pewinternet.org universities in 2020: a technology perspective virginia tech task force january 28,...
TRANSCRIPT
PewInternet.org
Universities in 2020: A technology perspective
Virginia Tech Task ForceJanuary 28, 2011Lee Rainie: Director, Pew Internet ProjectEmail: [email protected]
Eli Noam 1995 to AAAS
• Creation of knowledge and evaluation of its validity
• Preservation of information• Transmission of information to
others
Some big questions for universities
• What’s the franchise? What’s the commodity? – What “business” are we in? Who are our “competitors”?
• How should knowledge and teaching be organized?– How do we foster cross-discipline collaboration?
• What teaching is best done in physical space? What can be done virtually? – What are the correct social / pedagogical norms of those spaces?
• How should intellectual property be handled when “napsterization” looms over every idea?
• What new knowledge forms and distribution platforms merit attention and reward?
Cell phone owners – 85% adults
Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
All adults Ages 18-29 Ages 30-49 Ages 50-64 Age 65+
96% 90% 85%
58%
Undergrad - 96% Grad – 99.2% Comm/Coll - 94%
Mobile internet connectors – 57% adults
Feb-04 Aug-04 Feb-05 Aug-05 Feb-06 Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-100%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
All adults Whites Blacks Hispanics
62% 59% 55%
Undergrad - 92% Grad – 88% Comm/Coll - 84%
So what for higher ed? (1)Changed info ecology for networked learners
Attention zonesContinuous
partial attentionDeep divesInfo-snacking
Media zonesSocialImmersiveStreamsCreative /
participatoryStudy / work
So what for higher ed (2)Social networks play a more important role for info
and knowledge acquisition
• As sentries – word of mouth matters more– Shift in attention awakening
• As information evaluators – they vouch for/discredit information– Shift in expertise assignment
• As forums for action – everybody’s a broadcaster/publisher/critic/cheerleader– Shift in influencer arrangement
June 25, 2010 20
So what for higher ed (3) New literacies are required
- screen literacy - graphics and symbols - navigation literacy - connections and context literacy - skepticism - value of contemplative time - how to create content/knowledge - personal information literacy - ethical behavior in new world
Changes underway
Voice, smart/semantic web, translation, natural language search, projectors, screens, wearable devices make information ….
Pew Internet danah boyd– pervasive - persistent– portable - replicable– personal - scalable– participatory - searchable
COLLAPSED CONTEXTS
October 22, 2010 23July 9, 2010 23
Are hot future gadgets evident now?
Hot gadgets and apps that will capture the imagination of users in 2020 will often come “out of the blue” and not have been anticipated by many of today’s savviest innovators.
81% experts
The hot gadgets and applications that will capture the imagination of users in 2020 are pretty evident today and will not take many of today’s savviest innovators by surprise.
16% experts
The virtual world merges with real world
• Metaverse Roadmap: The internet of things enhances the internet of people– Augmented reality– Mirror worlds– Life logging – Virtual worlds
Age of big data and “the internet of things” – 50 billion connected devices by 2020?
• Exabyte: 1 billion gigabytes (1018 )– 2002: 5 exabytes of info on entire internet– 2010: 21 exabytes pass on internet per month
28
Networked learners of the future
• More self directed and less dependent on top-down instructions
• Better arrayed to capture new information inputs• More reliant on feedback and response• More attuned to group outreach and group
knowledge• More open to cross discipline insights, creating their
own “tagged” taxonomies• More oriented towards people being their own
individual nodes of production