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TRANSCRIPT
Population Change in the United States and Texas: Implications for Education, the Labor Force and Economic
Development
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Steve H. Murdock, Director
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas
and
Allyn and Gladys Cline Professor of Sociology
Rice University
National Conference of State Legislators
San Antonio, Texas
August 7, 2011
Major Topics of the Presentation__________________________
• Population Change
• Increasing Racial/Ethnic Diversity
• Aging of the Population
• Implications of Demographic Change for Education, The Labor Force and Economic Development
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Total Population and Percent Population Change
in Texas and the United States, 1850-2010
Total Population Percent Change
Year Texas U.S. Texas U.S.
1850 212,592 23,191,876 --- ---
1860 604,215 31,443,321 184.2 35.6
1870 818,579 39,818,449 35.5 26.6
1880 1,591,749 50,155,783 94.5 26.0
1890 2,235,527 62,947,714 40.4 25.5
1900 3,048,710 75,994,575 36.4 20.7
1910 3,896,542 91,972,266 27.8 21.0
1920 4,663,228 105,710,620 19.7 14.9
1930 5,824,715 122,775,046 24.9 16.1
1940 6,414,824 131,669,275 10.1 7.2
1950 7,711,194 150,697,361 20.2 14.5
1960 9,579,677 179,323,175 24.2 19.0
1970 11,196,730 203,302,031 16.9 13.4
1980 14,229,191 226,545,805 27.1 11.4
1990 16,986,510 248,709,873 19.4 9.8
2000 20,851,820 281,421,906 22.8 13.2
2010 25,145,561 308,745,538 20.6 9.7
Source: Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau decennial census April 1 of reported year.
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Components of Change, U.S. and Texas, 2000-2009
United States Texas
Component Numeric Change
Percent of Total
ChangeNumeric Change
Percent of Total
Change
Total Change 25,584,644 100.0 3,930,482 100.0
Natural Increase 15,875,579 62.1 2,124,124 54.0
Net Domestic Migration ---- --- 848,702 21.6
Net International Migration 9,709,065 37.9 957,656 24.4
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Change 2000-2010
State
2000
Population
2010
Population Numeric Percent
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7
California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6
New York 18,976,457 19,378,102 401,645 2.1
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6
Illinois 12,419,293 12,830,632 411,339 3.3
Pennsylvania 12,281,054 12,702,379 421,325 3.4
Ohio 11,353,140 11,536,504 183,364 1.6
Michigan 9,938,444 9,883,640 -54,804 -0.6
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Ten Largest States in the United States
by Population Size in 2010
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Change 2000-2010
State
2000
Population
2010
Population Numeric Percent
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6
California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6
Virginia 7,078,515 8,001,024 922,509 13.0
Washington 5,894,121 6,724,540 830,419 14.1
Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9
Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Numeric Population Increase 2000-2010
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Change 2000-2010
State
2000
Population
2010
Population Numeric Percent
United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7
Nevada 1,998,257 2,700,551 702,294 35.1
Arizona 5,130,632 6,392,017 1,261,385 24.6
Utah 2,233,169 2,763,885 530,716 23.8
Idaho 1,293,953 1,567,582 273,629 21.1
Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6
North Carolina 8,049,313 9,535,483 1,486,170 18.5
Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3
Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6
Colorado 4,301,261 5,029,196 727,935 16.9
South Carolina 4,012,012 4,625,364 613,352 15.3
Ten States in the United States with the
Largest Percentage Population Increase 2000-2010
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Regional Population Change as a
Proportion of U.S. Population Change, 2000-2010
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Population of the United States by Regions, 1910-2010
Population values as of April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Population in Thousands (Thousands)
United States/
Regions 1900 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
United States 76,212 151,326 179,323 203,302 226,546 248,710 281,422 308,746
Regions
Northeast 27.6 26.1 24.9 24.1 21.7 20.4 19.0 17.9
Midwest 34.5 29.4 28.8 27.9 25.9 24.0 22.9 21.7
South 32.2 31.2 30.7 30.9 33.3 34.4 35.6 37.1
West 5.7 13.3 15.6 17.1 19.1 21.2 22.5 23.3
Place
Population Change
2000 2010 Number Percent
New York , NY 8,008,278 8,175,133 166,855 2.1
Los Angeles , CA 3,694,820 3,792,621 97,801 2.6
Chicago , IL 2,896,016 2,695,598 -200,418 -6.9
Houston , TX 1,953,631 2,099,451 145,820 7.5
Philadelphia , PA 1,517,550 1,526,006 8,456 0.6
Phoenix , AZ 1,321,045 1,445,632 124,587 9.4
San Antonio , TX 1,144,646 1,327,407 182,761 16.0
San Diego , CA 1,223,400 1,307,402 84,002 6.9
Dallas , TX 1,188,580 1,197,816 9,236 0.8
San Jose , CA 894,943 945,942 50,999 5.7
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171.
Population 2000 and 2010 and Population Change 2000-2010 for
the Ten Most Populous Incorporated Places in the United States
Change
Percent of
Population
Race/
Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010
NH White (Anglo) 10,933,313 11,397,345 464,032 4.2 52.4 45.3
Hispanic 6,669,666 9,460,921 2,791,255 41.8 32.0 37.6
NH Black 2,364,255 2,886,825 522,570 22.1 11.3 11.5
NH American Indian 68,859 80,586 11,727 17.0 0.3 0.3
NH Asian 554,445 948,426 393,981 71.1 2.7 3.8
NH Hawaiian/Pac. Isldr. 10,757 17,920 7,163 66.6 0.1 0.1
NH Some Other Race 19,958 33,980 14,022 70.3 0.1 0.1
NH Two or More Races 230,567 319,558 88,991 38.6 1.1 1.3
Total 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6 100.0 100.0
________
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171.
*Hispanic includes Hispanic persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories
shown here are non-Hispanic (non-Hispanic White[Anglo], non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic
American Indian, non-Hispanic Asian, non-Hispanic Hawaiian/Pacific Islander,
non-Hispanic Some Other Race, non-Hispanic Two or More Races).
