portuguese electric mobility program...mar 17, 2010  · 10 -dez -09 20% ev 50% ev maximum installed...

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PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM SEOUL MARCH 17, 2010 PRESENTATION FOR UN FORUM ON CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION, FUEL EFFIENCY AND SUSTAINABLE URBAN TRANSPORT

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Page 1: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC

MOBILITY PROGRAM

SEOUL MARCH 17, 2010

PRESENTATION FOR UN FORUM ON CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION, FUEL EFFIENCY AND SUSTAINABLE URBAN TRANSPORT

Page 2: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

TABLE OF CONTENTS

� The Starting Point

� Energy Strategy

� Integrated Strategy� Integrated Strategy

� Electric Mobility Model

� Conclusions

Page 3: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

THE STARTING POINTTHE NEED FOR A NEW PARADIGM

The starting point� Energy: oil-based economy; increasing oil prices

(transportation accounts for 38% of final energy consumption per sector)

� Environment: CO2 emissions(more than 34 % of CO2 emissions in Europe come from transport sector)(more than 34 % of CO2 emissions in Europe come from transport sector)

� Productivity and quality of life: traffic congestion (10% of roads are daily congested; annual cost amounts to almost 2% GDP)

The future

� New vision of mobility, new solutions and applications

� Integrated systems (users–transportation–infrastructure–

territory)

Page 4: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

THE STARTING POINT MOBILITY PROFILE IN THE MAIN URBAN AREAS IN PORTUGAL

130,000 daily courses with average

70% cars with single user and 23%

driver + 1 passenger

Greater Oporto population

travels daily an average

distance of 12.5 km (one way)

37,991

42,523

12,621

46,884

826,000 vehicles enter or cross Lisbon daily

Average daily distance

travelled by car in Lisbon :

28 km (one way)

Source: Lisboa, O Desafio da Mobilidade (CM Lisboa)

Source: CMPorto

(one way)Between 7:30 a.m. and 9:30 a.m.

Page 5: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

Portuguese electricity installed capacity portfolio (MW)

14.390

28.418

25,9%25,9%

6,3%6,3%

7,7%7,7%

ENERGY STRATEGY2007-2020 OBJECTIVE : TO INCREASE INSTALLED CAPACITY BY 100%

1. Biomass, solar, wave,, biogas e microgeneration

Source: MEI; DGEG; REN

Portuguese electricity installed capacity portfolio (MW)

2007

Hydro Wind Other renewables1 Fuel Coal Natural gas

7,7%7,7%

30,0%30,0%

30,1%30,1%

xx%xx% Technology share (in MW)

2020

Accounting for 60% of

the total electricity

consumption in

Portugal34%34%

15%15%

15%15%

12%12%

20%20%

xx%xx% Technology share of renewables (in MW)

Page 6: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

Percentage of renewable energy in total energy

demand by 20201

31%

This means that around 60% of electricity consumption will

be generated from renewable sources

ENERGY STRATEGY2007-2020 OBJECTIVE : TO LEVEL WITH THE MOST AMBITIOUS RENEWABLES TARGET

IN THE EU27 (55% ABOVE EU27 AVERAGE)

Percentage of renewable energy in total energy

demand by 2020

Currently (2005) EU target by 2020

1. Including electricity consumption, fuel for transportation and different sources of primary energy used

by industrial and household heating and cooling applications

Source: MEI

EU27 average: 20%

Page 7: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

CO2 emissions targets per capita in EU (2010)

ENERGY STRATEGY2007-2020 OBJECTIVE :TO LEVEL WITH THE MOST AMBITIOUS CO2 TARGET PER

CAPITA IN THE EU

(24% BELOW EU15 AVERAGE)

EU15 average = 10.0

Luxemburg

Irland

Finland Germany

Belgium

Netherlands

Greece UK

Denmark

France

Italy

Sweden

Spain

Austria

Portugal

Source: European Commision; Eurostat

Page 8: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

INTEGRATED STRATEGY RENEWABLES AND ELECTRIC CARS ARE COMPLEMENTARY MODELS

o With a modern electrical distribution infrastructure the main challenge lies

in vehicle and grid interface

o EVs widespread use will enable better dimensioning of the electricity

generation system and better accommodation of renewables production

o Focus on night-charging as well as on distributed generation based on wind o Focus on night-charging as well as on distributed generation based on wind

and PV solar power

Page 9: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

INTEGRATED STRATEGYEV CAR PARK EVOLUTION FORECAST

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000

EV

Ca

r P

arc

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

EV

Ca

r

Year

Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

EV 1.000 5.000 9.000 15.000 27.500 39.000 54.000 68.500 100.000 120.000 200.000

Source: Inteli / Roland Berger Strategy Consultants

Page 10: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

INTEGRATED STRATEGYTOWARDS SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY

