powerpoint presentation: "extremes in the climate system - hurricanes"

7/28/2019 PowerPoint Presentation: "Extremes in the climate system - Hurricanes"

1/28

Axtraeas ig tba Mliejta ]ystae4

Burrimjgas

Assj Jl Eujllaei,

Pjljl Jl ]babri

#

]jtoir Djg`u


2/28

Vrasagtjting Nvarviaw

@acigiting Eatanrnlnhimjl acigiting nc j trnpimjl mymlnga ]jccir%]iepsng smjla

Ojmkhrnug` Burrimjga rasajrmb # gjeigh

Jra tbara jgy trag`s ig trnpimjl mymlnga craquagmy # ìstriouting>

Vbysimjl ojsis jg` nrihig Xbjt nas j burrimjga mngsist nc>

Ig wbjt mngìtings jg` wbara `n burrimjgas nrihigjta crne>

Igtagsity _aùmting Xbjt straghtbags.wajkags j burrimjga>

Iepjmts _amagt ejdnr burrimjgas

Vnlitimjl.Cigjgmijl.Amngneim.Varsngjl

Jccamt nc Mliejta Mbjgha "JMM) upng burrimjgas @nas hlnojl wjreigh jg` mliejta mbjgha igcluagma burrimjga>

Xill burrimjgas craquagmy igmrajsa>

Xill igtagsa burrimjga craquagmy igmrajsa>

Mngmlusing Bnw mjg rasajrmb igtn burrimjgas ieprnva> ?


3/28

Eatanrnlnhimjl @acigiting

Pba eatanrnlnhimjl àcigiting nc j trnpimjl mymlnga is j gng%crngtjllnw prassura systae witb mlnsa` mirmuljting nvar trnpimjl nr

suotrnpimjl nmajgs "Hrnssejg jg` Enrhjg, ?6::)'

Pba mbjrjmtaristim tbjt sapjrjtas j trnpimjl mymlnga "PM) crne ntbarmymlngim systaes is tbjt jt jgy baihbt ig tba jtenspbara, tba magtra

nc j PM will oa wjrear tbjg its surrnugìghs'

Xbag j PM axmaa`s wig` spaa`s nc == e.s tbag àpagìgh ng

hlnojl lnmjting it will oa mjlla` j4

Burrimjga "Jtljgtim jg` Gnrtbajst Vjmicim)

Pypbnng "Gnrtbwast Vjmicim)

]avara Mymlnga "]nutb Vjmicim jg` Gnrtb Igìjg Nmajg)

Prnpimjl Mymlnga "]nutb Igìjg Nmajg)

Pba lnw prassura systae ejy oa pljma` ng tba ]jccir%]iepsng smjla

jg` gjea`' =


4/28

]jccir%]iepsng ]mjla

0

@avalnpa` ig :98: oy mivil aghigaar

Baroart ]jccir jg` eatanrnlnhist_noart ]iepsng "GBM) '

@asmrioas tba straghtb nc tba

burrimjga, rjghigh crne : 1

Bihbar tbjg mjtahnry = is mngsi`ara`sihgicimjgt

Mjtahnry ]ustjiga` Xig`

"ke.b)

Pypa nc @jejha

: ::9%:1= Xig`s jra vary jgharnus ejy mjusa snea

`jejhas

? :10%:88 Xig`s jra agnrenusly jgharnus ejy mjusa

sihgicimjgt jejhas

= :82%?62 @astrumtiva jejha will nmmur

0 ?69%?1: Parriola jejha will nmmur

1 7 ?1: Mjtjstrnpbim jejha will nmmur

bttp4..www'gbm'gnjj'hnv.jonutssbws'pbp


5/28

Prnpimjl Mymlnga _asajrmb

Pba ejig prnolae stu`yigh burrimjga igtagsitias jg` trjmks jra4

J ljmk nc ralijola jg` mngsistagt `jtj nvar j succimiagtly lngh

parin`' Pbis is tba rasult nc ejgy mbjghas tn eatbn`s jg`

nosarvjting tambgiquas `urigh tba parin` nc igtarast'

Pba enst ralijola `jtj sats cnr PM rasajrmb jra ig tba GnrtbJtljgtim'

