pmep e jerusalem highlights with exec summary jan11 828pm eastern db 2

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  • 8/3/2019 PMEP E Jerusalem Highlights With Exec Summary Jan11 828pm Eastern DB 2

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    The

    ThePalestiniansofEastJerusalem:

    What

    Do

    They

    Really

    Want?January12,2011

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    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.pechterpolls.com/
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    4Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    EastJerusalemPalestiniansonly

    Nolocalgovernmentsupervisionorinterference

    RespondentsinterviewedinArabicintheirownhomesby

    localfieldrepresentativesfromthePalestinianCenterfor

    PublicOpinion(PCPO)

    Multistagerandomprobabilitysample:N=1039;Marginof

    error= 3%

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    5Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Residential Area Percentage

    1 Old City 13.9%

    2 Al-Thawre 3.4%

    3 Bet Hanina 12.6%

    4 Shu'afat Refugee 8.0%

    5 Ras Al-'Amud 6.9%

    6 Silwan 4.4%

    7 Wadi Al-Goz 3.1%

    8 Shu'afat 5.6%

    9 Kafr 'Aqb 7.6%

    10 Isawiyya 4.6%11 Bab Az-Zahara 2.5%

    12 Bet Safafa 3.4%

    13 Sharafat 0.6%

    14 Jabal Mukabar 6.4%

    15 Sur Bahar 3.6%

    16 Sheih Jarrah 1.2%

    17 Al-Shayyah 1.5%

    18 As-Sawana, At-Tur 9.0%

    19 Um Tubba 1.7%

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    6/356Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    SURVEYDEMOGRAPHICSActualPollPercentagesUnweighted

    Age Percent

    1824 32%

    25

    36 36%

    36+ 32%

    WorkSector Percent

    Public 35%

    PrivateAnd Non

    Governmental 30%

    DoesntWork 35%

    Gender Percent

    Male 51%

    Female 49%

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    7/357Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Education Percent

    Illiterate 5%

    Elementary 7%

    Preparatory 8%

    Secondary 30%

    2yearCollege 18%

    BA 28%

    MAOr

    Higher 4%

    SURVEYDEMOGRAPHICSActualPollPercentagesUnweighted

    Occupation Percent

    Student 21%

    Laborer 22%

    Housewife 13%

    Employee 22%

    Professional 7%

    Merchant 7%

    Farmer 1%

    Retired 2%

    Don'tKnow 7%

    Income Percent

    LessThanNIS600 3%

    Between

    NIS

    601

    1200 2%

    BetweenNIS12011800 3%

    BetweenNIS18012400 4%

    BetweenNIS24013000 6%

    BetweenNIS3001 3600 12%

    BetweenNIS

    3601

    4200 11%

    BetweenNIS42014800 18%

    MoreThanNIS4800 44%

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    8/358Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    CitizenshipPreferences

    FollowingaTwoStateSolution

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    9/359Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Ifapermanent,twostatesolutionisabletobeworkedout,wouldyouprefertobecome acitizenofPalestine,withalloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizens

    of

    Palestine,

    or

    would

    you

    prefer

    to

    become

    a

    citizen

    of

    Israel,

    with

    alloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael?

    Percent

    N=1039

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    Israel Palestine Don't Know

    30%

    35%

    Definitely DefinitelyProbably Probably Dont Know

    35%

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    10/3510Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Ifapermanent,twostatesolutionisabletobeworkedout,doyouthinkthatmostpeople inyourneighborhoodwouldprefertobecomecitizens

    ofPalestine,

    with

    all

    of

    the

    rights

    and

    privileges

    of

    other

    citizens

    of

    Palestine,orwouldtheyprefertobecomecitizensofIsrael, withallof

    therightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael?

    Perc

    ent

    N=1039

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    Israel Palestine Don't Know

    39%

    31%30%

    Definitely DefinitelyProbably Probably Dont Know

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    11/3511Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    IfyourcurrentneighborhoodbecameaninternationallyrecognizedpartofIsrael,andyouwereallowedtomovetoadifferenthomeinsidethenewstateofPalestine, howlikelyareyoutomove toadifferenthomeinsideofPalestineandtobecomeacitizenofPalestine?

    N=1039Certainly Will Not Move Probably Will Not Move Certainly Will Move Probably Will Move Dont Know

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Will Not Move Will move Don't Know

    27%

    19%

    54%

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    12/3512Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    IfyourcurrentneighborhoodbecameaninternationallyrecognizedpartofIsrael,andyouwereallowedtomovetoadifferenthome

    inside

    the

    new

    state

    of

    Palestine, how

    likelyareyoutomove toadifferenthomeinsideofPalestineandtobecomeacitizenofPalestine?