CO2 EMISSIONS (MTON)

CURRENT 160 000 EV 20% PARC 50% PARC

-8 MTON/YEAR

17

9

1311

MOBILITY INVOICE (M€)

PRIMARY ENERGY

CONSUMPTION (MTOE)

11 000

5 000

9 0007 500

5.8

3.3

5.34.2

- 6 000 M€/YEAR

-2.5 MTOE/YEAR

Source: Inteli

Page 11: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

INTEGRATED STRATEGYECONOMIC IMPACT

R&D / ENGINEERING

TECHNOLOGICAL

DEVELOPMENT AND

QUALIFIED

EMPLOYMENT

3000 NEW JOBS

VALUE

VEHICLES

BATTERIES AND

POWERTRAINS

Target 2020

DEVELOPMENT AND

INNOVATION

STRUCTURAL

CONDITIONS

INVESTMENT

ATTRACTION

VALUE

500 M€ GVA

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

1000 M€ BV

TECHNOLOGY AND

INNOVATION

50 M€ RD&I

INFORMATION

TECHNOLOGIES

ENERGY SYSTEMS AND

CHARGING NETOWRKS

BUSINESS AND SERVICE

MODEL€Source: Inteli

Page 12: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

INTEGRATED STRATEGYIMPACT ON THE ELECTRIC GRID

Driving to work

Energy

sale to

Driving

home

Energy

sale to

the grid

100%

Ba

tte

ry C

ha

rge Power use of

an EV

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

5500

LV P

ow

er

(MW

)

01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 21 21 22 23 00

Recharge throughout

the day, whenever the

grid is available

the grid

Recharging

at home

Source: Inteli, ERSE (2009)

0%

Ba

tte

ry C

ha

rge

Power

consumption

during the

day in

Portugal (LV)

Page 13: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

14000

16000

18000

20000

Consumption Power LV

(MW)

INTEGRATED STRATEGY

IMPACT ON THE ELECTRIC GRID OF A GROWING EV PARK

• Extreme scenario: the EV park only charges simultaneously during the night

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00 0:00

Consumption Power LV

(MW)

Time

10-Dez-09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity

• Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction from an early stage

• Need for development of smart charging and smart grids together with Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) for optimal grid loading

Source: Inteli, ERSE (2009)

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Page 14: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

PRODUCER X

ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAMTHE MANAGING ENTITY: INTEGRATION BETWEEN MULTIPLE STAKEHOLDERS

OPERATOR A OPERATOR B

PUBLIC NETWORK

PRODUCER Y

DISTRIBUTION

PRODUCER X

USER

Energy Flow

kWh

RETAILER A

RETAILER B

MANAGING

ENTITY

Consumption Integration

Services Integration

Transactions Management

Operators and Retailers intermediation and integrationFinancial flowInformation

4

1 52

3

6

1 Prepaid packages subscription

Authentication

2 Services invoicing(postpaid)

Integrated invoicing

3 Electricity (to be integrated in the final invoice)

4 MANAGEMENT ENTITY system access fee

5 Consumption Metering for operators and retailers

Related services accounting

EGMOBI.E system access fee

6 Charging Service payment (to be integrated in the

final invoice)

OPERATOR C

Page 15: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

FINAL MESSAGEMAIN CONCLUSIONS

� This model framework ensures a unique, open and universal user centeredcharging network, which induces synergetic relations between the different market agents

� Electric Mobility will be a complementary added value to a wide range of � Electric Mobility will be a complementary added value to a wide range of

companies’ core businesses, for example : Electricity retail, Vehicle retail ,

Energy services, Parking, Financial services

� Major effort lies in the mobilization of upstream and downstream companies

across the value chain for the joint optimization of resources:

� 1 - Business agents (retail and operation) developing innovative business solutions, which can be both profitable and achieve international recognition

� 2 - Companies and R&D Institutions through the development, design and production of

innovative technological solutions of high export potential

Page 16: PORTUGUESE ELECTRIC MOBILITY PROGRAM...Mar 17, 2010  · 10 -Dez -09 20% EV 50% EV Maximum Installed Capacity • Renewables capacity targets are sufficient to accommodate EV introduction

CHALLENGES

THINKING ABOUT…

CITIES ENERGY NETWORKS

TECHNOLOGY

SOLUTIONS

THANK

YOU