1bttp4..www'gbm'gnjj'hnv.mlien.iejhas.:21:^?6:6^tm^se'dph


6/28

Burrimjga Gjeigh

Ig tba ajrly `jys nc Eatrnlnhy ig tba :916s burrimjgas wara igitijllyhivag gjeas tn alieigjta mngcusing wbag tbara wara eultipla

systaes ig jg igìviùjl ojsig jt nga tiea'

Pba lists nc gjeas jra àmià` ig j`vjgma oy tba XEN "Xnrl`

Eatanrnlnhimjl Nrhjgizjting)'

Ic j burrimjga mjusas j àstrumtiva jenugt nc `jejha, tba gjea is

ratira` sn it mjggnt oa ra%usa`'

3


7/28

Hlnojl Burrimjga @istriouting

8

bttp4..www'ssam'wism'aù.`jtj.sst.

Pba ejp oalnw sbnws tba jrajs ig wbimb PM cnre jg` tbapjtbs tbay tjka' Xa mjg saa tbjt jll tba PM cnrejting tjkas

pljma ig tba trnpimjl nmajgs'

bttp4..savara%wx'pownrks'mne.c.ìsmnvarêjp^burrimjga^trjmks'dph


8/28

Burrimjga ]ajsngsBurrimjga sajsng ig tba Jtljgtim oahigs Duga :st jg` ag`s Gnvaeoar=6tb' Pba Ajstarg Vjmicim burrimjga sajsng oahigs Ejy :1tb jg` jlsn

ag`s Gnvaeoar =6tb "bttp4..www'gbm'gnjj'hnv)

2

bttp4..www'gbm'gnjj'hnv

Pba tbraa hrjpbs ng tba lact sbnw

burrimjga craquagmy `urigh tba

mjlag`jr yajr cnr tba Jtljgtim, Ajst

Vjmicim jg` Xast Vjmicim ojsigs'

Pba burrimjga sajsng ig tba

Jtljgtim oahigs ng Duga :st jg`

ag`s ng Gnvaeoar =6tb'

Pba Ajstarg Vjmicim typbnngsajsng oahigs ajrliar ng tba :1tb

nc Ejy jg` jlsn ag`s ng

Gnvaeoar =6tb'

Pba Xastarg Vjmicim bjs gn

spamicim mymlnga sajsng'


9/28

Pba nmajg wjtar is bajta`

oy snljr rjìjting jg` murragts'

Pba enist jir risas witb mngvamting

cnreigh stnres, ralajsigh ljtagtbajt'

Pba lnw prassura jrajs "prnùma` oy vnrtimity) jttrjmt

wig`s tnwjr`s tbae ig tba nppnsita ìramting

Ig nràr tn rapljma tba lnw prassura jraj, tba jir envas cjstar Xjre jir is mjrria` jlngh witb tba stnre, tba lnw prassura magtra

mjpturas tba wjre jir

Pba envaeagt jg` agtrjpeagt mjusas tba spaa` nc tba wig`s tn

igmrajsa

Burrimjga Cnrejting

9

bttp4..www'uwam'aù.dnlbe.AB._aekus.cnrejting'bte


10/28

Aya nc tba Burrimjga

Aya is j lnw prassura jraj surrnugà` oy bihbar

prassuras

Mjle mlajr jraj

Bjs j ìjeatar nc =6 tn 31ke

]urrnugà` oy aya wjll "bihb tbugàrstnres, enst

`jgharnus pljma ig burrimjga)

bttp4..www'ugi`jtj'umjr'aù.`jtj.GHM].lnodamts.mbp.strumtura.igàx'bte-ax?


