Datos BsicosHOJA DE CLCULO DE PROYECCCION Y DEMANDA DE DISTRITO DE SANTA ROSAI. Informacin General.Ciudad:Santa RosaDistrito:Santa RosaProvincia:ChiclayoDepartamento:LambayequeII. Datos Censales.Ao CensalPoblacin (habitantes)197249871981526219936461200710827Fuente: Segn censos INEI 1972,1981,1993 Y2007Tasa de crecimiento 1.90%

M. Int. Sim.MTODO DE INTERS SIMPLEI. Ecuacin GeneralPf = Po *( 1+ r *t ) Donde :Pf = Poblacin futura (habitantes)Po = Poblacin ao base (habitantes)r = ( 1 / t )*( (Pf / Po) - 1 )r = Tasa de crecimiento (%)t = Tiempo en aosII. Calculo de Tasa de Crecimiento por Combinaciones2.1.- De dos en dos censos :CurvaPerodot ir i(aos)(%)Pf 11972198190.61%Pf 219721993211.41%Pf 319722007353.35%Pf 419811993121.90%Pf 519812007264.07%Pf 619932007144.83%2.2.- De tres en tres censos :CurvaPerodor i(%)Pf 71972198119931.35%Pf 81972198120073.18%Pf 91972199320072.78%Pf 101981199320073.48%2.3.- De cuatro en cuatro censos :CurvaPerodor i(%)Pf 1119721981199320072.74%III. Aplicacin de Mnimos CuadradosPf = Po*( 1+ r *t )Pf = Po + Po*r*t (Ecuac. 1)Y = A + B*X (Ecuac. 2)Se iguala la Ecuac 1 y 2Pf = YPo= At= XB=Po*r = (Y-A-B*X) 2B = 0 2* ( Y A B.X ) ( - X ) = 0Luego la ecuacin (3) se iguala a 0 y se obtiene:- XY + A X + BX2 =0B = ( XY + A X ) / ( X2 ) ; r = B / PoAo PoblacinX = tY = Log PfX . YX 2Censal(habitantes)(aos)19724987-353.6978-129.42441,22519815262-263.7212-96.749967619936461-143.8103-53.344219620071082704.03450.00000TOTAL =-75-279.51852,097B =387.0985A =Po =10827r =3.58%IV. Seleccin de Tasa de CrecimientoCurvaTasa2007199319811972SUMADIFERENCIA( % )ABSOLUTACenso10827646152624987275370Pf 10.61%108279898.289102.238505.1938332.6910795.69Pf 10.61%Pf 21.41%108278693.596864.955493.4731879.004342.00Pf 21.41%Pf 33.35%108275755.441408.39-1851.9016138.9311398.07Pf 33.35%Pf 41.90%108277948.785481.743631.4627888.99351.99Pf 41.90%Pf 54.07%108274661.37-623.45-4587.0610277.8617259.14Pf 54.07%Pf 64.83%108273510.69-2760.43-7463.784113.4823423.52Pf 64.83%Pf 71.35%108278784.287033.385720.2032364.864827.86Pf 71.35%Pf 83.18%108276008.011877.44-1220.4817491.9610045.04Pf 83.18%Pf 92.78%108276620.433014.79310.5720772.796764.21Pf 92.78%Pf 103.48%108275559.041043.65-2342.9015086.7912450.21Pf 103.48%Pf 112.74%108276674.843115.85446.6121064.316472.69Pf 112.74%Pf 123.58%108275407.62762.44-2721.4514275.6213261.38Pf 123.58%Nota: Si alguna curva tiene alguna poblacion negativa y la simulacin recomendara dicha curva como adecuada, ser desechada y se considerar la mayor inmediata superior a ella.MINIMA DIFERENCIA ABSOLUTA:352CURVA RECOMENDADA :Pf 4TASA DE CRECIMIENTO RECOMENDADA :1.90%TASA DE CRECIMIENTO ADOPTADA :1.90%

