portable & iot display challenges and opportunities : part 1a
TRANSCRIPT
Portable&IoTDisplaysPart1a:InternalPanels
Market,Technologies,Insights,Challenges&Opportuni8es
©2015~2016,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved
Firstpresented,BayAreaSID.Sep’23rd2015
Agenda• Part1a:InternalPanel
– PanelindustryBackground.InternalPanelvsotherDisplaytypes– TFTDisplaytechnologyandtheprogressionoftheTCON– Revolu8onsinPortable&IoTDisplays– Real-worldproductexample:benefitsofDisplayTechnology&Innova8on
• Part1b:Lookingahead1+yr– UHD,4K,HDR&WCGChallenges
• Part1c:Lookingahead>1yr– 8Kandbeyond:theVR/ARSOL– IoTchallenges:BigandSmall– Overallconclusions(Outsidescope:TouchandTouch-DisplayIntegra8on.Availableseparately)
Warning:LCD-centriccontentahead,yourmileagemayvary©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 2
• Revenue*>$100billion– 2012:>$15billoss– 2014:BreakEven
• Conclusions:– JapanLCDmakerslosingshare
– ChinagainingfasterthanTaiwan/Korea >10yrFoundryInvestmentsèIntenselycompe88ve
50~75%ofLCDCost=FoundryDeprecia8on*
Panel Industry Revenue
©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 3*Source:DisplaySearchIndustryReport2013
Whatdo“BillionDollar”LCDFab’slooklike?
• Let’spicktwoorthogonalexamples:Sharp,BoE
• Extracredit,homeworkques8on:es8matethecost&8metoswitchtheseFab’sfromLCD,toOLED?
©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 4
ChinaisinvesOnginyetmoreTFTLCDFabs…• April2015:“BoEtosplashRMB70billion(~$10bil)onnewLCDdisplayfabs”
“PlantobuildanewGen10.5TFT-LCDfabinHeFei,AnHuiandaGen8.5LCDfabfortheproduc8onofnewtypeofdisplays”
• HereisanotherChinesefab,equallyvisiblefromspace…
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Internal Panel Industry Growth
Source : NPD DisplaySearch 2014
Internal Panel
External Monitor, TV
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Display Technology has changed• CRT 50/60Hz Screen Refresh
– 1920’s Technology
• TFT = Charge-Hold Device – 1~7 transistors per pixel – DRAM-like storage capacitor Cs – Holds information, low leakage – Used for LCD, OLED, MEMS, eInk…
! Realiza8on:NotdrivingaCRT,sowhydofixed60Hzpanelrefresh?èInven8onofVariableRefresh(aka:sDRRS,NVDPS,G-SYNC)
CS CS
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New Display Technologies : TFT is the Medium
• KeyTechnologies:IGZO,LTPS,Polymer,Blue-Phase,…• OLED&LCDResolu8ondrivingTFTtransistorcountontheGlass
CRT:50to120Hz IncumbentTechnology
TFT1stGen:50Hzto60HzCompa8bilityPhase
TFT2nd~4thGen:20Hzto90Hz Disrup8vePhase
TFTfuture:<1Hzto>120Hz
Plasma50to240Hz
1920’s2010E.O.L
2014E.O.L1950’s1980’s
2000’s2010’s
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TFTDynamics:SmartPhonePixels/Transistors
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0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
Feb-08 Jul-09 Nov-10 Apr-12 Aug-13 Dec-14
PixelsiPhone6+
iPhone5
iPhone4iPhone3GS 0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
Dec-07Dec-08Dec-09Dec-10Dec-11Dec-12Dec-13Dec-14Dec-15
TransistorsiPhone6+
iPhone5iPhone4
iPhone3GS
Moore’sLaw
GrewfasterthanMoore’sLaw
0.010.020.030.040.050.060.070.080.090.0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
MillionsofTransistors(LCD)15.6”TFTLCDNotebooks
GrewmuchfasterthanMoore’sLaw©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 13
PentiumPro: 5m ‘95 AMD K6: 9m ‘97 16x10
38x21
19x10
28x18 32x18 Pentium4: 42m ‘00
AMD K7: 22m ‘99
Moore’s Law (CPU) ~2xTrans / 2yrs
4K, 5K 10bpc ?
8x in 5yrs
10x in 4yrs
Toshiba 4K
LCD by Memory bit
• LCDgrowingtwiceasfastasDRAMindensity,comparedtoJEDECroadmap– Drivingfactors:resolu8on,colordepth,novelsub-pixels,newcelldesign
2Gb (2012)
8Gb (2017)
LCD : ~4x, 2.5yrs
4Gb (2014)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
15.6” LCD Panel (Megabits of info) JEDEC DDR4 Mem Roadmap
DRAM : 4x, 5yrs
2.5yrs Source Drivers
Gate D
rivers
16x10
38x21
28x18 32x18
TCON
TCONisthenew“MemoryController”forpixelinforma8on
Pixel/Memory Array
19x10
MBit
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Butwaitaminute…
• RapidgrowthinTransistorgatecountANDDynamicRandomAccessMemory.Whathappenedlast8methatoccurred…?