    IfyourcurrentneighborhoodbecameaninternationallyrecognizedpartofPalestine,andyouwereallowedtomovetoa

    different

    home

    inside

    Israel, how

    likely

    areyoutomovetoadifferenthomeinanIsraelineighborhoodofJerusalem,orelsewhereinsideIsrael,andtobecomeacitizenofIsrael?

    N=1039

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Will Not Move Will move Don't Know

    23%

    40%37%

    Certainly Will Not Move Probably Will Not Move Certainly Will Move Probably Will Move Dont Know

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Will Not Move Will move Don't Know

    27%

    19%

    54%

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    Lifein

    East

    Jerusalem

    Today

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    14/3514Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Pleasetellmehowsatisfiedordissatisfiedyouarewitheachoftheseaspectsofyour

    lifeinEastJerusalem.[33

    aspects

    were

    rated]

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    15/3515Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    11

    33

    26

    15

    16

    00

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    Very satisfied Satisfied Neither satisfiednor dissatisfied

    Not satisfied Not satisfied atall

    DK/NA

    Howsatisfiedordissatisfiedareyouwithyouroverallstandardofliving?

    Percent

    N=1039

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    Mostsatisfiedaspectsoflife

    28%

    41%

    28%

    28%

    24%

    29%

    33%

    44%

    29%

    39%

    37%

    34%

    34%

    32%

    17%

    16%

    19%

    20%

    26%

    22%

    20%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    Thequalityoftheteachersinyourkidsschools?Accesstoanearbyplaceofworship?

    Theelectricalsupplyinyourneighborhood?

    Thewatersupplyinyourneighborhood?

    Yourpersonalinteractionswithhealthcare

    professionals?

    Thequalityofthehealthcareyoureceive?

    Accesstohealthcare?

    Verysatisfied Satisfied Neithersatisfiednordissatisfied

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    17/3517Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Mostdissatisfiedaspectsoflife

    15%

    13%

    15%

    18%

    36%

    44%

    46%

    19.1%

    22.1%

    21.6%

    21.1%

    21.9%

    18.2%

    20.4%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    Thedisabilitybenefitsavailabletoyou?

    Yourpersonalinteractionswithofficialsfromthe

    Jerusalemmunicipality?

    Abilitytoobtainapassportortraveldocumentto

    travelthroughBenGurionairport?

    Yourpersonal

    interactions

    with

    Jews

    in

    Jerusalem,overall?

    Theamountoftheincometaxthatyouare

    requiredtopay?

    Theamount

    of

    the

    Arnona

    (home

    ownership)

    tax

    thatyouarerequiredtopay?

    Theeaseordifficultyofobtainingbuilding

    permits?

    Notsatisfiedatall Notsatisfied

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    18/3518Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    36

    20 19

    8

    17

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    A great deal A fair amount Only a little Hardly any ornone

    DK/NA

    InyourviewisthereoristherenotdiscriminationintheservicesprovidedtoArabandJews bytheJerusalemmunicipality?

    Percent

    N=1039

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    19Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    HowbigaproblemarethefollowingthingsinEast

    Jerusalem?

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

    Delays/ restrictions at checkpoints

    Delays/ restrictions due to the wall

    Crime

    Threat/ intimidation from Jewish settlers

    Threat/ intimidation from Israeli police &border guards

    Corruption/ malfeasance from Jerusalem

    municipal officialsCorruption/ malfeasance from Palestinian

    Authority officials

    Threat/ intimidation from Palestinian groups

    Big problem Moderate problem

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    20Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Travelpatternsoverthelast6months

    22%

    24%

    14%

    8%

    14%

    13%

    29%

    27%

    25%

    18%

    17%

    16%

    27%

    24%

    28%

    30%

    19%

    17%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    Howoftenhaveyoutraveledtoother

    neighborhoodsinEastJerusalem?

    Howoftenhaveyoutraveledacrossthewalltothe

    WestBank?

    HowoftenhaveyoutraveledtoWestJerusalem?

    HowoftenhaveyoutraveledtoareasofIsrael,

    otherthanJerusalem?

    Howoftendoyouinteractinpersonwith

    PalestinianslivinginW.JerusalemorotherareasofIsrael?

    HowoftendoyouinteractinpersonwithJewish

    citizensofIsrael?

    Dailyoralmostdaily Fewtimeseveryweek Approximatelyonceweekly

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    21Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Imgoingtoaskyouaboutanumberofidentities. Foreachone,pleasetellmehow

    importantthat

    identity

    is

    to

    you.

