ppp release nm dec. 2011

8/3/2019 PPP Release NM Dec. 2011

1/37

Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE December 13, 2011

INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH

OF THE PRESS RELEASE

Gingrich, Wilson dominant in NM pres, Sen. primaries

Raleigh, N.C. Despite popularity with the general electorate, former New Mexico Gov.

Gary Johnson has never been particularly well-liked with his home-state Republicans.He certainly outperforms his minuscule standing in the presidential primaries in other

states, but still can muster no more than third here. And if he were to switch races and

opt for a Senate bid, he still would have considerably less support than favorite Heather

Wilson.

In his current campaign, Johnson has 11% behind national frontrunner Newt Gingrichs

39% and Mitt Romneys 14%, but ahead of the 8% earned by neighboring Texans RonPaul and Rick Perry, as well as Michele Bachmann (6%) and usual fellow cellar dwellers

Rick Santorum (3%) and Jon Huntsman (2%). Johnson actually leads 26-20-19 over

Gingrich and Romney with moderates, but they are only 17% of the electorate. He getsonly 10% with the 36% who say they are somewhat conservative and just 4% with the

43% plurality who are furthest to the right.

Johnson would do better in the smaller Senate field, occupied mostly by lesser-knownfigures than the presidential candidates he has to jockey to outshine. But he would stilltrail former Rep. Wilson by a 42-31 margin, with Lt. Gov. John Sanchez at 15% and two

long shots at 3% or less. Johnson has gained a little since the previous poll, when he was

down 43-22, with Sanchez at 18%. It is a similar ideological breakdown as in the White

House race, with Johnson tied at 38% with Wilson among moderates, but falling to a 45-37 deficit with the center-right and to third at 18% to Wilsons 43% and Sanchezs 22%

with the most right-wing voters.

In the current iteration of the race, without Johnson in the picture, Wilson has an even

more dominant 55-20 lead over Sanchez, up from 52-24 in June. PPP will release

general election Senate numbers tomorrow and general election President numbers on

Friday.

PPP surveyed 300 usual New Mexico Republican primary voters from December 10 th to

12th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-5.7%. This poll was not paid for or

authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through

automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling

expert Nate Silver of theNew York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actuallyexhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.


2/37

December 10-12, 2011Survey of 300 Republican primary voters


3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



New Mexico Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Michele Bachmann?

48%Favorable........................................................

33%Unfavorable....................................................

19%Not sure..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Newt Gingrich?

65%Favorable........................................................

25%Unfavorable....................................................

10%Not sure..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ron Paul?

33%Favorable........................................................

49%Unfavorable....................................................

18%Not sure..........................................................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rick Perry?

46%Favorable........................................................

38%Unfavorable....................................................

16%Not sure..........................................................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mitt Romney?

47%Favorable........................................................

41%Unfavorable....................................................

11%Not sure..........................................................

Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Gary Johnson?

49%Favorable........................................................

37%Unfavorable....................................................

14%Not sure..........................................................

Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof John Sanchez?

34%Favorable........................................................

27%Unfavorable....................................................

39%Not sure..........................................................

Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Greg Sowards?

9%Favorable........................................................

20%Unfavorable....................................................

71%Not sure..........................................................

Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Heather Wilson?

68%Favorable........................................................

17%Unfavorable....................................................

14%Not sure..........................................................

Q10 Given the choices of Bill English, GaryJohnson, John Sanchez, Greg Sowards, andHeather Wilson, who would you most like tosee as the Republican Senate candidate nextyear?

1%Bill English......................................................

31%Gary Johnson.................................................

15%John Sanchez.................................................

3%Greg Sowards.................................................

42%Heather Wilson...............................................

9%Someone else/Not sure..................................


3/37







Q11 If the choices were just Bill English, John

Sanchez, Greg Sowards, and Heather Wilson,who would you most like to see as theRepublican Senate candidate next year?

3%Bill English......................................................

20%John Sanchez.................................................

6%Greg Sowards.................................................

55%Heather Wilson...............................................

16%Someone else/Not sure..................................

Q12 If the Republican candidates for Presidentwere Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, JonHuntsman, Gary Johnson, Ron Paul, Rick

Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, whowould you vote for?

6%Michele Bachmann.........................................

39%Newt Gingrich.................................................

2%Jon Huntsman.................................................

11%Gary Johnson.................................................

8%Ron Paul.........................................................

8%Rick Perry.......................................................

14%Mitt Romney....................................................

