population change in the united states: implications for refuge, recreational and socioeconomic...

Population Change in the United States:

Implications for Refuge, Recreational and Socioeconomic

Development

Steve H. Murdock, Ph.D.Director, Hobby Center for the Study of Texas

andAllyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology

Rice University

U. S. Fish and Wildlife ServiceUrban Academy

Morgantown, West VirginiaSeptember 23, 2013

Total Population and Percent Population Changein Texas and the United States, 1850-2010

Total Population Percent Change

Year Texas U.S. Texas U.S.1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.61870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.61880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.01890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.51900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.71910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.01920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.91930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.11940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.21950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.51960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.01970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.41980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.41990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.82000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.22010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7

Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Th

ou

san

ds

Robert Warren Pew Homeland Security

Estimates of the Unauthorized Population in the United States, 2000-2010

Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010

Population Numeric Percent

United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6

Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0

Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1

Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9

Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010

Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010


United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1

Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6

Utah 2,233,169 2,763,885 530,716 23.8

Idaho 1,293,953 1,567,582 273,629 21.1

Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6

North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5

Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3

Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6

Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9

South Carolina 4,012,012 4,625,364 613,352 15.3

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Percentage Population Increase 2000-2010


PlacePopulation Change

2000 2010 Number Percent

New York , NY 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1Los Angeles , CA 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6Chicago , IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9Houston , TX 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5Philadelphia , PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6Phoenix , AZ 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4San Antonio , TX 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0San Diego , CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9Dallas , TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8

San Jose , CA 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7

Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Population 2000 and 2010 and Population Change 2000-2010 for the Ten Most Populous Incorporated Places in the United States

Change 2000-2010

State2000

Population2010


United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7

Northeast 53,594,378 55,317,240 1,722,862 3.2

Midwest 64,392,776 66,927,001 2,534,225 3.9

South 100,236,820 114,555,744 14,318,924 14.3

West 63,197,932 71,945,553 8,747,621 13.8

Population Change by Region, 2000-2010


Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University

Regional Population Change as a Proportion of U.S. Population Change, 2000-2010

Annual Estimates and Annualized Rates of Change for the Population of the United States and Regions: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2012

Population values as of April 1, 2010 and July 1, 2012.Source: U.S. Census Bureau

27-month Change Annualized Change

2010 - 2012 2010 - 2012

2010 2012 Region Population Population Numeric Percent Numeric Percent

United States 308,745,538 313,914,040 5,168,502 1.7 4,594,224 1.5

Northeast 55,317,240 55,761,091 443,851 0.8 394,534 0.7

Midwest 66,927,001 67,316,297 389,296 0.6 346,041 0.5

South 114,555,744 117,257,221 2,701,477 2.4 2,401,313 2.1

West 71,945,553 73,579,431 1,633,878 2.3 1,452,336 2.0

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Numeric Population Increase 2010-2012


27-month Change Annualized Change2010 - 2012 2010 - 2012

2010 2012

State Population Population Numeric Percent Numeric Percent

United States 308,745,538 313,914,040 5,168,502 1.7 4,594,224 1.5

Texas 25,145,561 26,059,203 913,642 3.6 812,126 3.2

California 37,253,956 38,041,430 787,474 2.1 699,977 1.9

Florida 18,801,310 19,317,568 516,258 2.7 458,896 2.4

Georgia 9,687,653 9,919,945 232,292 2.4 206,482 2.1

North Carolina 9,535,483 9,752,073 216,590 2.3 192,524 2.0

New York 19,378,102 19,570,261 192,159 1.0 170,808 0.9

Virginia 8,001,024 8,185,867 184,843 2.3 164,305 2.1

Washington 6,724,540 6,897,012 172,472 2.6 153,308 2.3

Arizona 6,392,017 6,553,255 161,238 2.5 143,323 2.2

Colorado 5,029,196 5,187,582 158,386 3.1 140,788 2.8

Ten States in the United States with theLargest Percentage Population Increase 2010-2012


27-month Change Annualized Change2010 - 2012 2010 - 2012

2010 2012

State Population Population Numeric Percent Numeric Percent

United States 308,745,538 313,914,040 5,168,502 1.7 4,594,224 1.5

North Dakota 672,591 699,628 27,037 4.0 24,033 3.6

Texas 25,145,561 26,059,203 913,642 3.6 812,126 3.2

Utah 2,763,885 2,855,287 91,402 3.3 81,246 2.9

Colorado 5,029,196 5,187,582 158,386 3.1 140,788 2.8

Alaska 710,231 731,449 21,218 3.0 18,860 2.7

Florida 18,801,310 19,317,568 516,258 2.7 458,896 2.4

Washington 6,724,540 6,897,012 172,472 2.6 153,308 2.3

Arizona 6,392,017 6,553,255 161,238 2.5 143,323 2.2

Georgia 9,687,653 9,919,945 232,292 2.4 206,482 2.1

South Dakota 814,180 833,354 19,174 2.4 17,044 2.1

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change Percent of Total Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of Total Change 2000 2010

NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7

Hispanic (All Races) 35,305,818 50,477,594 15,171,776 43.0 55.5 12.5 16.3

NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2

NH Asian 10,123,169 14,465,124 4,341,955 42.9 15.9 3.6 4.7

NH Other 7,492,308 9,299,420 1,807,112 24.1 6.6 2.7 3.0

Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 100.0 100.0

*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.

Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.

Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu

Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under 18 Years by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010



NH White 44,027,087 39,716,562 -4,310,525 -9.8 -228.4 60.9 53.5


NH Black 10,610,264 10,362,183 -248,081 -2.3 -13.1 14.7 14.0

NH Asian 2,420,274 3,176,129 755,855 31.2 40.0 3.3 4.3

NH Other 2,893,928 3,795,702 901,774 31.2 47.8 4.0 5.1

Total 72,293,812 74,181,467 1,887,655 2.6 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Northeast Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 39,327,262 38,008,094 -1,319,168 -3.4 -76.6 73.4 68.7


NH Black 5,784,768 6,049,443 264,675 4.6 15.4 10.8 10.9

NH Asian 2,102,977 3,033,441 930,464 44.2 54.0 3.9 5.5

NH Other 1,125,284 1,234,293 109,009 9.7 6.3 2.1 2.2

Total 53,594,378 55,317,240 1,722,862 3.2 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Northeast Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 8,697,548 7,469,614 -1,227,934 -14.1 171.8 66.7 60.6

Hispanic (All Races) 1,702,090 2,133,781 431,691 25.4 -60.4 13.0 17.3

NH Black 1,740,364 1,563,301 -177,063 -10.2 24.8 13.3 12.7

NH Asian 507,100 673,096 165,996 32.7 -23.2 3.9 5.5

NH Other 400,681 493,400 92,719 23.1 -13.0 3.1 4.0

Total 13,047,783 12,333,192 -714,591 -5.5 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Midwest Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 52,386,131 52,096,633 -289,498 -0.6 -11.4 81.4 77.8


NH Black 6,437,060 6,843,367 406,307 6.3 16.0 10.0 10.2

NH Asian 1,187,645 1,713,429 525,784 44.3 20.7 1.8 2.6

NH Other 1,257,408 1,611,894 354,486 28.2 14.0 2.0 2.4

Total 64,392,776 66,927,001 2,534,225 3.9 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Midwest Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 12,525,389 11,172,169 -1,353,220 -10.8 260.5 75.2 69.3

Hispanic (All Races) 1,157,274 1,772,526 615,252 53.2 -118.4 7.0 11.0

NH Black 2,097,634 1,989,272 -108,362 -5.2 20.9 12.6 12.3

NH Asian 322,798 433,818 111,020 34.4 -21.4 1.9 2.7

NH Other 544,571 760,323 215,752 39.6 -41.5 3.3 4.7

Total 16,647,666 16,128,108 -519,558 -3.1 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for South Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 65,927,794 68,706,462 2,778,668 4.2 19.4 65.8 60.0


NH Black 18,766,614 21,578,475 2,811,861 15.0 19.6 18.7 18.8

NH Asian 1,900,258 3,170,814 1,270,556 66.9 8.9 1.9 2.8

NH Other 2,055,458 2,872,485 817,027 39.7 5.7 2.1 2.5

Total 100,236,820 114,555,744 14,318,924 14.3 100.0 100.0 100.0


Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Areas Defined by Office of Management and Budget, 2008.


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for South Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 14,645,128 13,795,299 -849,829 -5.8 -38.2 57.3 49.6


NH Black 5,880,858 6,001,210 120,352 2.0 5.4 23.0 21.6

NH Asian 463,792 750,996 287,204 61.9 12.9 1.8 2.7

NH Other 772,679 1,201,199 428,520 55.5 19.3 3.0 4.3

Total 25,566,903 27,788,757 2,221,854 8.7 100.0 100.0 100.0


Source: U.S. Census 2000 and 2010, P.L. 94-171.Metropolitan Areas Defined by Office of Management and Budget, 2008.


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for West Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 36,911,587 38,006,363 1,094,776 3.0 12.5 58.4 52.8


NH Black 2,959,395 3,214,563 255,168 8.6 2.9 4.7 4.5

NH Asian 4,932,289 6,547,440 1,615,151 32.7 18.5 7.8 9.1

NH Other 3,054,158 3,580,748 526,590 17.2 6.0 4.8 5.0

Total 63,197,932 71,945,553 8,747,621 13.8 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population Less Than Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for West Region, 2000 and 2010



NH White 8,159,022 7,279,480 -879,542 -10.8 -97.7 47.9 40.6


NH Black 891,408 808,400 -83,008 -9.3 -9.2 5.2 4.5

NH Asian 1,126,584 1,318,219 191,635 17.0 21.3 6.6 7.4

NH Other 1,175,997 1,340,780 164,783 14.0 18.3 6.9 7.5

Total 17,031,460 17,931,410 899,950 5.3 100.0 100.0 100.0





Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171


Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City

Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010

Population Population Change

Percent of Total Population

Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent Percent of

Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 139,254,963 139,518,137 263,174 0.2 1.2 65.0 59.0


NH Black 28,330,045 31,671,771 3,341,726 11.8 15.2 13.2 13.4

NH Asian 9,531,410 13,577,516 4,046,106 42.5 18.3 4.4 5.7

NH Other 5,563,357 6,855,391 1,292,034 23.2 5.9 2.6 2.9

Total 214,235,951 236,276,605 22,040,654 10.3 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010




Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 30,849,683 27,506,006 -3,343,677 -10.8 -172.4 55.9 48.2


