1

. ,

, , 10. 2012

-a:

()

27%

2020.

()

:

2 (Government to Governmnt)-

27% 2020 (10%

)

,

M

2020.

O 2009 (%) 21,2

O 2009 ()

1,943

B 2020

(%)

27,0

C 2020 (

)

(oe)

10,331

D

2020 (

)

(oe)

9,495

2020 = B x D

() 2,563

1:

2020.

2009. ~ 0,621 !

2009.

2020.

20%

15%

55%

5%

5%

0,8

0,6

0,80

0,60

2,25

0,20

0,20

1:

2020. ~ 0,621 !

!

10% 2020.

!!!

( % )

2009 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

(%) 26% 26% 26% 26% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30%

(%) 29% 29% 30% 30% 31% 32% 33% 35% 37%

-

(%) 0% 0% 0% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 10%

(%) 21% 21% 21% 22% 23% 23% 25% 26% 27%

2009.

2009/28/

- ( )

(

-, .)

e

:

12

-

:

,

(WACC) 8% 80% 6%

20% 7

12

c/kWh ( ),

.

60

5 MW

, 5 MW

,

2013. .

- 1

, 1 MW, , 10-30 MW

e 5 MW , 5- 10 MW , 10 MW

0.2 MW 1 MW,

(W)

(c/kWh)

1.

1.1 0,2 12,40

1.2 0,2 - 0,5 13,727-6,633* P

1.3 0,5 - 1 10,41

1.4 1 - 10 10,747-0,337* P

1.5 10 - 30 7,38

1.6

30 5,9

2.

2.1 1 13,26

2.2 1 - 10 13,82 - 0,56*P

2.3 10 8,22

3.

3.1 0,2 15,66

3.2 0,2 - 1 16,498 4,188*

3.3 1 12,31

3.4

12,31

- 2

( )

40% 2008. ,

-

, 1 MW, 5 MW

1 MW ( )

(W)

(c/kWh)

4.

6,91

5. 9,2

6.

6.1 0,03 20,66

6.2 0,03 0,5 20,941 9,383*

6.3 0,5 16,25

7.

7.1 1 9,67

7.2 1 5 10,358-0,688*

7.3 5 6,92

8. 8,57

- 3

(

)

2-10 MW

,

(W)

(c/kWh)

9.

10 8,04

10.

10 8,89

:

(15%) , ,

,

,

:

( )

,

2020.

1.5%

5% 2014.

115

Godina

Neto

energija

GWh

Cena za

kupce

/MWh

Cena

energije

/MWh

Cena

balansir.

/MWh

Snaga

povla.

MW

Energija

povla.

GWh

Trokovi za

podsticajne

cene

miliona

Trokovi za

balansiranje

miliona

Prihod od

cene

energije

miliona

Potreban

prihod od

naknade

miliona

Visina

naknade

/MWh

Visina

naknade

din/kWh

Uticaj na

cenu za

kupce

%

Mesecni

troskovi

prosenog

domain.

dinara

2011 28607 59.35 37.39 3.74

2012 29036 54.19 34.14 3.41

2013 29472 54.19 34.14 3.41 33 164.45 16.36 0.56 5.61 11.31 0.38 0.044 0.71 22

2014 29914 58.04 36.56 3.66 87 350.35 35.48 1.28 12.81 23.95 0.80 0.092 1.38 46

2015 30362 62.16 39.16 3.92 359 1176.75 116.03 4.61 46.08 74.56 2.46 0.282 3.95 141

2016 30818 66.57 41.94 4.19 429 1541.7 155.66 6.47 64.66 97.46 3.16 0.364 4.75 182

2017 31280 71.30 44.92 4.49 534 2081.1 213.79 9.35 93.48 129.66 4.15 0.477 5.81 238

2018 31749 76.36 48.11 4.81 677 2684.5 280.69 12.91 129.14 164.47 5.18 0.596 6.78 298

2019 32226 81.78 51.52 5.15 858 3390.5 360.05 17.47 174.68 202.83 6.29 0.724 7.70 362

2020 32709 87.59 55.18 5.52 1045 4134.5 446.93 22.81 228.14 241.60 7.39 0.849 8.43 425

:

30 MW

, , ,

250 MW 2015.

500 MW 2020.

4 MW

6 MW

10 MW

:

10 MW

85%

(W)

(%)

(20-40)% (40-60)% (60-80)% (80-100)%

10 65% 70% 75% 80%

,

,

,

3 .

.

1MW 1MW.

-

21.12.2012.

28.12.2012.

:

-

45

:

:

,

2013.

,

a

,

:

( )

:

6 CHP, 14.12.2012.

.

()

2013. ,

:

:

fW- ( ), ;.

KfW GIZ , /- .).

108.300.000 .

2013. ,

:

GEF (Global Environmental Fund), 2,8 $, a UNDP

:

(

);

;

;

.

2013. ,

:

IPA 2013.

1987. , .

;

1,5 EUR. :

2013. ,

2013. ,

:

Policy Advice on Renewable Energy Sources

:

1. / ;

2. / ;

3. ;

4 .

.

web site-u M .

!

www.merz.gov.rs