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the State of Texas, 2000 and 2010
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Age 18+ Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Change
Percent of
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010
NH Whites (Anglo) 8,426,166 9,074,684 648,518 7.70 56.31 49.64
Hispanic (All Races) 4,282,901 6,143,144 1,860,243 43.43 28.62 33.61
NH Black 1,631,448 2,076,282 444,834 27.27 10.90 11.36
NH Asian 415,219 716,968 301,749 72.67 2.77 3.92
NH "Other" Races 70,612 95,973 25,361 33.05 0.47 0.53
NH Two or More Races 138,715 172,686 33,971 24.49 0.93 0.94
State of Texas 14,965,061 18,279,737 3,314,676 22.15 100.00 100.00
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171
* “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race”
as per the Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here
are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Less than 18 Years of Age by Race/Ethnicity for Texas, 2000 and 2010
Change
Percent of
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent 2000 2010
NH Whites (Anglo) 2,507,147 2,322,661 -184,486 -7.36 42.59 33.83
Hispanic (All Races) 2,386,765 3,317,777 931,012 39.01 40.54 48.32
NH Black 732,807 810,543 77,736 10.61 12.45 11.81
NH Asian 139,226 231,458 92,232 66.25 2.37 3.37
NH "Other" Races 28,962 36,513 7,551 33.05 0.49 0.53
NH Two or More Races 91,852 146,872 55,020 59.90 1.56 2.14
State of Texas 5,886,759 6,865,824 979,065 16.63 100.00 100.00
Source: U.S. Census 2010, P.L. 94-171
* “Other Race” is comprised of Native American and Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander, and “Some Other Race” as per the
Census 2000 and Census 2010. Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are non-Hispanic (e.g., non-
Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, etc.)
Population Population Change
Percent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent
Percent
of Total
Change 2000 2010
NH White 194,552,774 196,817,552 2,264,778 1.2 8.3 69.1 63.7
Hispanic (All Races) 35,295,818 50,477,594 15,181,776 43.0 55.6 12.5 16.3
NH Black 33,947,837 37,685,848 3,738,011 11.0 13.7 12.1 12.2
NH Asian 9,123,169 14,455,124 5,331,955 58.4 19.5 3.2 4.7
NH Other 8,502,308 9,309,420 807,112 9.5 2.9 3.1 3.1
Total 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population Change
Percent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent
Percent
of Total
Change 2000 2010
NH White 150,551,787 157,100,990 6,549,203 4.4 28.8 71.1 67.0
Hispanic (All Races) 25,644,883 33,346,703 7,701,820 30.0 33.9 12.1 14.2
NH Black 23,341,446 27,323,665 3,982,219 17.1 17.5 11.0 11.6
NH Asian 7,705,208 11,288,995 3,583,787 46.5 15.8 3.6 4.8
NH Other 4,601,279 5,503,718 902,439 19.6 4.0 2.2 2.4
Total 211,844,603 234,564,071 22,719,468 10.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other
includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or
Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population 18
and Older by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population Change
Percent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric Percent
Percent
of Total
Change 2000 2010
NH White 44,000,987 39,716,562 -4,284,425 -9.7 -93.1 63.2 53.5
Hispanic (All Races) 9,650,935 17,130,891 7,479,956 77.5 162.5 13.9 23.1
NH Black 10,606,391 10,362,183 -244,208 -2.3 -5.3 15.3 14.0
NH Asian 1,417,961 3,166,129 1,748,168 123.3 38.0 2.0 4.3
NH Other 3,901,029 3,805,702 -95,327 -2.4 -2.1 5.6 5.1
Total 69,577,303 74,181,467 4,604,164 6.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other
includes persons identifying themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or
Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population Under
Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for the United States, 2000 and 2010
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic
and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City
Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 139,254,963 139,518,137 263,174 0.2 1.2 65.0 59.0
Hispanic (All Races) 31,556,176 44,653,790 13,097,614 41.5 59.4 14.7 18.9
NH Black 28,330,045 31,671,771 3,341,726 11.8 15.2 13.2 13.4
NH Asian 9,531,410 13,577,516 4,046,106 42.5 18.3 4.4 5.7
NH Other 5,563,357 6,855,391 1,292,034 23.2 5.9 2.6 2.9
Total 214,235,951 236,276,605 22,040,654 10.3 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic
and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban
Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 15,112,253 16,655,521 1,543,268 10.2 50.1 82.4 77.7
Hispanic (All Races) 1,117,114 2,003,979 886,865 79.4 28.8 6.1 9.4
NH Black 1,505,667 1,797,953 292,286 19.4 9.5 8.2 8.4
NH Asian 240,705 420,072 179,367 74.5 5.8 1.3 2.0
NH Other 368,250 547,655 179,405 48.7 5.8 2.0 2.6
Total 18,343,989 21,425,180 3,081,191 16.8 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan Counties
in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 40,185,558 40,643,894 458,336 1.1 20.8 82.3 79.6
Hispanic (All Races) 2,632,528 3,819,825 1,187,297 45.1 53.9 5.4 7.5
NH Black 4,112,125 4,216,124 103,999 2.5 4.7 8.4 8.3
NH Asian 351,054 467,536 116,482 33.2 5.3 0.7 0.9
NH Other 1,560,701 1,896,374 335,673 21.5 15.3 3.2 3.7
Total 48,841,966 51,043,753 2,201,787 4.5 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Total
Population by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan
Adjacent Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 26,364,704 26,945,846 581,142 2.2 33.2 82.4 79.8
Hispanic (All Races) 1,661,569 2,453,912 792,343 47.7 45.3 5.2 7.3
NH Black 2,900,227 2,992,634 92,407 3.2 5.3 9.1 8.9
NH Asian 163,352 239,922 76,570 46.9 4.4 0.5 0.7
NH Other 908,120 1,114,221 206,101 22.7 11.8 2.8 3.3
Total 31,997,972 33,746,535 1,748,563 5.5 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the
Total Population by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan
Non-Adjacent Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 13,820,854 13,698,048 -122,806 -0.9 -27.1 82.1 79.2
Hispanic (All Races) 970,959 1,365,913 394,954 40.7 87.1 5.8 7.9
NH Black 1,211,898 1,223,490 11,592 1.0 2.6 7.2 7.1
NH Asian 187,702 227,614 39,912 21.3 8.8 1.1 1.3
NH Other 652,581 782,153 129,572 19.9 28.6 3.9 4.5