NH Black 8,908,601 8,775,212 -133,389 -1.5 -6.9 16.2 15.4

NH Asian 2,275,874 2,973,879 698,005 30.7 36.0 4.1 5.2

NH Other 2,144,258 2,833,831 689,573 32.2 35.6 3.9 5.0

Total 55,151,139 57,090,540 1,939,401 3.5 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban





Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 15,112,253 16,655,521 1,543,268 10.2 50.1 82.4 77.7

Hispanic (All Races) 1,117,114 2,003,979 886,865 79.4 28.8 6.1 9.4

NH Black 1,505,667 1,797,953 292,286 19.4 9.5 8.2 8.4

NH Asian 240,705 420,072 179,367 74.5 5.8 1.3 2.0

NH Other 368,250 547,655 179,405 48.7 5.8 2.0 2.6

Total 18,343,989 21,425,180 3,081,191 16.8 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban Counties In the United States, 2000 and 2010




Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 3,777,831 3,750,909 -26,922 -0.7 -5.8 78.0 70.7Hispanic (All Races) 406,567 731,989 325,422 80.0 70.5 8.4 13.8NH Black 450,858 481,080 30,222 6.7 6.5 9.3 9.1NH Asian 59,990 101,098 41,108 68.5 8.9 1.2 1.9NH Other 145,255 237,254 91,999 63.3 19.9 3.0 4.5Total 4,840,501 5,302,330 461,829 9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan Counties

in the United States, 2000 and 2010




Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 40,185,558 40,643,894 458,336 1.1 20.8 82.3 79.6Hispanic (All Races) 2,632,528 3,819,825 1,187,297 45.1 53.9 5.4 7.5NH Black 4,112,125 4,216,124 103,999 2.5 4.7 8.4 8.3NH Asian 351,054 467,536 116,482 33.2 5.3 0.7 0.9NH Other 1,560,701 1,896,374 335,673 21.5 15.3 3.2 3.7Total 48,841,966 51,043,753 2,201,787 4.5 100.0 100.0 100.0




Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan





Total Chg 2000 2010

NH White 9,399,573 8,459,647 -939,926 -10.0 -183.1 76.4 71.8Hispanic (All Races) 962,969 1,397,290 434,321 45.1 84.6 7.8 11.9NH Black 1,250,805 1,105,891 -144,914 -11.6 28.2 10.2 9.4NH Asian 84,410 101,152 16,742 19.8 3.3 0.7 0.9NH Other 604,415 724,617 120,202 19.9 23.4 4.9 6.1Total 12,302,172 11,788,597 -513,575 -4.2 100.0 100.0 100.0

POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC

CONDITIONS


Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and Median Household

Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009

1999 2009

Populationin Poverty %

Median Household

Income* Population in Poverty %

Median Household

Income

Anglo 15,414,119 8.1 $58,523 19,462,966 10.0 $54,671

Hispanic 7,797,874 22.6 $43,442 11,130,896 23.5 $39,923

Black 8,146,146 24.9 $37,956 9,407,955 25.8 $33,463

Asian 1,257,237 12.6 $66,961 1,539,226 11.4 $68,780

Other 1,284,436 18.5 NA 1,327,120 18.4 NA

Total

33,899,812 12.4 $54,172 42,868,163 14.3 $50,221

*In 2009 Dollars

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009


Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Northeast Region, 1999 and 2010

1999 2006-2010

Population in Poverty

Percent in Poverty

Median Household Income*


Percent in Poverty


NH White 2,804,359 7.3 $64,029 2,995,884 8.1 $62,539

Hispanic** 1,332,537 26.1 $41,463 1,555,129 24.0 $40,042

NH Black 1,269,496 23.3 $41,899 1,257,860 21.9 $40,305

NH Asian 293,978 14.4 $68,044 373,970 13.0 $70,598

Total 5,919,007 11.4 $59,530 6,362,696 11.9 $57,570

* In 2010 Dollars

**Hispanic includes persons of all races. Not all race/ethnic groups are shown but are included in the Total.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census of Population and Housing, and 2006-2010 American Community Survey.


Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for Midwest Region, 1999 and 2010

1999 2006-2010


Percent in Poverty



Percent in Poverty


NH White 3,811,427 7.5 $58,072 5,021,570 9.9 $53,109

Hispanic** 552,472 18.2 $49,281 943,342 21.9 $41,774

NH Black 1,577,098 25.9 $38,267 1,953,362 30.2 $31,001

NH Asian 148,194 13.0 $66,631 214,353 13.2 $64,347

Total 6,360,113 10.2 $55,516 8,494,732 13.1 $50,276

* In 2010 Dollars




Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for South Region, 1999 and 2010

1999 2006-2010


Percent in Poverty



Percent in Poverty


NH White 5,856,342 9.1 $55,478 6,949,544 10.4 $53,644

Hispanic** 2,580,593 22.8 $41,679 3,926,356 23.5 $39,138

NH Black 4,536,541 25.5 $36,386 5,109,013 25.2 $34,305

NH Asian 211,203 11.5 $65,323 321,256 10.8 $65,841

Total 13,569,265 13.9 $50,772 16,790,375 15.4 $47,934

* In 2010 Dollars




Total and Percent of the Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity for West Region, 1999 and 2010