MTODO INTERS SIMPLESELECCION DE CURVA REPRESENTATIVA DE CRECIMIENTO

Censo200719931981197210827646152624987Pf 12007199319811972108279898.27531582113629102.22558652496458505.1882895528397Pf 22007199319811972108278693.58672548626426864.94677590306315493.4668137156614Pf 32007199319811972108275755.43954281130851408.3877223638594-1851.9011429717286Pf 42007199319811972108277948.78477765108255481.74315849486723631.4619441277059Pf 52007199319811972108274661.3743969827192-623.44754846066314-4587.0640075432011Pf 62007199319811972108273510.68952174586-2760.4337453291178-7463.7761956353488Pf 72007199319811972108278784.28072258110487033.37848479348035720.2018064527638Pf 82007199319811972108276008.00606182688351877.4398291070702-1220.4848454327905Pf 92007199319811972108276620.42784399010273014.7945674101902310.56960997525681Pf 102007199319811972108275559.04117831750141043.6479025896444-2342.8970542062484Pf 112007199319811972108276674.84424224700713115.8535927444409446.61060561751725Pf 122007199319811972108275407.6214873375284762.43990505540933-2721.4462816561786

Aos

Poblacin (Habitantes)

M.Int.CompuestoMTODO DEL INTERS COMPUESTOI. Ecuacin GeneralPf = Po ( 1 + r ) t;Donde :Pf = Poblacin futura (habitantes)Po = Poblacin inicial (habitantes)r = Tasa de crecimiento (%)t = N de aos del perodo intrecensalII. Calculo de Tasa de Crecimiento por Combinaciones2.0.- Datos:AOPOBLACION1972498719815262199364612005108272.1.- De dos en dos censos :CurvaPerodot ir i(aos)(%)Pf 11,9721,98190.60%Pf 2 1,9721,993211.24%Pf 31,9722,005332.38%Pf 4 1,9811,993121.73%Pf 51,9812,005243.05%Pf 61,9932,005124.40%2.2.- De tres en tres censos :CurvaPerodor i(%)Pf 71,9721,9811,9931.10%Pf 81,9721,9812,0051.96%Pf 91,9721,9932,0051.97%Pf 101,9811,9932,0052.75%2.3.- De cuatro en cuatro censos :CurvaPerodor i(%)Pf 111,9721,9811,9932,0051.82%III. Clculo de Tasa de Crecimiento por Mnimos CuadradosLog Pf = Log Po + t Log ( 1 + r )< >Y = A + X . BAo PoblacinX = tY = Log PfX . YX 2Censal(habitantes)(aos)1,9724,987-333.6978-122.02871,089.001,9815,262-243.7212-89.3076576.001,9936,461-123.8103-45.7236144.002,00510,82704.03450.00000.00TOTAL =-69-257.05991,809;B =0.0118r =2.75%IV. Seleccin de Tasa de CrecimientoCurvaTasa2,0071,9931,9811,972SUMADIFERENCIA( % )2,0071,9931,9811,972ABSOLUTACenso10827.006461.005262.004987.0027537.000.00Pf 10.60%10827.009959.699271.808787.2438845.7211308.72Pf 1Pf 10.6%Pf 2 1.24%10827.009110.347857.277031.9234826.537289.53Pf 2 Pf 2 1.2%Pf 32.38%10827.007792.545878.334758.1229255.991718.99Pf 3Pf 32.4%Pf 4 1.73%10827.008521.216939.885949.6432237.734700.73Pf 4 Pf 4 1.7%Pf 53.05%10827.007107.494954.933780.3226669.75867.25Pf 5Pf 53.1%Pf 64.40%10827.005928.323537.722401.9722695.014841.99Pf 6Pf 64.4%Pf 71.10%10827.009294.958155.537393.6035671.088134.08Pf 7Pf 71.1%Pf 81.96%10827.008254.226541.505494.5031117.223580.22Pf 8Pf 82.0%Pf 91.97%10827.008244.576527.305478.4531077.323540.32Pf 9Pf 92.0%Pf 102.75%10827.007401.595342.444183.6027754.63217.63Pf 10Pf 102.8%Pf 111.82%10827.008415.596780.985766.9831790.554253.55Pf 11Pf 111.8%Pf 122.75%10827.007404.615346.484187.8727765.96228.96Pf 12Pf 122.8%Nota: Si alguna curva tiene alguna poblacion negativa y la simulacin recomendara dicha curva como adecuada, ser desechada y se considerar la mayor inmediata superior a ella.V. Seleccin de la curva representativaMINIMA DIFERENCIA ABSOLUTA:217.63CURVA RECOMENDADA :Pf 10TASA DE CRECIMIENTO RECOMENDADA :2.75%TASA DE CRECIMIENTO ADOPTADA :2.75%

