population scenarios 2000-2300 by regions

7/29/2019 Population Scenarios 2000-2300 by Regions

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2000 2050 2100 2200 2300

WORLD 6,071 8,919 9,064 8,499 8,972 2075 9,221

More developed regions 1,194 1,220 1,131 1,207 1,278 2300 1,278

Less developed regions 4,877 7,699 7,933 7,291 7,694 2080 8,071

Least developed countries 668 1,675 2,166 1,901 1,990 2100 2,166

Africa 796 1,803 2,254 2,008 2,113 2100 2,254

Eastern Africa 253 614 809 725 761 2105 811

Middle Africa 93 266 355 304 321 2100 355

Northern Africa 174 306 310 281 297 2075 321

Southern Africa 50 47 45 47 50 2005 52

Western Africa 226 570 735 651 683 2105 736

Asia 3,680 5,222 5,019 4,682 4,943 2065 5,271

Eastern Asia 1,481 1,590 1,343 1,369 1,464 2030 1,659

South-central Asia 1,486 2,464 2,469 2,185 2,295 2075 2,571

South-eastern Asia 520 767 735 701 739 2060 776

Western Asia 192 401 473 427 446 2095 473

Europe 728 632 538 574 611 2000 728

Eastern Europe 305 222 174 186 197 2000 305

Northern Europe 94 100 95 102 109 2300 109

Southern Europe 146 126 99 103 110 2005 146

Western Europe 184 185 171 183 197 2300 197

Latin America and the Caribbean 520 768 733 681 723 2065 779

Caribbean 38 46 42 38 41 2045 46

Central America 135 212 204 187 197 2065 217

South America 347 510 486 455 484 2065 517

Northern America 316 448 474 509 534 2300 534

Oceania 31 46 46 45 48 2300 48

Australia/New Zealand 23 30 29 30 32 2300 32

Melanesia 7 14 15 13 14 2085 16

Micronesia1

0 1 1 1 1 2300 1

Polynesia 1 1 1 1 1 2080 1

Source : United Nations Population Division, World Population in 2300 (ESA/P/WP.187).1

The total population of Micronesia in the year 2000 is 498,940.

Table A.1. Population by major area or region according to the medium scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300

Major area or region

Population in millions Year in which

the maximum

is reached

Maximum

population


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2000 2050 2100 2200 2300

WORLD 6,071 8,919 9,067 8,325 8,323 2075 9,221



Least developed countries 668 1,675 2,166 1,904 1,902 2100 2,166Africa 796 1,803 2,254 2,014 2,013 2100 2,254

Eastern Africa 253 614 809 728 727 2105 811

Middle Africa 93 266 355 304 304 2100 355

Northern Africa 174 306 310 279 279 2075 321

Southern Africa 50 47 45 45 45 2005 52

Western Africa 226 570 735 658 658 2105 736

Asia 3,680 5,222 5,019 4,583 4,583 2065 5,271

Eastern Asia 1,481 1,590 1,343 1,304 1,304 2030 1,659


South-eastern Asia 520 767 735 687 687 2060 776

Western Asia 192 401 473 426 425 2095 473Europe 728 632 540 538 538 2000 728

Eastern Europe 305 222 174 173 173 2000 305

Northern Europe 94 100 96 96 96 2040 100

Southern Europe 146 126 99 97 97 2005 146

Western Europe 184 185 171 171 171 2025 189


Caribbean 38 46 42 38 38 2045 46

Central America 135 212 204 185 185 2065 217

South America 347 510 486 446 446 2065 517


Oceania 31 46 46 44 44 2075 47


Melanesia 7 14 15 13 13 2085 16

Micronesia 1 0 1 1 1 1 2085 1Polynesia 1 1 1 1 1 2080 1



Table A.2. Population by major area or region according to the zero-growth scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


Population in millionsYear in which

the maximum is

reached

Maximum

population


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2000 2050 2100 2200 2300

WORLD 6,071 10,633 14,018 21,236 36,444 2300 36,444



Least developed countries 668 1,960 3,078 4,276 7,405 2300 7,405Africa 796 2,122 3,235 4,565 7,962 2300 7,962

Eastern Africa 253 718 1,140 1,615 2,841 2300 2,841

Middle Africa 93 309 495 673 1,188 2300 1,188

Northern Africa 174 368 485 707 1,203 2300 1,203

Southern Africa 50 59 75 125 225 2300 225

Western Africa 226 667 1,040 1,445 2,505 2300 2,505

Asia 3,680 6,318 8,060 12,254 20,994 2300 20,994

Eastern Asia 1,481 1,928 2,250 3,653 6,115 2300 6,115


South-eastern Asia 520 934 1,191 1,850 3,167 2300 3,167

Western Asia 192 474 694 997 1,677 2300 1,677

Europe 728 705 790 1,328 2,204 2300 2,204

Eastern Europe 305 246 260 450 764 2300 764

Northern Europe 94 112 137 229 377 2300 377

Southern Europe 146 140 147 238 386 2300 386

Western Europe 184 206 245 411 678 2300 678

Latin America and the Caribbean 520 924 1,171 1,792 3,114 2300 3,114

Caribbean 38 56 69 103 176 2300 176

Central America 135 259 332 499 858 2300 858

South America 347 610 770 1,190 2,080 2300 2,080

Northern America 316 512 695 1,193 1,998 2300 1,998

Oceania 31 52 67 104 172 2300 172


Melanesia 7 17 23 32 53 2300 53

Micronesia1

0 1 1 2 2 2300 2

Polynesia 1 1 1 2 3 2300 3



Table A.3. Population by major area or region according to the high scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


Population in millions Year in which the

maximum is

reached

Maximum

population


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2000 2050 2100 2200 2300

WORLD 6,071 7,409 5,491 3,165 2,310 2040 7,529More developed regions 1,194 1,084 766 554 416 2015 1,211


Least developed countries 668 1,417 1,467 795 584 2075 1,552

Africa 796 1,516 1,508 832 620 2075 1,616

Eastern Africa 253 519 553 307 229 2080 576

Middle Africa 93 227 246 129 96 2080 257

Northern Africa 174 251 182 100 74 2045 252

Southern Africa 50 36 25 16 12 2005 52

Western Africa 226 482 503 279 208 2075 529

Asia 3,680 4,274 2,864 1,595 1,143 2035 4,451

Eastern Asia 1,481 1,303 723 443 313 2020 1,555

South-central Asia 1,486 2,014 1,428 744 533 2040 2,030South-eastern Asia 520 621 407 238 174 2035 645

