pa state survey - complete

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Muhlenberg College/Morning CallDecember 2011 Pennsylvania State Survey

Final Frequency ReportSample - 447 Adult Pennsylvanians

422 Registered VotersFielding Dates: November 28 December 7, 2011

Margin of Error = +/- 5% at 95% Level of ConfidenceAAPOR RR1 Response Rate = 20%

5 Callback AttemptsData Weighted by Age, Race, Educational Attainment,

Gender and Region

Q1: Thank you. In which of the following categories doesyour current age fall? (READ LIST)

1. 18-3420%2. 35-4926%3. 50-6434%4. Or over 6521%

Q2:Next, I would like for you to rate the performance of a fewpolitical officials. For each name that I read, please tell meif you approve or disapprove of the way he is doing his job.

First, President Barack Obama

1. Approve.45%2. Disapprove50%3. Not Sure..5%

TREND

Approve Disapprove Not Sure

April 2009 61% 24% 15%

April 2010 45% 46% 9%

September 2010 40% 56% 4%

March 2011 48% 44% 9%August 2011 35% 58% 7%

December 2011 45% 50% 5%

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Q3:Governor Tom Corbett?

1. Approve51%

2. Disapprove. 30%3. Not Sure19%

TREND


March 2011 36% 15% 49%

August 2011 35% 33% 32%

December 2011 51% 30% 19%

Q4:Senator Pat Toomey?

1. Approve44%2. Disapprove28%3. Not Sure28%

TREND


March 2011 39% 19% 42%

August 2011 40% 30% 31%

December 2011 44% 28% 28%

Q5:And Senator Bob Casey, Jr.?

1. Approve.54%2. Disapprove24%3. Not Sure22%

TRENDApprove Disapprove Not Sure

March 2011 48% 22% 30%

August 2011 40% 35% 26%

December 2011 54% 24% 22%

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Q6:Which of the following categories best describes your currentvoting status? Are you registered as a (READ LIST)?

1. Democrat.45%.2. Republican.. 40%3. Independent.11%4. Other Party1%5. Not registered to Vote in Pa..3%6. Not Sure.1%

Q7:Do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, ordo you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

1. Reelected..41%2. Not reelected51%3. Not Sure..8%

TREND

Yes No Not Sure

March 2011 40% 45% 14%

August 2011 36% 55% 9%

December 2011 41% 51% 8%

Q8: Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held todayDo you think you would vote for Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican

Candidate?

1. Barack Obama..45%2. Republican Candidate..37%3. Depends on the Candidate...14%4. Not sure.5%

TREND

Obama Republican Depends on

Candidate (vol)

Not Sure

March 2011 37% 33% 22% 8%

August 2011 36% 31% 31% 3%

December 2011 45% 37% 14% 5%

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Q9:Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today

and the race was between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney,

who would you vote for?

1. Barack Obama..45%2. Mitt Romney41%3. Some other Candidate8%4. Not sure.6%

Q10:If the 2012 presidential election was being held today

and the race was between Barack Obama and Rick Perry,


1. Barack Obama..48%2. Rick Perry.....30%3. Some other Candidate..11%4. Not sure10%

Q11:

Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today

and the race was between Barack Obama and Herman Cain,


1. Barack Obama..55%2. Herman Cain 28%3. Some other Candidate...10%4. Not sure..8%

Q12:Now, if the 2012 presidential election was being held today

and the race was between Barack Obama and Newt Gingrich,


1. Barack Obama.52%2. Newt Gingrich 35%3. Some other Candidate6%4. Not sure..6%

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Q13:Do you feel that Pennsylvania Senator Bob Casey, Jr. deservesto be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve tobe reelected?

1. Reelected ..54%2. Not Reelected 27%3. Not Sure.19%

TREND

Yes No Not Sure/Refused

March 2011 48% 24% 28%

August 2011 41% 30% 30%

December 2011 54% 27% 19%

Q14:

If the 2012 election for United States Senator were beingheld today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr.the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?

1. Bob Casey Jr. ..49%2. Republican Candidate..27%3. Depends on Candidate.16%4. Not Sure8%

TREND

Casey Republican Depends on

Candidate (vol)

Not

Sure/RefusedMarch 2011 41% 27% 18% 24%

August 2011 33% 25% 25% 18%

December 2011 51% 28% 14% 6%

Q15:If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's

candidate would you vote for in your congressional district. The

Democratic Party's candidate, or the Republican Party's candidate?