1999 2010


Percent in Poverty



Percent in Poverty


NH White 2,941,991 8.2 $63,613 3,367,839 10.4 $53,644

Hispanic** 3,332,272 22.2 $46,133 4,046,163 23.5 $39,138

NH Black 587,030 21.4 $45,822 634,576 25.2 $34,305

NH Asian 587,916 12.1 $69,955 648,983 10.8 $65,841

Total 8,051,427 13.0 $59,010 9,269,710 15.4 $47,934

* In 2010 Dollars




Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and over, United States, 2010

Race/ Ethnicity

Population Age 25 and

Older

Less than High

School

High School

Diploma

Some College or Associates

Degree

Bachelor Degree or

MoreNon-Hispanic White 141,698,750 9.3 29.2 30.1 31.4Hispanic* 27,313,996 37.8 26.5 22.7 13.0Black 23,049,274 17.9 31.8 32.4 17.9Asian 9,879,433 14.5 16.0 19.5 50.0Other 2,347,480 15.2 29.7 33.8 21.3Total 204,288,933 14.4 28.5 28.9 28.2


Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 American Community Survey


Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Northeast Region, United States

Population Age

25 and Older

Less than high school

High school diploma

Some college or associates

degree

Bachelor or more

Race/Ethnicity (%) (%) (%) (%)

Non-Hispanic White 27,172,724 8.6 31.1 24.9 35.4

Non-Hispanic Black 3,793,782 17.5 33.9 29.3 19.3

Hispanic* 3,999,473 33.4 29.4 21.9 15.4

Non-Hispanic Asian 2,058,645 17.3 16.2 13.2 53.2

Total Population 37,594,652 12.7 30.4 24.4 32.5

Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2010.

Not all race/ethnic groups are shown here but are included in the total.

*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.

Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Midwest Region, United States

Population Age

25 and Older


High school diploma


degree

Bachelor or more




Hispanic* 2,334,222 38.0 27.7 21.2 13.0






Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Southern Region, United States

Population Age

25 and Older


High school diploma


degree

Bachelor or more




Hispanic* 10,059,128 36.7 26.3 22.3 14.6






Educational Attainment for the Population Age 25 and Older by Major Race/Ethnic Groups in 2010, Western Region, United States

Population Age

25 and Older


High school diploma


degree

Bachelor or more




Hispanic* 10,921,173 40.3 25.2 23.7 10.7






PROJECTIONS


U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected for 2020 to 2060


Year

(Resident population as of July 1, Number in thousands)Non-Hispanic

Hispanic (any race)

Total White alone Black alone Asian alone

All other races

2010 196,818 37,686 14,465 9,299 50,478 308,746

2020 199,312 41,776 18,246 10,778 63,784 333,896

2030 198,818 45,452 22,044 13,502 78,655 358,471

2040 193,887 48,769 25,881 16,603 94,876 380,016

2050 186,334 51,988 29,583 20,166 111,732 399,803

2060 178,952 55,302 33,106 24,128 128,780 420,268

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census and 2012 National Projections

Numeric Change in U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and

Projected to 2060 (in millions)


Non-Hispanic White alone

Non-Hispanic Black alone

Non-Hispanic Asian alone

Non-Hispanic all other races

Hispanic (any race) Total

-17.9

17.6 18.614.8

78.3

111.5


Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: Census 2010 and Projected to 2060

Non-Hispanic Black alone

14%

Non-Hispanic Asian alone

14%

Non-Hispanic Other 11%

Hispanic 61%


Age Distribution of the U.S. Population: Census 2010 and Projected 2020 to 2060

Age Group(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Under 5 years 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.0 5.9

5 to 19 years 20.4 18.8 18.6 18.1 17.8 17.7

20 to 44 years 33.6 33.0 32.3 31.5 31.6 31.3

45 to 64 years 26.4 24.9 22.6 23.3 23.7 23.2

65 years and over 13.1 16.8 20.3 21.0 20.9 21.9


Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population : 2010


Age Group

Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1

Non-HispanicHispanic (any race)

Total White alone

Black alone

Asian alone

All other races

Total 63.8 12.2 4.7 3.0 16.3 100.0Under 5 years 50.8 13.6 4.3 6.0 25.3 100.05 to 17 years 54.5 14.1 4.3 4.8 22.3 100.018 to 24 years 57.1 14.3 4.9 3.6 20.1 100.025 to 44 years 59.6 12.6 5.9 2.7 19.2 100.045 to 64 years 71.7 11.3 4.4 2.0 10.6 100.065 years and over 80.0 8.4 3.4 1.3 6.9 100.0

Elderly Age Groups

65 to 74 years 78.0 9.1 3.8 1.5 7.6 100.075 to 84 years 81.2 7.8 3.2 1.2 6.6 100.085 years and over 84.9 6.8 2.5 0.9 4.9 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census

Projected Percent By Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Age Groups for the U.S. Population: 2060


Age Group

Percent of each group's resident population as of April 1

Non-HispanicHispanic (any race)

Total White alone

Black alone

Asian alone

All other races

Total 42.6 13.2 7.9 5.7 30.6 100.0Under 5 years 30.9 13.0 6.6 9.9 39.6 100.05 to 17 years 33.6 13.2 6.8 9.0 37.4 100.018 to 24 years 35.8 13.2 7.2 7.7 36.1 100.025 to 44 years 39.0 13.5 8.5 6.0 33.0 100.045 to 64 years 45.3 13.4 8.7 4.4 28.2 100.065 years and over 55.8 12.5 7.7 2.7 21.3 100.0

Elderly Age Groups

65 to 74 years 52.5 13.6 8.0 3.1 22.8 100.075 to 84 years 56.7 11.7 7.9 2.5 21.2 100.085 years and over 62.7 10.9 6.7 2.1 17.6 100.0

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012 National Projections

Implications for Refuge Use

Characteristics of Visitors to National Wildlife Refuges, 2010/2011

Source: USGS National Wildlife Refuge Visitor Survey, 2010/2011.