Western Asia 192 336 306 170 123 2065 344

Europe 728 565 362 263 200 2000 728

Eastern Europe 305 200 115 81 60 2000 305

Northern Europe 94 89 66 49 38 2020 96

Southern Europe 146 113 65 45 34 2005 146

Western Europe 184 164 117 87 68 2010 185


Caribbean 38 37 23 13 9 2025 41

Central America 135 171 113 62 45 2035 176

South America 347 415 271 150 109 2035 430


Oceania 31 40 31 21 16 2045 40


Melanesia 7 12 10 5 4 2060 12

Micronesia1

0 1 1 1 1 2065 1

Polynesia 1 1 1 0 0 2035 1



Table A.4. Population by major area or region according to the low scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


Population in millions Year in which

the maximum

is reached

Maximum

population


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Major area or region 2000 2300WORLD 6,071 133,591,993

More developed regions 1,194 638

Less developed regions 4,877 133,591,355

Least developed countries 668 119,748,519

Africa 796 114,847,325

Eastern Africa 253 41,504,391

Middle Africa 93 28,083,037

Northern Africa 174 216,806

Southern Africa 50 23,631

Western Africa 226 45,019,460

Asia 3,680 18,461,775

Eastern Asia 1,481 514

South-central Asia 1,486 8,770,414

South-eastern Asia 520 380,195

Western Asia 192 9,310,651

Europe 728 90

Eastern Europe 305 5

Northern Europe 94 28

Southern Europe 146 28

Western Europe 184 30

Latin America and the Caribbean 520 251,354

Caribbean 38 11,884

Central America 135 199,290

South America 347 40,180

Northern America 316 528

Oceania 31 30,921

Australia/New Zealand 23 14

Melanesia 7 30,237

Micronesia1

0 168

Polynesia 1 503



Table A.5. Population by major area or region according to

the constant-fertility scenario, 2000 and 2300

Population in millions


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Table A.6. Average annual growth rate by major area or region, medium scenario, 2000 to 2300 (percentage)

Major area or region 2000-2050 2050-2100 2100-2150 2150-2200 2200-2250 2250-2300WORLD 0.77 0.03 -0.13 0.00 0.06 0.05

More developed regions 0.04 -0.15 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.05

Less developed regions 0.91 0.06 -0.16 -0.01 0.06 0.05

Least developed countries 1.84 0.51 -0.17 -0.09 0.04 0.05

Africa 1.64 0.45 -0.16 -0.07 0.05 0.05

Eastern Africa 1.78 0.55 -0.14 -0.08 0.05 0.05

Middle Africa 2.10 0.57 -0.20 -0.10 0.05 0.06

Northern Africa 1.13 0.03 -0.19 -0.01 0.06 0.05

Southern Africa -0.16 -0.06 -0.02 0.09 0.08 0.05

Western Africa 1.85 0.51 -0.15 -0.09 0.05 0.05

Asia 0.70 -0.08 -0.15 0.01 0.06 0.05

Eastern Asia 0.14 -0.34 -0.05 0.09 0.07 0.06

South-central Asia 1.01 0.00 -0.22 -0.02 0.05 0.04

South-eastern Asia 0.78 -0.09 -0.13 0.03 0.06 0.05

Western Asia 1.47 0.33 -0.15 -0.05 0.04 0.04

Europe -0.28 -0.32 0.04 0.08 0.07 0.06Eastern Europe -0.63 -0.49 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.05

Northern Europe 0.12 -0.09 0.05 0.08 0.07 0.06

Southern Europe -0.30 -0.49 0.00 0.08 0.07 0.06

Western Europe 0.01 -0.16 0.06 0.09 0.08 0.07

Latin America and the Caribbean 0.78 -0.09 -0.16 0.02 0.07 0.05

Caribbean 0.39 -0.17 -0.19 0.00 0.07 0.06

Central America 0.90 -0.07 -0.18 0.00 0.06 0.05

South America 0.77 -0.10 -0.16 0.02 0.07 0.06

Northern America 0.70 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.04

Oceania 0.78 0.01 -0.06 0.03 0.06 0.06

Australia/New Zealand 0.54 -0.08 0.03 0.08 0.07 0.06

Melanesia 1.38 0.19 -0.21 -0.07 0.05 0.05Micronesia 1.10 0.13 -0.06 0.03 0.07 0.06

Polynesia 0.80 0.09 -0.12 0.00 0.06 0.05

Source : United Nations Population Division, World Population in 2300 (ESA/P/WP.187).


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Table A.7. Average annual growth rate by major area or region, zero-growth scenario, 2000 to 2300 (percentage)

Major area or region 2000-2050 2050-2100 2100-2150 2150-2200 2200-2250 2250-2300

WORLD 0.77 0.03 -0.14 -0.03 0.00 0.00

More developed regions 0.04 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Less developed regions 0.91 0.06 -0.16 -0.04 0.00 0.00

Least developed countries 1.84 0.51 -0.17 -0.09 0.00 0.00

Africa 1.64 0.45 -0.16 -0.07 0.00 0.00

Eastern Africa 1.78 0.55 -0.14 -0.07 0.00 0.00

Middle Africa 2.10 0.57 -0.20 -0.10 0.00 0.00

Northern Africa 1.13 0.03 -0.18 -0.03 0.00 0.00

Southern Africa -0.16 -0.06 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00

Western Africa 1.85 0.51 -0.15 -0.07 0.00 0.00

Asia 0.70 -0.08 -0.15 -0.03 0.00 0.00

Eastern Asia 0.14 -0.34 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00

South-central Asia 1.01 0.00 -0.22 -0.04 0.00 0.00

South-eastern Asia 0.78 -0.09 -0.13 -0.01 0.00 0.00

Western Asia 1.47 0.33 -0.14 -0.07 0.00 0.00

Europe -0.28 -0.31 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00

Eastern Europe -0.63 -0.49 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00

Northern Europe 0.12 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Southern Europe -0.30 -0.49 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00

Western Europe 0.01 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Latin America and the Caribbean 0.78 -0.09 -0.16 -0.02 0.00 0.00

Caribbean 0.39 -0.17 -0.19 -0.03 0.00 0.00

Central America 0.90 -0.07 -0.18 -0.02 0.00 0.00

South America 0.77 -0.10 -0.16 -0.02 0.00 0.00


Oceania 0.78 0.02 -0.07 -0.02 0.00 0.00

Australia/New Zealand 0.54 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Melanesia 1.38 0.19 -0.21 -0.07 0.00 0.00Micronesia 1.10 0.12 -0.11 -0.02 0.00 0.00

Polynesia 0.80 0.09 -0.14 -0.03 0.00 0.00



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Table A.8. Average annual growth rate by major area or region, high scenario, 2000 to 2300 (percentage)