1. Democratic Candidate 40%2. Republican Candidate 35%3. Depends on Candidate.19%4. Not Sure 6%

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Q16:How would you describe the state of the nation's economy today?Would you say that it is excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

1. Excellent..


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TRENDHelped the

Economy

Hurt the

Economy

Havent Made a

Difference

Not Sure /Refused

April 2011 28% 28% 31% 13%

August 2011 23% 41% 32% 5%

December 2011 25% 38% 33% 5%

Q19:During recent years there has been an increased level of natural gas drilling in Pennsylvania'sMarcellus (MAR-cell-us) shale deposits. Currently there is no tax on the extraction of naturalgas in the state. Do you strongly support, somewhat support,somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the creation of a tax onnatural gas drilling in Pennsylvania?

1. Strongly support43%2. Somewhat Support28%3. Somewhat oppose. 9%4. Strongly oppose.12%5. Not Sure..9%

TRENDStrongly

Support

Somewhat Somewhat Strongly

Oppose

Not

Sure/Ref

September 2010 32% 21% 11% 24% 12%

March 2011 34% 23% 12% 14% 17%

August 2011 37% 25% 15% 15% 11%

December 2011 43% 28% 9% 12% 9%

Q20: Currently local governments in Pennsylvania are allowed to regulate where natural gasdrilling rigs can be placed in their municipalities. There is a proposal in the state legislature thatwould allow the state to set the rules on where drilling rigs can be placed. Do you think that therules on where natural gas drilling rigs should be placed are better made at the local or state levelsof government in Pennsylvania.

1. Local Level59%2. State Level 26%3. Both (Vol).. 5%4. Neither (vol)..


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Q21:In order to help reduce the state's budget shortfalls some havecalled for Pennsylvania to sell its state-owned liquor stores.Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or

strongly oppose the sale of the state's liquor stores?

1. Strongly support34%2. Somewhat Support24%3. Somewhat oppose.16%4. Strongly oppose15%5. Not Sure11%

TRENDStrongly

Support

Somewhat Somewhat Strongly

Oppose

Not

Sure/Ref

September 2010 37% 28% 10% 10% 13%March 2011 34% 24% 12% 15% 16%

August 2011 36% 27% 16% 13% 9%

December 2011 34% 24% 16% 15% 11%

Q22:If Pennsylvania did sell its state owned liquor stores which of the following sources would youprefer the money be used for. (READ LIST) To

1. Build and repair the states road and bridges.24%

2. Reduce taxes for citizens of the state.12%3. Help fund public schools in the state..30%4. Provide a check for each resident of the state...4%5. Or to help balance the state budget next year.. ..17%6. Other (VOL)..4%7. Not Sure10%

Q23:Pennsylvania is currently experiencing a shortfall in funds torepair and maintain the state's roads and bridges. Wouldyou be willing to pay higher drivers license and motor vehicle

registration fees if the money raised from those fees wentdirectly towards repairing and maintaining state roads and bridges?

1. Willing to pay higher fees.57%2. Unwilling to pay higher fees.35%3. No opinion..3%4. Not sure...6%.

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TREND

Willing to Pay Unwilling To Pay No Opinion/Not Sure

March 2011 53% 31% 15%

August 2011 46% 45% 9%

December 2011 57% 35% 9%

Q24:Pennsylvania legislators are discussing a proposal that would increase taxes on gasoline for fueldistributors, with the money raised from the tax going only for repairing and rebuildingPennsylvanias road and bridges. Would you support this increased tax on fuel distribution ameans of funding state roads and bridges if it meant that you paid about 10 cents more for agallon of gas?

1. Support30%2. Oppose62%

3. Not Sure.9%

Q25. Where is a proposal in the state legislator that would allow low-income families inPennsylvania the ability to receive vouchers to pay for primary and secondary education. Theplan, which would give students a chance to transfer out of the states most underperformingschools, would begin during the 2012-2013 school year. Do you support or oppose the proposal toestablish an educational voucher system for low income families in Pennsylvania?

1. Support50%2. Oppose 44%3. Not Sure 6%

Q26. If the bill is passed, would you prefer that the vouchers be used for public schools, privateschools, or both?

1. Public schools only34%2. Private schools only.. 5%3. Public and private schools..56%4. Not sure (Volunteered)6%

Q27. Would you support or oppose the use of vouchers at a school that is funded by a religiousorganization?