UNIVERSIDAD CESAR VALLEJO INGENIERIA CIVIL

DOC: ING. PABLO VALDIVIA CHACON INGENIERIA SANITARIA

METODO DE INTERS COMPUESTO

Censo200719931981197210827646152624987Pf 12007199319811972108279959.69046995792099271.79613899840668787.2381879865079Pf 2 2007199319811972108279110.33936337595157857.26651939410297031.9242230546215Pf 32007199319811972108277792.53860045298555878.32989812683174758.1179146520244Pf 4 2007199319811972108278521.20649926884836939.88370208212655949.6376901086296Pf 52007199319811972108277107.49204875789844954.93242513004593780.3216291331082Pf 62007199319811972108275928.32050572783193537.71855430937382401.9667018464625Pf 72007199319811972108279294.95296704687288155.52841015041127393.5971919587555Pf 82007199319811972108278254.22125148192396541.49813811588685494.4985024308771Pf 92007199319811972108278244.5706344793076527.30155502933855478.4525268982943Pf 102007199319811972108277401.59009237786095342.43822940492564183.6020700374838Pf 112007199319811972108278415.58638063870426780.98201305373195766.9840477765656Pf 122007199319811972108277404.60742815073545346.48360920799224187.8670968139159

Aos

Poblacin (Habitantes)

M.ParablicoMETODO PARABLICOCALCULO DE "A", "B" Y "C" DE LAS ECUACIONES I. Ecuacin GeneralPf 1 :1,9721,9811,993Pf = Po + B t + C t 2, donde :Pf = Poblacin futura (habitantes)Poblacin :4,9875,2626,461Po = Poblacin inicial (habitantes)t (aos) :0921B, C = Constantest = N de aos del perodo intrecensalA+Bx0+Cx0=4,987A+Bx9+Cx81=5,262II. Calculo de Coeficientes de Crecimiento por CombinacionesA+Bx21+Cx441=6,4612.0.- Datos:A =4,987AOPOBLACION-441xBx9+Cx81=2751972498781xBx21+Cx441=1,4741981526219936461Bx-3969+Cx-35721=-121,275200510827Bx1701+Cx35721=119,394Bx-2268+Cx0=-1,8812.1.- De tres en tres censos :B =0.83C =3.30CurvaPerodoABCPf 11,9721,9811,9934,9870.833.30Pf 2 :1,9721,9812,005Pf 21,9721,9812,0054,987-24.356.10Poblacin :4,9875,26210,827Pf 31,9721,9932,0054,987-116.678.90t (aos) :0933Pf 41,9811,9932,0055,262-32.0411.00A+Bx0+Cx0=4,987Nota: Los clculos se encuentra en el area de anexos.A+Bx9+Cx81=5,262A+Bx33+Cx1089=10,827III. Clculo de Coeficientes por Mnimos CuadradosA =4,987Pf = Po + B . T + C . T< >Y = A + X . B + X2 . C; t = 0 en2,005-1089xBx9+Cx81=27581xBx33+Cx1089=5,840Ao YX = tX 2X 3X 4X.YX2.YCensal(habitantes)(aos)Bx-9801+Cx-88209=-299,4751,9724,987-331,089-35,9371,185,921-164,5715,430,843Bx2673+Cx88209=473,0401,9815,262-24576-13,824331,776-126,2883,030,912Bx-7128+Cx0=173,5651,9936,461-12144-1,72820,736-77,532930,3842,00510,827000000B =-24.35C =6.10TOTAL =-691,809-51,4891,538,433-368,3919,392,139Coeficientes Estimados :Pf 3 :1,9721,9932,005CurvaABCPoblacin :4,9876,46110,827Pf 510,827437.3320.73t (aos) :02133A+Bx0+Cx0=4,987IV. Seleccin de CoeficientesA+Bx21+Cx441=6,461Curva2,0071,9931,9811,972SUMADIFERENCIAA+Bx33+Cx1089=10,8272,0071,9931,9811,972ABSOLUTACenso10,8276,4615,2624,98727,5370A =4,987Pf 19062.096461.005262.004987.0025772.091764.91Pf 1Pf 211607.987166.025262.004987.0029023.001486.00Pf 2-1089xBx21+Cx441=1,474Pf 311803.826461.004657.704987.0027909.52372.52Pf 3441xBx33+Cx1089=5,840Pf 411862.576461.005262.006441.0930026.662489.66Pf 40Bx-22869+Cx-480249=-1,605,186Bx14553+Cx480249=2,575,440Nota: Si alguna curva tiene alguna poblacion negativa y la simulacin recomendara dichaBx-8316+Cx0=970,254 curva como adecuada, ser desechada y se considerar la mayor inmediata superior a ella.B =-116.67C =8.90V. Seleccin de la curva representativaPf 4 :1,9811,9932,005Poblacin :5,2626,46110,827t (aos) :01224A+Bx0+Cx0=5,262ERROR:#REF!A+Bx12+Cx144=6,461ERROR:#REF!A+Bx24+Cx576=10,827ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!A =5,262ERROR:#REF!ERROR:#REF!-576xBx12+Cx144=1,199Pf 1144xBx24+Cx576=5,565Pf 2Pf 3Bx-6912+Cx-82944=-690,624Pf 4Bx3456+Cx82944=801,3600Bx-3456+Cx0=110,736B =-32.04C =11.00MINIMA DIFERENCIA ABSOLUTA:373Pf 11 :Minimos CuadradosCURVA RECOMENDADA :Pf 3COEFICIENTES RECOMENDADOS :A =4,987.00-747,063+Bx1,809+Cx-51,489=-368,391B =-116.6719,586,043+Bx-51,489+Cx1,538,433=9,392,139C =8.90A =10,827COEFICIENTES ADOPTADOS :Ao 0 =2,005A =4,987.00-1,538,433xBx1,809+Cx-51,489=378,672B =-116.67-51,489xBx-51,489+Cx1,538,433=-10,193,904C =8.90Bx-2783025297+Cx79212376737=-582,561,500,976Bx2651117121+Cx-79212376737=524,873,923,056Bx-131908176+Cx0=-57,687,577,920B =437.33C =20.73

