Abraham Investment Management

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Principles of Winning

Accumulating Wealth

Past Performance is not Indicative of Future Performance

Disclaimer• The information contained is not intended and should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation of any kind,

or an offer, or the solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any securities, including any interest in any Abraham Investment Management, LLC investment product. This information is qualified in its entirety by the more complete disclosures, risk factors, and other terms and conditions that are contained in such offering documents. This information is as of the date indicated, may be estimated and is subject to change without notice. No representation is being made that any investment product will or is likely to achieve its objectives, that its strategy will be successful, or that any investor will or is likely to achieve any results shown or will make any profit or will be able to avoid incurring losses. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts, commodity options or forex can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results. You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

• This presentation might contain references to hypothetical trading results • HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO

REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS

The Bible Of Trend Following- How Professional Traders Compound

Money & Manage Risk

I have a new book being published by Wiley Books

The Goal of Our Discussion• I am here to talk to you today about the Psychology of

Winning one of the most overlooked components of investment success & Compounding of Money

• Learned these 10 Principles over the last 18 years.

• We will discuss 2 of them that probably you have never really thought about.

• You will have a better understanding and what you need to know.

Investing Success Is Like a Puzzle• At Abraham Investment management, we believe that Investing Success

is like a Puzzle. Investing is a complicated, ever changing puzzle, with a number of moving pieces. If we took all the pieces of the puzzle and sorted them into components, we might be able to generalize and say that there are three major components that all of these pieces would fall into.

Three Major Parts that Affect Long Term Investment Success

• Methodology• Risk & Money Management• Psychology of Winning

The Psychology of Winning

• Can you expect to win in an uncertain world? • What steps are you going to take to stay in the

game? • What will give you confidence that you can win?• What does a victory look like?• How much pain do you have to suffer to win? • What amount of pain might change how you

define a win?

Anything Can Happen

• Outlier Events Are Almost Certain to Happen• Most people try to dismiss outlier events.• Most professionals try to dismiss them also.• We expect them!

Comparing Sports and Investing – Actually investing is like many sports: You need to play by the RULES!– IF you Don’t Follow the Rules – You will not Win!

• Like soccer…hours of back and forth but the game is won on a few quick scores.

• Like football… hours of gains and losses and a touchdown wins the game in the 4th quarter.

• Like baseball, innings of boredom followed by a few key runs.• What do you expect to happen when they go to a soccer game? • Do you expect to see scoring every minute?

Compounding of 15% over 10 Years

Compounding 15% over 15 years

Power of Compounding • Einstein Called Compounding the Greatest Mathematical Discovery of All

Time!

The Dentist

How Many of You Would Invest in This?

• Would You Hold On During the Draw Down?

How About This?

• 13.56%

These are Warren Buffett’s Results

• Would You Invest Now?

Proprietary Account

How Easy It Really Wasn’t 1 year + of No profits

Steep & Sharp Draw Downs

• From Equity Peak of $370,000 to $270,000

Long Flat Period of Elusive Profits

• Time to Quit?

More of Nothing Happening

• A long time with nothing happening

Summation

Psychology of Winning

We would welcome the opportunity to speak with you. It is our goal to have well informed clients as it improves the probability of long term success.

Contacts

• Andrew Abraham• Andrew@AbrahamCta.com• Tel US 954 903 0638• Tel Intl 972 54 319 4101

Skype -Abraham Investment Management • Website www.AbrahamCTA.com