Major area or region 2000-2050 2050-2100 2100-2150 2150-2200 2200-2250 2250-2300WORLD 1.12 0.55 0.35 0.48 0.54 0.54

More developed regions 0.28 0.37 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.51

Less developed regions 1.28 0.58 0.33 0.47 0.55 0.54

Least developed countries 2.15 0.90 0.27 0.39 0.54 0.56

Africa 1.96 0.84 0.28 0.41 0.55 0.56

Eastern Africa 2.09 0.92 0.29 0.40 0.56 0.57

Middle Africa 2.40 0.94 0.24 0.38 0.56 0.58

Northern Africa 1.50 0.55 0.29 0.46 0.53 0.53

Southern Africa 0.31 0.47 0.46 0.58 0.60 0.58

Western Africa 2.16 0.89 0.27 0.38 0.54 0.56

Asia 1.08 0.49 0.35 0.49 0.54 0.54

Eastern Asia 0.53 0.31 0.44 0.52 0.52 0.51

South-central Asia 1.39 0.55 0.29 0.48 0.56 0.55

South-eastern Asia 1.17 0.49 0.37 0.51 0.54 0.53

Western Asia 1.80 0.76 0.30 0.42 0.52 0.52

Europe -0.06 0.23 0.52 0.52 0.51 0.50Eastern Europe -0.42 0.11 0.55 0.54 0.53 0.53

Northern Europe 0.35 0.40 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.49

Southern Europe -0.08 0.10 0.47 0.49 0.48 0.48

Western Europe 0.23 0.35 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.50

Latin America and the Caribbean 1.15 0.47 0.35 0.50 0.56 0.55

Caribbean 0.78 0.43 0.33 0.47 0.53 0.54

Central America 1.30 0.50 0.33 0.49 0.55 0.54

South America 1.12 0.47 0.36 0.51 0.56 0.55


Oceania 1.04 0.51 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.50

Australia/New Zealand 0.75 0.43 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50Melanesia 1.74 0.66 0.24 0.39 0.51 0.51

Micronesia 1.44 0.40 0.18 0.28 0.35 0.37

Polynesia 1.18 0.52 0.26 0.39 0.47 0.47



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Table A.9. Average annual growth rate by major area or region, low scenario, 2000 to 2300 (percentage)


WORLD 0.40 -0.60 -0.67 -0.43 -0.32 -0.31

More developed regions -0.19 -0.69 -0.38 -0.27 -0.28 -0.29

Less developed regions 0.52 -0.58 -0.73 -0.46 -0.32 -0.32

Least developed countries 1.50 0.07 -0.67 -0.56 -0.32 -0.29Africa 1.29 -0.01 -0.66 -0.53 -0.31 -0.28

Eastern Africa 1.44 0.12 -0.64 -0.54 -0.31 -0.28

Middle Africa 1.79 0.16 -0.71 -0.58 -0.32 -0.28

Northern Africa 0.74 -0.64 -0.76 -0.43 -0.30 -0.31

Southern Africa -0.67 -0.76 -0.57 -0.30 -0.26 -0.28

Western Africa 1.51 0.09 -0.63 -0.54 -0.31 -0.28

Asia 0.30 -0.80 -0.74 -0.43 -0.33 -0.34

Eastern Asia -0.26 -1.18 -0.64 -0.34 -0.34 -0.35

South-central Asia 0.61 -0.69 -0.83 -0.48 -0.33 -0.34

South-eastern Asia 0.35 -0.85 -0.71 -0.37 -0.31 -0.32

Western Asia 1.12 -0.19 -0.67 -0.50 -0.33 -0.32

Europe -0.51 -0.89 -0.38 -0.26 -0.27 -0.28

Eastern Europe -0.85 -1.11 -0.40 -0.28 -0.30 -0.31

Northern Europe -0.11 -0.60 -0.34 -0.24 -0.25 -0.26

Southern Europe -0.52 -1.09 -0.46 -0.27 -0.28 -0.28

Western Europe -0.23 -0.67 -0.34 -0.23 -0.25 -0.25

Latin America and the Caribbean 0.36 -0.85 -0.78 -0.41 -0.31 -0.32

Caribbean -0.04 -0.91 -0.77 -0.43 -0.32 -0.31

Central America 0.47 -0.82 -0.79 -0.43 -0.32 -0.33

South America 0.36 -0.86 -0.78 -0.40 -0.31 -0.32

Northern America 0.43 -0.41 -0.38 -0.28 -0.30 -0.31

Oceania 0.51 -0.49 -0.48 -0.31 -0.26 -0.26

Australia/New Zealand 0.33 -0.56 -0.38 -0.24 -0.25 -0.26

Melanesia 1.00 -0.36 -0.74 -0.53 -0.33 -0.33

Micronesia 0.75 -0.11 -0.19 -0.06 -0.01 -0.01

Polynesia 0.40 -0.40 -0.45 -0.23 -0.13 -0.12



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Table A.10. Average annual growth rate by major area or region, constant-fertility scenario, 2000 to 2300 (percentage)


WORLD 1.48 2.46 3.45 3.97 4.24 4.40

More developed regions -0.01 -0.46 -0.36 -0.22 -0.13 -0.07

Less developed regions 1.73 2.61 3.48 3.97 4.24 4.40

Least developed countries 3.02 3.77 4.12 4.32 4.44 4.53

Africa 2.83 3.69 4.08 4.27 4.40 4.50

Eastern Africa 3.04 3.88 4.13 4.25 4.33 4.40

Middle Africa 3.27 4.11 4.36 4.46 4.51 4.53

Northern Africa 1.99 2.05 2.29 2.49 2.66 2.78

Southern Africa 0.66 1.55 2.01 2.40 2.73 2.95

Western Africa 3.18 3.83 4.10 4.27 4.43 4.58

Asia 1.38 1.99 2.76 3.30 3.68 3.94

Eastern Asia 0.10 -0.53 -0.48 -0.46 -0.41 -0.33

South-central Asia 2.01 2.38 2.76 3.11 3.43 3.67

South-eastern Asia 1.43 1.51 1.95 2.42 2.81 3.06

Western Asia 2.43 3.05 3.65 3.99 4.17 4.27

Europe -0.40 -0.98 -0.94 -0.79 -0.62 -0.44

Eastern Europe -0.76 -1.48 -1.54 -1.53 -1.50 -1.45

Northern Europe 0.09 -0.43 -0.53 -0.53 -0.52 -0.52

Southern Europe -0.43 -1.18 -0.99 -0.62 -0.21 0.13

Western Europe -0.12 -0.72 -0.78 -0.73 -0.67 -0.62

Latin America and the Caribbean 1.37 1.42 1.84 2.28 2.62 2.84

Caribbean 0.92 1.43 1.98 2.26 2.42 2.50

Central America 1.71 1.89 2.34 2.70 2.92 3.03

South America 1.27 1.14 1.36 1.64 1.92 2.17


Oceania 1.26 1.65 2.44 2.76 2.84 2.86

Australia/New Zealand 0.57 -0.21 -0.34 -0.34 -0.34 -0.34Melanesia 2.55 2.76 2.83 2.86 2.87 2.87