UNIVERSIDAD CESAR VALLEJO INGENIERIA CIVIL

DOC: ING. PABLO VALDIVIA CHACON INGENIERIA SANITARIA

METODO PARABOLA DE 2 GRADO

Censo200719931981197210827646152624987Pf 120071993198119729062.09259259259856461.000000000002752624987Pf 2200719931981197211607.9806397306357166.015151515150152624987Pf 3200719931981197211803.81818181818264614657.70129870129864987Pf 4200719931981197211862.569444444445646152626441.093752007199319811972

Aos

Poblacin (Habitantes)

M.AritmericoMETODO ARITMETICOI. Ecuacin GeneralPf = Po + k t, donde :Pf = Poblacin futura (habitantes)Po = Poblacin inicial (habitantes)k = Tasa de crecimiento (habitantes/ao)t = N de aos del perodo intrecensalII. Calculo de Tasa de Crecimiento PromedioCurvaPerodot ik i(aos)(hab/ao)Pf 119721981931Pf 2 197219932170Pf 31972200735167Pf 4 1981199312100Pf 51981200726214Pf 61993200714312Tasa Promedio149habitantes/aoEcuacin aplicada :Pf = 4987 +149 t; con t=0 en 2007III. Clculo de Tasa de Crecimiento por Mnimos CuadradosAo tPoblacinCensal(aos)(habitantes)1972-3549871981-2652621993-1464612007010827k11 adoptado :227.9Nota: Digitar el factor "k" de la ecuacin delgrfico adjunto.IV. Seleccin de Tasa de CrecimientoCurvaTasa2,0071,9931,9811,972SUMADIFERENCIA( K )ABSOLUTACenso10827646152624987275370Pf 13110827103931002197424098313446Pf 1Pf 1Pf 2 70108279847900783773805810521Pf 2 Pf 2 Pf 316710827848964854982307833246Pf 3Pf 3Pf 4 10010827942782277327358088271Pf 4 Pf 4 Pf 52141082778315263333727258279Pf 5Pf 5Pf 63121082764592715-93199087629Pf 6Pf 6Pf 7227.91108277636.264901.342850.1526214.751322.25Pf 7Pf 7Nota: Si alguna curva tiene alguna poblacion negativa y la simulacin recomendara dicha curva como adecuada, ser desechada y se considerar la mayor inmediata superior a ella.MINIMA DIFERENCIA ABSOLUTA:279CURVA RECOMENDADA :Pf 5TASA DE CRECIMIENTO RECOMENDADA :214TASA DE CRECIMIENTO ADOPTADA :214

