ppp poll general senate 2012

25
 Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected] FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 9, 2011 INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen) QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312 Snowe a shoo-in either as Republican or independent Raleigh, N.C. – As PPP showed yesterday, Olympia Snowe may have a tough road surviving a primary if she chooses to run for re-election and fight for her place on the GOP ticket she has always called home. But whether she is the Republican nominee or an independent, she should be easily elected to a fourth term. As a Republican, Snowe would top state Rep. Emily Cain, 64-20, and businesswoman Rosa Scarcelli, 66-18. She takes 60-66% of independents and even 51-53% of Democrats in these matchups. If she is knocked off the GOP ballot line and makes an independent bid, Snowe would prevail with 54-57% of the vote over the four permutations of Cain, Scarcelli, and Republicans Scott D’Amboise and Andrew Ian Dodge. The Republican candidate would get 19-21% and the Democrat 13-17%. Despite her danger in the primary, Snowe still takes a 48% plurality of the GOP in any of the three-ways, along with 63-66% of independents, and 58-60% of Democrats. Voters are certainly encouraging her to run as an independentpluralities of all three partisan groups think she fits best without a party than as either a Republican or Democrat. Yesterday’s release showed Snowe with only a 47-44 approval margin with her own party’s primary voters. But because of overwhelming approval from the Democrats (67%) and independents (63%) who together make up almost two-thirds of the state, she has an overall 60-32 job performance mark, making her the eighth most popular of 82 senators on which PPP has polled in the last 14 months. By contrast, none of her four potential opponents is well-known at all, and all of them are disliked. Scarcelli is the highest-profile, but 53% still have no opinion of her, and those who do break 14-33 against her. 66% are unaware of Cain (12-21), 80% of D’Amboise (4-15), and 84% of Dodge (3-13). Thus, if Snowe retires, the race between two of these four unknowns would start off a tossup, with 34-38% of voters undecided and the rest split pretty evenly. Scarcelli would be a slightly weaker candidate at this point than Cain. “Olympia Snowe’s most straight forward path to reelection is as an independent,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “It appears she would coast from that platform, whereas her road as a Republican looks tough.” PPP surveyed 1,247 Maine voters from March 3 rd to 6 th . The survey’s margin of error is +/-2.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.  

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Page 1: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

8/7/2019 PPP Poll General Senate 2012

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/ppp-poll-general-senate-2012 1/25

 

Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: [email protected]

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 9, 2011

INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media

inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)

QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312

Snowe a shoo-in either as Republican or independent

Raleigh, N.C. – As PPP showed yesterday, Olympia Snowe may have a tough road

surviving a primary if she chooses to run for re-election and fight for her place on the

GOP ticket she has always called home. But whether she is the Republican nominee oran independent, she should be easily elected to a fourth term.

As a Republican, Snowe would top state Rep. Emily Cain, 64-20, and businesswoman

Rosa Scarcelli, 66-18. She takes 60-66% of independents and even 51-53% of Democrats in these matchups. If she is knocked off the GOP ballot line and makes an

independent bid, Snowe would prevail with 54-57% of the vote over the four

permutations of Cain, Scarcelli, and Republicans Scott D’Amboise and Andrew IanDodge. The Republican candidate would get 19-21% and the Democrat 13-17%.

Despite her danger in the primary, Snowe still takes a 48% plurality of the GOP in any of 

the three-ways, along with 63-66% of independents, and 58-60% of Democrats. Votersare certainly encouraging her to run as an independentpluralities of all three partisan

groups think she fits best without a party than as either a Republican or Democrat.

Yesterday’s release showed Snowe with only a 47-44 approval margin with her ownparty’s primary voters. But because of overwhelming approval from the Democrats(67%) and independents (63%) who together make up almost two-thirds of the state, she

has an overall 60-32 job performance mark, making her the eighth most popular of 82

senators on which PPP has polled in the last 14 months.

By contrast, none of her four potential opponents is well-known at all, and all of them are

disliked. Scarcelli is the highest-profile, but 53% still have no opinion of her, and those

who do break 14-33 against her. 66% are unaware of Cain (12-21), 80% of D’Amboise(4-15), and 84% of Dodge (3-13). Thus, if Snowe retires, the race between two of these

four unknowns would start off a tossup, with 34-38% of voters undecided and the rest

split pretty evenly. Scarcelli would be a slightly weaker candidate at this point than Cain.

“Olympia Snowe’s most straight forward path to reelection is as an independent,” said

Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “It appears she would coast from that

platform, whereas her road as a Republican looks tough.”