Total 16,843,994 17,297,218 453,224 2.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-Hispanic
and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Central City
Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 30,849,683 27,506,006 -3,343,677 -10.8 -172.4 55.9 48.2
Hispanic (All Races) 10,972,723 15,001,612 4,028,889 36.7 207.7 19.9 26.3
NH Black 8,908,601 8,775,212 -133,389 -1.5 -6.9 16.2 15.4
NH Asian 2,275,874 2,973,879 698,005 30.7 36.0 4.1 5.2
NH Other 2,144,258 2,833,831 689,573 32.2 35.6 3.9 5.0
Total 55,151,139 57,090,540 1,939,401 3.5 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Metropolitan Suburban
Counties In the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 3,777,831 3,750,909 -26,922 -0.7 -5.8 78.0 70.7
Hispanic (All Races) 406,567 731,989 325,422 80.0 70.5 8.4 13.8
NH Black 450,858 481,080 30,222 6.7 6.5 9.3 9.1
NH Asian 59,990 101,098 41,108 68.5 8.9 1.2 1.9
NH Other 145,255 237,254 91,999 63.3 19.9 3.0 4.5
Total 4,840,501 5,302,330 461,829 9.5 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan Counties
in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 9,399,573 8,459,647 -939,926 -10.0 -183.1 76.4 71.8
Hispanic (All Races) 962,969 1,397,290 434,321 45.1 84.6 7.8 11.9
NH Black 1,250,805 1,105,891 -144,914 -11.6 28.2 10.2 9.4
NH Asian 84,410 101,152 16,742 19.8 3.3 0.7 0.9
NH Other 604,415 724,617 120,202 19.9 23.4 4.9 6.1
Total 12,302,172 11,788,597 -513,575 -4.2 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan
Adjacent Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 6,188,210 5,637,421 -550,789 -8.9 53.4 76.8 72.3
Hispanic (All Races) 602,847 898,757 295,910 49.1 28.7 7.5 11.5
NH Black 870,789 779,407 -91,382 -10.5 8.9 10.8 10.0
NH Asian 44,086 56,865 12,779 29.0 1.2 0.5 0.7
NH Other 348,016 428,444 80,428 23.1 7.8 4.3 5.5
Total 8,053,948 7,800,894 -253,054 -3.1 100.0 100.0 100.0
*Hispanic includes persons of all races. All other race/ethnicity categories shown here are Non-Hispanic. Non-Hispanic Other includes persons identifying
themselves as Non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, Non-Hispanic Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, Non-Hispanic Some Other Race, or Non-
Hispanic and a combination of two or more races.
Source: U.S. Census 2000 & 2010, P.L. 94-171
Prepared by the Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University http://HobbyCenter.Rice.edu
Population, Population Change, and Proportion of the Population
Under Age 18 by Race/Ethnicity for Non-Metropolitan
Non-Adjacent Counties in the United States, 2000 and 2010
Population Population ChangePercent of Total
Population
Race/Ethnicity* 2000 2010 Numeric PercentPercent of
Total Chg2000 2010
NH White 3,211,363 2,822,226 -389,137 -12.1 149.4 75.6 70.8
Hispanic (All Races) 360,122 498,533 138,411 38.4 -53.1 8.5 12.5
NH Black 380,016 326,484 -53,532 -14.1 20.5 8.9 8.2
NH Asian 40,324 44,287 3,963 9.8 -1.5 0.9 1.1
NH Other 256,399 296,173 39,774 15.5 -15.3 6.0 7.4
Total 4,248,224 3,987,703 -260,521 -6.1 100.0 100.0 100.0
Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2000
39.541.6
45.0 45.043.1
44.4
47.8
53.0
57.260.2
63.566.4 67.1
72.6
44.041.3
38.0 38.440.5
38.6
35.3
30.5
26.724.2
22.420.6 20.3
16.7
< 5
year
s
5 to
9 y
ears
10 to
14
year
s
15 to
19
year
s
20 to
24
year
s
25 to
29
year
s
30 to
34
year
s
35 to
39
year
s
40 to
44
year
s
45 to
49
year
s
50 to
54
year
s
55 to
59
year
s
60 to
64
year
s
65 +
yea
rs
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0Percent
Anglo Hispanic
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent of Texas Population by Age Groupand Ethnicity, 2040*
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
17.719.3 19.9 20.3 19.8 19.3 19.4 20.5 20.6
21.9
25.3 26.5 27.2
39.8
69.967.8
66.5 65.5 66.0 66.8 66.464.3
62.660.6
56.755.2
52.3
37.1
< 5
year
s
5 to
9 y
ears
10 to
14
year
s
15 to
19
year
s
20 to
24
year
s
25 to
29
year
s
30 to
34
year
s
35 to
39
year
s
40 to
44
year
s
45 to
49
year
s
50 to
54
year
s
55 to
59
year
s
60 to
64
year
s
65 +
yea
rs
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0Percent
Anglo Hispanic
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent of United States Population
by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2000
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent of United States Population
by Age Group and Ethnicity, 2050
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND SOCIOECONOMIC CONDITIONS
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Total and Percent of the Texas Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009
1999 2009
Population
in Poverty %
Median
Household
Income*
Population
in Poverty %
Median
Household
Income
Anglo 826,459 7.8 $60,839 1,010,170 9.0 $59,836
Hispanic 1,658,434 25.4 $38,536 2,364,407 26.4 $35,628
Black 525,082 23.4 $37,803 630,479 23.1 $35,438
Asian 65,048 11.9 $64,576 105,186 12.1 $63,692
Other 42,586 13.9 NA 40,000 11.9 NA
Total 3,117,609 15.4 $51,506 4,150,242 17.2 $50,043
*In 2009 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009
Total and Percent of the United States Population in Poverty and Median Household Income by Race/Ethnicity, 1999 and 2009
1999 2009
Population
in Poverty %
Median
Household
Income*
Population
in Poverty %
Median
Household
Income
Anglo 15,414,119 8.1 $58,523 19,462,966 10.0 $54,671
Hispanic 7,797,874 22.6 $43,442 11,130,896 23.5 $39,923
Black 8,146,146 24.9 $37,956 9,407,955 25.8 $33,463
Asian 1,257,237 12.6 $66,961 1,539,226 11.4 $68,780
Other 1,284,436 18.5 NA 1,327,120 18.4 NA
Total 33,899,812 12.4 $54,172 42,868,163 14.3 $50,221
*In 2009 Dollars
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000 and American Community Survey, 2009
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Educational Attainment for the Texas
Population Age 25 and Older
by Race/Ethnicity, 2009
Race
Ethnicity
Population
Age 25 and
Older
Less than
high
school
High
school
diploma
Some
college or
associates
degree
Bachelor
or more
Non-Hispanic White 8,026,049 8.3 25.3 32.5 33.9
Black 1,705,709 15.0 30.4 36.5 18.1
Hispanic* 4,876,517 42.5 25.2 21.4 10.9
Asian 580,159 14.2 15.4 17.2 53.2
Total 15,361,557 20.1 25.4 28.9 25.5
________
Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.
