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Credit Management Portfolio Risk Management: An Evolving Approach Credit is an integral part of commerce and the management of credit risk has evolved from individuals interpreting broad corporate policy, to sophisticated methodologies that enforce consistent analysis and decisions. Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580) www.augustushall.com

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Page 1: Portfolio Risk Management

Credit Management Portfolio Risk Management: An Evolving Approach Credit is an integral part of commerce and the management of credit risk has evolved from individuals interpreting broad corporate policy, to sophisticated methodologies that enforce consistent analysis and decisions. Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580) www.augustushall.com

Page 2: Portfolio Risk Management

Credit Management

www.augustushall.com

Page 2 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Table of Contents

Course Highlights - A 2Day Course (Course Fee: N190,000).......................................................................................... 4

Portfolio Risk Management: An Evolving Approach .......................................................................................................... 5

Introduction .......................................................................................................................................................................................... 5

Information Architecture for Credit Risk Management ............................................................................................. 7

The Promise of Portfolio Credit Risk Management ....................................................................................................... 10

Page 3: Portfolio Risk Management

Credit Management

www.augustushall.com

Page 3 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580) is a privately owned Credit Control Consultancy Firm based in Victoria Island, Lagos, Nigeria.

We remain focused on applying our in-depth experience and up-to-date knowledge to helping our clients towards an even brighter

business future. We specialise in offering: Credit Industry Training | Commercial Debt Collections | Consumer Debt Collections |

Credit Control Consultancy | Credit Risk Identification and Mitigation | Debt Mediation | Commercial Mediation and Negotiation |

Contract & Commercial Management | Research | Trades and Business Development | Debt Restructuring, Workouts and Collections

| Terms of Trade Documentation | Business Rescue and Support | Debt Purchase and Sale Brokerage | Creditor Meetings Service |

Factoring & Invoice Discounting | Refinancing & Asset Finance | Trade Finance | Credit Insurance | Accounts Payable Management

Solutions | Accounts Receivables Management Solution | Outsourcing | Document Management Solution | Invoicing and Billing |

Consulting and Advisory | Audits and Performance Evaluations | Software.

www.augustushall.com | [email protected] | Tel: +234 (0)1-217-0730, +234 (0)802-977-

2849, +234 (0)702-534-7079, +44 (203)-5140-885 | Fax: +44 (203)-5140-872 | P.O. Box 4528

Surulere, Lagos State, Nigeria.

Page 4: Portfolio Risk Management

Credit Management

www.augustushall.com

Page 4 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Course Highlights - A 2Day Course (Course Fee: N190,000)

Introduction to Portfolio Management New Product Portfolio Management: Practices and Performance Portfolio Management: Making Strategic Choices: Which market, product and technologies will we invest in? Resource Allocation: Spending your scare engineering, research and development, and marketing resources. Project Selection: Understanding on which new product or development projects you choose from the many

opportunities you face. Balancing: Having the right balance between the numbers of project you do and the resources and capabilities

you have available Portfolio Management Methods: Gaining insight as to what portfolio methods companies use Major problems with portfolio management Enterprise Risk Management Data Quality and Integrity Risks Associated with Lending Credit Culture and Risk Profile Loan Portfolio Objectives Strategic Planning for the Loan Portfolio Financial Goals Risk Tolerance Portfolio Risk and Reward The Loan Policy Loan Policy Topics Loan Approval Process Portfolio Management Oversight Risk Identification Exceptions to Policy, Procedures, and Underwriting Guidelines Documentation Exceptions Policy and Underwriting Exceptions Aggregate Exception Tracking and Reporting Portfolio Segmentation and Risk Diversification Identifying Concentrations of Risk Evaluating and Managing Concentrations of Risk Concentration Management Techniques Stress Testing Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses Credit Management Information Systems Collections and Work-out Lending Control Functions Independence Credit Policy Administration Loan Review Audit Administrative and Documentation Controls Communication with Senior Management and the Board Loan Portfolio Management Supervision Asset Quality Reviews Targeted Reviews Process Reviews Administrative and Documentation Reviews Compliance Reviews Follow-up Evaluations on Management Commitments Ongoing Supervision

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Credit Management

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Page 5 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Portfolio Risk Management: An Evolving Approach

Introduction

Credit is an integral part of commerce and the management of credit risk has evolved from individuals interpreting broad corporate policy, to sophisticated methodologies that enforce consistent analysis and decisions.