1. Support46%2. Oppose. 43%3. No opinion (Volunteered)4%4. Not sure (Volunteered)8%

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Q28:Next I have a few questions regarding social issues in the United

States. First, do you think marriages between gay and lesbian

couples should or should not be recognized by the law as valid,

with the same rights as traditional marriages?

1. Should be recognized..52%

2. Should not be recognized37%

3. Not sure9%

TREND

Should Be

Recognized

Should Not Be

Recognized

Not Sure/Refused

2004 35% 54% 12%

2009 42% 51% 7%2011 52% 37% 9%

Q29:

Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would

define marriage as being between a man and a woman, thus barring

marriages between gay and lesbian couples?

1. Favor amendment barring same sex marriage..36%

2. Oppose amendment barring same sex marriage57%

3. Not sure7%

TREND

Favor Amendment Oppose Amendment Not Sure/Refused

2004 43% 47% 10%

2009 44% 45% 10%

2011 36% 57% 7%

Q30:

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Would you favor or oppose a law that would allow homosexual couples

to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights

of married couples?

1. Favor law granting civil unions..63%

2. Oppose law granting civil unions30%

3. Not sure 7%

TREND

Favor Civil Unions Oppose Civil Unions Not Sure

2004 54% 38% 6%

2009 61% 31% 8%

2011 63% 30% 7%

Q31:

Do you favor or oppose the repeal of Don't Ask Don't Tell,

the military policy banning openly gay members from service?

1. Yes- favor48%.

2. No- Oppose.39%

3. Not Sure .13%

TREND

Favor Repeal Oppose Repeal Not Sure/Refused

2009 39% 42% 19%

2011 48% 39% 13%

Q32`:

Does a candidate's position on gay marriage effect how you vote in

that race?

1. Yes..31%.

2. No...62%

3. Not Sure ..7%

TREND

Does Effect Does Not Effect Not Sure/Refused

2009 34% 60% 7%

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2011 31% 62% 7%

Q33:

Do you have any family members or close friends who identify

as Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual, or Transgender?

1. Yes...49%

2. No....50%

3. Not Sure 1%

TREND

Yes No Not Sure/Refused

2009 50% 46% 4%

2011 49% 50% 1%

Q34: The unemployment rate measures the portion of the workforce that wants to work but can'tfind a job. The next few questions ask you to consider the effects of different government policieson unemployment in the United States. First when the government increases its spending in agiven year, does that tend to make unemployment better or worse?

1. Better.26%2. Worse44%3. No Effect (Vol).11%4. Not Sure (Vol)...19%

Q35. When the government cuts taxes in a given year, does that tend to make unemploymentbetter or worse?

1. Better.46%2. Worse.22%3. No Effect (Vol)..18%4. Not Sure (Vol)15%

Q36. When the Federal Reserve creates more money in a given year, does that tend to makeunemployment better or worse?

1. Better.23%2. Worse.41%3. No Effect (Vol)..11%4. Not Sure (Vol)25%

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Q37. When the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates in a given year, does that tend to makeunemployment better or worse?"

1. Better.46%2. Worse.16%

3. No Effect (Vol)..16%4. Not Sure (Vol)22%

Finally, I have a few questions about yourself.

Q38: What county do you reside in?

(CODED INTO REGIONS)Southeast.34%Southwest19%Remainder of State..48%

Q: 39:What is your current marital status? (READ LIST)

1. Single ..21%2. Married54%3. Separated3%4. Divorced.7%5. Widowed..14%6. Partnered1%

Q: 40:What is your highest level of education? (READ LIST)

1. Less than HS 7%2. Hs grad34%3. Some college.. 29%4. College graduate.19%5. Graduate or professional degree.11%6. Not sure1%

Q41:Which of the following categories best describes yourracial identity? Are you (READ LIST)?

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1. White/Caucasian.78%2. African-American 10%3. Hispanic5%4. Asian American....2%5. Native-American.1%

6. Mixed Race 4%7. Other1%

Q 42:Which of the following categories best describes yourfamily income? Is it?

1. Under $20,00013%2. $20-40,000..25%3. $40-60,000..21%4. $60-80,000..15%5. $80-100,00012%6. Over $100,000.12%7. Not sure.2%

Q43:Thank you for your help with the survey. We appreciateyour time.

1. Male..48%2. Female. 52%

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pa state survey - complete

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