*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.
Educational Attainment for the United States
Population Age 25 and Older
by Race/Ethnicity, 2009
Race
Ethnicity
Population
Age 25 and
Older
Less
than high
school
High
school
diploma
Some
college or
associates
degree
Bachelor
or more
Non-Hispanic White 139,962,199 9.6 29.3 30.0 31.1
Black 22,975,410 18.6 31.6 32.2 17.6
Hispanic* 26,106,587 39.1 26.2 22.1 12.6
Asian 9,404,493 14.7 16.0 19.6 49.7
Total 201,952,383 14.7 28.5 28.9 27.9
________
Source: U.S. Census, American Community Survey, 2009.
*Includes Hispanic persons of all races.
Average (Mean) SAT Scores for College Bound Seniors in the United States in 2001 by Selected
Characteristics
SAT Score
Mean MeanCharacteristic Verbal Math
All Students 506 514(N = 1,276,320)
Race/Ethnicity:American Indian 481 479African American or Black 433 426Hispanic: Mexican American 451 458 Puerto Rican 457 451 Other Hispanic 460 465White 529 531Asian American or Pacific Islander 501 566
Household Income: < $10,000 421 443 $10,000 - 20,000 442 456 $20,000 - 30,000 468 474 $30,000 - 40,000 487 489 $40,000 - 50,000 501 503 $50,000 - 60,000 509 512 $60,000 - 70,000 516 519 $70,000 - 80,000 522 527 $80,000 - 100,000 534 540
> $100,000 557 569
SAT Score
Mean MeanCharacteristic Verbal Math
All Students 506 514(N = 1,276,320)
Race/Ethnicity:American Indian 481 479
Household Income: < $10,000 421 443
> $100,000 557 569
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
PROJECTIONS
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Projections of the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
White alone Black alone Asian aloneAll other
races
2000 195,771 34,414 10,436 5,909 35,629 282,158
2010 200,853 37,985 14,083 7,586 49,726 310,233
2020 205,255 41,847 18,308 9,612 66,365 341,387
2030 207,217 45,461 22,991 11,904 85,931 373,504
2040 206,065 48,780 28,064 14,523 108,223 405,655
2050 203,347 51,949 33,418 17,503 132,792 439,010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Year
(Resident population as of July 1. Numbers in thousands)
Non-HispanicHispanic
(any race)Total
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Numeric Change in the Projected U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050 (in millions)
7.6
17.523.0
11.6
97.2
156.9
Non-Hispanic
White alone
Non-Hispanic
Black alone
Non-Hispanic
Asian alone
Non-Hispanic all
other races
Hispanic (any
race)
Total
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Projected Change in the U.S. Population by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2000 to 2050
Non-Hispanic White
alone
5%
Non-Hispanic Black
alone
11%
Non-Hispanic Asian
alone
15%
Non-Hispanic Other
7%
Hispanic
62%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Projected Age Distribution of the U.S. Population:
2000 to 2050
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Under 5 years 6.8 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.4
5 to 19 years 21.7 20.3 19.9 19.7 19.4 19.3
20 to 44 years 36.9 33.8 32.7 32.0 31.5 31.7
45 to 64 years 22.1 26.1 24.7 22.6 22.7 22.4
65 to 84 years 10.9 11.1 14.1 17.0 16.5 15.8
85 years and over 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.3 3.5 4.3
Age Group(Percent of total resident population as of July 1)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution of the
U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2000
Non-Hispanic
White alone
Non-Hispanic
Black alone
Non-Hispanic
Asian alone
Non-Hispanic
all other races
Hispanic
(any race)Total
Total 69.4 12.2 3.7 2.1 12.6 100.0
Under 5 years 58.7 14.4 3.6 3.8 19.5 100.0
5 to 17 years 62.1 15.0 3.4 3.1 16.4 100.0
18 to 24 years 62.0 13.9 4.2 2.5 17.4 100.0
25 to 44 years 67.4 12.5 4.4 1.9 13.8 100.0
45 to 64 years 76.7 10.4 3.5 1.5 7.9 100.0
65 years and over 83.7 8.0 2.3 0.9 5.0 100.0
65 to 74 years 81.6 8.7 2.7 1.1 5.9 100.0
75 to 84 years 85.8 7.2 2.0 0.8 4.1 100.0
85 years and over 86.9 7.3 1.5 0.7 3.6 100.0
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Age
(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Projected Percent Race and Hispanic Origin Distribution
of the U.S. Population by Selected Age Groups: 2050
Non-Hispanic
White alone
Non-Hispanic
Black alone
Non-Hispanic
Asian alone
Non-Hispanic
all other races
Hispanic
(any race)Total
Total 46.3 11.8 7.6 4.0 30.2 100.0
Under 5 years 37.1 11.1 5.9 6.5 39.4 100.0
5 to 17 years 38.3 11.3 6.0 5.7 38.6 100.0
18 to 24 years 39.6 11.6 6.4 4.9 37.5 100.0
25 to 44 years 43.6 12.1 7.8 4.1 32.4 100.0
45 to 64 years 49.7 12.8 8.9 3.1 25.5 100.0
65 years and over 58.5 11.2 8.4 2.1 19.8 100.0
65 to 74 years 54.5 12.1 9.3 2.4 21.7 100.0
75 to 84 years 58.2 10.9 8.8 2.0 20.2 100.0
85 years and over 67.4 9.9 5.9 1.8 15.1 100.0
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2008 National Projections
Age
(Percent of each age group's resident population as of July 1)
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total
