pmep e jerusalem highlights with exec summary jan11 828pm eastern db 2
TRANSCRIPT
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The
ThePalestiniansofEastJerusalem:
What
Do
They
Really
Want?January12,2011
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mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.pechterpolls.com/ -
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4Pechter MiddleEastPolls
EastJerusalemPalestiniansonly
Nolocalgovernmentsupervisionorinterference
RespondentsinterviewedinArabicintheirownhomesby
localfieldrepresentativesfromthePalestinianCenterfor
PublicOpinion(PCPO)
Multistagerandomprobabilitysample:N=1039;Marginof
error= 3%
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5Pechter MiddleEastPolls
Residential Area Percentage
1 Old City 13.9%
2 Al-Thawre 3.4%
3 Bet Hanina 12.6%
4 Shu'afat Refugee 8.0%
5 Ras Al-'Amud 6.9%
6 Silwan 4.4%
7 Wadi Al-Goz 3.1%
8 Shu'afat 5.6%
9 Kafr 'Aqb 7.6%
10 Isawiyya 4.6%11 Bab Az-Zahara 2.5%
12 Bet Safafa 3.4%
13 Sharafat 0.6%
14 Jabal Mukabar 6.4%
15 Sur Bahar 3.6%
16 Sheih Jarrah 1.2%
17 Al-Shayyah 1.5%
18 As-Sawana, At-Tur 9.0%
19 Um Tubba 1.7%
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SURVEYDEMOGRAPHICSActualPollPercentagesUnweighted
Age Percent
1824 32%
25
36 36%
36+ 32%
WorkSector Percent
Public 35%
PrivateAnd Non
Governmental 30%
DoesntWork 35%
Gender Percent
Male 51%
Female 49%
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Education Percent
Illiterate 5%
Elementary 7%
Preparatory 8%
Secondary 30%
2yearCollege 18%
BA 28%
MAOr
Higher 4%
SURVEYDEMOGRAPHICSActualPollPercentagesUnweighted
Occupation Percent
Student 21%
Laborer 22%
Housewife 13%
Employee 22%
Professional 7%
Merchant 7%
Farmer 1%
Retired 2%
Don'tKnow 7%
Income Percent
LessThanNIS600 3%
Between
NIS
601
1200 2%
BetweenNIS12011800 3%
BetweenNIS18012400 4%
BetweenNIS24013000 6%
BetweenNIS3001 3600 12%
BetweenNIS
3601
4200 11%
BetweenNIS42014800 18%
MoreThanNIS4800 44%
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CitizenshipPreferences
FollowingaTwoStateSolution
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Ifapermanent,twostatesolutionisabletobeworkedout,wouldyouprefertobecome acitizenofPalestine,withalloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizens
of
Palestine,
or
would
you
prefer
to
become
a
citizen
of
Israel,
with
alloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael?
Percent
N=1039
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Israel Palestine Don't Know
30%
35%
Definitely DefinitelyProbably Probably Dont Know
35%
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Ifapermanent,twostatesolutionisabletobeworkedout,doyouthinkthatmostpeople inyourneighborhoodwouldprefertobecomecitizens
ofPalestine,
with
all
of
the
rights
and
privileges
of
other
citizens
of
Palestine,orwouldtheyprefertobecomecitizensofIsrael, withallof
therightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael?
Perc
ent
N=1039
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Israel Palestine Don't Know
39%
31%30%
Definitely DefinitelyProbably Probably Dont Know
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11/3511Pechter MiddleEastPolls
IfyourcurrentneighborhoodbecameaninternationallyrecognizedpartofIsrael,andyouwereallowedtomovetoadifferenthomeinsidethenewstateofPalestine, howlikelyareyoutomove toadifferenthomeinsideofPalestineandtobecomeacitizenofPalestine?
N=1039Certainly Will Not Move Probably Will Not Move Certainly Will Move Probably Will Move Dont Know
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Will Not Move Will move Don't Know
27%
19%
54%
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IfyourcurrentneighborhoodbecameaninternationallyrecognizedpartofIsrael,andyouwereallowedtomovetoadifferenthome
inside
the
new
state
of
Palestine, how
likelyareyoutomove toadifferenthomeinsideofPalestineandtobecomeacitizenofPalestine?