Crecimiento Histrico Poblacional

Crecimiento Historico-35-26-14049875262646110827

T (aos)

P (habitantes)

MTODO ARITMTICO

Censo200719931981197210827646152624987Pf 120071993198119721082710393100219742Pf 2 200719931981197210827984790078377Pf 3200719931981197210827848964854982Pf 4 200719931981197210827942782277327Pf 5200719931981197210827783152633337Pf 620071993198119721082764592715-93Pf 72007199319811972108277636.264901.342850.1500000000005

Aos

Poblacin (Habitantes)

ResumenRESUMEN DE MODELOS MATEMATICOSCLCULO DE LA PROYECCION DE POBLACIN DE CIUDAD DE SANTA ROSAI. Seleccin de Poblacin Futura EstimadaItemAoCurvaModelos Matemticos (habitantes)PoblacinReferencialInters Inters Parabola Mtodo Seleccionada(hbtes.)CompuestoSimple2 gradoAritmtico(habitantes)Censo2007.0010827.0010827.0010827.0010827.0010827.0010827.0002007.0010827.0010827.0010827.0010827.0010827.0010827.0012008.0011032.7111125.1810829.0610719.2311041.0011125.1822009.0011242.3311431.5710831.1110629.2511255.0011431.5732010.0011455.9411746.3910833.1710557.0611469.0011746.3942011.0011673.6012069.8910835.2310502.6811683.0012069.8952012.0011895.4012402.3010837.2810466.0911897.0012402.3062013.0012121.4112743.8610839.3410447.3012111.0012743.8672014.0012351.7213094.8210841.4010446.3012325.0013094.8282015.0012586.4013455.4610843.4610463.1012539.0013455.4692016.0012825.5413826.0210845.5210497.7012753.0013826.02102017.0013069.2314206.7910847.5810550.1012967.0014206.79112018.0013317.5414598.0510849.6410620.2913181.0014598.05122019.0013570.5815000.0810851.7010708.2713395.0015000.08132020.0013828.4215413.1910853.7610814.0613609.0015413.19142021.0014091.1615837.6710855.8210937.6413823.0015837.67152022.0014358.8916273.8410857.8811079.0114037.0016273.84162023.0014631.7116722.0210859.9411238.1914251.0016722.02172024.0014909.7117182.5510862.0011415.1614465.0017182.55182025.0015193.0017655.7610864.0711609.9214679.0017655.76192026.0015481.6618142.0010866.1311822.4814893.0018142.00202027.0015775.8218641.6410868.1912052.8415107.0018641.64212028.0016075.5619155.0310870.2612301.0015321.0019155.03222029.0016380.9919682.5610872.3212566.9515535.0019682.56232030.0016692.2320224.6210874.3812850.7015749.0020224.62242031.0017009.3820781.6110876.4513152.2515963.0020781.61II. Seleccin de la Curva RepresentativaIII. CONCLUSIONESHemos optado que el Mtodo Inters Simple es el ms cercano para esta proyeccin, ya que es el mas representativoentre los mtodos ya calculados.ConclusionesSe ha seleccionado el Mtodo de Inters Compuesto ya que pertenece a la curva ms cercana a la referencial, puesto que si el valor es muy bajo el sistema ser inadecuado siendo necesario reedisear, reeconstruir y reefinanciar.Para el calculo de poblacin futura que para el presente trabajo ser para el ao 2031 con una poblacion de:17,009habitantesLa Tasa de Crecimiento Adoptada es 2.75%