11/28

Pbraa ejdnr mritarij jccamt tba burrimjga4

:' Jir prassura

?' ]aj surcjma taeparjtura "]]P)

=' Mnrinlis Accamt

Vbysimjl Ojsis

::


12/28

Bnw `nas jir prassura jccamt tba

burrimjga> J Xig` spaa` jltarjting jmrnss tba `ijeatar nc j burrimjga jg`

jtenspbarim prassura'

Pba jtenspbarim prassura bara will still oa raljtivaly bihb mnepjra`

tn tba systaes ei``la wbimb is lass tbjg :666 Eilliojrs'


13/28

J burrimjga is mrajta` wbag tba ]]P risas tn ?86M nr jonva'

J bihb ]]P prnvi`as tba raquira` bajt jg` enistura js jir risas

witb mngvamting cnreigh mlnu`s'

Pbis laj`s tn tbaren`ygjeim nmajg%jtenspbara `isaquilioriue'

Bnw `nas ]]P jccamt tba burrimjga>


14/28

Pba Mnrinlis accamt is jg rasult nc Ajrtbs rntjting'

Pba tare /mymlnga/ ig PM racars tn tba systaes mymlngim gjtura,

witb mnugtar mlnmkwisa wig` clnw ig tba Gnrtbarg Baeispbara jg`

mlnmkwisa wig` clnw ig tba ]nutbarg Baeispbara' Pba nppnsita

`iramting nc tba wig` clnw is j rasult nc tba Mnrinlis cnrma'

It mbjghas witb ljtitu`a4

:' Gn Mnrinlis accamt jt Aqujtnr

?' Ejxieue Mnrinlis accamt jt pnlas

It mjusas envigh nodamts tn cnllnw murva` pjtbs

Ig Gnrtbarg Baeispbara, murvjtura is tn rihbt

Ig ]nutbarg Baeispbara, murvjtura is tn lact

Pba Mnrinlis Accamt

:0

bttp4..www'tbanzngabnla'mne.iejhas

.hjspmnr'hic


15/28

Burrimjga igtagsity

Pbaren`ygjeim cjmtnrs

:' Pbarejl agarhy

?' Enist stjtim igstjoility

=' Ei`%trnpnspbarimenistura

@ygjeim cjmtnrs

:' Sartimjl wig` sbajr

?' Mymlngim vnrtimas

=' Mnrinlis accamt


16/28

Mjg nmmur ic tba burrimjga;

Envas igtn nmajg wjtars wbimb ejy gnt bjva tba raquira` wjre

]]P mjusigh ìssipjting'

_aejigs ig tba sjea jraj nc nmajg cnr tnn lngh, eixigh tba uppar

36 eatras nc wjtar, wbimb laj`s tn j 1 M `rnp ig ]]P'

Envas tbrnuhb tba ljg`, tbus raùmigh tba jir prassura jg`

raenvigh tba raquira` wjre jir jg` enist jir, nctag rasultigh ig

ìssipjting'

_ajmbas ugàsirjola surcjmas sumb js enugtjig rjghas wbimbjmmalarjta burrimjga wajkagigh'

Axpariagmas j bihb vartimjl wig` sbajr "wig` valnmity igmrajsas witb

baihbt) wbimb mjusas tba mngvamting jg` bajt aghiga tn enva jwjy

crne tba magtra nc tba burrimjga'

Igtagsity _aùmting


17/28

Burrimjga Vjtbs Pba pnrting nc j PM cjmigh tba pnljr rahing mngtjigs ajstarly wig`s,

jg` tba Mnrinlis accamt pulls tbae slihbtly enra tnwjr`s tba pnlas'

Pba wastarly wig`s ng tba aqujtnr cjmigh pnrting nc tba mymlnga

pull slihbtly tnwjr`s tba aqujtnr, out, oamjusa tba Mnrinlis accamt

wajkags tnwjr` tba aqujtnr, tba gat `rjh ng tba mymlnga is tnwjr`s

tba pnlas'

Js j rasult, PM ig tba Gnrtbarg Baeispbara usujlly turg gnrtb

"oacnra oaigh olnwg ajst), jg` trnpimjl mymlngas ig tba ]nutbarg

Baeispbara usujlly turg snutb "oacnra oaigh

olnwg ajst) wbag gn ntbar accamts mnugtarjmt

tba Mnrinlis accamt'

:8

bttp4..ejps'msm'gnjj'hnv.burrimjgas.-


18/28

_amagt Ejdnr Burrimjgas

BurrimjgaKjtrigj

Burrimjga]jg`y

Yajr ?661 ?6:?

