philip mote columbia river basin the climate impacts group: piloting climate services for the...
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![Page 1: Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts](https://reader031.vdocuments.mx/reader031/viewer/2022032703/56649d375503460f94a0f7ca/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Philip Mote
ColumbiaRiver Basin
The Climate Impacts The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Group: Piloting
Climate Services for Climate Services for the Pacific Northwestthe Pacific Northwest
Water resources
Salmon
Forests
Coasts
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1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000Year
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
Lo
g10
mea
n f
low
, Th
e D
alle
s, O
R (
m3s-1
)
1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
Columbia River flow, reconstructed from tree rings
Gedalof et al., JAWRA, 2005
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Case Inlet
Protection Island
Jamestown
A record of past climate from geoducks!
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Geoduck growth 1835-1998
Mean of four series at Protection Island
Are Strom, UW
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![Page 6: Philip Mote Columbia River Basin The Climate Impacts Group: Piloting Climate Services for the Pacific Northwest Water resources Salmon Forests Coasts](https://reader031.vdocuments.mx/reader031/viewer/2022032703/56649d375503460f94a0f7ca/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Baseline Forecast at The Dalles using Older Resampling Methods(Oct 1, 1993 initial conditions)
Blue = ensemble meanRed = long-term mean
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Alaska and PNWsalmon production
are out of phase(Hare et al 1999, Fisheries)
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Eco-provinces
Region Model Correlation
Cascade mixed -P(yr) - P(yr-1) 0.50
Intermountain semi-desert
T(yr) - P(Ap-Se)
0.46
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Relative trends 1950-1997