2000 11,074,716 2,421,653 6,669,666 685,785 20,851,820
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010 11,331,872 2,627,276 8,060,601 783,198 22,802,9472020 11,381,128 2,771,387 9,336,516 841,654 24,330,685
2030 11,171,420 2,823,280 10,576,253 878,107 25,449,0602040 10,733,052 2,796,629 11,662,260 893,129 26,085,070
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010 11,533,974 2,754,744 9,080,436 961,458 24,330,612
2020 11,796,493 3,052,401 11,882,998 1,273,896 28,005,7882030 11,789,298 3,268,616 15,140,100 1,632,575 31,830,5892040 11,525,112 3,403,169 18,804,298 2,028,622 35,761,201
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010 11,739,988 2,888,448 10,252,220 1,177,909 26,058,565
2020 12,227,547 3,361,700 15,226,387 1,921,059 32,736,6932030 12,442,107 3,783,673 21,871,386 3,020,458 41,117,6242040 12,376,308 4,140,673 30,604,622 4,585,897 51,707,500
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010 11,369,946 2,778,528 9,827,743 1,129,429 25,105,6462020 11,461,192 3,106,273 13,922,261 1,762,813 30,252,5392030 11,299,159 3,355,344 19,032,000 2,646,377 36,332,880
2040 10,899,933 3,523,778 25,325,641 3,832,576 43,581,928
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative
Scenarios of Age/Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
Period Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total
Assuming Zero Net Migration
2000-2010 2.3 8.5 20.9 14.2 9.42010-2020 0.4 5.5 15.8 7.5 6.7
2020-2030 -1.8 1.9 13.3 4.3 4.62030-2040 -3.9 -0.9 10.3 1.7 2.52000-2040 -3.1 15.5 74.9 30.2 25.1
Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2000-2010 4.1 13.8 36.1 40.2 16.72010-2020 2.3 10.8 30.9 32.5 15.12020-2030 -0.1 7.1 27.4 28.2 13.72030-2040 -2.2 4.1 24.2 24.3 12.3
2000-2040 4.1 40.5 181.9 195.8 71.5
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2000-2010 6.0 19.3 53.7 71.8 25.02010-2020 4.2 16.4 48.5 63.1 25.6
2020-2030 1.8 12.6 43.6 57.2 25.62030-2040 -0.5 9.4 39.9 51.8 25.82000-2040 11.8 71.0 358.9 568.7 148.0
Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2000-2010 2.7 14.7 47.3 64.7 20.4
2010-2020 0.8 11.8 41.7 56.1 20.52020-2030 -1.4 8.0 36.7 50.1 20.12030-2040 -3.5 5.0 33.1 44.8 20.0
2000-2040 -1.6 45.5 279.7 458.9 109.0
Percent of Population in Texas by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections of the Population in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2040
Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other
2000 53.1 11.6 32.0 3.3
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration
2010 49.8 11.5 35.3 3.42020 46.7 11.4 38.4 3.5
2030 43.8 11.1 41.6 3.52040 41.2 10.7 44.7 3.4
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000
2010 47.4 11.3 37.3 4.0
2020 42.2 10.9 42.4 4.52030 37.0 10.3 47.6 5.12040 32.2 9.5 52.6 5.7
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000
2010 45.1 11.1 39.3 4.5
2020 37.3 10.3 46.5 5.92030 30.3 9.2 53.2 7.32040 23.9 8.0 59.2 8.9
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2004
2010 45.3 11.1 39.1 4.52020 37.9 10.3 46.0 5.82030 31.1 9.2 52.4 7.3
2040 25.0 8.1 58.1 8.8
Percent Anglo Population
Less Than 50% Anglo Population
50% or Greater Anglo PopulationSource: 2006 Population Projections, Texas State Data Center,Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio
2000
2040 2040(2000-2004 Scenario)(0.5 Scenario)
2040(1.0 Scenario)
Texas Counties with 50 Percent or More of Their Total Population That is Angloin 2000 and Projected for 2040 Under Alternative Projection Scenarios
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent of Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 andProjected Percent of Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity from
2020 to 2040 for Texas Under Alternative Scenarios of Age/Sex andRace/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration
Age Non-Hispanic Group White Black Hispanic Other Total
All Scenarios <18 23.0 31.7 35.8 26.1 28.2 18-24 8.8 11.2 13.2 11.2 10.6 25-44 30.1 32.1 31.8 37.7 31.1 45-64 24.4 17.7 14.0 20.1 20.2 65+ 13.7 7.3 5.2 4.9 9.9 Assuming Rates of Zero Migration 2020 <18 20.1 24.8 32.0 21.2 25.2 18-24 8.2 10.2 11.1 9.1 9.6 25-44 24.7 29.3 26.9 24.0 26.1 45-64 27.4 25.0 21.5 29.9 24.9 65+ 19.6 10.7 8.5 15.8 14.2 2040 <18 17.4 19.9 27.5 16.8 22.2 18-24 7.6 8.8 10.0 6.5 8.7 25-44 24.1 27.6 27.1 23.7 25.9 45-64 24.9 26.5 20.6 22.1 23.0
65+ 26.0 17.2 14.8 30.9 20.2
Percent 65 Years Old and Older
< 11.9 (n=66)
12.0 - 14.9 (n=70)
15.0 - 19.9 (n=80)
20.0 or more (n=38)
Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio. Census 2000 Summary File 1.
Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2000
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Percent 65 Years Old and Older
< 11.9 (n=2)
12.0 - 14.9 (n=19)
15.0 - 19.9 (n=79)
20.0 or more (n=154)
Source: Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research,The University of Texas at San Antonio. Texas Population Estimatesand Projections Program, 2006 Projections.