Micronesia 1.96 1.32 1.74 2.06 2.23 2.33

Polynesia 1.66 1.85 2.24 2.47 2.58 2.63



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2000-2005 2045-2050 2295-2300

WORLD 76,610 28,866 4,028 2000-2005 76,610 2110-2115 -13,765

More developed regions 2,989 -1,732 605 2000-2005 2,989 2050-2055 -3,289

Less developed regions 73,620 30,598 3,423 2000-2005 73,620 2110-2115 - 13,983

Least developed countries 17,111 19,898 844 2030-2035 21,664 2130-2135 -4,945

Africa 18,459 18,978 942 2030-2035 21,235 2130-2135 -4,799

Eastern Africa 5,951 7,430 333 2030-2035 7,773 2130-2135 -1,705

Middle Africa 2,656 3,575 159 2030-2035 3,877 2130-2135 -942

Northern Africa 3,376 1,447 134 2005-2010 3,462 2105-2110 -735

Southern Africa 318 -69 23 2000-2005 318 2025-2030 -170

Western Africa 6,158 6,595 293 2030-2035 7,319 2130-2135 -1,649

Asia 47,554 9,349 2,174 2000-2005 47,554 2100-2105 -10,577

Eastern Asia 10,091 -6,065 800 2000-2005 10,091 2055-2060 -6,636South-central Asia 25,705 10,447 889 2005-2010 25,793 2105-2110 -6,859

South-eastern Asia 7,560 1,596 310 2000-2005 7,560 2090-2095 -1,559

Western Asia 4,198 3,372 175 2010-2015 4,474 2125-2130 -845

Europe -653 -2,938 329 2150-2155 500 2050-2055 -3,297

Eastern Europe -1,443 -1,856 89 2150-2155 170 2045-2050 -1,856

Northern Europe 222 -20 57 2000-2005 222 2050-2055 -135

Southern Europe 121 -759 64 2000-2005 121 2055-2060 -903

Western Europe 448 -304 119 2000-2005 448 2050-2055 -576

Latin America and the Caribbean 7,610 1,546 357 2000-2005 7,610 2095-2100 -1,770

Caribbean 336 -46 22 2000-2005 336 2100-2105 -102

Central America 2,334 492 85 2000-2005 2,334 2095-2100 -543

South America 4,940 1,100 250 2000-2005 4,940 2090-2095 -1,140

Northern America 3,248 1,754 201 2000-2005 3,248 2105-2110 153

Oceania 391 177 26 2000-2005 391 2115-2120 -40

Australia/New Zealand 217 72 19 2000-2005 217 2060-2065 -31

Melanesia 156 99 6 2020-2025 157 2120-2125 -38

Micronesia 9 4 1 2000-2005 9 2110-2115 -1

Polynesia 8 2 0 2005-2010 8 2120-2125 -1


Period in which

the minimum is

reached

Minimum

increment

Table A.11. Average annual population increment (or decrement) by major area or region, 2000-2005, 2045-2050, 2295-

2300, maximum and minimum increments and periods in which they are reached, medium scenario

Major area or regionAnnual increment (thousands) Period in which

the maximum is

reached

Maximum

increment


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2000-2005 2045-2050 2295-2300

WORLD 76,610 28,866 0 2000-2005 76,610 2110-2115 -13,865

More developed regions 2,989 -1,732 0 2000-2005 2,989 2050-2055 -3,289

Less developed regions 73,620 30,598 0 2000-2005 73,620 2110-2115 -13,962

Least developed countries 17,111 19,898 0 2030-2035 21,664 2130-2135 -4,945

Africa 18,459 18,978 0 2030-2035 21,235 2130-2135 -4,783

Eastern Africa 5,951 7,430 0 2030-2035 7,773 2130-2135 -1,706

Middle Africa 2,656 3,575 0 2030-2035 3,877 2130-2135 -942

Northern Africa 3,376 1,447 0 2005-2010 3,462 2105-2110 -735

Southern Africa 318 -69 0 2000-2005 318 2025-2030 -170

Western Africa 6,158 6,595 0 2030-2035 7,319 2130-2135 -1,649

Asia 47,554 9,349 0 2000-2005 47,554 2100-2105 -10,577

Eastern Asia 10,091 -6,065 0 2000-2005 10,091 2055-2060 -6,636

South-central Asia 25,705 10,447 0 2005-2010 25,793 2105-2110 -6,859South-eastern Asia 7,560 1,596 0 2000-2005 7,560 2090-2095 -1,559

Western Asia 4,198 3,372 0 2010-2015 4,474 2130-2135 -759

Europe -653 -2,938 0 2160-2165 0 2050-2055 -3,297

Eastern Europe -1,443 -1,856 0 2135-2140 3 2045-2050 -1,856

Northern Europe 222 -20 0 2000-2005 222 2050-2055 -135

Southern Europe 121 -759 0 2000-2005 121 2055-2060 -903

Western Europe 448 -304 0 2000-2005 448 2050-2055 -576

Latin America and the Caribbean 7,610 1,546 0 2000-2005 7,610 2095-2100 -1,771

Caribbean 336 -46 0 2000-2005 336 2100-2105 -102

Central America 2,334 492 0 2000-2005 2,334 2095-2100 -543

South America 4,940 1,100 0 2000-2005 4,940 2090-2095 -1,140

Northern America 3,248 1,754 0 2000-2005 3,248 2285-2290 0

Oceania 391 177 0 2000-2005 391 2120-2125 -41

Australia/New Zealand 217 72 0 2000-2005 217 2060-2065 -31

Melanesia 156 99 0 2020-2025 157 2120-2125 -38

Micronesia 9 4 0 2000-2005 9 2110-2115 -1

Polynesia 8 2 0 2005-2010 8 2120-2125 -2



2300, maximum and minimum increments and periods in which they are reached, zero-growth scenario


the maximum is

reached

Maximum

increment

Period in which

the minimum is

reached

Minimum

increment


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2000-2005 2045-2050 2295-2300WORLD 86,207 88,032 192,488 2295-2300 192,488 2115-2120 50,378