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Intel4004:Microprocessor Intel1103:DynamicRAM
1971Intel:“Announcinganewerainintegratedelectronics”
LogiconTFTGlass=RevoluOonaryIoTEnabler
JDI:RGBWReflec8ve,SRAMMemory-In-Pixel,0.000130/160W
Sharp:Source/GateDriver-On-GlassSharp:Reflec8ve,SRAMMemory-
In-Pixel,0.000010/16W
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Sharp:Zero-BezelRoundLCD SourceDriversIC’s
GateDriversIC’s
OldTech:PanelrestrictedtoRectangleBezel
SourceDriversIC’s
GateDriverscircuitsconstructedfrom
TFT
NewGeneraOon:PanelinanyShape
TFTMatrix
TFTMatrix
SIDDisplayWeek–arevoluOonishappening,rightinfrontofus
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ComplexAnalog&DigitalCircuits,*in*theTFTBackplaneitself
Recap : What is a TCON ?
TimingController:TCON<10x5mm(VESA)CoGorCoFDrivers
TCON+DriversSingleChip:“DDIC” CoG(Chip-on-Glass)
Backlight & Power
LargeInternalPanel(Notebook,All-in-One)
Source Driver IC
CoG or CoF
Backlight & Power
LCD Panel Gate Driver IC
SmallInternalPanel(Tablet,Smartphone)
©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 18
AppleexplainsTCONhNp://www.apple.com/imac-with-re8na(atoffset1:00min)
TCON Progression
• TCONshavelaggedotherSemiconductorsduetoDriver/Glasssignaling• Vendors:2xGatecountincreaseper-Year.Yearsofprocessrunwayahead
©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 19
None i.e. lots more “Whitespace”
eDP 1.3 HBR2 DSI1.2 1.5Gbps
Pre-2010 : LVDS/DSI
eDP 1.2 HBR DSI1.1 1Gps
eDP 1.4 HBR3
Big feature change Vs process generation
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
500K
1M
2.5M
5M
Gate Count
90~65nm
55nm
45nm
110~130nm
2015 2.5M Gates
>2xGates >2xGates
2016
2013 1.2M Gates
Opportunity
TCON&DriverVendorsadddigitalvalue,closesttothe“Glass”
2017 2018
Recap : Typical LCD Stack
+30~40% 58~75%Loss
10~50%Loss
5~50%Loss
8~25%Loss
5~10%Loss
Optical (DBEF gain: x1.3~1.5) Optical loss Optical loss
VisibleOut=3~8%ofB
LightIn=B
TFTApertureRaOo
ApertureRaOo:OpaqueTFT+CapVsTransmissivearea
TFTsavingBacklightPower:LTPS=25%IGZO=40%
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ByWeight,ByPower–mostimportantis…
Source:hNp://www.apple.com/environment/reports/©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 21
iPadBOMCostAnalysis–ValueofDisplayIP
Component EsOmate
Display9.7”2048x1536(SharpIGZO) $77
Touchscreen $38
64GBFlash,2GBDRAM $45
ProcessorA8X $22
BaNery27.6WHr $15
Cameras8MP+1.2MP $11
Audio,Sensors,Power,WiFi/GPS,Misc $35
Enclosure,PCB’s,Cables $42
Assembly&Test $5
BOMCost $290
MSRP64GBWiFino-3G $599
Thickness 6.1mm
Weight 437g
Component EsOmate
Display9.7”2048x1536(LGA-SiIPS) $87
Touchscreen $40
64GBFlash,2GBDRAM $67
ProcessorA5X $23
BaNery32.9WHr $32
Cameras8MP+1.2MP $12
Audio,…etc $35
Enclosure,PCB’s,Cables $42
Assembly&Test $5
BOMCost $343
MSRP64GBWiFino-3G $599
Thickness 7.1mm
Weight 650g
Component EsOmate
Display9.7”1024x768IPS $57
Touchscreen $40
32GBFlash,2GBDRAM $67
ProcessorA5 $14
BaNery43WHr $23
Cameras4MP+1.2MP $12
Audio,…etc $35
Enclosure,PCB’s,Cables $42
Assembly&Test $5
BOMCost $295
MSRP32GBWiFiNo-3G $599
Thickness 13.4mm
Weight 680g
iPad2AiriPadReOna(4thgen)iPad2(2ndgen)
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CostofRe8na-1!
Ouch!