Percent of the Population Age 16 and Older Participating in Hunting and Fishing Activities by Race/Ethnicity, 2011

Hunting Fishing0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

7.8

17.1

1.4

7.8

0.8

4.7

1.8

8.5

NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other

Source: U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation

Wildlife Watching On Public Lands0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1412.2

9.9

2.01.5

4.13.5

4.03.4

NH White NH Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other

Percent of the Population Age 16 and Older Participating in Wildlife Watching At Least 1 Mile Away from Home by

Race/Ethnicity, 2011

Source: U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation

Projected Participants in Outdoor Recreation Activities by Activity Type and Race/Ethnicity of Participants Assuming Moderate Rates of International Migration (Main Series), 2012-2060

Activity NH White NH Black HispanicNH Asian &

Other Total2012

Hunting 12,704,502 419,920 290,399 320,021 13,734,842 Fishing 27,773,769 2,313,058 1,769,679 1,525,067 33,381,573 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 19,805,955 597,081 1,533,173 712,700 22,648,909

On Pubic Land 16,103,424 511,833 1,333,825 617,941 18,567,0232020

Hunting 12,645,392 453,669 362,753 379,356 13,841,170 Fishing 27,791,002 2,538,629 2,147,800 1,815,930 34,293,361 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 19,899,581 633,570 1,902,030 853,628 23,288,809

On Pubic Land 16,173,301 563,300 1,655,100 742,128 19,133,8292040

Hunting 12,143,536 567,927 565,690 559,596 13,836,749 Fishing 26,836,843 3,141,544 3,227,997 2,693,129 35,899,513 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 19,474,152 740,165 2,924,899 1,265,705 24,404,921

On Pubic Land 15,820,217 702,661 2,555,274 1,103,494 20,181,6462060

Hunting 11,303,497 661,233 790,349 761,660 13,516,739 Fishing 24,972,078 3,642,061 4,402,450 3,683,898 36,700,487 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 18,169,722 832,361 4,060,938 1,729,641 24,792,662

On Pubic Land 14,759,066 812,264 3,556,538 1,511,110 20,638,978Source: The Hobby Center for the Study of Texas. Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau, Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012 and The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife Recreation.

Projected Participants in Outdoor Recreation Activities by Activity Type and Race/Ethnicity of Participants (in Percents) Assuming Moderate Rates of International Migration (Main Series),

2012-2060


Other2012

Hunting 93.5 2.1 2.1 2.3 Fishing 84.8 5.3 5.3 4.6 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 83.3 6.8 6.8 3.1

On Pubic Land 82.3 7.2 7.2 3.32020


On Pubic Land 78.7 8.7 8.7 3.92040


On Pubic Land 69.1 12.7 12.7 5.52060


On Pubic Land 58.3 17.2 17.2 7.3Source: The Hobby Center for the Study of Texas. Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau, Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012 and The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife Recreation.

Projected Numeric Change in Outdoor Recreation Participants by Activity Type and Race/Ethnicity of Participants Assuming Moderate Rates of International Migration (Main Series), 2012-2060


Other Total2012-2020

Hunting -59,110 33,749 72,354 59,335 106,328 Fishing 17,233 225,571 378,121 290,863 911,788 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 93,626 36,489 368,857 140,928 639,900

On Pubic Land 69,877 51,467 321,275 124,187 566,8062020-2040

Hunting -501,856 114,258 202,937 180,240 -4,421 Fishing -954,159 602,915 1,080,197 877,199 1,606,152 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) -425,429 106,595 1,022,869 412,077 1,116,112

On Pubic Land -353,084 139,361 900,174 361,366 1,047,8172040-2060

Hunting -840,039 93,306 224,659 202,064 -320,010 Fishing -1,864,765 500,517 1,174,453 990,769 800,974 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) -1,304,430 92,196 1,136,039 463,936 387,741

On Pubic Land -1,061,151 109,603 1,001,264 407,616 457,3322012-2060

Hunting -1,401,005 241,313 499,950 441,639 -218,103 Fishing -2,801,691 1,329,003 2,632,771 2,158,831 3,318,914

Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) -1,636,233 235,280 2,527,765 1,016,941 2,143,753

On Pubic Land -1,344,358 300,431 2,222,713 893,169 2,071,955

Source: The Hobby Center for the Study of Texas. Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau, Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012 and The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife Recreation.