3%Rick Santorum................................................9%Someone else/Not sure..................................

Q13 Would you say you are strongly committed tothat candidate, or might you end up supportingsomeone else?

48%Strongly committed to that candidate..............

52%Might end up supporting someone else..........

Q14 Who would be your second choice for

President?13%Michele Bachmann.........................................

16%Newt Gingrich.................................................

1%Jon Huntsman.................................................

6%Gary Johnson.................................................

5%Ron Paul.........................................................

9%Rick Perry.......................................................

12%Mitt Romney....................................................

3%Rick Santorum................................................

33%Someone else/Not sure..................................Q15 Do you consider yourself to be a member of

the Tea Party?

34%Yes..................................................................

53%No...................................................................

14%Not sure..........................................................

Q16 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

1%Very liberal......................................................

3%Somewhat liberal............................................

17%Moderate.........................................................

36%Somewhat conservative..................................

43%Very conservative...........................................

Q17 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

51%Woman...........................................................

49%Man.................................................................

Q18 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.If other, press 3.

19%Hispanic..........................................................

75%White..............................................................

6%Other...............................................................


4/37







Q19 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1.If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.26%18 to 45...........................................................

42%46 to 65...........................................................

32%Older than 65..................................................


5/37

December 10-12, 2011survey of 300 Republican primary voters






Crosstabs

Base

2012 GOP Pres Primary

Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 90% 57% 25% 31% 42% 37% 36% 71% 27%

33% 10% 28% 25% 51% 26% 46% 48% 21% 29%

19% - 15% 50% 18% 33% 16% 16% 7% 44%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Gingrich Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 60% 94% 25% 62% 20% 41% 45% 53% 51%

25% 20% 2% 50% 28% 61% 49% 48% 21% 28%

10% 20% 4% 25% 11% 19% 11% 7% 26% 21%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 36% 19% 75% 48% 87% 34% 27% 49% 14%

49% 55% 61% 10% 37% - 57% 54% 44% 50%

18%9% 20% 15% 15% 13% 9% 20% 7% 36%


6/37







Crosstabs

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

46% 75% 54% 10% 19% 32% 87% 32% 53% 27%

38% 16% 33% 75% 60% 50% 9% 58% 21% 29%

16% 9% 13% 15% 21% 18% 5% 10% 26% 44%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 53% 42% 44% 39% 21% 36% 97% 19% 46%

41% 47% 48% 31% 47% 54% 59% 3% 63% 28%

11% - 10% 25% 14% 26% 5% - 19% 26%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Johnson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 41% 37% 50% 97% 74% 45% 43% 41% 36%

37% 39% 50% 35% 3% 14% 37% 48% 51% 24%

14%20% 13% 15% - 12% 18% 9% 7% 40%


7/37







Crosstabs

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Sanchez Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 34% 39% 19% 23% 44% 24% 31% 57% 27%

27% 38% 25% 40% 51% 13% 33% 19% - 24%

39% 28% 36% 40% 26% 43% 43% 50% 43% 49%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Sowards Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 16% 14% - 3% 6% 3% 7% - 8%

20% 13% 19% 10% 45% 23% 30% 12% - 12%

71% 71% 67% 90% 51% 71% 67% 81% 100% 81%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

68% 68% 69% 35% 57% 66% 55% 91% 81% 65%

17% 9% 18% 50% 27% 24% 25% 5% - 12%

14%23% 13% 15% 16% 10% 19% 4% 19% 24%


8/37







Crosstabs

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else/Not sure

2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Notsure

1% - 1% - 6% - - - - -

31% 16% 21% 35% 75% 67% 39% 12% 26% 17%

15% 32% 19% 19% 3% 9% 6% 8% 23% 18%

3% - 5% - 5% 3% 3% - - -

42% 43% 48% 31% 11% 17% 45% 76% 30% 32%

9% 9% 6% 15% - 4% 8% 3% 21% 34%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else /Not sure

2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

3% - 2% - 13% 3% - 3% - -

20% 36% 21% 19% 15% 25% 15% 14% 23% 18%

6% - 9% 10% 9% 10% 3% - 11% -

55% 53% 55% 25% 55% 49% 57% 76% 44% 38%

16% 11% 12% 46% 9% 13% 25% 8% 21% 44%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perr y