UNIVERSIDAD CESAR VALLEJO INGENIERIA CIVIL

DOC: ING. PABLO VALDIVIA CHACON INGENIERIA SANITARIA

ESTIMACION DE CRECIMIENTO POBLACIONALSELECCIN DE MODELO MATEMATICO

CurvaReferencial20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020311082711032.71311242.33454699999911455.93890339299811673.60174255746511895.40017566605512121.41277900371112351.71962180478112586.40229461907112825.54393821683213069.22927304295313317.54462923076813570.57797718615113828.41895875268514091.15891896898914358.890938429414631.70986625955614909.71235371848915192.99688843913615481.66382931948315775.81544207655116075.55593547600416380.9914982500516692.23033671679917009.382713114417Inters Compuesto20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020311082711125.17702218867311431.56587928648911746.3927263206912069.88994665808612402.29632353436712743.85721630734213094.82474156421413455.45795921658113826.02306372051514206.7935805628614598.05056815881315000.08282530975515413.1871043745315837.66833031147116273.83982575287716722.02354227808617182.55029805580517655.7600220311818142.00200483778118641.63515661975519155.0282719544319682.5603020709220224.62063456565720781.609380821348Inters Simple20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020311082710829.05586801596310831.11212640721910833.16877524789410835.22581461212610837.28324457407310839.34106520790210841.39927658779210843.45787878793810845.51687188255910847.57625594587110849.63603105211610851.69619727554310853.75675469042710855.8177033710410857.87904339168410859.94077482665910862.00289775029510864.06541223692910866.1283183609110868.19161619660210870.25530581839110872.31938730066610874.38386071783310876.448726144317Parabola 2 grado20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020311082710719.22510822510810629.24675324675410557.06493506493510502.67965367965410466.0909090909110447.29870129870110446.3030303030310463.10389610389610497.70129870129910550.09523809523910620.28571428571410708.27272727272810814.05627705627710937.63636363636411079.01298701298611238.18614718614811415.15584415584511609.92207792207811822.48484848484812052.8441558441551230112566.95238095238212850.70129870129913152.246753246753Mtodo Aritmtico200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024202520262027202820292030203110827110411125511469116831189712111123251253912753129671318113395136091382314037142511446514679148931510715321155351574915963Curva Selecta20072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026202720282029203020311082711125.17702218867311431.56587928648911746.3927263206912069.88994665808612402.29632353436712743.85721630734213094.82474156421413455.45795921658113826.02306372051514206.7935805628614598.05056815881315000.08282530975515413.1871043745315837.66833031147116273.83982575287716722.02354227808617182.55029805580517655.7600220311818142.00200483778118641.63515661975519155.0282719544319682.5603020709220224.62063456565720781.609380821348

AOS

POBLACION

Pob. FuturaCALCULO DE LA POBLACIN FUTURAMtodo Inters Simple:Poblacin actual (Censo INEI 2007)10827 habTasa de crecimiento adoptada2.75%Periodo ptimo de diseo (POD)20 aosFase del ProyectoAo CaluladoAo ProyectadoPoblacin (hab) Informacin200710827200811125Pre - inversin200911432201011746Inversin2011012070Post - Inversin2012112402201321274420143130952015413455201651382620176142072018714598201981500020209154132021101583820221116274202312167222024131718320251417656202615181422027161864220281719155202918196832030192022520312020782