Mjtahnry "]jccir%

]iepsng ]mjla) = "Lnuisijgj) : "Gaw Darsay)

Ejxieue Xig` ]paa`"EVB) :?1 epb 90 epb

Jtenspbarim Vrassura

"Eilliojrs) 9?6 906

@ijeatar nc bihb wig`s

"Eilas) 066 906

Ejxieue _jigcjll"ee) =2: ==6

Ejxieue ]gnwcjll

"ee) 6 23=

Pntjl @ajtbs

:2== :?0

:2Jutbnrs nwg wnrk ?6:?


19/28

Iepjmt Vnigt Mnepjrisng

Burrimjga Kjtrigj "GJ]J) Burrimjga ]jg`y "GJ]J)

:9

bttp4..www'gjsj'hnv.eultiea`ij


20/28

Vnlitimjl Iepjmts

Burrimjgas nctag igcluagma Vnlitims' Js ramagtly js tba ?9tb Nmtnoar?6:? wa sjw Burrimjga ]jg`y ìsrupt tba Q] Vrasiàgtijl alamting,

cnrmigh ontb mjgì`jtas tn jojg`ng tba mjepjihg trjil'

Burrimjga ]jg`y jlsn cnrma` Nojej tn puolimjlly ìsmuss Hlnojl

wjreigh, j tnpim ba bj` jvnià` ùrigh bis mjepjihg tn hat ra%alamta`'

?6bttp4..gaws'yjbnn'mne.nojej%stjtaeagt%burrimjga%sjg`y%wbita%bnusa%:1=6=:89='btel

bttp4..www'hujrìjg'mn'uk.agvirngeagt.?6:?.gnv.:?.ojrjmk%nojej%

saiza%eneagt%mliejta%mbjgha


21/28

Burrimjgas mjg jlsn jccamtpnlitimijgs ig j gahjtiva

wjy'

Ng tba rihbt is j cjenus

pbntnhrjpb tjkag ncHanrha X Ousb lnnkigh jt

tba `avjstjting Burrimjga

Kjtrigj mjusa` crne tba

mnecnrt nc bis Jir Cnrma :'

Bis ljzy raspngsa tn tbaburrimjga curtbar tjrgisba`

bis lahjmy jg` ig ?6:6 ba

j`eitta` it wjs j eistjka'

?:

Vnlitimjl Iepjmts "mngtigua`)

bttp4..www'buccightngpnst'mne.?6:6.::.63.ousb%kjtrigj%pbntn%eistjka^g^8891?8'btel


22/28

Amngneim Iepjmts

Ng tba ?9tb Nmtnoar ?6:? Burrimjga ]jg`y cnrma` tba Gaw Ynrk

]tnmk Axmbjgha tn bjlt trj`igh cnr ? `jys' Pba ljst tiea tba Gaw

Ynrk ]tnmk Axmbjgha mlnsa` oamjusa nc j wajtbar%raljta` avagt

wjs ig ]aptaeoar :921 oamjusa nc Burrimjga Hlnrij'

J saginr amngneist, _yjg ]waat, astiejta` tba lnst amngneim

nutput oatwaag Xjsbightng, @'M' jg` Gaw Ynrk Mity wnul` tntjljt lajst $:6 oilling j `jy'

??ejttjlltrj`as'olnhspnt'mne


23/28

Cigjgmijl Iepjmts % Igsurjgma

Burrimjgas jg` ntbar axtraeas ig tba mliejta systae nctag `riva

mnepjgias wbimb spamijlisa ig igsurjgma jg` raigsurjgma'

Nga nc tba ljrhast pnst gjturjl mjtjstrnpba j`visnrs tn igsurjgma

mnepjgias is AZAMJP "bttp4..www'aqamjt'mne)

AZAMJP usas mjtjstrnpba risk enàlligh jg` jgjlytims ncmjtjstrnpba risk enàlligh rasults tn prnvià astiejta` cigjgmijl

jg` amngneim lnssas tn its mliagts'

Ng tba :.::.:? AZAMJP praìmta`

?=

bttp4..www'aqamjt'mne.mjtwjtmb.pnst%ljg`cjll%lnss%

astiejtas%suparstnre%sjg`y%ralajsa`%?6:?%::%6:.