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

6% 100% - - - - - - - -

39% - 100% - - - - - - -

2% - - 100% - - - - - -

11% - - - 100% - - - - -

8% - - - - 100% - - - -

8% - - - - - 100% - - -

14% - - - - - - 100% - -

3% - - - - - - - 100% -

9% - - - - - - - - 100%


9/37







Crosstabs

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate

Might end up

supporting

someone else

48% 39% 52% 69% 50% 51% 35% 47% 19%

52% 61% 48% 31% 50% 49% 65% 53% 81%

Base


Michele

Bachmann

Newt

Gingrich

Jon

Huntsman

Gary

Johnson

Ron

Paul

Rick

Perry

Mitt

Romney

Rick

Santorum

Someone

else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

13% - 11% - 21% 6% 35% 16% 34% -

16% 42% - 15% 24% - 34% 51% 37% -

1% 4% - - 2% 4% - 3% - -

6% 6% 6% 10% - 33% 3% 6% - -

5% 6% 4% 15% 11% - - 9% - -

9% 31% 16% - 2% - - 5% - -

12% 4% 23% 10% 6% 7% 9% - 21% -

3% - 7% - - - 5% - - -

33% 9% 32% 50% 33% 50% 14% 9% 7% 100%

Base

Comm itted to Candidate or Might Change

Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate

Might end up supporting

someone else

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

50% 49% 52%

34% 34% 33%

16% 16% 15%


10/37







Crosstabs

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

66% 66% 66%

25% 28% 21%

9% 6% 12%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

34% 36% 33%

50% 49% 50%

16% 15% 17%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

47% 43% 51%

39% 44% 35%

14% 14% 14%


11/37







Crosstabs

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

48% 41% 54%

43% 47% 40%

9% 12% 6%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

49% 49% 49%

39% 40% 38%

12% 10% 13%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

34% 28% 40%

27% 34% 22%

38% 39% 38%


12/37







Crosstabs

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

10% 8% 11%

21% 27% 16%

69% 65% 73%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else

Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

69% 64% 73%

18% 17% 18%

14% 19% 9%

Base

Committed to Candidate or Might Change

Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate


someone else

2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone else/Not

sure

1% - 2%

32% 38% 27%

15% 14% 15%

3% 3% 3%

43% 40% 46%

6% 6% 6%


13/37







Crosstabs

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else

2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson


3% 4% 3%

20% 18% 21%

7% 8% 5%

57% 57% 57%

14% 13% 14%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate


someone else

2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

New t Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron PaulRick Perr y

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

7% 6% 8%

44% 48% 40%

2% 3% 1%

12% 12% 11%

8%9% 8%

8% 6% 11%

15% 15% 15%

3% 1% 5%

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly comm itted

to that candidate


someone else

Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committedto that candidate

Might end up

supporting

someone else

48%100% -

52% - 100%


14/37







Crosstabs

Base


Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate


someone else

2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsm an

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perr y

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

15% 14% 15%

18% 15% 21%

1% 2% 0%

7% 8% 6%

5% 7% 4%

10% 12% 9%

14% 12% 15%

4% 3% 4%

26% 27% 25%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 66% 39% 34%

33% 21% 41% 35%

19% 13% 20% 31%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 79% 57% 64%

25% 16% 32% 19%

10%6% 11% 17%


15/37







Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 36% 31% 32%

49% 55% 50% 31%

18% 9% 19% 38%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

46% 55% 39% 49%

38% 36% 43% 25%

16% 8% 19% 26%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 35% 54% 51%

41% 55% 35% 30%

11%10% 10% 19%


16/37







Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 51% 50% 38%

37% 41% 37% 27%

14% 8% 13% 35%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 45% 32% 16%

27% 27% 31% 13%

39% 29% 37% 71%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 18% 4% 8%

20% 19% 26% 3%

71%64% 70% 88%


17/37







Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

68% 63% 74% 63%

17% 23% 14% 14%

14% 14% 12% 24%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone else/Not

sure

1% 1% 1% -

31% 26% 31% 39%

15% 22% 12% 6%

3% 7% 1% -

42% 35% 45% 48%

9% 9% 8% 8%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

3% 5% 2% 2%

20% 22% 19% 17%

6% 10% 3% 8%

55% 50% 60% 46%

16% 13% 15% 27%


18/37







Crosstabs

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

6% 9% 6% 2%

39% 55% 30% 35%

2% - 4% 2 %

11% 9% 12% 11%

8% 9% 7% 8%

8% 5% 9% 8%

14% 3% 19% 17%

3% 3% 3% 2%

9% 6% 9% 16%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate

Might end up

supporting

someone else

48% 49% 48% 44%

52% 51% 52% 56%

Base

Tea Party ID

Yes No

Not

sure

2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

13% 13% 14% 12%

16% 12% 19% 17%

1% 2% 1% -

6% 8% 6% 5%

5% 5% 5% 2%

9% 15% 7% 3%

12% 14% 11% 10%

3% 6% 1% 4%

33% 25% 35% 46%


19/37







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% - 28% 16% 49% 62%

33% 100% 39% 58% 32% 23%

19% - 32% 26% 19% 15%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 100% 7% 48% 70% 71%