Demanda de los Servicios DEMANDA DE LOS SERVICIOS DE AGUA Tasa de crecimiento adoptada2.75%Periodo ptimo de diseo (POD)20 aosDensidad6.00 hab/vivSegn OS.100 R.N.Ek1 = 1.3k2 = 2.5Adoptado segn OS.100 R.N.EAo CalculadoAo ProyecPoblacin (hab) Cobertura de Servicio (%)Poblacin Servida (hab)N CD totalesN de UsuariosNCDConsumid. promedioConsumo Neto (m3/mes)IANC (%)Consumo Total (m3/mes)Demanda (m3/ao)Caudal Diseo (lt/seg)CdCcCeCsCdCcCeCsQpQmdQmh20071082701082718051803020180540020072140.0040120233.331462838.8946.3960.30115.9720081112501083318541804020180640020072180.0040120300.001463650.0046.4160.34116.0320091143201083919051805020180740020072220.0040120366.671464461.1146.4460.37116.092010117460.001084519581806020180840020072260.0040120433.331465272.2246.4660.40116.16201101207089.901085120121807020180940020072300.0040120500.001466083.3346.4960.44116.22201211240287.541085720671808020181040020072340.0040120566.671466894.4446.5160.47116.29201321274485.241086321241809020181140020072380.0040120633.331467705.5646.5460.50116.35201431309583.001086921821810020181240020072420.0040120700.001468516.6746.5760.54116.42201541345580.821087522431811020181340020072460.0040120766.671469327.7846.5960.57116.48201651382678.701088123041812020181440020072500.0040120833.331470138.8946.6260.60116.54201761420776.631088723681813020181540020072540.0040120900.001470950.0046.6460.64116.61201871459874.621089324331814020181640020072580.0040120966.671471761.1146.6760.67116.67201981500072.661089925001815020181740020072620.0040121033.331472572.2246.6960.70116.74202091541370.751090525691814022181840020072580.0040120966.671471761.1146.6760.67116.672021101583868.891091126401815022181940020072620.0040121033.331472572.2246.6960.70116.742022111627467.081091727121816022182040020072660.0040121100.001473383.3346.7260.74116.802023121672265.321092327871817022182140020072700.0040121166.671474194.4446.7560.77116.872024131718363.611092928641818022182240020072740.0040121233.331475005.5646.7760.80116.932025141765661.931093529431819022182340020072780.0040121300.001475816.6746.8060.84116.992026151814260.311094130241820022182440020072820.0040121366.671476627.7846.8260.87117.062027161864258.721094731071821022182540020072860.0040121433.331477438.8946.8560.90117.122028171915557.181095331931822022182640020072900.0040121500.001478250.0046.8860.94117.192029181968355.681095932801823022182740020072940.0040121566.671479061.1146.9060.97117.2520301920225541096533711824022182840020072980.0040121633.331479872.2246.9361.00117.3220312020782531097134641825022182940020073020.0040121700.001480683.3346.9561.04117.38Donde:1,166.762,916.89Cobertura de Servicio (%): asumiendo que las viviendas seran abastecidas al 100%Poblacin Servida (hab) = N conexiones domiciliarias conectados*DensidadConsumo Neto (m3/mes) = N Usuarios * Consumo PromedioConsumo Total (m3/mes) = Consumo Neto/(1 - IANC/100)Demanda (m3/ao) = Consumo Total*365/30Qp = Demanda/(365*8640)Qmd =Qp*k1Qmh = Qp*k2