It is interesting to note the rather striking difference in the sophistication of credit risk management techniques in different types of corporations - manufacturing, retail, leasing, insurance and banking.

o For example, the mission critical nature of credit in the financial services sector has given rise to substantial information technology infrastructure investments surrounding the credit granting process.

o Whereas, to date, in the manufacturing trade credit arena, many organizations lag behind in their IT infrastructures that support automated credit processing.

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Credit Management

www.augustushall.com

Page 6 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Increasingly across all industries management sees rapid advances in technology and the increasing sophistication of software applications as an opportunity for improving the management of credit risk. The collective promise of these developments is substantial.

However, to fully realize their potential, it will be necessary to look at broad approaches that integrate software and hardware technologies. With the vast capabilities of today’s technology, credit decision processes are likely to change more rapidly in the future.

Of course, technology in and of itself, is only the means to the end. With all of the exciting possibilities that are offered by technology, it is important that the credit department of the future adopt a long-term-building-block perspective, if technology is to be used effectively.

Emphasis must be placed on the engineering of credit risk processes using technology as a tool. To be truly effective the technology framework must be capable of supporting rapid changes in credit risk management processes.

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Credit Management

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Page 7 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Information Architecture for Credit Risk Management

The management of credit risk has three major dimensions –

The transaction-level credit decision, The management of the credit risk portfolio, and Value-added services.

The transaction-level credit decision represents the traditional view of credit. The acceptance of a customer order and subsequent granting of credit, initiates the acceptance of risk by the organization.

The objective in managing individual credit transactions is largely to determine the risk-return tradeoff in granting credit to each customer.

The risk tolerance or preferences of the organization are driven by a number of factors. Typically this includes:

o The competitiveness of its markets,

o Its cost of capital and

o The profitability of its products and services.

As organizations look more closely at ways to compete effectively in the midst of increasing local or global competitive pressures, credit will receive more scrutiny as an area that can contribute to market share growth.

o This changing environment necessitates management look at a broader view of risk preference.

o In response to the portfolio view of risk management, credit is taking on increasing importance in today’s market.

At any given point in time, the credit manager is really managing a portfolio of credit risk. The portfolio perspective is quite different from that of the individual credit transaction.

It allows credit to be viewed from the standpoint of pooled risk.

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Credit Management

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Page 8 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

o The opportunity to take on a slightly greater risk in an individual transaction becomes acceptable provided the overall risk pool stays within an acceptable tolerance level.

o As the need to grow markets in the face of increasing competition continues the portfolio perspective is likely to grow significantly in importance in the future.

o Thinking of credit risk management as a portfolio issue will represent a major shift for many in the traditional manufacturing trade credit world.

Once again, new advancements in technology can be deployed to aid organizations in the aggregation of similar customer groups, and the benchmarking of those customer groups’ performance against one another.

o In addition, organizations can establish automated warning flags that provide notification when the credit risk associated with a given portfolio have reached the threshold of acceptability.

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Credit Management

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Page 9 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

In some corporations, credit has the opportunity to provide value-added services to customers and internal groups such as sales and marketing. For example,

Frequently the corporation has an intermediate distribution channel where the nature of the business relationship between the distribution channel and the corporation is usually quite strong.

In these circumstances, there is a strong flow of information from the channel partners to the supplier’s credit organization. For the credit organization there is the opportunity to provide value-added services.

These services may take the form of on-site credit reviews, which provide insights in areas within the distributor’s customer base that offer growth opportunity, or which offer help with identification of customers that may be facing delinquencies.

In another example, the organization may wish to provide each customer with an automatically generated benchmarking report which compares their financial history and current business performance to comparable peers.

o These peers may be reported as anonymous data points to protect competitive advantages, but at the same time to stimulate proactive improvements within each customer’s business practices.

A common aspect of each of these three dimensions is that all of them consist of many processes and sub-processes. An important new perspective and goal of the credit department may be to design and implement an optimal set of processes for its business and environment. To be highly effective any process design must also be extremely flexible. To create such an environment necessitates close integration of process and technology. Unfortunately, it has not been uncommon for many corporations to become captive to a set of technologies and to be forced to configure their businesses to fit available technology, rather than the other way around.