Percent of Persons 65 Years of Age and Older in Texas Counties, 2040*
* Assuming rates of migration equal to 2000-2004
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
U.S. EDUCATION
Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment
in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other Total
Total Enrollment
2000 48,210,516 11,401,765 11,583,495 5,577,745 76,773,521 2010 45,818,641 11,372,040 15,839,927 6,911,552 79,942,160 2020 44,987,166 11,616,295 20,623,690 8,545,532 85,772,683 2030 44,729,776 12,139,946 25,763,323 10,190,591 92,823,636 2040 43,321,445 12,364,257 31,741,606 12,027,667 99,454,975 2050 42,431,107 12,801,740 37,970,089 14,123,748 107,326,684
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 36,491,940 9,163,622 9,695,332 3,917,404 59,268,298 2010 33,735,042 8,825,219 13,412,715 4,858,347 60,831,323 2020 33,566,335 8,984,880 17,413,828 6,023,510 65,988,553 2030 33,328,448 9,393,383 21,607,545 7,063,674 71,393,050 2040 31,941,753 9,463,222 26,572,664 8,308,712 76,286,351 2050 31,386,808 9,786,556 31,637,838 9,745,502 82,556,704
College Enrollment 2000 11,718,576 2,238,143 1,888,163 1,660,341 17,505,223 2010 12,083,599 2,546,821 2,427,212 2,053,205 19,110,837 2020 11,420,831 2,631,415 3,209,862 2,522,022 19,784,130 2030 11,401,328 2,746,563 4,155,778 3,126,917 21,430,586 2040 11,379,692 2,901,035 5,168,942 3,718,955 23,168,624 2050 11,044,299 3,015,184 6,332,251 4,378,246 24,769,980
Percent of Projected Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment
in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other
Total Enrollment
2000 62.7 14.9 15.1 7.3 2010 57.4 14.2 19.8 8.6 2020 52.5 13.5 24.0 10.0 2030 48.1 13.1 27.8 11.0 2040 43.6 12.4 31.9 12.1 2050 39.5 11.9 35.4 13.2
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000 61.5 15.5 16.4 6.6 2010 55.5 14.5 22.0 8.0 2020 50.9 13.6 26.4 9.1 2030 46.6 13.2 30.3 9.9 2040 41.9 12.4 34.8 10.9 2050 38.0 11.9 38.3 11.8
College Enrollment 2000 66.9 12.8 10.8 9.5 2010 63.3 13.3 12.7 10.7 2020 57.8 13.3 16.2 12.7 2030 53.2 12.8 19.4 14.6 2040 49.1 12.5 22.3 16.1 2050 44.5 12.2 25.6 17.7
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Elementaryand Secondary School, Community College and Public University
Enrollment in the United States by Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Origin Other Total
Total Enrollment
2000-2010 -5.0 -0.3 36.7 23.9 4.1 2010-2020 -1.8 2.1 30.2 23.6 7.3 2020-2030 -0.6 4.5 24.9 19.3 8.2 2030-2040 -3.1 1.8 23.2 18.0 7.1 2040-2050 -2.1 3.5 19.6 17.4 7.9 2000-2050 -12.0 12.3 227.8 153.2 39.8
Elementary and Secondary Enrollment 2000-2010 -7.6 -3.7 38.3 24.0 2.6 2010-2020 -0.5 1.8 29.8 24.0 8.5 2020-2030 -0.7 4.5 24.1 17.3 8.2 2030-2040 -4.2 0.7 23.0 17.6 6.9 2040-2050 -1.7 3.4 19.1 17.3 8.2 2000-2050 -14.0 6.8 226.3 148.8 39.3
College Enrollment 2000-2010 3.1 13.8 28.5 23.7 9.2 2010-2020 -5.5 3.3 32.2 22.8 3.5 2020-2030 -0.2 4.4 29.5 24.0 8.3 2030-2040 -0.2 5.6 24.4 18.9 8.1 2040-2050 -2.9 3.9 22.5 17.7 6.9 2000-2050 -5.8 34.7 235.4 163.7 41.5
Percent of Net Change in Elementary and Secondary School, Community College and Public University Enrollment in the
United States Due to Each Race/Ethnicity, 2000-2050
Race Number Percent
Total Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,779,409 -19.0 Non-Hispanic Black 1,399,975 4.6 Hispanic Origin 26,386,594 86.4 Non-Hispanic Other 8,546,003 28.0 Total 30,553,163 100.0 Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -5,105,132 -21.9 Non-Hispanic Black 622,934 2.7 Hispanic Origin 21,942,506 94.2 Non-Hispanic Other 5,828,098 25.0 Total 23,288,406 100.0 College Enrollment Non-Hispanic White -674,277 -9.3 Non-Hispanic Black 777,041 10.7 Hispanic Origin 4,444,088 61.2 Non-Hispanic Other 2,717,905 37.4 Total 7,264,757 100.0
U.S. LABOR FORCE
Projections of the Civilian Labor Force of the United States from2001 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity from the Middle Projection Scenario
Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other Total
2000 100,177,990 14,453,507 14,719,717 8,317,584 137,668,798 2010 102,572,104 16,572,350 20,337,473 10,991,486 150,473,413 2020 99,503,638 17,955,037 26,838,744 13,848,138 158,145,557 2030 96,065,987 19,025,575 34,158,931 17,002,785 166,253,278 2040 94,977,559 20,209,376 42,394,793 20,351,836 177,933,564 2050 93,550,875 21,127,696 52,120,668 24,013,290 190,812,529
Percent of the Projections of the Civilian Labor Force of the United Statesfrom 2001 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity for the Middle Projection Scenario
Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Year White Black Hispanic Other
2000 72.8 10.5 10.7 6.0 2010 68.2 11.0 13.5 7.3 2020 62.8 11.4 17.0 8.8 2030 57.9 11.4 20.5 10.2 2040 53.4 11.4 23.8 11.4 2050 49.0 11.1 27.3 12.6
Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Civilian LaborForce by Race/Ethnicity for The United States, 2000-2050
Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic Non-Hispanic TIME White Black Hispanic Other Total
2000-2010 2.4 14.7 38.2 32.1 9.3 2010-2020 -3.0 8.3 32.0 26.0 5.1 2020-2030 -3.5 6.0 27.3 22.8 5.1 2030-2040 -1.1 6.2 24.1 19.7 7.0 2040-2050 -1.5 4.5 22.9 18.0 7.2 2000-2050 -6.6 46.2 254.1 188.7 38.6
Percent of Net Change in the U.S. Civilian Labor Force from 2000-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Middle Scenario
Race/Ethnicity Number Percent
Non-Hispanic White -6,627,115 -12.5 Non-Hispanic Black 6,674,189 12.6 Hispanic 37,400,951 70.4 Non-Hispanic Other 15,695,706 29.5 Total 53,143,731 100.0
TEXAS EDUCATION
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Enrollment and Change in Enrollment of Economically