PPP surveyed 1,247 Maine voters from March 3rd to 6th. The survey’s margin of error is

+/-2.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduceadditional error that is more difficult to quantify. 

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March 3-6, 2011Survey of 1,247 Maine voters

March 3-6, 2011Survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Maine Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of SenatorOlympia Snowe’s job performance?

60%Approve ..........................................................

32%Disapprove ......................................................

9%Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Emily Cain?

12%Favorable ..............

21%Unfavorable ...........

66%Not sure ................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Scott D'Amboise?

4%Favorable ..............

15%Unfavorable ...........

80%Not sure ................

Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Andrew Ian Dodge?

3%Favorable ..............

13%Unfavorable ...........

84%Not sure ................

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Rosa Scarcelli?

14%Favorable ..............

33%Unfavorable ...........

53%Not sure ................

Q6 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Olympia Snowe and DemocratEmily Cain, who would you vote for?

64%Olympia Snowe ...............................................

20%Emily Cain .......................................................

16%Undecided .......................................................

Q7 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Olympia Snowe and DemocratRosa Scarcelli, who would you vote for?

66%Olympia Snowe ...............................................

18%Rosa Scarcelli .................................................

17%Undecided .......................................................

Q8 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Scott D'Amboise and DemocratEmily Cain, who would you vote for?

33%Scott D'Amboise .............................................

33%Emily Cain .......................................................

34%Undecided .......................................................

Q9 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Scott D'Amboise and DemocratRosa Scarcelli, who would you vote for?

36%Scott D'Amboise .............................................

29%Rosa Scarcelli .................................................

35%Undecided .......................................................

Q10 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Andrew Ian Dodge and DemocratEmily Cain, who would you vote for?

30%Andrew Ian Dodge  .........................................

32%Emily Cain .......................................................

37%Undecided .......................................................

Q11 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Andrew Ian Dodge and DemocratRosa Scarcelli, who would you vote for?

33%Andrew Ian Dodge  .........................................

29%Rosa Scarcelli .................................................

38%Undecided .......................................................

Q12 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Scott D’Amboise, Democrat EmilyCain, and Independent Olympia Snowe whowould you vote for?

21%Scott D'Amboise .............................................

17%Emily Cain .......................................................

54%Olympia Snowe ...............................................

7%Undecided .......................................................

Page 3: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011Survey of 1,247 Maine voters

March 3-6, 2011Survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Q13 If the candidates for Senate next year were

Republican Scott D’Amboise, Democrat RosaScarcelli, and Independent Olympia Snowewho would you vote for?

20%Scott D'Amboise .............................................

15%Rosa Scarcelli .................................................

56%Olympia Snowe ...............................................

9%Undecided .......................................................

Q14 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Andrew Ian Dodge, DemocratEmily Cain, and Independent Olympia Snowewho would you vote for?

19%Andrew Ian Dodge ..........................................

15%Emily Cain .......................................................

56%Olympia Snowe ...............................................

10%Undecided .......................................................

Q15 If the candidates for Senate next year wereRepublican Andrew Ian Dodge, DemocratRosa Scarcelli, and Independent OlympiaSnowe who would you vote for?

19%Andrew Ian Dodge ..........................................

13%Rosa Scarcelli .................................................

57%Olympia Snowe ...............................................

10%Undecided .......................................................

Q16 Do you think Olympia Snowe is too liberal, tooconservative, or about right?

27%Too liberal .......................................................

16%Too conservative .............................................

52%About right ......................................................

5%Not sure ..........................................................

Q17 Do you think Olympia Snowe most properly

belongs in the Democratic Party, theRepublican Party, or as an independent?

22%Democrat ........................................................

28%Republican ......................................................

41%Independent ....................................................

8%Not sure ..........................................................

Q18 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

11%Very liberal ......................................................

20%Somewhat liberal ............................................30%Moderate .........................................................

22%Somewhat conservative ..................................

17%Very conservative ...........................................

Q19 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

53%Woman ...........................................................

47%Man .................................................................

Q20 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

39%Democrat ........................................................36%Republican ......................................................

26%Independent/Other ..........................................

Q21 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.

95%White ..............................................................

5%Other ...............................................................

Q22 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.

6%18 to 29 ...........................................................

30%30 to 45 ...........................................................44%46 to 65 ...........................................................

20%Older than 65 ..................................................