More developed regions 3,620 4,008 23,087 2295-2300 23,087 2050-2055 2,622

Less developed regions 82,587 84,024 169,401 2295-2300 169,401 2115-2120 40,736

Least developed countries 18,215 31,189 40,367 2295-2300 40,367 2130-2135 6,862

Africa 19,793 31,110 43,755 2295-2300 43,755 2130-2135 7,765

Eastern Africa 6,334 11,545 15,899 2295-2300 15,899 2130-2135 2,751

Middle Africa 2,814 5,344 6,720 2295-2300 6,720 2130-2135 884

Northern Africa 3,698 3,579 6,218 2295-2300 6,218 2110-2115 1,294

Southern Africa 420 270 1,276 2295-2300 1,276 2010-2015 66

Western Africa 6,527 10,373 13,642 2295-2300 13,642 2130-2135 2,196

Asia 54,317 45,571 110,174 2295-2300 110,174 2105-2110 26,500

Eastern Asia 12,721 4,203 30,607 2295-2300 30,607 2055-2060 4,197

South-central Asia 28,459 28,195 54,441 2295-2300 54,441 2110-2115 10,045South-eastern Asia 8,580 7,126 16,559 2295-2300 16,559 2095-2100 4,029

Western Asia 4,557 6,047 8,567 2295-2300 8,567 2125-2130 1,980

Europe -320 -193 10,894 2295-2300 10,894 2020-2025 -742

Eastern Europe -1,342 -942 3,938 2295-2300 3,938 2000-2005 -1,342

Northern Europe 283 451 1,831 2295-2300 1,831 2000-2005 283

Southern Europe 196 -230 1,814 2295-2300 1,814 2050-2055 -341

Western Europe 543 530 3,311 2295-2300 3,311 2050-2055 287

Latin America and the Caribbean 8,526 6,878 16,794 2295-2300 16,794 2100-2105 3,787

Caribbean 398 274 930 2295-2300 930 2110-2115 216

Central America 2,621 2,044 4,539 2295-2300 4,539 2100-2105 985

South America 5,507 4,559 11,326 2295-2300 11,326 2095-2100 2,565

Northern America 3,475 4,239 10,028 2295-2300 10,028 2050-2055 3,131

Oceania 416 426 843 2295-2300 843 2115-2120 287

Australia/New Zealand 228 209 554 2295-2300 554 2055-2060 129

Melanesia 170 198 267 2295-2300 267 2125-2130 46

Micronesia 10 10 8 2025-2030 11 2115-2120 2

Polynesia 9 9 15 2295-2300 15 2125-2130 3


Table A.13 . Average annual population increment (or decrement) by major area or region, 2000-2005, 2045-2050, 2295-

2300, maximum and minimum increments and periods in which they are reached, high scenario

Major area or region Annual increment (thousands)

Period in which

the maximum is

reached

Maximum

increment

Period in which

the minimum is

reached

Minimum

increment


14/31

2000-2005 2045-2050 2295-2300

WORLD 66,614 -16,724 -7,434 2000-2005 66,614 2080-2085 -45,483

More developed regions 2,307 -6,393 -1,236 2000-2005 2,307 2050-2055 -7,710

Less developed regions 64,308 -10,331 -6,198 2000-2005 64,308 2085-2090 -39,742

Least developed countries 15,930 10,580 -1,753 2020-2025 16,779 2120-2125 -8,964

Africa 17,043 9,031 -1,801 2000-2005 17,043 2120-2125 -9,126

Eastern Africa 5,525 3,990 -655 2015-2020 6,002 2125-2130 -3,279

Middle Africa 2,498 2,089 -277 2020-2025 3,038 2120-2125 -1,608

Northern Africa 3,035 -200 -236 2000-2005 3,035 2085-2090 -1,787

Southern Africa 218 -305 -35 2000-2005 218 2025-2030 -405

Western Africa 5,767 3,458 -598 2000-2005 5,767 2125-2130 -2,947

Asia 40,685 -17,775 -3,944 2000-2005 40,685 2080-2085 -31,907

Eastern Asia 7,459 -13,508 -1,135 2000-2005 7,459 2055-2060 -14,171

South-central Asia 22,898 -2,949 -1,840 2000-2005 22,898 2085-2090 -15,069South-eastern Asia 6,497 -2,549 -571 2000-2005 6,497 2075-2080 -4,923

Western Asia 3,831 1,232 -398 2000-2005 3,831 2110-2115 -1,896

Europe -1,038 -5,183 -570 2295-2300 -570 2050-2055 -5,419

Eastern Europe -1,547 -2,599 -190 2295-2300 -190 2045-2050 -2,599

Northern Europe 163 -405 -103 2000-2005 163 2075-2080 -513

Southern Europe 42 -1,180 -99 2000-2005 42 2050-2055 -1,312

Western Europe 303 -999 -178 2000-2005 303 2050-2055 -1,228

Latin America and the Caribbean 6,535 -2,536 -537 2000-2005 6,535 2080-2085 -5,054

Caribbean 265 -286 -29 2000-2005 265 2075-2080 -296

Central America 2,044 -658 -149 2000-2005 2,044 2080-2085 -1,402

South America 4,227 -1,593 -359 2000-2005 4,227 2080-2085 -3,362

Northern America 3,022 -238 -539 2000-2005 3,022 2080-2085 -1,692

Oceania 367 -23 -43 2000-2005 367 2080-2085 -211

Australia/New Zealand 209 -41 -30 2000-2005 209 2080-2085 -146

Melanesia 143 21 -13 2000-2005 143 2100-2105 -71

Micronesia 8 0 0 2000-2005 8 2090-2095 -2

Polynesia 7 -3 0 2000-2005 7 2085-2090 -4


Period in which

the minimum is

reached

Minimum

increment


2300, maximum and minimum increments and periods in which they are reached, low scenario


the maximum is

reached

Maximum

increment


15/31

2000-2005 2045-2050 2295-2300

WORLD 85,529 213,956 5,340,051,918 2295-2300 5,340,051,918 2000-2005

More developed regions 3,196 -3,225 -291 2000-2005 3,196 2060-2065

Less developed regions 82,333 217,181 5,340,052,210 2295-2300 5,340,052,210 2000-2005

Least developed countries 18,678 95,257 4,883,093,396 2295-2300 4,883,093,396 2000-2005

