FOR SITE SPECIFIC
RECOMMENDATIONS
Agriculture Extension View Point
Dr. Muhammad Anjum AliDirector General Agriculture
(Extension & AR) Punjab, Lahore
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FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PAKISTAN (000 TONS)
Year N P2O5 K2O Total2010-11 3134 767 32 3933
79.68%
NFDC Reports
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FERTILIZER OFFTAKE BY NUTRIENTS PUNJAB (000 TONS)
Year N P2O5 K2O Total2010-11 2231 548 24 2803
79.59
19.550. 85
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CROP USAGE OF FERTILIZER IN PAKISTAN
(000 NUTRIENT TONS)Year Wheat Cotton Sugarcane Rice Maize Others Total
2010-11 1966.5 983.25 314.64 235.98 59 373.64 3933.01
50 %
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TOTAL NITROGEN USE ALL SOURCES
FERTILIZER 000 TONS PERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASISUREA 5765 84.26CAN 595 4.92DAP 1325 7.58NP 335 2.45
MAP 38 0.13NPK 70 0.67
84.26
2.45
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TOTAL PHOSPHORUS USE ALL SOURCES
FERTILIZER 000 TONS PERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASISDAP 1325 78.55SSP 224 5.20TSP 18 1.07NPK 70 2.71MAP 38 2.55NP 335 9.93
78.55
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TOTAL POTASH USE ALL SOURCES
FERTILIZER 000 TONS PERCENTAGE ON NUTRIENT BASISSOP 27 56.02MOP 11 27.39NPK 10 16.60
56.02
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FERTILIZER OFF TAKE (000 N/TONS)
Economic Survey of Pakistan 2011-12Economic Survey of Pakistan 2011-12
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USE EFFICIENCY OF DIFFERENT NUTRIENTS
MACRO-NUTRIENTS MICRO-NUTRIENTS
Parameter Use Efficiency (%)
Parameter Use Efficiency (%)
N 40 – 60 Zn 4 – 5
P 20 – 30 B 6 – 8
K 75 – 85 Fe 11 – 15
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FERTILIZER USE EFFICIENCY
Long term study conducted by IFA for India, China and Pakistan revealed less grain yield due decline in N use efficiency because of imbalance use of fertilizer nutrients
IndiaChinaPakistan
Kg
Gra
ins
per
Kg
of
N u
sed
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BALANCED USE OF FERTILIZER (Ha)
Crop N Only NPK % Increase
Wheat 2,521 4,120 63
Rice 2,800 4,494 60
Maize 2,110 5,084 14
Sugarcane 56,515 126,334 123
Kg/ha
NFDC Reports
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FERTILIZER VALUE
Fertilizer
Annual Consumption (000 Tons)
Value (US $ per Ton)
Total Cost Million US $
Fertilizer Use
efficiency (% age)
Deficit Million US
$
Urea 5,765 425 2,450.12 501,225.6
0
DAP 1,325 515 682.37 25 170.59
Potash 38 595 22.61 80 4.52
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COST OF PRODUCTION AND FERTILIZER SHARE (Rs. / acre)
YearsCOTTON SUGAR CANE MAIZE
Total Cost.
Fert. %AgeTotal Cost.
Fert. %AgeTotal Cost.
Fert. %Age
2003-04
14,336 1,823 12.72 23,636 3,825 16.18 9,249 1,442 15.59
2004-05
15,671 2,213 14.12 24,492 4,048 16.53 9,755 1,702 17.45
2005-06
17,319 2,289 13.22 25,008 3,630 14.52 11,010 1,777 16.14
2006-07
18,847 2,431 12.90 29,600 3,965 13.40 18,216 3,698 20.30
2007-08
19,505 2,620 13.43 30,428 3,675 12.08 18,827 3,571 18.97
2008-09
24,676 5,130 20.79 42,006 8,180 19.47 31,839 12,240 38.44
2009-10
27,509 4,065 14.78 43,549 8,227 18.89 33,547 11,025 32.86
2010-11
32,360 5,175 15.99 47,744 7,370 15.44 39,496 13,240 33.52
2011-12
43,850 7,888 17.99 57,282 9,446 16.49 49,093 19,305 39.32
2012-13
48,923 8,775 17.94 70,054 12,905 18.42 57,506 22,275 38.74
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COST OF PRODUCTION AND FERTILIZER SHARE (Rs. / acre)
YearsWHEAT RICE
Total Cost.
Fert. %AgeTotal Cost.
Fert. %Age
2003-04 9,028 1,316 14.58 11,741 1,463 12.46
2004-05 10,198 1,650 16.18 12,469 1,723 13.82
2005-06 11,524 1,847 16.03 13,716 1,779 12.97
2006-07 12,264 1,910 15.57 15,087 1,874 12.42
2007-08 15,626 3,614 23.13 16,154 2,005 12.41
2008-09 19,547 4,195 21.46 22,064 3,760 17.04
2009-10 24,187 3,332 13.78 24,898 3,110 12.49
2010-11 24,428 5,098 20.87 29,240 4,000 13.68
2011-12 29,149 6,280 21.54 36,351 5,992 16.48
2012-13 31,490 6,550 20.80 41,810 6,670 15.95
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FERTILIZER USE EFFECIENCY
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SOIL ANALYSIS
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SITE SPECIFIC FERTILIZER APPLICATION!
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BALANCED NUTRITION
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SITE-SPECIFIC NUTRIENT MANAGEMENT FOR CROPPING SYSTEMSSITE-SPECIFIC NUTRIENT MANAGEMENT FOR CROPPING SYSTEMS
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Nutrient Expert for Hybrid Maize Software
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Extension Viewpoint• Develop and deploy latest communication tools to raise
farmers’ awareness about the economic, social and environmental benefits of adoption of IPNM.
• Conduct field demonstrations applying locally-adapted IPNM techniques and prepare literature/media campaign with the results from the local demonstrations.
• Assist farmers in making the best decisions for managing crop nutrients at the field and farm levels.
• Provide farmers with all necessary products, services and information to successfully implement IPNM.
• Training of the extension agents for best use of modern gadgets and techniques to assist farmers
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THANKS