Page 4: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Snowe Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

 

60% 49% 73% 76% 57% 24%

32% 43% 18% 17% 35% 64%

9% 8% 9% 7% 8% 12%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Cain Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

12% 23% 16% 14% 7% 6%

21% 12% 14% 18% 29% 32%

66% 65% 69% 69% 64% 62%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

D'AmboiseFavorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 6% 2% 3% 5% 9%

15% 16% 18% 14% 15% 14%

80% 78% 80% 83% 81% 77%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Dodge Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 5%

13% 13% 14% 11% 14% 15%

84% 83% 83% 87% 83% 81%

Page 5: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Scarcelli Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 28% 20% 12% 10% 6%

33% 27% 31% 36% 33% 33%

53% 45% 49% 52% 57% 60%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Snowe/Cain

Olympia Snow e

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

64% 29% 56% 70% 75% 70%

20% 56% 28% 19% 7% 8%

16% 15% 16% 12% 18% 22%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Snowe/Scarcelli

Olympia Snow e

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

66% 36% 55% 73% 79% 69%

18% 48% 24% 16% 6% 8%

17% 15% 21% 12% 15% 23%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

D'Amboise/Cain

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

33% 11% 10% 18% 56% 75%

33% 70% 53% 37% 10% 5%

34% 19% 37% 45% 35% 20%

Page 6: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

D'Amboise/Scarcelli

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

36% 8% 12% 23% 56% 77%

29% 70% 45% 32% 10% 4%

35% 22% 43% 45% 34% 19%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Dodge/Cain

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

30% 13% 7% 15% 51% 72%

32% 70% 55% 35% 10% 5%

37% 17% 38% 50% 40% 24%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Dodge/Scarcelli

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

33% 10% 9% 20% 54% 73%

29% 70% 47% 31% 10% 4%

38% 20% 44% 50% 35% 23%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

D'Amboise/Cain/Sno-we

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Olympia Snow e

Undecided

 

21% 7% 3% 7% 32% 64%

17% 52% 28% 16% 4% 1%

54% 34% 61% 69% 58% 28%

7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 6%

Page 7: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

D'Amboise/Scarcelli-

/Snowe

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snow e

Undecided

 

20% 7% 3% 6% 31% 62%

15% 45% 23% 14% 3% 2%

56% 42% 64% 71% 55% 30%

9% 7% 10% 9% 10% 5%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Dodge/Cain/Snowe

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Olympia Snow e

Undecided

 

19% 4% 2% 5% 30% 60%

15% 47% 24% 14% 4% 1%

56% 38% 66% 71% 56% 30%

10% 11% 8% 10% 10% 9%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Dodge/Scarcelli/Sno-we

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snow e

Undecided

 

19% 8% 2% 6% 29% 61%

13% 45% 21% 10% 3% 2%

57% 42% 65% 74% 56% 27%

10% 6% 12% 10% 12% 11%

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Snowe Ideology

Too liberal

Too conser vative

About right

Not sure

 

27% 4% 3% 7% 47% 81%

16% 51% 28% 13% 3% 1%

52% 38% 64% 74% 44% 16%

5% 6% 4% 6% 6% 1%

Page 8: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Ideology

Very

liberal

Somewhat

liberal Moderate

Somewhat

conservative

Very

conservative

Snowe Belongs As

Dem, GOP, or Ind?

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Not sure

 

22% 18% 14% 12% 27% 49%

28% 25% 31% 36% 30% 11%

41% 43% 48% 43% 36% 36%

8% 14% 8% 9% 7% 5%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Snowe Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

 

60% 63% 55%

32% 27% 37%

9% 10% 7%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Cain Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

12% 13% 11%

21% 16% 28%

66% 71% 61%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

D'Amboise

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 4% 5%

15% 12% 19%

80% 85% 75%

Page 9: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Dodge Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

3% 2% 4%

13% 10% 17%

84% 88% 79%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Scarcelli Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 13% 15%

33% 30% 36%

53% 56% 49%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Snowe/Cain

Olympia Snowe

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

64% 65% 62%

20% 18% 23%

16% 17% 15%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Snowe/Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