Historically, credit decision processes have been implemented either manually or with the limited application of interactive decision support tools. While many credit managers, have had the vision of a process-oriented organization of their responsibilities, limitations of technology and information availability have hampered the realization of this vision. The alignment of newer, integrated decision support technology infrastructures - along with the recognized opportunity to benefit from a portfolio view of credit risks - represents an exciting opportunity for credit organizations to realign their operations with a fully integrated process approach that is empowered by technology.

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Credit Management

www.augustushall.com

Page 10 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

The Promise of Portfolio Credit Risk Management

As noted previously, a portfolio of credit customers represents a bundle of individual credit risks. Credit decisions at the customer/transaction level constantly affect this bundle of risk. As the management of credit risk has matured with the increased adoption of consistent scoring methodologies, portfolio risk management has become more feasible and relevant.

The concept of portfolio risk management may encompass the tracking and analysis of a number of different risk dimensions. Regardless of the sophistication of the portfolio analysis techniques, the common approach is to stop looking at individual customers one at a time and instead segment them by some logical grouping that incorporates common behaviors and risk factors. Within a given portfolio each customer represents a different level of risk and opportunity. These differences may be based on the risk of non-payment, slow payments or the possibility of bad debts and the costs associated in the recovery of such bad debt. However, because these customers have similar risk characteristics the overall group performance becomes more important than the risk attributes of an individual firm.

In the past, primary concern for the corporate credit managers has been limiting risk and setting adequate reserves. By setting up a customized credit policy for each portfolio, specific credit policies can be established that allow an organization to maximize return relative to the risk profile of the overall portfolio.

Monitoring of the portfolio risk can lead to proactive actions to influence the composition of the portfolio, the tightening of credit standards and the allocation of appropriate reserves. Through portfolio analysis the credit department can also help Sales and Marketing understand where the best opportunities may exist to grow the business. Often Treasury will be positively impacted because the portfolio approach allows lower loss reserves than were previously necessary when all credit analysis was transaction based. The essence of portfolio analysis is the ability to view credit as a risk/reward scenario rather than just as risk avoidance.

A simple measure of portfolio risk can be defined as follows:

Portfolio Risk = sum of [credit limit x risk score] over all customers in the portfolio

Credit Limits can be replaced by the current exposure to provide a current versus probable assessment of portfolio risk.

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Credit Management

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Page 11 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Consistently measuring portfolio risk over time will allow the credit manager to manage aggregate risk within an acceptable range. Credit managers can determine the level of risk that the organization is willing to accept and set credit policy accordingly.

By constantly monitoring aggregate risk, credit managers can ensure that the reserve levels are adequate and also influence portfolio composition/business development decisions. For example, if the Sales group

targets a 20% growth in a segment of the current customer base, the credit manager can provide valuable information on how the resulting credit exposure can be achieved with minimal increase in portfolio risk.

Keep in mind when developing an automated approach to the management of portfolio risk, the information architecture for portfolio risk management needs to support the following processes:

Flexible definition of a portfolio.

Flexibility in specifying risk measurements.

Representation of portfolio thresholds.

Triggering of ‘red flags’ for credit managers, on an execution basis.

Using different scorecards for different types of customers/requests.

As organizations look to implement portfolio based credit management solutions, they need to carefully measure their alternative approaches against these criteria.

There is no doubt the competitive climate in which we operate today will continue to intensify. Factors, such as deregulation, further globalization of markets through e-commerce and reduced trade barriers, will make it increasingly challenging to expand markets and maintain desired levels of profitability.

As we have discussed, forward-thinking organizations are starting to tackle the challenges with portfolio management techniques, as well as sophisticated analysis and process automation tools. They will undoubtedly continue to look at ways to segment their customer base and devise pricing, product and distribution strategies that leverage the knowledge that portfolio analysis provides.

Portfolio based risk management techniques will offer the opportunity to expand market share within acceptable risk tolerance levels. Investment in sophisticated, but flexible and easy to deploy IT infrastructure will allow organizations to evolve beyond the realm of traditional credit policy and create significant “value-added” customer relationship management services.