Disadvantaged and All Students by Ethnicity in Texas
Public Schools, 1999-2000 and 2009-2010 School Years
Enrollment 10-Year Change Proportion
Race/Ethnicity 1999-2000 2009-2010 Numeric Percent
1999-
2000
2009-
2010
Economically Disadvantaged
White 359,510 443, 933 84,423 23.5 18.4 15.6
African American 369,393 475,994 106,601 28.9 18.9 16.7
Other 36,734 66,874 30,140 82.0 1.9 2.3
Hispanic 1,190,363 1,866,376 676,013 56.8 60.8 65.4
Total 1,956,000 2,853,177 897,177 45.9 100.0 100.0
Total
White 1,727,733 1,615,459 -112,274 -6.5 43.2 33.3
African American 576,977 679,351 102,374 17.7 14.4 14.0
Other 114,979 198,992 84,013 73.1 2.9 4.1
Hispanic 1,582,538 2,354,042 771,504 48.8 39.5 48.6
Total 4,002,227 4,847,844 845,617 21.1 100.0 100.0
Source: Texas Education Agency, Enrollment in Texas Public Schools, 2009-10 http://ritter.tea.state.tx.us/research/pdfs/enrollment_2008-09.pdf
District/County/School Year White (%)
African
American (%) Hispanic (%)
Asian/Pacific
Islander (%)
Native
American (%)
Total
Enrollment
Houston ISD (Harris)
2000-2001 10.0 32.1 54.9 2.9 0.1 208,462
2010-2011 7.8 26.2 61.9 3.2 0.2 204,245
Dallas ISD (Dallas)
2000-2001 7.8 35.9 54.5 1.4 0.4 161,548
2010-2011 4.6 25.0 68.2 1.2 0.4 157,162
Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (Harris)
2000-2001 58.5 10.0 23.4 7.9 0.2 63,497
2010-2011 31.0 15.5 42.5 8.0 0.2 106,097
Northside ISD (Bexar)
2000-2001 36.7 6.6 54.3 2.2 0.2 63,739
2010-2011 20.1 6.2 67.8 3.1 0.2 95,581
Austin ISD (Travis)
2000-2001 33.7 15.7 47.8 2.5 0.3 77,816
2010-2011 24.3 9.5 60.3 3.4 0.3 85,697
Fort Worth ISD ( Tarrant)
2000-2001 21.4 30.9 45.4 2.1 0.2 79,661
2010-2011 14.3 23.4 59.2 1.8 0.3 81,651
Fort Bend ISD (Fort Bend)
2000-2001 37.8 28.0 18.1 16.0 0.1 53,999
2010-2011 20.3 29.4 25.9 21.4 0.6 68,948
North East ISD (Bexar)
2000-2001 49.1 9.4 38.8 2.5 0.2 50,875
2010-2011 32.0 7.3 54.1 3.6 0.3 66,604
Arlington ISD (Tarrant)
2000-2001 47.3 21.3 24.0 6.8 0.6 58,866
2010-2011 26.2 23.2 41.8 6.8 0.4 64,484
El Paso ISD (El Paso)
2000-2001 15.2 4.8 78.5 1.2 0.3 62,325
2010-2011 10.7 4.1 82.8 1.2 0.3 64,330
Total Public School Students by Race/Ethnicity in the 10 Largest* School Districts in Texas, 2000-2001 and 2010-2011
*Largest enrollment based on 2010-2011 school yearSource: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center from Texas Education Agency, Academic Excellence Indicator System (AEIS) District Profiles
Texas Higher Education Enrollment in Public Universities, Public 2-year Colleges andHealth-related Institutions by Race/Ethnicity, 2000 and 2008
Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity
Public
Univ
Public
2-year Colleges
Health-related
Institutions
2000 Enrollment
White (%) 58.4 52.8 61.3
African American (%) 9.8 11.0 4.9
Hispanic (%) 19.6 28.9 12.6
Asian (%) 5.7 3.9 14.6
American Indian (%) .5 .5 .5
International (%) 5.3 2.4 4.8
Unknown (%) .7 .5 1.3
Total 2000 Enrollment 414,626 447,998 13,806
2008 Enrollment
White (%) 50.4 45.2 51.3
African American (%) 11.6 11.8 6.6
Hispanic (%) 24.3 34.1 13.8
Asian (%) 6.6 4.2 14.5
American Indian (%) .5 .5 .6
International (%) 5.7 2.5 9.7
Unknown (%) .9 1.7 3.5
Total 2008 Enrollment 509,136 617,507 20,421
Source: Data compiled by the Texas State Data Center using data from the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (THECB)
Public Elementary and Secondary Public CommunityCollege, and Public University Enrollment in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 AssumingRates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)
Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total
Total Public Education (All Levels)
2000 2,186,097 661,995 1,785,676 160,507 4,794,275 2010 2,125,643 693,172 2,367,308 231,798 5,417,921 2020 2,106,211 731,976 3,308,472 326,936 6,473,595 2030 1,992,718 746,148 4,324,751 432,828 7,496,445 2040 1,852,133 739,828 5,596,378 590,265 8,778,604
Public Elementary and Secondary
2000 1,727,733 576,977 1,582,538 114,979 4,002,227 2010 1,643,722 588,781 2,065,327 164,425 4,462,255 2020 1,643,592 619,318 2,892,656 227,683 5,383,249 2030 1,527,293 623,104 3,729,428 287,975 6,167,800 2040 1,411,454 612,608 4,803,635 397,902 7,225,599
Public Community Colleges
2000 230,497 46,742 124,057 19,782 421,078 2010 239,191 56,798 184,582 29,824 510,395 2020 232,120 62,178 254,482 44,330 593,110 2030 232,363 68,156 364,216 65,020 729,755 2040 220,266 70,850 485,107 88,280 864,503
Public Universities
2000 227,867 38,276 79,081 25,746 370,970 2010 242,730 47,593 117,399 37,549 445,271 2020 230,499 50,480 161,334 54,923 497,236 2030 233,062 54,888 231,107 79,833 598,890 2040 220,413 56,370 307,636 104,083 688,502
Total Public Colleges and Universities
2000 458,364 85,018 203,138 45,528 792,048 2010 481,921 104,391 301,981 67,373 955,666 2020 462,619 112,658 415,816 99,253 1,090,346 2030 465,425 123,044 595,323 144,853 1,328,645 2040 440,679 127,220 792,743 192,363 1,553,005
Percent of Public Elementary and Secondary, PublicCommunity College and Public University Enrollment in Texasby Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projections to 2040 Assuming
Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 (1.0 Scenario)
Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other
Public Education (All Levels)
2000 45.7 13.8 37.2 3.3 2010 39.2 12.8 43.7 4.3 2020 32.5 11.3 51.1 5.1 2030 26.5 10.0 57.7 5.8 2040 21.1 8.4 63.8 6.7
Public Elementary and Secondary
2000 43.2 14.4 39.5 2.9 2010 36.8 13.2 46.3 3.7 2020 30.6 11.5 53.7 4.2 2030 24.7 10.1 60.5 4.7 2040 19.5 8.5 66.5 5.5
Public Community Colleges
2000 54.7 11.1 29.5 4.7 2010 46.9 11.1 36.2 5.8 2020 39.1 10.5 42.9 7.5 2030 31.9 9.3 49.9 8.9 2040 25.5 8.2 56.1 10.2
