philip davies - introduction to impact evaluation

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www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies Introduction to Impact Evaluation Philip Davies International Initiative for Impact Evaluation [3ie] CGAP Retreat - Impact Evaluation for Financial Inclusion DfID, London 10 th January 2013

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Presentation at "Impact Evaluation for Financial Inclusion" (January 2013) CGAP and the UK Department for International Development (DFID) convened over 70 funders, practitioners, and researchers for a workshop on impact evaluation for financial inclusion in January 2013. Co-hosted by DFID in London, the workshop was an opportunity for participants to engage with leading researchers on the latest research methods of impact evaluation and to discuss other areas on the impact evaluation agenda.

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Page 1: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Introduction to Impact Evaluation

Philip Davies International Initiative for Impact Evaluation [3ie]

CGAP Retreat - Impact Evaluation for Financial Inclusion DfID, London 10th January 2013

Page 2: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Impact evaluation should be driven by: What’s the Question?

Page 3: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model

Page 4: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evaluation: Theory of Change/Logic Model

• How is a policy/programme supposed to work? • What activities, mechanisms, people have to be in place?

• And in what sequence – what is the causal chain? • What resources are required – and are available?

• What data are required – and are available?

•  Is the policy/programme feasible/achievable?

Page 5: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Page 6: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model What is already known about this issue?

Harness Existing Evidence

Research Synthesis

Page 7: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model What is already known about this issue?

Harness Existing Evidence

Research Synthesis

What is the nature, size and dynamics of the problem?

Administrative Data Surveys Census Data Qualitative Research

Descriptive and

Experiential Evidence

Page 8: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model

What is already known about this issue?

Harness Existing Evidence

Research Synthesis

What is the nature, size and dynamics of the problem?

Evidence of Proven

Effectiveness

Experimental and Quasi-

Experimental Evidence

Descriptive and

Experiential Evidence

Administrative Data Surveys Census Data Qualitative Research

What policy initiatives are

effective?

Page 9: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model What is already known about the problem/policy?

Harness Existing Evidence

Research Synthesis

What is the nature, size and dynamics of the problem?

Evidence of Proven

Effectiveness

Experimental and

Quasi- Experimental Evidence

How do we make the policy work?

Implementation Evidence

Case Studies Interviews

Focus Groups Ethnography Operations Research

Descriptive Analysis and Experiential

Evidence

Administrative Data Surveys Census Data Qualitative Research

What policy initiatives are

effective?

Page 10: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model What is already known about the problem/policy?

Harness Existing Evidence

Research Synthesis

What is the nature, size and dynamics of the problem?

Evidence of Proven

Effectiveness

Experimental and

Quasi- Experimental Evidence

How do we make The policy work?

Implementation Evidence/

Case Studies Interviews

Focus Groups Ethnography Operations Research

What are the costs and benefits of the

policy ]

Economic and Econometric

Evidence Cost-Benefit/ Effectiveness/

Utility Analysis Descriptive Analysis and Experiential

Evidence

Administrative Data Surveys Census Data Qualitative Research

What policy initiatives are

effective?

Page 11: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Evidence for Policy

Theories of Change

How is the policy supposed to work?

Logic Model What is already known about the problem/policy?

Harness Existing Evidence

Research Synthesis

What is the nature, size and dynamics of the problem? Descriptive

and Experiential

Evidence

Evidence of Proven

Effectiveness

Experimental and

Quasi- Experimental Evidence

How do we make The policy work?

Implementation Evidence/

Case Studies Interviews

Focus Groups Ethnography Operations Research

What are the costs and benefits of the

policy ]

Economic and Econometric

Evidence Cost-Benefit/ Effectiveness/

Utility Analysis

What are the ethical implications of

the policy?

Ethical Evidence

Social Ethics Public

Consultation

Administrative Data Surveys Census Data Qualitative Research

What policy initiatives are

effective?

Page 12: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Impact Evaluation – One Tool in the M & E Toolkit

DAC/OECD Definition The positive and negative, primary and secondary long-

term effects produced by a development intervention, directly or indirectly, intended or unintended.”

Two underlying premises – attribution “effects

produced by” and counterfactural

Page 13: Philip Davies - introduction to impact evaluation

www.3ieimpact.org Philip Davies

Thank you Philip Davies

Email: [email protected] +44 (0)207 958 8350

Visit www.3ieimpact.org