24/28

Varsngjl Iepjmts

Lnss nc lica Bneas àstrnya`

Vnssassings ruiga`

_aouilìgh crne smrjtmb

?0www'hujrìjg'mn'uk


25/28

Jccamt nc Mliejta Mbjgha "JMM)

upng burrimjgas

Jgtbrnpnhagim cnrmigh is lajìgh tn hlnojl wjreigh, eajg ]]P jra

igmrajsigh sn snea smiagtists jra praìmtigh jg igmrajsa ig PM

craquagmy'

Hlnojl wjreigh is jlsn mrajtigh enra jgnejlias ig gjturjl

vjrijoility, snea smiagtists praìmt jg igmrajsa ig AG]N'

Jg igmrajsa ig AG]N craquagmy will laj` tn jg igmrajsa` wig` sbajr

ig tba gnrtb Jtljgtim

]nea oaliava tbis will raùma nvarjll burrimjga craquagmy oy raùmigh stnre

àvalnpeagt

Ntbars oaliava tbis will laj` tn jg igmrajsa ig savara burrimjga craquagmy

?1


26/28

@apag`jgt ng cutura smagjrins tbara jra = pnssiola jgswars tn tba

quasting Xbjt jccamt will mliejta mbjgha bjva upng burrimjgas> Pbasa

jra4

:' Mliejta mbjgha rasults ig j sihgicimjgt igmrajsa ig tba igtagsity nr

craquagmy nc cutura trnpimjl mymlngasig tbis mjsa, jgy jmtings tjkag gnwwill raùma cutura vulgarjoility jg` bagma jra mlajrly àsirjola'

?' Mliejta mbjgha nas gnt rasult ig jgy sihgicimjgt igmrajsa ig tba igtagsity

nr craquagmy nc cutura trnpimjl mymlngas, out it `nas laj` tn sihgicimjgt

saj%laval risa tbjt axjmarojtas stnre surhajhjig, jgy jmtings tjkaggnw will raùma vulgarjoility jg` bagma jra mlajrly àsirjola'

=' Mliejta mbjgha `nas gnt rasult ig jgy sihgicimjgt igmrajsa ig tba

igtagsity nr craquagmy nc cutura trnpimjl mymlngas, gnr `nas it laj` tn

sihgicimjgt saj%laval risa' ?3

Jccamt nc Mliejta Mbjgha "JMM)

upng burrimjgas


27/28

Mngmlusing

Xnrk sbnul` oa `nga tn ieprnva tba jmmurjmy nc smiagticim `jtj ng

burrimjgas sn puolisba` rasajrmb is enra ralijola'

Enra rasajrmb sbnul` oa mjrria` nut lnnkigh jt tba iepjmt gjturjl

vjrijoility nc ]]P bjs upng burrimjga craquagmy'

Enra rasajrmb sbnul` oa mjrria` nut sn wa mjg curtbar nurug`arstjg`igh ng tba jtenspbara.nmajg igtarjmting'

Pba smiagticim ugmartjigty ng tba pnssiola accamt nc mliejta mbjgha

jg` ng gjturjl vjrijoility sbnul` oa usa` js entivjting cnrigmrajsa` jmting, gnt js jg axmusa cnr igjmting "Hrnssejg jg`

Enrhjg, ?6::)

?8


28/28

_acaragmas

Onnks

Luthags jg` Pjroumk, "?6:6) Pba jtenspbara4 Jg Igtrn`umting tn Eatanrnlnhy, ::tb A`, Gaw Darsay, Vajrsng'

Dnurgjls

Mliejta @ygjeims, Snluea =3, Gueoars ::%:?, ??89%??9=, @NI4 :6':668.s66=2?%6:6% 6962%x, Jtljgtim trnpimjl mymlngas

ig tba twagtiatb magtury4 gjturjl vjrijoility jg` samuljr mbjgha ig mymlnga mnugt'

Mliejtim Mbjgha, Snluea :62, Gueoar =, 10=%189, @NI4 :6':668.s:6120%6::%66?6%:, Prnpimjl mymlngas, mliejta mbjgha,

jg` smiagticim ugmartjigty4 wbjt `n wa kgnw, wbjt `nas it eajg, jg` wbjt sbnul` oa `nga>

Xaositas

Jll racaragma ligks cnug` ug`ar iejhas jg` cihuras'

?2

powerpoint presentation: "extremes in the climate system - hurricanes"

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