Public Universities
2000 61.5 10.3 21.3 6.9 2010 54.5 10.7 26.4 8.4 2020 46.4 10.2 32.4 11.0 2030 38.9 9.2 38.6 13.3 2040 32.0 8.2 44.7 15.1
Total Public Colleges and Universities
2000 58.0 10.7 25.6 5.7 2010 50.5 10.9 31.6 7.0 2020 42.5 10.3 38.1 9.1 2030 35.0 9.3 44.8 10.9 2040 28.4 8.2 51.0 12.4
TEXAS LABOR FORCE
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Projections of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by Race/EthnicityAssuming Alternative Projection Scenarios, 2000 to 2040
Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total
2000 5,741,765 1,053,552 2,700,075 335,167 9,830,559 Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 5,810,029 1,199,667 3,299,753 368,732 10,678,181 2020 5,563,393 1,265,378 3,850,987 372,710 11,052,468 2030 5,312,914 1,279,307 4,332,859 364,545 11,289,625 2040 5,110,308 1,274,155 4,722,681 352,305 11,459,449 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 5,922,120 1,258,663 3,805,362 464,481 11,450,626 2020 5,778,384 1,395,998 5,071,050 586,070 12,831,502 2030 5,619,763 1,485,116 6,539,041 707,879 14,351,799 2040 5,497,055 1,557,689 8,111,449 833,779 15,999,972 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 6,036,408 1,320,511 4,394,254 582,258 12,333,431 2020 6,001,817 1,539,959 6,720,289 915,688 15,177,753 2030 5,944,488 1,723,492 9,917,813 1,364,129 18,949,922 2040 5,913,114 1,903,402 13,980,316 1,958,552 23,755,384 Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 5,886,054 1,346,947 4,278,133 583,323 12,094,457 2020 5,710,962 1,593,503 6,293,283 901,517 14,499,265 2030 5,528,586 1,803,590 8,824,223 1,304,376 17,460,775 2040 5,378,380 2,015,813 11,638,896 1,788,788 20,821,877
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Projections of the Percent of Civilian Labor Force in Texas by
Race/Ethnicity Assuming Alternative Projection Scenarios,
2000-2040
Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other
2000 58.4 10.7 27.5 3.4
Assuming Rates of Zero Net Migration 2010 54.4 11.2 30.9 3.5 2020 50.4 11.4 34.8 3.4 2030 47.1 11.3 38.4 3.2 2040 44.6 11.1 41.2 3.1
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 1990-2000 2010 51.7 11.0 33.2 4.1 2020 45.0 10.9 39.5 4.6 2030 39.2 10.3 45.6 4.9 2040 34.4 9.7 50.7 5.2
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 1990-2000 2010 49.0 10.7 35.6 4.7 2020 39.6 10.1 44.3 6.0 2030 31.4 9.1 52.3 7.2 2040 24.9 8.0 58.9 8.2
Assuming Rates of Net Migration Equal to 2000-2007 2010 48.7 11.1 35.4 4.8 2020 39.4 11.0 43.4 6.2 2030 31.7 10.3 50.5 7.5 2040 25.8 9.7 55.9 8.6
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Average Household Income in Texas, 2000-2040* (in 2000 Dollars)
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
$54,441
$52,639
$50,903
$49,326
$47,883
2000 2010 2020 2030 2040$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
Projected Percent of Households in Poverty by
Family Type in Texas, 2000 and 2040
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
11.4
7.5
15.0
26.7
18.9
14.415.4
11.8
17.0
30.0
18.9
16.6
Family
Households
Married
Couple
Male
Householder
Female
Householder
Nonfamily
Households
Total
Households
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Percent in Poverty
2000 2040
Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040
* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
18.8
29 28.7
18.2
5.3
30.128.7
23.9
12.9
4.4
No High
School Diploma
High School
Graduate
Some
College
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/Prof.
Degree
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Percent
2000 2040
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Average Annual Household Income in Texas and the United States by Educational Attainment of Householder in 2000*
*From Census 2000 Public Use Microdata Sample (1% File)
$30,412
$42,271
$52,552
$80,950
$102,410
$32,473
$44,068
$54,467
$80,327
$104,294
Less Than
High School
High School
Graduate
Some College or
Associate Degree
Bachelor's
Degree
Graduate/Professional
Degree
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
Average Income
Texas United States
Percent of Persons 25 Years of Age or Older by Level of Educational Attainment and Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected to 2040* Assuming 1990-2000 Trends in Educational Attainment Rates
*Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
12.7
25.7
31.6
30.0
24.0
29.9
30.6
15.5
50.7
22.0
18.4
8.9
21.0
16.1
20.6
42.3
2.2
16.6
33.4
47.8
4.3
25.6
40.5
29.6
32.1
25.8
24.1
18.0
13.4
7.6
11.0
68.0
< High School
High School
Some Coll/Assoc
Bachelor's +
< High School
High School
Some Coll/Assoc.
Bachelor's +
< High School
High School
Some Coll/Assoc
Bachelor's +
< High School
High School
Some Coll/Assoc
Bachelor's +
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0
Percent
2000 2040
Black
Hispanic
Other
Anglo
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
Aggregate Income and Consumer Expenditures for Population 25 Years of Age or Older in Texas in 2000 and Projected Under
Alternative Educational Attainment Assumptions for 2040*
*Source: Texas State Data Center. Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario
$251
$621
$765
$938
$210
$528
$629
$752
2000Base Values
2040 Assuming2000 Attainment
Differentials
2040 Assuming1990-2000 Trends
in Differentials
2040 AssumingAnglo Trends
Apply to all Groups
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
Billions
Aggregate Income Consumer Expenditures
Hobby Center for the Study of Texas at Rice University
The mark of a truly educated man is to be
moved deeply by statistics.
George Bernard Shaw