IfyourcurrentneighborhoodbecameaninternationallyrecognizedpartofPalestine,andyouwereallowedtomovetoa
different
home
inside
Israel, how
likely
areyoutomovetoadifferenthomeinanIsraelineighborhoodofJerusalem,orelsewhereinsideIsrael,andtobecomeacitizenofIsrael?
N=1039
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Will Not Move Will move Don't Know
23%
40%37%
Certainly Will Not Move Probably Will Not Move Certainly Will Move Probably Will Move Dont Know
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Will Not Move Will move Don't Know
27%
19%
54%
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Lifein
East
Jerusalem
Today
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Pleasetellmehowsatisfiedordissatisfiedyouarewitheachoftheseaspectsofyour
lifeinEastJerusalem.[33
aspects
were
rated]
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11
33
26
15
16
00
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Very satisfied Satisfied Neither satisfiednor dissatisfied
Not satisfied Not satisfied atall
DK/NA
Howsatisfiedordissatisfiedareyouwithyouroverallstandardofliving?
Percent
N=1039
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Mostsatisfiedaspectsoflife
28%
41%
28%
28%
24%
29%
33%
44%
29%
39%
37%
34%
34%
32%
17%
16%
19%
20%
26%
22%
20%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Thequalityoftheteachersinyourkidsschools?Accesstoanearbyplaceofworship?
Theelectricalsupplyinyourneighborhood?
Thewatersupplyinyourneighborhood?
Yourpersonalinteractionswithhealthcare
professionals?
Thequalityofthehealthcareyoureceive?
Accesstohealthcare?
Verysatisfied Satisfied Neithersatisfiednordissatisfied
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Mostdissatisfiedaspectsoflife
15%
13%
15%
18%
36%
44%
46%
19.1%
22.1%
21.6%
21.1%
21.9%
18.2%
20.4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Thedisabilitybenefitsavailabletoyou?
Yourpersonalinteractionswithofficialsfromthe
Jerusalemmunicipality?
Abilitytoobtainapassportortraveldocumentto
travelthroughBenGurionairport?
Yourpersonal
interactions
with
Jews
in
Jerusalem,overall?
Theamountoftheincometaxthatyouare
requiredtopay?
Theamount
of
the
Arnona
(home
ownership)
tax
thatyouarerequiredtopay?
Theeaseordifficultyofobtainingbuilding
permits?
Notsatisfiedatall Notsatisfied
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36
20 19
8
17
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
A great deal A fair amount Only a little Hardly any ornone
DK/NA
InyourviewisthereoristherenotdiscriminationintheservicesprovidedtoArabandJews bytheJerusalemmunicipality?
Percent
N=1039
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19Pechter MiddleEastPolls
HowbigaproblemarethefollowingthingsinEast
Jerusalem?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Delays/ restrictions at checkpoints
Delays/ restrictions due to the wall
Crime
Threat/ intimidation from Jewish settlers
Threat/ intimidation from Israeli police &border guards
Corruption/ malfeasance from Jerusalem
municipal officialsCorruption/ malfeasance from Palestinian
Authority officials
Threat/ intimidation from Palestinian groups
Big problem Moderate problem
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20Pechter MiddleEastPolls
Travelpatternsoverthelast6months
22%
24%
14%
8%
14%
13%
29%
27%
25%
18%
17%
16%
27%
24%
28%
30%
19%
17%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Howoftenhaveyoutraveledtoother
neighborhoodsinEastJerusalem?
Howoftenhaveyoutraveledacrossthewalltothe
WestBank?
HowoftenhaveyoutraveledtoWestJerusalem?
HowoftenhaveyoutraveledtoareasofIsrael,
otherthanJerusalem?
Howoftendoyouinteractinpersonwith
PalestinianslivinginW.JerusalemorotherareasofIsrael?
HowoftendoyouinteractinpersonwithJewish
citizensofIsrael?
Dailyoralmostdaily Fewtimeseveryweek Approximatelyonceweekly
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Imgoingtoaskyouaboutanumberofidentities. Foreachone,pleasetellmehow
importantthat
identity
is
to
you.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Being a Muslim? [For Muslims only]
Being a Palestinian?