Africa 20,272 99,665 4,660,081,507 2295-2300 4,660,081,507 2000-2005

Eastern Africa 6,559 37,741 1,647,568,433 2295-2300 1,647,568,433 2000-2005

Middle Africa 2,722 16,518 1,141,198,930 2295-2300 1,141,198,930 2000-2005

Northern Africa 3,773 8,614 5,700,681 2295-2300 5,700,681 2000-2005

Southern Africa 437 743 662,427 2295-2300 662,427 2010-2015

Western Africa 6,781 36,049 1,864,951,036 2295-2300 1,864,951,036 2000-2005

Asia 53,583 103,704 672,344,645 2295-2300 672,344,645 2000-2005

Eastern Asia 9,963 -7,284 -1,447 2000-2005 9,963 2055-2060South-central Asia 30,228 81,669 300,687,944 2295-2300 300,687,944 2000-2005

South-eastern Asia 8,692 13,388 11,027,485 2295-2300 11,027,485 2000-2005

Western Asia 4,699 15,930 360,630,663 2295-2300 360,630,663 2000-2005

Europe -420 -4,615 -330 2295-2300 -330 2055-2060

Eastern Europe -1,187 -2,645 -73 2295-2300 -73 2045-2050

Northern Europe 259 -127 -144 2000-2005 259 2090-2095

Southern Europe 139 -1,093 69 2000-2005 139 2055-2060

Western Europe 370 -750 -182 2000-2005 370 2055-2060

Latin America and the Caribbean 8,515 12,257 6,800,129 2295-2300 6,800,129 2000-2005

Caribbean 378 551 281,540 2295-2300 281,540 2000-2005

Central America 2,677 4,883 5,661,060 2295-2300 5,661,060 2000-2005

South America 5,460 6,822 857,529 2295-2300 857,529 2000-2005

Northern America 3,152 2,206 156 2000-2005 3,152 2295-2300

Oceania 427 740 825,811 2295-2300 825,811 2000-2005

Australia/New Zealand 227 71 -47 2000-2005 227 2110-2115

Melanesia 180 621 809,698 2295-2300 809,698 2000-2005

Micronesia 10 24 3,732 2295-2300 3,732 2000-2005

Polynesia 9 24 12,429 2295-2300 12,429 2000-2005


Table A.15. Average annual population increment (or decrement) by major area or region, 2000-2005, 2045-2050,

2300, maximum and minimum increments and periods in which they are reached, constant-fertility scenario

Period in

which the

minimum is

reached


Annual increment (thousands)Period in

which the

maximum is

reached

Maximum

increment


16/31

85,529

-5,358

82,333

18,678

20,272

6,559

2,722

3,773

136

6,781

53,583

-8,11730,228

8,692

4,699

-5,272

-2,645

-424

-1,291

-1,116

8,515

378

2,677

5,460

156

427

-89

180

10

9

2295-

Minimum

increment


17/31

Major area or region2000-

2005

2045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

2200

2295-

2300WORLD 2.69 2.02 1.91 2.05 2.05

More developed regions 1.56 1.85 2.06 2.06 2.06Less developed regions 2.92 2.04 1.89 2.05 2.05

Least developed countries 5.13 2.47 1.85 2.04 2.04

Africa 4.91 2.40 1.85 2.04 2.03

Eastern Africa 5.61 2.48 1.85 2.03 2.03

Middle Africa 6.28 2.59 1.85 2.04 2.03

Northern Africa 3.21 1.90 1.86 2.05 2.05

Southern Africa 2.79 1.87 1.85 2.03 2.03

Western Africa 5.56 2.48 1.85 2.04 2.03

Asia 2.55 1.91 1.92 2.06 2.06

Eastern Asia 1.78 1.85 2.09 2.08 2.08

South-central Asia 3.25 1.91 1.86 2.05 2.05

South-eastern Asia 2.55 1.86 1.90 2.05 2.05Western Asia 3.45 2.19 1.86 2.05 2.05

Europe 1.38 1.84 2.07 2.06 2.06

Eastern Europe 1.18 1.85 2.07 2.06 2.06

Northern Europe 1.61 1.85 2.06 2.06 2.05

Southern Europe 1.32 1.85 2.07 2.07 2.07

Western Europe 1.58 1.85 2.06 2.06 2.06

Latin America and the Caribbean 2.53 1.86 1.89 2.05 2.05

Caribbean 2.39 1.90 1.92 2.07 2.06

Central America 2.76 1.88 1.85 2.05 2.05

South America 2.45 1.85 1.90 2.05 2.05

Northern America 2.05 1.85 2.06 2.05 2.05

Oceania 2.34 1.92 1.97 2.06 2.06

Australia/New Zealand 1.75 1.85 2.06 2.06 2.05

Melanesia 3.91 2.01 1.85 2.06 2.06

Micronesia 3.40 1.91 1.96 2.06 2.06

Polynesia 3.16 1.95 1.89 2.06 2.05


Table A.16. Total fertility by major area and region, medium scenario, 2000-2005, 2045-

2050, 2095-2100, 2195-2200 and 2295-2300 (children per woman)


18/31


2005

2045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

2200

2295-

2300WORLD 2.69 2.02 1.91 2.01 2.01



Africa 4.91 2.40 1.85 1.99 1.98

Eastern Africa 5.61 2.48 1.85 1.99 1.98

Middle Africa 6.28 2.59 1.85 2.03 2.02

Northern Africa 3.21 1.90 1.86 1.98 1.98

Southern Africa 2.79 1.87 1.85 1.99 2.02

Western Africa 5.56 2.48 1.85 1.96 1.96

Asia 2.55 1.91 1.92 2.01 2.02

Eastern Asia 1.78 1.85 2.09 2.09 2.10


South-eastern Asia 2.55 1.86 1.90 1.99 2.02

Western Asia 3.45 2.19 1.86 2.02 2.03

Europe 1.38 1.84 2.08 2.06 2.06

Eastern Europe 1.18 1.85 2.07 2.05 2.04

Northern Europe 1.61 1.85 2.07 2.04 2.06

Southern Europe 1.32 1.85 2.07 2.07 2.08

Western Europe 1.58 1.85 2.10 2.07 2.08


Caribbean 2.39 1.90 1.91 2.02 2.02

Central America 2.76 1.88 1.85 1.96 1.99

South America 2.45 1.85 1.90 1.98 2.00


Oceania 2.34 1.92 2.03 2.08 2.07


Melanesia 3.91 2.01 1.85 2.05 2.03

Micronesia 3.40 1.91 1.85 1.96 1.99

Polynesia 3.16 1.95 1.85 1.99 2.00


Table A.17. Total fertility by major area and region, zero-growth scenario, 2000-2005,

2045-2050, 2095-2100, 2195-2200 and 2295-2300 (children per woman)


19/31

Major area or region 2000-20052045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

22002295-2300

WORLD 2.90 2.50 2.17 2.35 2.35

More developed regions 1.64 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35

Less developed regions 3.16 2.52 2.15 2.35 2.35

Least developed countries 5.36 2.95 2.10 2.35 2.35Africa 5.14 2.88 2.10 2.35 2.35