Projected Percentage Change in Outdoor Recreation Participants by Activity Type and Race/Ethnicity of Participants Assuming Moderate Rates of International Migration (Main Series), 2012-2060


Other Total2012-2020

Hunting -0.5 8.0 24.9 18.5 0.8 Fishing 0.1 9.8 21.4 19.1 2.7 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) 0.5 6.1 24.1 19.8 2.8

On Pubic Land 0.4 10.1 24.1 20.1 3.12020-2040

Hunting -4.0 25.2 55.9 47.5 0.0 Fishing -3.4 23.7 50.3 48.3 4.7 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) -2.1 16.8 53.8 48.3 4.8

On Pubic Land -2.2 24.7 54.4 48.7 5.52040-2060

Hunting -6.9 16.4 39.7 36.1 -2.3 Fishing -6.9 15.9 36.4 36.8 2.2 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) -6.7 12.5 38.8 36.7 1.6

On Pubic Land -6.7 15.6 39.2 36.9 2.32012-2060

Hunting -11.0 57.5 172.2 138.0 -1.6 Fishing -10.1 57.5 148.8 141.6 9.9 Wildlife Watching (Away from Home) -8.3 39.4 164.9 142.7 9.5

On Pubic Land -8.3 58.7 166.6 144.5 11.2Source: The Hobby Center for the Study of Texas. Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau, Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012 and The U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife Recreation.

Hunting Participants by Race/Ethnicity of Participant, 2012 and Projected for 2060

NH White; 93.5

NH Black; 2.1

Hispanic; 2.1NH Asian & Other; 2.3

2012

NH White; 82.8

NH Black;

5.8

His-panic;

5.8NH Asian & Other; 5.6

2060


Fishing Participants by Race/Ethnicity of Participant, 2012 and Projected for 2060

NH White; 84.8

NH Black;

5.3

His-panic;

5.3 NH Asian & Other; 4.6

2012

NH White; 66.0

NH Black; 12.0

His-panic; 12.0

NH Asian & Other; 10.0

2060


Wildlife Watchers by Race/Ethnicity of Participant, 2012 and Projected for 2060

NH White; 83.3

NH Black;

6.8

His-panic;

6.8NH Asian & Other; 3.1

2012

NH White; 60.2

NH Black; 16.4

His-panic; 16.4


2060


Wildlife Watchers in Public Lands by Race/Ethnicity of Participant, 2012 and Projected for 2060

NH White; 82.3

NH Black;

7.2

His-panic;

7.2


2012

NH White; 58.3NH Black;

17.2

His-panic; 17.2


2060


Number and Percent of Net Change in Projected Recreational Fishing Participants in the

United States Due to Each Race/Ethnic Group and Assuming Current (2011) Participation Rates, 2012-2060

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent

NH White -2,801,691 -84.3

NH Black 1,329,003 40.0

Hispanic 2,632,771 79.3

NH Asian & Other 2,158,831 65.0

Total 3,318,914 100.0

Individuals age 16 years and older who fished at least once in a given year.

Number and Percent of Net Change in Projected Hunting Participants in the



NH White -1,401,005 642.3

NH Black 241,313 -110.6

Hispanic 499,950 -229.2

NH Asian & Other 441,639 -202.5

Total -218,103 100.0

Individuals age 16 years and older who hunted at least once in a given year.

Number and Percent of Net Change in Projected Wildlife Watching Participants (Away from Home) in the



NH White -1,636,233 -76.3

NH Black 235,280 11.0

Hispanic 2,527,765 117.9

NH Asian & Other 1,016,941 47.4

Total 2,143,753 100.0

Individuals age 16 years and older who observed wildlife at least one mile away from home once in a given year.

Percent of the Population Age 16 Years and Older in the United States Who Fished 1991-2011 and Projected for 2015 – 2060 Assuming Current

Participation Rates by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012; and 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated

Individuals who fished at least once in a given year.

1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 20600.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%19%

17%

16%

13%

14%13% 13%

13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 11% 11%

Percent of the Population Age 16 Years and Older in the United States Who Hunted 1991-2011 and Projected for 2015 – 2060 Assuming Current

Participation Rates by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012; and 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated

Individuals who hunted at least once in a given year.

1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 20600.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

7% 7%

6%

5%

6%

5%5%

5%5%

5% 5% 4%4% 4% 4%

Percent of the Population Age 16 Years and Older in the United States Who Observed Wildlife Away from Home 1991-2011 and Projected for 2015 – 2060

Assuming Current Participation Rates by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Projections of the Population, Vintage 2012; and 2011 National Survey of Fishing, Hunting, and Wildlife-Associated Recreation

Individuals who observed wildlife at least one mile away from home at least once in a given year.

1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 20600.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

16%

12%

10% 10%

9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7%

Projected Number of Participants in Selected Recreational Activities in the United States in 2060 Under the Middle Projections Scenario

and Two Alternative Scenarios of Rates of Use

Activity

Current Participation

Rates

NH White Participation

Rates

Additional Participants Assuming NH White Rates

Number Percent

Hunting 13,516,739 25,984,432 12,467,693 92.2

Fishing 36,700,487 56,963,037 20,262,550 55.2

Freshwater 29,448,551 47,194,521 17,745,970 60.3

Saltwater 10,585,400 14,418,095 3,832,695 36.2

Wildlife Watching 24,792,662 40,250,436 15,457,774 62.3

On Public Land 20,638,978 32,680,664 12,041,686 58.3

U.S. BOAT OWNERS

Adult Recreational Boat Ownership Rates in the United States by Sex and Age, 2010

Source: Derived from 2010 U.S. Census; and 2010 Recreational Boating Statistical Abstract

Adults who owned at least one recreational boat.