25% - 72% 35% 20% 22%

10% - 21% 17% 10% 7%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 65% 14% 32% 40% 27%

49% 35% 42% 36% 44% 59%

18%- 44% 32% 15% 14%


20/37







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

46% 65% 14% 18% 48% 56%

38% 35% 42% 49% 41% 31%

16% - 44% 32% 11% 12%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 100% 25% 52% 58% 36%

41% - 63% 33% 32% 52%

11% - 11% 15% 10% 12%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 65% 53% 46% 60% 39%

37% 35% 35% 28% 28% 49%

14%- 11% 25% 12% 12%


21/37







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% - 11% 22% 36% 40%

27% 100% 70% 24% 23% 27%

39% - 18% 54% 41% 33%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% - - 5% 8% 13%

20% 100% 63% 18% 16% 20%

71% - 37% 77% 76% 68%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

68% 100% 30% 64% 75% 66%

17% - 63% 15% 15% 17%

14%- 7% 20% 10% 17%


22/37







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson


1% - - 4% 1% -

31% 65% 70% 38% 37% 18%

15% - - 7% 11% 22%

3% - - 1% 2% 4%

42% 35% 30% 38% 45% 43%

9% - - 12% 4% 12%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

3% - - 8% 4% 1%

20% - 42% 11% 18% 24%

6% - - 3% 4% 10%

55% 100% 58% 51% 62% 49%

16% - - 27% 13% 17%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perr y

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

6% - - - 7% 9%

39% - 42% 20% 37% 49%

2% - - 10% 2% -

11% 65% 21% 26% 10% 4%

8% - 7% 7 % 9% 8%

8% - 7% 3% 7% 10%

14% 35% 11% 19% 16% 9%

3% - - 5% 3% 3%

9% - 11% 10% 8% 9%


23/37







Crosstabs

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate

Might end up

supporting

someone else

48% 100% 24% 42% 45% 53%

52% - 76% 58% 55% 47%

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perr y

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

13% 65% 28% 7% 10% 16%

16% 35% - 25% 15% 15%

1% - - 3% 2% -

6% - 11% 6% 9% 5%

5% - - 10% 5% 3%

9% - - 1% 9% 14%

12% - 7% 10% 16% 11%

3% - - 1% 1% 6%

33% - 53% 38% 34% 30%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 42% 54%

33% 32% 34%

19%26% 12%


24/37







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 66% 64%

25% 23% 26%

10% 10% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 29% 37%

49% 49% 50%

18% 22% 14%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

46% 40% 52%

38% 38% 38%

16% 22% 10%


25/37







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 50% 44%

41% 35% 48%

11% 15% 8%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 43% 55%

37% 38% 37%

14% 20% 8%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 33% 35%

27% 18% 36%

39% 49% 28%


26/37







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 6% 13%

20% 12% 29%

71% 82% 58%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

68% 69% 68%

17% 14% 21%

14% 17% 12%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John SanchezGreg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

1% 1% 1%

31% 26% 35%

15%18% 12%

3% 2% 3%

42% 40% 44%

9% 12% 5%


27/37







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

3% 4% 2%

20% 20% 19%

6% 5% 7%

55% 49% 61%

16% 22% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

New t Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Per ry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

6% 6% 7%

39% 35% 44%

2% 2% 2%

11% 12% 10%

8% 7% 9%

8% 8% 8%

14% 14% 13%

3% 2% 4%

9% 14% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate

Might end upsupporting

someone else

48% 46% 49%

52% 54% 51%


28/37







Crosstabs

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

New t Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Per ry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