Eastern Africa 5.84 2.97 2.10 2.35 2.35

Middle Africa 6.53 3.09 2.10 2.35 2.35

Northern Africa 3.45 2.40 2.11 2.35 2.35

Southern Africa 3.04 2.37 2.10 2.35 2.35

Western Africa 5.79 2.97 2.10 2.35 2.35

Asia 2.79 2.41 2.18 2.35 2.35

Eastern Asia 2.01 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35



Western Asia 3.69 2.67 2.12 2.35 2.35

Europe 1.45 2.34 2.35 2.35 2.35

Eastern Europe 1.22 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35Northern Europe 1.71 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35

Southern Europe 1.39 2.35 2.34 2.35 2.35

Western Europe 1.67 2.35 2.35 2.35 2.35


Caribbean 2.60 2.40 2.19 2.35 2.35

Central America 3.01 2.37 2.10 2.35 2.35

South America 2.65 2.36 2.15 2.35 2.35


Oceania 2.45 2.42 2.25 2.35 2.35


Melanesia 4.16 2.50 2.10 2.35 2.35

Micronesia 3.65 2.41 2.08 2.24 2.27

Polynesia 3.37 2.45 2.09 2.32 2.33


Table A.18. Total fertility by major area and region, high scenario, 2000-2005, 2045-



20/31


2005

2045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

2200

2295-

2300WORLD 2.48 1.54 1.67 1.85 1.85



Eastern Africa 5.36 1.99 1.60 1.85 1.85

Middle Africa 6.03 2.10 1.60 1.85 1.85

Northern Africa 2.96 1.40 1.61 1.85 1.85

Southern Africa 2.54 1.37 1.60 1.85 1.85

Western Africa 5.31 2.00 1.60 1.85 1.85

Asia 2.31 1.42 1.67 1.85 1.85

Eastern Asia 1.54 1.35 1.85 1.85 1.85



Western Asia 3.20 1.72 1.61 1.85 1.85

Europe 1.30 1.34 1.85 1.85 1.85Eastern Europe 1.13 1.35 1.85 1.85 1.85

Northern Europe 1.52 1.35 1.85 1.85 1.85

Southern Europe 1.24 1.35 1.84 1.85 1.85

Western Europe 1.46 1.35 1.85 1.85 1.85


Caribbean 2.16 1.40 1.68 1.86 1.86

Central America 2.51 1.38 1.60 1.85 1.85

South America 2.20 1.35 1.65 1.85 1.85


Oceania 2.23 1.41 1.76 1.86 1.86


Melanesia 3.66 1.51 1.60 1.85 1.85

Micronesia 3.16 1.41 1.89 2.01 2.02

Polynesia 2.92 1.45 1.72 1.93 1.95


Table A.19 . Total fertility by major area and region, low scenario, 2000-2005, 2045-



21/31


2005

2045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

2200

2295-

2300WORLD 2.89 3.83 5.03 6.40 6.91



Eastern Africa 5.99 6.21 6.40 6.66 6.84

Middle Africa 6.39 6.50 6.61 6.74 6.82

Northern Africa 3.52 3.67 3.90 4.37 4.68

Southern Africa 3.10 3.21 3.47 4.35 4.90

Western Africa 5.97 6.09 6.28 6.75 7.23

Asia 2.76 3.41 4.21 5.62 6.49

Eastern Asia 1.76 1.77 1.79 1.84 1.98



Western Asia 3.80 4.69 5.63 6.73 7.10

Europe 1.43 1.45 1.53 1.70 1.91Eastern Europe 1.29 1.30 1.32 1.36 1.40

Northern Europe 1.68 1.70 1.71 1.73 1.75

Southern Europe 1.34 1.40 1.53 1.97 2.28

Western Europe 1.53 1.53 1.58 1.65 1.70


Caribbean 2.54 3.13 3.63 4.16 4.32

Central America 3.06 3.33 3.77 4.50 4.75

South America 2.63 2.74 2.91 3.44 3.92


Oceania 2.50 3.12 4.03 4.59 4.65


Melanesia 4.39 4.51 4.57 4.63 4.66

Micronesia 3.78 3.75 3.29 3.89 4.11

Polynesia 3.45 3.65 3.85 4.34 4.45


Table A.20. Total fertility by major area and region, constant-fertility scenario, 2000-

2005, 2045-2050, 2095-2100, 2195-2200 and 2295-2300 (children per woman)


22/31

Major area or region 1995-2000

WORLD 2.83

More developed regions 1.58

Less developed regions 3.11Least developed countries 5.46

Africa 5.22

Eastern Africa 5.98

Middle Africa 6.38

Northern Africa 3.52

Southern Africa 3.10

Western Africa 5.97

Asia 2.72

Eastern Asia 1.76

South-central Asia 3.65

South-eastern Asia 2.81

Western Asia 3.73

Europe 1.42

Eastern Europe 1.29Northern Europe 1.67

Southern Europe 1.32

Western Europe 1.52

Latin America and the Caribbean 2.72

Caribbean 2.50

Central America 3.04

South America 2.62

Northern America 2.01

Oceania 2.45

Australia/New Zealand 1.81

Melanesia 4.38

Micronesia 3.77

Polynesia 3.45


Table A.21. Total fertility by major area and region, 1995-2000

(children per woman)


23/31


2000

2045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

2200

2295-

2300WORLD 62 72 81 90 95

More developed regions 71 79 85 94 100Less developed regions 61 71 80 89 95

Least developed countries 48 65 77 87 92

Africa 48 64 77 87 92

Eastern Africa 43 62 76 88 93

Middle Africa 40 60 74 86 91

Northern Africa 63 74 81 89 95

Southern Africa 53 55 74 89 95

Western Africa 49 64 77 87 92

Asia 64 74 81 90 96

Eastern Asia 69 75 82 92 99

South-central Asia 61 72 81 90 94

South-eastern Asia 63 74 82 90 95

Western Asia 66 76 82 89 94

Europe 69 78 84 93 100

Eastern Europe 63 73 81 90 96

Northern Europe 74 80 86 94 100

Southern Europe 74 79 84 93 100

Western Europe 74 81 86 95 103

Latin America and the Caribbean 66 75 82 91 97

Caribbean 64 73 80 89 95

Central America 69 76 83 91 97

South America 65 75 82 91 97

Northern America 74 79 86 94 99

Oceania 71 78 84 93 99Australia/New Zealand 76 81 85 93 100

Melanesia 57 73 81 91 96

Micronesia 69 77 84 92 99

Polynesia 67 76 83 91 97


Table A.22. Male life expectancy at birth by major area or region, 1995-2000, 2045-