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    Being a Muslim? [For Muslims only]

    Being a Palestinian?

    Being a blue card holder?

    Being a Jerusalemite?

    Being an Arab?

    Being from a Jerusalemite family? [ForJerusalemite families only]

    Being a resident of ____ neighborhood?

    Extremely important Very important

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    22Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Being sympathetic to Fatah?

    Being sympathetic to the IslamicMovement inside the Green Line?

    Being sympathetic to Hamas?

    Extremely important

    Very important

    Moderately important

    A little important

    Not important at all OR Not applicable N=1039

    Foreachone,pleasetellmehowimportantthat

    identity

    is

    to

    you.

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    23Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Whydid

    respondents

    prefer

    IsraeliorPalestinian

    citizenship?

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    24Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    First Reason Second Reason

    8%

    9%

    7%

    8%

    15%

    15%

    13%

    7%

    0%

    8%

    1%

    4%

    13%

    7%

    9%

    9%

    12%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

    Refused to give reasons

    Discipline and culture

    Political situation

    More shops

    Prosperity

    No second answer

    Job opportunities

    Health insurance

    Higher income

    Freedom of movement and transport

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    25Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    4%

    4%

    3%

    6%

    4%

    7%

    7%

    33%

    6%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    7%

    5%

    5%

    31%

    8%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

    Discipline and culture

    Freedom of movement and transport

    Security and safety

    Keeping away from Jews and settlers

    Communication between family membersand friends

    Arab identity

    Get rid of discrimination

    Religious affiliation / access to shrines

    No second answer

    Nationalism and patriotism

    First Reason Second Reason

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    26Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    IfyourneighborhoodweretobecomeapartofthenewstateofPalestineandyouweretobecomeacitizenofPalestinewithalloftherightsand

    privilegesofothercitizensofPalestine,howconcernedwouldyoubeabouteachofthesepossiblechangesinyourlife. [Topratedconcerns]

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    Losing access to Old City & Al AqsaMosque

    Losing employment in Israel

    Losing free movement in Israel

    Changing to Palestinian health care

    Changing to Palestinian benefits

    Reduction in city services

    Increase in corruption

    Very Concerned Moderately Concerned

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    27Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    If,followingacomprehensivepeaceagreement,yourneighborhoodweretobecomepartofthenewstateofPalestine,andyouweretobecomeacitizen

    ofPalestinewithalloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofPalestine,howimportantarethesebenefitsofthisnewcitizenship? [Toprated

    benefits]

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

    Friends & family in West Bank

    Being citizen of Arab country

    Shopping, business in West Bank

    Being in Muslim-majority country

    Access to Jordan & Arab countries

    Greater social equality in Palestine

    Very important Moderately Important

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    28Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Ontheotherhand,ifyourneighborhoodweretobecomeapartofthestateofIsraelandyouweretobecomeacitizenofIsraelwithall

    oftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael,howconcernedwouldyoubeabout [Topratedconcerns]

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    Losing access to Old City & Al AqsaMosque

    Discrimination

    Losing home or land in Palestine

    Losing access to relatives/ friends inPalestine

    Moral misconduct of your children

    Losing freedom of movement in Palestine

    Very concerned Moderately concerned

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    29Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

    Israeli health care

    Israeli utilities

    Israeli unemployment & disability benefits

    Israeli job market

    Friends & family in Israel

    Israeli retirement benefits

    Israeli law enforcement

    Access to the beach

    Very important Moderately Important

    If,followingacomprehensivepeaceagreement,yourneighborhoodweretobecomepartofthestateofIsrael,andyouweretobecomeacitizenofIsraelwithalloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael,howimportantarethesebenefitsofthisnewcitizenship?

    [Topratedbenefits]

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    30Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    Viewson

    Peace

    Negotiations

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    31Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    41%

    31%28%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Yes No Don't Know

    Probably Yes

    Definitely Yes

    Probably No

    Definitely No

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    32Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    14%17%

    22%19%

    28%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    Most About Half Less Than Half Very Few Don't Know

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    33Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    27%

    37%

    20%

    14%

    2%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    Very Likely Somewhat Likely Not Very Likely Very Unlikely Don't Know

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    34Pechter MiddleEastPolls

    4%

    34%

    27%

    35%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    Positive Effect Negative Effect Almost No Practical Effect Don't Know

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    PechterMiddle

    East

    Polls

    66WitherspoonStreet#405Princeton,NJ08542(609)7590550www.pechterpolls.com