Being a blue card holder?
Being a Jerusalemite?
Being an Arab?
Being from a Jerusalemite family? [ForJerusalemite families only]
Being a resident of ____ neighborhood?
Extremely important Very important
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22Pechter MiddleEastPolls
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Being sympathetic to Fatah?
Being sympathetic to the IslamicMovement inside the Green Line?
Being sympathetic to Hamas?
Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
A little important
Not important at all OR Not applicable N=1039
Foreachone,pleasetellmehowimportantthat
identity
is
to
you.
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Whydid
respondents
prefer
IsraeliorPalestinian
citizenship?
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First Reason Second Reason
8%
9%
7%
8%
15%
15%
13%
7%
0%
8%
1%
4%
13%
7%
9%
9%
12%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Refused to give reasons
Discipline and culture
Political situation
More shops
Prosperity
No second answer
Job opportunities
Health insurance
Higher income
Freedom of movement and transport
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25Pechter MiddleEastPolls
4%
4%
3%
6%
4%
7%
7%
33%
6%
3%
3%
3%
4%
7%
5%
5%
31%
8%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%
Discipline and culture
Freedom of movement and transport
Security and safety
Keeping away from Jews and settlers
Communication between family membersand friends
Arab identity
Get rid of discrimination
Religious affiliation / access to shrines
No second answer
Nationalism and patriotism
First Reason Second Reason
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IfyourneighborhoodweretobecomeapartofthenewstateofPalestineandyouweretobecomeacitizenofPalestinewithalloftherightsand
privilegesofothercitizensofPalestine,howconcernedwouldyoubeabouteachofthesepossiblechangesinyourlife. [Topratedconcerns]
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Losing access to Old City & Al AqsaMosque
Losing employment in Israel
Losing free movement in Israel
Changing to Palestinian health care
Changing to Palestinian benefits
Reduction in city services
Increase in corruption
Very Concerned Moderately Concerned
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If,followingacomprehensivepeaceagreement,yourneighborhoodweretobecomepartofthenewstateofPalestine,andyouweretobecomeacitizen
ofPalestinewithalloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofPalestine,howimportantarethesebenefitsofthisnewcitizenship? [Toprated
benefits]
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Friends & family in West Bank
Being citizen of Arab country
Shopping, business in West Bank
Being in Muslim-majority country
Access to Jordan & Arab countries
Greater social equality in Palestine
Very important Moderately Important
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Ontheotherhand,ifyourneighborhoodweretobecomeapartofthestateofIsraelandyouweretobecomeacitizenofIsraelwithall
oftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael,howconcernedwouldyoubeabout [Topratedconcerns]
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Losing access to Old City & Al AqsaMosque
Discrimination
Losing home or land in Palestine
Losing access to relatives/ friends inPalestine
Moral misconduct of your children
Losing freedom of movement in Palestine
Very concerned Moderately concerned
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29Pechter MiddleEastPolls
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Israeli health care
Israeli utilities
Israeli unemployment & disability benefits
Israeli job market
Friends & family in Israel
Israeli retirement benefits
Israeli law enforcement
Access to the beach
Very important Moderately Important
If,followingacomprehensivepeaceagreement,yourneighborhoodweretobecomepartofthestateofIsrael,andyouweretobecomeacitizenofIsraelwithalloftherightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael,howimportantarethesebenefitsofthisnewcitizenship?
[Topratedbenefits]
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30Pechter MiddleEastPolls
Viewson
Peace
Negotiations
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31Pechter MiddleEastPolls
41%
31%28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Yes No Don't Know
Probably Yes
Definitely Yes
Probably No
Definitely No
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32Pechter MiddleEastPolls
14%17%
22%19%
28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Most About Half Less Than Half Very Few Don't Know
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27%
37%
20%
14%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Very Likely Somewhat Likely Not Very Likely Very Unlikely Don't Know
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4%
34%
27%
35%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Positive Effect Negative Effect Almost No Practical Effect Don't Know
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PechterMiddle
East
Polls
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