18-30 31-49 50-64 65+ All Adults0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

8.0%

10.0%

18.8%

13.8%

12.3%

10.7%

12.7%

22.9%

13.5%

15.0%

Male Female

Adult Recreational Boat Ownership Rates in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: Derived from 2010 U.S. Census; and 2010 Recreational Boating Statistical Abstract


NH White NH Black NH Asian & Other

Hispanic All Adults0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

17.8%

4.7%

8.4%

4.4%

13.7%

Adult Population (in Millions) in the United States by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050 and Numeric and Percent Change, 2010-2050

Source: U.S. Census Projections of the Population, 2008 and 2010 U.S. Census

Year/Time Period

NH White

NH Black Hispanic

NH Asian & Other Total

2010 157,101 27,324 33,347 16,793 234,5642020 163,705 32,835 44,413 18,754 259,7072030 166,463 36,672 58,663 23,913 285,7112040 166,789 40,480 74,917 29,455 311,6412050 164,732 43,953 93,360 35,393 337,438

Numeric Change

2010-20 6,604 5,511 11,066 1,961 25,1432020-30 2,758 3,837 14,250 5,159 26,0042030-40 326 3,808 16,254 5,542 25,9302040-50 -2,057 3,473 18,443 5,938 25,7972010-50 7,631 16,629 60,013 18,600 102,874

Percent Change

2010-20 4.2 20.2 33.2 11.7 10.72020-30 1.7 11.7 32.1 27.5 10.02030-40 0.2 10.4 27.7 23.2 9.12040-50 -1.2 8.6 24.6 20.2 8.32010-50 4.9 60.9 180.0 110.8 43.9

Adults who participated in recreational boating at least once during a given year.

Adult Recreational Boat Owners (in millions) in the United States by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to

2050 Assuming Current (2010) Ownership Rates and Numeric and Percent Change, 2010-2050

Source: Derived from U.S. Census Projections of the Population, 2008; 2010 U.S. Census; and 2010 Recreational Boating Statistical Abstract


YearNH

White NH

Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total

2010 27,962 1,284 1,478 1,412 32,1352020 28,895 1,573 2,161 1,676 34,3052030 28,606 1,782 2,994 2,203 35,5852040 28,746 2,012 3,882 2,764 37,4042050 28,426 2,222 4,906 3,350 38,904

Numeric Change

2010-20 933 289 683 264 2,1702020-30 -289 209 833 527 1,2802030-40 140 230 888 561 1,8192040-50 -320 210 1,024 586 1,5002010-50 464 938 3,428 1,938 6,769

Percent Change

2010-20 3.3 22.5 46.2 18.7 6.82020-30 -1.0 13.3 38.5 31.4 3.72030-40 0.5 12.9 29.7 25.5 5.12040-50 -1.1 10.4 26.4 21.2 4.02010-50 1.7 73.1 231.9 137.3 21.1

Percent of Total Adult Recreational Boat Owners in the United States by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050

Assuming Current (2010) Ownership Rates by Age and Race/Ethnicity, 2010-2050



YearNH

White NH

Black Hispanic NH Asian & Other Total

2010 87.0 4.0 4.6 4.4 100.02020 84.2 4.6 6.3 4.9 100.02030 80.4 5.0 8.4 6.2 100.02040 76.9 5.4 10.4 7.4 100.02050 73.1 5.7 12.6 8.6 100.0

Percent of Total Adult Recreational Boat Owners in the United States by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected to 2050

Assuming Current (2010) Ownership Rates

2010 2050


NH White;

87.0

NH Black; 4.0

Hispani

c; 4.6


NH White; 73.1

NH Black;

5.7

His-panic; 12.6


Number (in thousands) and Percent of Net Change in Projected Adult Recreational Boat Owners in the United States Due to Each Race/Ethnic Group and

Assuming Current (2010) Ownership Rates, 2010-2050




NH White 464 6.9

NH Black 938 13.9

Hispanic 3,428 50.6

NH Asian & Other 1,938 28.6

Total 6,769 100.0

Adult Recreational Boat Ownership in the United States (in millions) in 2010 and Projected Under

Alternative Assumptions for 2020 - 2050



2010 2020 2030 2040 20500

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

32,135.334,305.0 35,585.0

37,404.0 38,904.0

32,135.3

45,479.049,121.0

53,585.0

58,013.0

Assuming Current (2010) Ownership RatesAssuming NH White Ownership Rates for All Groups

EDUCATION

Mean Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, Educational Attainment, and Occupation In Texas in 2010

OccupationsLess Than

High SchoolHigh School

/GEDBachelor's

DegreeGraduate/

Prof Degree

NH White

Managerial & Professional $ 72,446 $ 84,504 $ 120,792 $ 149,819Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,930 64,179 112,843 130,471

Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 55,079 68,247 94,875 119,057 Operatives and Laborers 48,819 61,211 77,581 89,720 Total 50,533 64,975 114,698 144,714

NH Black

Managerial & Professional $ 47,483 $ 52,186 $ 84,758 $ 99,073Technical, Sales, & Admin. 33,980 43,933 75,416 80,852 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,767 53,192 82,885 69,805 Operatives and Laborers 37,811 46,296 66,181 63,707

