potential effects of budget deficit 2008-09 presented by: md. sadiqur rahman chowdhury rayhana...

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Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh Supervisor Liton Chakraborty Lecturer, School of Business

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Page 1: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit2008-09

Presented by:Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury

Rayhana SultanaHafiz-Al-Ashad

University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

SupervisorLiton Chakraborty

Lecturer, School of Business

Page 2: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Comparison with previous yearEvents FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09

Amounts are according to the Percentage of GDP

Total Budget 15% 16.3%

Budget Deficit 4.2% 5%

Foreign Financing 2.0% 2.2%

Domestic Financing 2.2% 2.8%

School of Business, ULAB 2

Page 3: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Comparison with previous yearEvents FY 2007-08 (Revised) FY 2008-09

Amounts are according to the Percentage of GDP

Total Budget 16.1% 16.3%

Budget Deficit 4.8% 5%

Foreign Financing 2.5% 2.2%

Domestic Financing 2.3% 2.8%

School of Business, ULAB 3

Page 4: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Deficit in Budget 2008-09

School of Business, ULAB 4

Page 5: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Comparison of financing sources

School of Business, ULAB 5

Page 6: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Comparison of Domestic Financing Sources

School of Business, ULAB 6

Page 7: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Consequence of Budget Deficit

S

D

Interest Rate

School of Business, ULAB 7

Page 8: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Consequence of Budget Deficit

D

S

New Interest Rate S’

School of Business, ULAB 8

Page 9: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Consequence of Budget Deficit

D

S

New Interest Rate

S’

D’

School of Business, ULAB 9

Page 10: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Possible Effects of Budget Deficit

• Lending rate may rise• Private Investment may shrink (crowding out) • Unemployment may increase• Price level may boost up• Interest rate on bank deposit may increase

School of Business, ULAB 10

Page 11: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Possible Effects of Budget Deficit

• Capital market activities may be hampered • Banking sector may show monopoly power• Growth rate of economy may slow down• The gap between rich & poor may be

enlarged

School of Business, ULAB 11

Page 12: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

Actions could be taken

• Government can urge banks to raise the paid up capitals

• Use capital market instruments• Find useless & unnecessary expenditures

and shift those to meet deficit• Allow undisclosed money to be invested

- Special Bond for Undisclosed money

School of Business, ULAB 12

Page 13: Potential Effects Of Budget Deficit 2008-09 Presented by: Md. Sadiqur Rahman Chowdhury Rayhana Sultana Hafiz-Al-Ashad University of Liberal Arts Bangladesh

THANK YOU.

Any question?