Source:IHSTechnology&iSupplireports
iPadBOMCostAnalysis–ValueofDisplayIP
Component EsOmate
Display9.7”2048x1536(SharpIGZO) $77
Touchscreen $38
64GBFlash,2GBDRAM $45
ProcessorA8X $22
BaNery27.6WHr $15
Cameras8MP+1.2MP $11
Audio,Sensors,Power,WiFi/GPS,Misc $35
Enclosure,PCB’s,Cables $42
Assembly&Test $5
BOMCost $290
MSRP64GBWiFino-3G $599
Thickness 6.1mm
Weight 437gSource:IHSTechnology&iSupplireports
Component EsOmate
Display9.7”2048x1536(LGA-SiIPS) $87
Touchscreen $40
64GBFlash,2GBDRAM $67
ProcessorA5X $23
BaNery32.9WHr $32
Cameras8MP+1.2MP $12
Audio,…etc $35
Enclosure,PCB’s,Cables $42
Assembly&Test $5
BOMCost $343
MSRP64GBWiFino-3G $599
Thickness 7.1mm
Weight 650g
Component EsOmate
Display9.7”1024x768IPS $57
Touchscreen $40
32GBFlash,2GBDRAM $67
ProcessorA5 $14
BaNery43WHr $23
Cameras4MP+1.2MP $12
Audio,…etc $35
Enclosure,PCB’s,Cables $42
Assembly&Test $5
BOMCost $295
MSRP32GBWiFiNo-3G $599
Thickness 13.4mm
Weight 680g
iPad2AiriPadReOna(4thgen)iPad2(2ndgen)
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IGZO!Thinner,cheaper,lighter,faster☺CostofRe8na-1!
MuchBe9er!
HugewinforIGZO
Conclusions• Interac8vePortabledevicesheavilydependentonDisplays
– Dominatescost,weight,heat,baNery-sizeandbaNery-life
• Proven:Displaytechnologyimprovementshavevaluableimpact– Enhancedusability.BaNery,weight,BOMcostreduc8on.
• TFTgrowingfasterthanMoore’sLaw+“hungry”Fab’s– IoT=IoDT“InternetofDisplayThings”?
• TCON:enormousopportunityforaddingvaluableDisplayIP
©2015,PixelDisplayInc.AllRightsReserved 24
10xchangeinInternalPanelDisplaysalready,what’snext?
TFT Backplane (OLED/LCD) A-SiAmorphousSi
LTPSLow-TempPolySi
IGZOOxide
ElectronMobility(higher=beNer) Ok(<1cm2/V-sec)) Best(>100) BeNer(>10cm2/V-sec)
OffLeakageCurrent(lower=beNer) Ok(10-12) BeNer(10-14) Best(10-15)
Deposi8onProcess(lower=beNer) 350°C 600°C Claimed:RoomTemp
ProcessComplexity Low(4~5steps) High(5~11steps) Low(5~7steps)
PixelComplexity High(4T/5T+1/2C) High(5T+2C) Lo/Hi(2/6T+1/2C)
ProcessScalability Gen10(2.8mx3.1m) Gen5(1.1mx1.2m) Gen10(2.8mx3.1m)
Mura(Uniformity) Good Ok:Inter-column Ok:Regional
DriverIntegra8on(cost/lowprofile) Par8al Yes Yes
Prac8calDPI(backlight,power,speed) <300ppi >500ppi >500ppi
Prac8calHighRef(w/ooverdrive) <80Hz <120Hz >85Hz
Prac8calLowRef(w/oflicker) >45Hz >30Hz >20Hz
Prac8calApplica8on Under300ppi Panels≤10” Panels≥7”
Claimed:Simplest.Cheapest
BestLowRefreshRange
BestHighRefreshRange
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LEDEfficiency–NichiacaseexampleFlux Intensity Efficiency Size Example Est.Cost
StandardW-LED ~8lm ~2.5cd 110~135lm/W 3.0x0.85x0.4 NSSW306-F $0.132
SingleRG-LED ~6.8lm ~2.3cd 110~120lm/W 3.0x0.85x0.4 NSSW306-F
DoubleW-LED 16.4lm 4.5cd 125~155lm/W 4.2x1.0x0.6 NSSW266-F $0.268
DoubleRG-LED 14.5lm 4.5cd 120~145lm/W 4.2x1.0x0.6 NSSW266-F
StandardW-LED ~9.5lm ~2.8cd 140~165lm/W 3.0x0.85x0.6 NSSW306-F $0.158
SingleRG-LED ~8.1lm ~2.7cd 140~lm/W 3.0x0.85x0.6 NSSW306-HG
Source:hNp://www.nichia.co.jp/en/product/led_search.html?op=cond=applica8on=%27LCD%20Backligh8ng%27
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