Total 31,072 42,465 78,933 94,490

Hispanic

Managerial & Professional $ 52,178 $ 61,992 $ 88,036 $ 116,400Technical, Sales, & Admin. 40,131 50,127 81,005 91,155 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 42,302 51,527 63,695 63,345 Operatives and Laborers 41,273 47,455 54,282 57,806 Total 38,221 47,760 81,548 108,473

NH Asian & Other

Managerial & Professional $ 84,172 $ 73,016 $ 103,737 $ 130,603Technical, Sales, & Admin. 52,764 60,719 86,039 105,469 Precision Prod., Craft, & Repairers 54,594 63,451 70,778 92,041 Operatives and Laborers 47,939 49,015 60,895 65,074 Total 50,815 55,496 93,474 123,035

Source: Ruggles et al. 2010; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2010 Public Use Microdata Sample, 2011.

U.S. EDUCATION

Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment

in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other Total

Total Enrollment

2000 48,210,516 11,401,765 11,583,495 5,577,745 76,773,521 2010 45,818,641 11,372,040 15,839,927 6,911,552 79,942,160 2020 44,987,166 11,616,295 20,623,690 8,545,532 85,772,683 2030 44,729,776 12,139,946 25,763,323 10,190,591 92,823,636 2040 43,321,445 12,364,257 31,741,606 12,027,667 99,454,975 2050 42,431,107 12,801,740 37,970,089 14,123,748 107,326,684

Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 36,491,940 9,163,622 9,695,332 3,917,404 59,268,298 2010 33,735,042 8,825,219 13,412,715 4,858,347 60,831,323 2020 33,566,335 8,984,880 17,413,828 6,023,510 65,988,553 2030 33,328,448 9,393,383 21,607,545 7,063,674 71,393,050 2040 31,941,753 9,463,222 26,572,664 8,308,712 76,286,351 2050 31,386,808 9,786,556 31,637,838 9,745,502 82,556,704

College Enrollment 2000 11,718,576 2,238,143 1,888,163 1,660,341 17,505,223 2010 12,083,599 2,546,821 2,427,212 2,053,205 19,110,837 2020 11,420,831 2,631,415 3,209,862 2,522,022 19,784,130 2030 11,401,328 2,746,563 4,155,778 3,126,917 21,430,586 2040 11,379,692 2,901,035 5,168,942 3,718,955 23,168,624 2050 11,044,299 3,015,184 6,332,251 4,378,246 24,769,980

Percent of Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment

in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other

Total Enrollment

2000 62.7 14.9 15.1 7.3 2010 57.4 14.2 19.8 8.6 2020 52.5 13.5 24.0 10.0 2030 48.1 13.1 27.8 11.0 2040 43.6 12.4 31.9 12.1 2050 39.5 11.9 35.4 13.2

Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 61.5 15.5 16.4 6.6 2010 55.5 14.5 22.0 8.0 2020 50.9 13.6 26.4 9.1 2030 46.6 13.2 30.3 9.9 2040 41.9 12.4 34.8 10.9 2050 38.0 11.9 38.3 11.8

College Enrollment 2000 66.9 12.8 10.8 9.5 2010 63.3 13.3 12.7 10.7 2020 57.8 13.3 16.2 12.7 2030 53.2 12.8 19.4 14.6 2040 49.1 12.5 22.3 16.1 2050 44.5 12.2 25.6 17.7

Percent of Net Change in Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment in the

United States Due to Each Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050

Race Number Percent

Total Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,779,409 -19.0 Non-Hispanic Black 1,399,975 4.6 Hispanic Origin 26,386,594 86.4 Non-Hispanic Other 8,546,003 28.0 Total 30,553,163 100.0 Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,105,132 -21.9 Non-Hispanic Black 622,934 2.7 Hispanic Origin 21,942,506 94.2 Non-Hispanic Other 5,828,098 25.0 Total 23,288,406 100.0 College Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -674,277 -9.3 Non-Hispanic Black 777,041 10.7 Hispanic Origin 4,444,088 61.2 Non-Hispanic Other 2,717,905 37.4 Total 7,264,757 100.0

0 - 4

5 - 9

10 - 14

15 - 19

20 - 24

25 - 29

30 - 34

35 - 39

40 - 44

45 - 49

50 - 54

55 - 59

60 - 64

65 - 69

70 - 74

75 - 79

80 - 84

85 +

1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000

Texas Age Distribution April 1, 2010 Total Population, Hispanic Population, White Not Hispanic Population, and Black Not Hispanic

"Black, Not Hispanic"

Total

White, Not Hispanic

Hispanic

Population

Age

Males Females

0 - 4

5 - 9

10 - 14

15 - 19

20 - 24

25 - 29

30 - 34

35 - 39

40 - 44

45 - 49

50 - 54

55 - 59

60 - 64

65 - 69

70 - 74

75 - 79

80 - 84

85 +

10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000

United States Age Distribution April 1, 2010 Hispanic Population and White, Not Hispanic Population

White Not Hispanic Hispanic

Population

Ag

e

Males Females

The mark of a truly educated man is to be

moved deeply by statistics.

George Bernard Shaw

Steve MurdockPhone: 210-867-4385

E-mail: [email protected]: http://hobbycenter.rice.edu

mailto:[email protected]

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