2050, 2095-2100, 2195-2200, 2295-2300


24/31


2000

2045-

2050

2095-

2100

2195-

2200

2295-

2300WORLD 67 77 84 92 97

More developed regions 79 85 90 98 103

Less developed regions 64 75 83 92 96


Africa 52 66 78 89 93






Asia 67 79 85 93 97

Eastern Asia 73 81 87 96 101


South-eastern Asia 68 79 85 93 97Western Asia 70 80 85 91 96

Europe 77 84 89 97 102






Caribbean 69 77 83 92 97




Oceania 76 83 88 96 102

Australia/New Zealand 81 86 90 98 104

Melanesia 60 76 85 93 98

Micronesia 73 82 88 96 101

Polynesia 72 81 87 95 100


Table A.23. Female life expectancy at birth by major area or region, 1995-2000, 2045-

2050, 2095-2100, 2195-2200, 2295-2300


25/31

Major area or region 2000 2050 2100 2200 2300

WORLD 26 37 44 45 48




Africa 18 27 41 44 46






Asia 26 39 45 46 48





Europe 38 48 44 47 50






Caribbean 27 40 45 45 48




Oceania 31 40 45 47 50


Melanesia 20 34 45 46 48


Polynesia 22 37 45 46 49


Table A.24. Median age by major area or region, medium scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


26/31


WORLD 26 37 44 46 48




Africa 18 27 41 44 46






Asia 26 39 45 46 49





Europe 38 48 44 48 51Eastern Europe 37 49 43 46 49





Caribbean 27 40 45 46 49




Oceania 31 40 45 47 50


Melanesia 20 34 45 46 48Micronesia 22 36 45 47 50

Polynesia 22 37 45 47 49


Table A.25. Median age by major area or region, zero-growth scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


27/31


WORLD 26 32 39 40 42



Least developed countries 18 25 37 39 40Africa 18 25 37 39 41






Asia 26 34 40 40 42





Europe 38 43 39 42 44


Northern Europe 38 40 40 43 45Southern Europe 38 46 40 42 45



Caribbean 27 34 40 40 42




Oceania 31 36 40 42 44


Melanesia 20 30 40 41 43


Polynesia 22 32 41 42 44


Table A.26. Median age by major area or region, high scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


28/31


WORLD 26 42 50 50 52



Least developed countries 18 30 45 48 50Africa 18 31 45 48 50






Asia 26 45 52 50 53





Europe 38 52 50 51 55


Northern Europe 38 49 49 51 55Southern Europe 38 55 51 51 55



Caribbean 27 47 52 50 52




Oceania 31 45 50 51 54


Melanesia 20 38 50 50 53


Polynesia 22 43 49 49 52


Table A.27. Median age by major area or region, low scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


29/31


WORLD 26 26 20 15 14


Less developed regions 24 25 20 15 14Least developed countries 18 17 15 14 14Africa 18 17 16 14 14






Asia 26 28 24 18 16





Europe 38 50 54 57 56






Caribbean 27 31 27 24 24




Oceania 31 32 26 22 22


Melanesia 20 21 21 22 22


Polynesia 22 26 26 24 23


Table A.28. Median age by major area or region, constant-fertility scenario, 2000,

2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


30/31


WORLD 0.67 0.71 0.88 1.03 1.13


Less developed regions 0.69 0.68 0.87 1.01 1.12


Africa 0.91 0.61 0.75 0.97 1.06

Eastern Africa 1.00 0.60 0.74 0.97 1.06

Middle Africa 1.03 0.61 0.71 0.95 1.04

Northern Africa 0.73 0.65 0.89 1.01 1.12

Southern Africa 0.69 0.56 0.79 1.00 1.12

Western Africa 0.99 0.61 0.74 0.95 1.04

Asia 0.64 0.71 0.91 1.03 1.14

Eastern Asia 0.54 0.88 0.99 1.08 1.21



Western Asia 0.74 0.66 0.84 1.01 1.10

Europe 0.61 0.99 0.98 1.10 1.24

Eastern Europe 0.58 1.03 0.91 1.03 1.15

Northern Europe 0.65 0.87 1.00 1.12 1.26

Southern Europe 0.60 1.10 1.01 1.10 1.24

Western Europe 0.63 0.96 1.02 1.16 1.31


Caribbean 0.66 0.78 0.94 1.03 1.15

Central America 0.73 0.71 0.96 1.06 1.17

South America 0.64 0.73 0.96 1.06 1.18


Oceania 0.64 0.75 0.96 1.09 1.22


Melanesia 0.81 0.56 0.87 1.04 1.15Micronesia 0.76 0.64 0.94 1.08 1.21

Polynesia 0.74 0.67 0.93 1.06 1.18


Table A.29. Number of children or elderly per person of working age, medium

scenario, 2000, 2050, 2100, 2200 and 2300


31/31


WORLD 10.0 21.4 30.4 34.2 37.5


Less developed regions 7.7 19.7 30.0 33.7 37.0Least developed countries 4.8 9.7 25.2 31.9 34.7

Africa 5.0 10.1 25.6 32.2 35.3

Eastern Africa 4.4 7.8 24.7 32.3 35.3

Middle Africa 4.7 6.6 23.9 31.4 34.5

Northern Africa 6.4 19.5 31.2 33.5 37.0

Southern Africa 5.8 12.8 26.3 33.1 37.2

Western Africa 4.6 9.0 24.9 31.7 34.7

Asia 8.8 22.8 31.7 34.2 37.7

Eastern Asia 11.3 31.0 33.1 35.7 39.8



Western Asia 6.7 17.0 29.3 33.8 36.5

Europe 20.2 35.1 32.5 36.5 40.4

Eastern Europe 18.6 36.4 30.1 34.5 38.0

Northern Europe 20.4 30.6 33.0 37.1 40.9

Southern Europe 21.7 38.5 33.8 36.6 40.6

Western Europe 21.6 33.5 33.9 38.2 42.3


Caribbean 10.1 25.4 32.4 34.1 37.8

Central America 6.7 23.4 33.9 35.2 38.4

South America 8.3 24.1 33.4 35.0 38.8


Oceania 13.3 24.7 32.6 36.2 39.9

Australia/New Zealand 16.3 29.8 33.7 36.9 40.9Melanesia 4.4 14.3 30.7 34.6 37.9

Micronesia 6.9 18.7 32.1 35.9 39.7

Polynesia 7.0 20.4 32.2 35.3 38.8


Table A.30. Proportion of persons aged 60 or over, medium scenario, 2000, 2050,

2100, 2200 and 2300 (percentage)

population scenarios 2000-2300 by regions

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