66% 67% 64%

18% 15% 20%

17% 18% 15%

Page 10: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

D'Amboise/Cain

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

33% 30% 38%

33% 32% 33%

34% 38% 29%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

D'Amboise/Scarcelli

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

36% 30% 42%

29% 28% 31%

35% 42% 27%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Dodge/Cain

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

30% 25% 37%

32% 32% 33%

37% 43% 30%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Dodge/Scarcelli

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

33% 27% 40%

29% 27% 32%

38% 46% 28%

Page 11: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

D'Amboise/Cain/Sno-

we

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

21% 14% 29%

17% 15% 20%

54% 62% 46%

7% 9% 5%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

D'Amboise/Scarcelli-

/Snowe

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

20% 14% 27%

15% 12% 18%

56% 63% 49%

9% 11% 6%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Dodge/Cain/Snowe

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 14% 24%

15% 13% 18%

56% 61% 50%

10% 12% 7%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Dodge/Scarcelli/Sno-

we

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 15% 25%

13% 11% 17%

57% 63% 50%

10% 12% 9%

Page 12: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Snowe Ideology

Too liberal

Too conservative

About right

Not sure

 

27% 23% 32%

16% 16% 17%

52% 56% 47%

5% 6% 4%

 Base

Gender

Woman Man

Snowe Belongs As

Dem, GOP, or Ind?

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Not sure

 

22% 19% 26%

28% 26% 31%

41% 43% 39%

8% 12% 4%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Snowe ApprovalApprove

Disapprove

Not sur e

 60% 67% 49% 63%

32% 25% 41% 29%

9% 8% 9% 8%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Cain FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 12% 19% 3% 15%

21% 16% 32% 15%

66% 65% 66% 70%

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

D'Amboise

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 

4% 3% 5% 5%

15% 17% 13% 16%

80% 79% 82% 80%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Dodge Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 

3% 3% 2% 5%

13% 14% 13% 12%

84% 83% 85% 84%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Scarcelli FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

 14% 23% 7% 12%

33% 31% 34% 35%

53% 46% 60% 54%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Snowe/CainOlympia Snowe

Emily Cain

Undecided

 64% 51% 79% 60%

20% 34% 6% 21%

16% 15% 15% 19%

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Dodge/Scarcelli

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

33% 9% 6 2% 28%

29% 54% 4% 28%

38% 37% 34% 44%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

D'Amboise/Cain/Sno-

we

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

21% 5% 4 3% 15%

17% 33% 4% 12%

54% 55% 48% 63%

7% 7% 5% 10%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

D'Amboise/Scarcelli-/Snowe

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

20% 5% 4 1% 14%

15% 29% 3% 11%

56% 58% 48% 65%

9% 9% 7% 10%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Dodge/Cain/SnoweAndrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 19% 3% 4 0% 13%

15% 29% 3% 12%

56% 59% 48% 64%

10% 9% 9% 11%

Page 16: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Dodge/Scarcelli/Sno-

we

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 4% 4 0% 13%

13% 26% 2% 9%

57% 59% 47% 66%

10% 10% 10% 11%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Snowe Ideology

Too liberal

Too conser vative

About right

Not sur e

 

27% 5% 5 6% 22%

16% 31% 2% 13%

52% 60% 38% 59%

5% 4% 4% 7%

 Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Snowe Belongs AsDem, GOP, or Ind?

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Not sur e

 

22% 17% 32% 16%

28% 30% 28% 26%

41% 44% 34% 47%

8% 9% 5% 11%

 Base

Race

White Other

Snowe Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

 