13% 15% 12%

16% 15% 17%

1% 0% 2%

6% 5% 7%

5% 3% 7%

9% 6% 13%

12% 13% 12%

3% 2% 4%

33% 41% 26%

Base

Race

Hispanic White Other

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 40% 49% 56%

33% 36% 33% 27%

19% 24% 18% 16%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 68% 65% 55%

25% 22% 26% 22%

10% 10% 9% 23%


29/37







Crosstabs

Base

Race


Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 25% 34% 40%

49% 59% 47% 44%

18% 17% 19% 16%

Base

Race


Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

46% 45% 47% 38%

38% 37% 38% 48%

16% 18% 16% 14%

Base

Race


Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 45% 48% 42%

41% 41% 41% 42%

11% 14% 10% 16%


30/37







Crosstabs

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 59% 44% 76%

37% 27% 42% 6%

14% 13% 14% 18%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 28% 35% 47%

27% 33% 26% 21%

39% 39% 39% 32%

Base

Race



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 3% 9% 27%

20% 26% 20% 4%

71% 70% 71% 69%


31/37







Crosstabs

Base

Race


Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

68% 70% 69% 59%

17% 16% 17% 23%

14% 14% 14% 17%

Base

Race


2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

1% - 0% 11%

31% 31% 30% 38%

15% 21% 13% 17%

3% - 3% 10%

42% 42% 44% 20%

9% 7% 9% 4%

Base

Race


2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

3% - 3% 11%

20% 24% 18% 32%

6% 7% 5% 20%

55% 60% 56% 33%

16% 9% 19% 4%


32/37







Crosstabs

Base

Race


2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Notsure

6% 10% 5% 11%

39% 39% 39% 35%

2% 2% 3% -

11% 19% 7% 37%

8% 6% 9% 10%

8% 10% 7% -

14% 7% 16% 4%

3% 2% 4% -

9% 5% 10% 4%

Base

Race


Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate

Might end up

supporting

someone else

48% 53% 47% 39%

52% 47% 53% 61%

Base

Race


2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone else/Not

sure

13% 14% 13% 11%

16% 21% 15% 17%

1% - 1% 10%

6% 2% 7% 11%

5% 5% 5% -

9% 14% 8% 8%

12% 10% 13% 12%

3% 1% 4% -

33% 32% 34% 31%


33/37







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Bachmann

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

48% 31% 53% 55%

33% 49% 26% 30%

19% 21% 21% 15%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

65% 54% 66% 73%

25% 38% 21% 18%

10% 8% 13% 9%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Paul Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

33% 26% 39% 30%

49% 62% 38% 54%

18%13% 23% 16%


34/37







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Perry Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

46% 41% 43% 53%

38% 46% 35% 36%

16% 13% 22% 11%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Romney Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

47% 44% 47% 51%

41% 49% 39% 38%

11% 8% 14% 10%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

49% 64% 45% 41%

37% 23% 40% 46%

14%13% 15% 13%


35/37







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

34% 21% 36% 42%

27% 36% 27% 20%

39% 44% 36% 38%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 8% 6% 15%

20% 28% 19% 15%

71% 64% 75% 70%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Wilson Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

68% 64% 64% 77%

17% 21% 20% 11%

14%15% 15% 12%


36/37







Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

2012 GOP Sen

Primary

Bill English

Gary Johnson

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson


1% 3% 1% -

31% 41% 33% 19%

15% 13% 15% 16%

3% - 3% 6%

42% 33% 38% 55%

9% 10% 10% 5%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

2012 GOP Sen

Primary w/o

Johnson

Bill English

John Sanchez

Greg Sowards

Heather Wilson

Someone e lse/Not

sure

3% 3% 4% 1%

20% 26% 19% 17%

6% 5% 6% 7%

55% 41% 53% 69%

16% 26% 18% 6%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

2012 GOP Pres

Primary

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

6% 8% 5% 7%

39% 28% 42% 45%

2% - 3% 3%

11% 18% 12% 4%

8% 8% 8% 8%

8% 10% 4% 10%

14% 10% 14% 15%

3% 3% 4% 2%

9% 15% 7% 6%


37/37

Crosstabs

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Committed to

Candidate or Might

Change Your Mind?

Strongly committed

to that candidate

Might end up

supporting

someone else

48% 53% 46% 45%

52% 47% 54% 55%

Base

Age

18 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

2012 GOP Pres

Primary 2nd Choice

Michele Bachmann

Newt Gingrich

Jon Huntsman

Gary Johnson

Ron Paul

Rick Perry

Mitt Romney

Rick Santorum

Someone e lse/Not

sure

13% 18% 10% 13%

16% 18% 14% 19%

1% - 1% 3%

6% 3% 8% 7%

5% 3% 8% 3%

9% 8% 9% 10%

12% 10% 14% 12%

3% 3% 3% 3%

33% 38% 33% 29%

ppp release nm dec. 2011

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