Censo 1972y1981Censo 1972 y 1981 Distrito de Eten

Censo 1993

Censo 2007CUADRO N 1: POBLACIN TOTAL, POR REA URBANA Y RURAL, Y SEXO, SEGN DEPARTAMENTO, PROVINCIA, DISTRITO Y EDADES SIMPLESDEPARTAMENTO, PROVINCIA,TOTALPOBLACINTOTALURBANATOTALRURALDISTRITO Y EDADES SIMPLESHOMBRESMUJERESHOMBRESMUJERESHOMBRESMUJERESDistrito SANTA ROSA (000)109655381558410827531655111386573Menores de 1 ao (001)250124126244121123633Menores de 1 mes (002)331023331023De 1 a 11 meses (003)217114103211111100633De 1 a 4 aos (004)10705485221050539511209111 ao (005)2541271272491251245232 aos (006)2701421282671411263123 aos (007)2981321662941311634134 aos (008)24814710124014298853De 5 a 9 aos (009)120862058811856105752310135 aos (010)241122119237122115446 aos (011)20899109202961066337 aos (012)2311281032271251024318 aos (013)2551351202521331193219 aos (014)273136137267134133624De 10 a 14 aos (015)144371472914217067152281410 aos (016)26812614226212313963311 aos (017)3071551523041551493312 aos (018)26613213426012813264213 aos (019)3031431603011431582214 aos (020)299158141294157137514De 15 a 19 aos (021)1244600644123759664174315 aos (022)28712316428712316416 aos (023)23012210822712110631217 aos (024)2591341252571321252218 aos (025)2301201102291201091119 aos (026)23810113723710013711De 20 a 24 aos (027)10125154971002511491104620 aos (028)22111410721811310531221 aos (029)18510382184102821122 aos (030)20910610320510510041323 aos (031)21110410720910310621124 aos (032)18688981868898De 25 a 29 aos (033)895432463882424458138525 aos (034)157768115574812226 aos (035)1869195183899432127 aos (036)21510411121110210942228 aos (037)1759283175928329 aos (038)16269931586791422De 30 a 34 aos (039)776368408763362401136730 aos (040)198941041959310231231 aos (041)1265967122576542232 aos (042)1647391162729021133 aos (043)160798115978811134 aos (044)12863651256263312De 35 a 39 aos (045)64028535563528335252335 aos (046)1064363106436336 aos (047)1014358101435837 aos (048)151589314958912238 aos (049)144717314370731139 aos (050)13870681366967211De 40 a 44 aos (051)64231332963731032753240 aos (052)1355580135558041 aos (053)117516611651651142 aos (054)1346866131666532143 aos (055)143816214280621144 aos (056)11358551135855De 45 a 49 aos (057)52424328151924027953245 aos (058)1014655101465546 aos (059)1185959116585821147 aos (060)1165858116585848 aos (061)94365891345732149 aos (062)954451954451De 50 a 54 aos (063)40717623140717623150 aos (064)1003961100396151 aos (065)65333265333252 aos (066)88375188375153 aos (067)73363773363754 aos (068)813150813150De 55 a 59 aos (069)25214111125014011021155 aos (070)59332659332656 aos (071)62392362392357 aos (072)5031194930191158 aos (073)5829295729281159 aos (074)2391423914De 60 a 64 aos (075)197101961951009521160 aos (076)4921284821271161 aos (077)27151227151262 aos (078)46222446222463 aos (079)40271340271364 aos (080)35161934151911De 65 y ms aos (081)40520120440019820253265 aos (082)4622244522231166 aos (083)32181432181467 aos (084)20101020101068 aos (085)2414102313101169 aos (086)23149221391170 aos (087)211292112971 aos (088)1257125772 aos (089)3317163216161173 aos (090)30121830121874 aos (091)231492314975 aos (092)187111871176 aos (093)1349134977 aos (094)1385138578 aos (095)1771016791179 aos (096)1055105580 aos (097)1174117481 aos (098)42242282 aos (099)1165116583 aos (100)1055105584 aos (101)94594585 aos (102)94594586 aos (103)666687 aos (104)74374392 aos (109)111197 aos (114)111198 y ms aos (115)1111- Poblacin Nominalmente Censada.- No se empadron a la poblacin del distrito de Carmen Alto, provincia de Huamanga, departamento de Ayacucho.Fuente : INEI - Censos Nacionales 2007 : XI de Poblacin y VI de Vivienda

0

(1.)

f

PPrt

=+

0(1.)fPPrt

FUENTE: INEI - IX CENSO DE POBLACION Y IV DE VIVIENDA 1993

CARACTERISTICAS SOCIO -DEMOGRAFICAS Y DE VIVIENDA

PUEBLO: SANTA ROSA

DEPARTAMENTO : LAMBAYEQUE

PROVINCIA : CHICLAYO

DISTRITO : SANTA ROSA

C A R A C T E R I S T I C A S CIFRAS

ABS.

DEMOGRAFICAS

1. POBLACION 6461

Hombres 3349

Mujeres 3112

2. GRUPOS DE EDAD 6461

Menores de 1 213

De 1 a 4 704

De 5 a 14 1850

De 15 a 64 3457

De 65 y m s 237

3. MIGRACION

Nativos 6044

Migrantes 394

Extranjeros 2

4. MINUSVALIDOS 31

Con ceguera 4

Con retardo alteraciones mentales 5

Con polio 2

Invalidez de extremidades inferiores 5

Invalidez de extremidades superiores 4

Otros 11

EDUCATIVAS

1. POBLACION ANALFABETA SEGUN SEXO 982

- Hombres 521

- Mujeres 461

2. NIVEL EDUCATIVO

Sin Nivel 408

Inicial Preescolar 181

Primaria 3647

Secundaria 1017

Superior 217

LABORALES

1. PEA DE 6 A 14 AOS 182

2. PEA DE 15 Y MAS AOS DE EDAD 1765

- Ocupados 1469

- Desocupados 296

3. OCUPACION PRINCIPAL

Agricultores y trab. calif. agrcolas 432

Obreros de manuf., minas, construc. y otros 247

Comerciantes al por menor 59

Vendedores ambulantes 6

Trab. no calif. de Serv. (exc. vend. amb.) 565

Otros 120

4. CATEGORIA OCUPACIONAL

Asalariado 740

Independiente 453

Patrono 43