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Credit Management

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Page 12 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Course Objectives After completing this course, learners will be able to:

Identify and explain key portfolio structuring considerations Evaluate loan requests to support short and long-term portfolio management strategy

needs and growth in risk assets Use a thorough guide on portfolio examination – (audit function, loan review function and

credit management function) Understand portfolio concentration types, its diversification and exceptions control …and many more…

Course Content

For Course content please check on Page 4 above

Target Audience Portfolio Risk Management is designed for bankers who want to enhance their knowledge of portfolio structuring options to benefit both the bank and their customers. It is also appropriate for credit analysts and entry-level bankers who have completed a new hire training program.

It is suitable if you are in the collections profession, either creditor side or collection agency side or involved in the process of valuing, and this will be a focal point amongst your peers be it entry-level individuals, experienced ones (who need an update on their knowledge), & professionals in: sales, marketing, distributions & logistics, purchases & supplies, financial services, mutual funds, housing societies, thrift & co-operatives, real estates, civil constructions, brokerage, insurance, general trade credit & commerce (manufacturing), trades & services, credit services, commercial services, investments, exchanges, derivatives, accounting/accounting firm, consulting/consulting firm, law firm, rating agencies, multi-lateral financial institutions, micro-finance, internal controls & compliance, advisory, business development, & many others who want to enhance their analytical skills. Besides, particular benefit is also attached to those in the credit & collections field, a small business owner or anyone who is involved in collecting and managing accounts receivable, revenues etc.

In addition, to the aforesaid “Typical Job Titles of Attendees” include: Account Directors/Managers, Operations Officer/Operations Directors/Operations Managers, Debt Collection Agency (DCA) Managers, Directors/Associate Director, Head of Collections/Collections Manager, Head of Recovery/Recovery Managers, Head of Revenues Service, Head of Credit/Credit Manager, Head of Debt Recovery/Debt Recovery Manager, Head of Finance, Head of Fraud/Fraud Manager, Head of Sales/ Sales Director/Sales Manager.

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Credit Management

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Page 13 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Course Date/Time/Venue Date: Wednesday 1st of June – Thursday 2nd of June, 2016 // Time: 9am - 4pm // Venue @ Augustus Hall Limited (Victoria Island, Lagos, NIGERIA). For reservations & enquiries contact us via: [email protected] or Telephone: +234 (0)1-2170730, +234 (0)802-977-2849, +234 (0)702 -534-7079

Delivery Options This highly interactive 2-day workshop is delivered in a classroom setting by experienced Augustus Hall instructors.

Our lead trainer for this course is Areh, Augustus Nnamdi, PGDCFM, AICM, AICA, MACP, AIBD, MIMC, CMC with over 20 years collective industry experience in operational, leadership and specialist credit consulting roles. For details click on his LINKEDIN Profile: ng.linkedin.com/in/augustusnnamdiareh

Course Materials Each set of participant materials includes:

Complete explanations of concepts, examples, and exercises with answer keys Review sections at the end of each module, highlighting key concepts. Case studies allowing the learner to practice each new skill throughout the course

Page 14: Portfolio Risk Management

Credit Management

www.augustushall.com

Page 14 of 14 www.augustushall.com |Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580)

Augustus Hall Limited (RC. 912580) is a privately owned Credit Control Consultancy Firm based in Victoria Island, Lagos, Nigeria.

We remain focused on applying our in-depth experience and up-to-date knowledge to helping our clients towards an even brighter

business future. We specialise in offering: Credit Industry Training | Commercial Debt Collections | Consumer Debt Collections |

Credit Control Consultancy | Credit Risk Identification and Mitigation | Debt Mediation | Commercial Mediation and Negotiation |

Contract & Commercial Management | Research | Trades and Business Development | Debt Restructuring, Workouts and Collections

| Terms of Trade Documentation | Business Rescue and Support | Debt Purchase and Sale Brokerage | Creditor Meetings Service |

Factoring & Invoice Discounting | Refinancing & Asset Finance | Trade Finance | Credit Insurance | Accounts Payable Management

Solutions | Accounts Receivables Management Solution | Outsourcing | Document Management Solution | Invoicing and Billing |

Consulting and Advisory | Audits and Performance Evaluations | Software.

www.augustushall.com | [email protected] | Tel: +234 (0)1-217-0730, +234 (0)802-977-

2849, +234 (0)702-534-7079, +44 (203)-5140-885 | Fax: +44 (203)-5140-872 | P.O. Box 4528

Surulere, Lagos State, Nigeria.