60% 60% 56%

32% 31% 41%

9% 9% 3%

Page 17: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Race

White Other

Cain Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

12% 12% 16%

21% 21% 31%

66% 67% 53%

 Base

Race

White Other

D'Amboise

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 5% 1%

15% 15% 24%

80% 81% 75%

 Base

Race

White Other

Dodge Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

3% 3% 4%

13% 13% 19%

84% 84% 77%

 Base

Race

White Other

Scarcelli Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 14% 17%

33% 33% 32%

53% 53% 50%

Page 18: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Race

White Other

Snowe/Cain

Olympia Snowe

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

64% 64% 55%

20% 20% 24%

16% 16% 21%

 Base

Race

White Other

Snowe/Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

66% 67% 52%

18% 17% 27%

17% 16% 21%

 Base

Race

White Other

D'Amboise/Cain

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

33% 33% 33%

33% 32% 38%

34% 34% 29%

 Base

Race

White Other

D'Amboise/Scarcelli

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

36% 36% 31%

29% 29% 39%

35% 36% 29%

Page 19: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Race

White Other

Dodge/Cain

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

30% 31% 27%

32% 32% 42%

37% 38% 31%

 Base

Race

White Other

Dodge/Scarcelli

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

33% 33% 29%

29% 29% 41%

38% 38% 30%

 Base

Race

White Other

D'Amboise/Cain/Sno-

we

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

21% 21% 22%

17% 17% 22%

54% 55% 50%

7% 7% 7%

 Base

Race

White Other

D'Amboise/Scarcelli-

/Snowe

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

20% 20% 23%

15% 15% 21%

56% 57% 48%

9% 9% 8%

Page 20: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 Base

Race

White Other

Dodge/Cain/Snowe

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 19% 16%

15% 15% 21%

56% 57% 50%

10% 9% 12%

 Base

Race

White Other

Dodge/Scarcelli/Sno-

we

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 19% 21%

13% 13% 22%

57% 57% 47%

10% 10% 11%

 Base

Race

White Other

Snowe Ideology

Too liberal

Too conservative

About right

Not sure

 

27% 27% 29%

16% 16% 23%

52% 52% 45%

5% 5% 3%

 Base

Race

White Other

Snowe Belongs As

Dem, GOP, or Ind?

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Not sure

 

22% 22% 27%

28% 28% 34%

41% 42% 34%

8% 9% 4%

Page 21: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Snowe Approval

Approve

Disapprove

Not sure

 

60% 49% 58% 60% 64%

32% 46% 33% 31% 28%

9% 5% 9% 9% 8%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Cain Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

12% 11% 14% 13% 9%

21% 22% 21% 21% 23%

66% 68% 65% 66% 69%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

D'Amboise

Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

4% 11% 5% 4% 3%

15% 14% 13% 16% 17%

80% 76% 82% 80% 80%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Dodge Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

3% 8% 4% 2% 4%

13% 16% 8% 16% 15%

84% 76% 89% 83% 82%

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Scarcelli Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

 

14% 16% 11% 15% 15%

33% 16% 31% 36% 35%

53% 68% 58% 49% 50%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Snowe/Cain

Olympia Snowe

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

64% 62% 62% 61% 71%

20% 24% 21% 22% 14%

16% 14% 17% 16% 15%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Snowe/Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

66% 57% 67% 64% 71%

18% 16% 16% 21% 14%

17% 27% 17% 15% 16%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

D'Amboise/Cain

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

33% 41% 37% 30% 33%

33% 30% 34% 34% 28%

34% 30% 29% 36% 39%

Page 23: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

D'Amboise/Scarcelli

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

36% 35% 40% 33% 35%

29% 32% 27% 31% 26%

35% 32% 33% 36% 39%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Dodge/Cain

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Undecided

 

30% 35% 32% 29% 30%

32% 35% 35% 33% 27%

37% 30% 33% 38% 44%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Dodge/Scarcelli

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Undecided

 

33% 32% 36% 30% 34%

29% 30% 27% 33% 27%

38% 38% 37% 37% 39%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

D'Amboise/Cain/Sno-

we

Scott D'Amboise

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

21% 24% 22% 21% 18%

17% 30% 17% 18% 13%

54% 43% 52% 54% 63%

7% 3% 9% 7% 6%

Page 24: PPP Poll General Senate 2012

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March 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine votersMarch 3-6, 2011survey of 1,247 Maine voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

D'Amboise/Scarcelli-

/Snowe

Scott D'Amboise

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

20% 24% 20% 21% 18%

15% 24% 14% 16% 11%

56% 46% 55% 54% 65%

9% 5% 10% 9% 6%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Dodge/Cain/Snowe

Andrew Ian Dodge

Emily Cain

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 16% 21% 18% 17%

15% 16% 14% 17% 13%

56% 57% 54% 55% 64%

10% 11% 11% 10% 6%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Dodge/Scarcelli/Sno-

we

Andrew Ian Dodge

Rosa Scarcelli

Olympia Snowe

Undecided

 

19% 19% 22% 19% 17%

13% 16% 11% 15% 13%

57% 57% 55% 55% 64%

10% 8% 12% 11% 7%

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Snowe Ideology

Too liberal

Too conservative

About right

Not sure

 

27% 32% 32% 25% 22%

16% 16% 14% 18% 15%

52% 43% 49% 53% 56%

5% 8% 4% 4% 7%

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March 3-6, 2011f 1 247 M i t

March 3-6, 2011f 1 247 M i t

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh NC 27604

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh NC 27604

Crosstabs

 

Base

Age

18 to

29

30 to

45

46 to

65

Older

than 65

Snowe Belongs As

Dem, GOP, or Ind?

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Not sure

 

22% 30% 22% 22% 20%

28% 27% 22% 30% 34%

41% 32% 49% 38% 39%

8% 11% 7% 10% 7%