overview of energy storage cost analysis · overview of energy storage cost analysis pre-conference...
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![Page 1: Overview of Energy Storage Cost Analysis · Overview of Energy Storage Cost Analysis Pre-Conference Workshop ... (electricity, natural gas) • Variable O&M ... • Combined benefits](https://reader031.vdocuments.mx/reader031/viewer/2022030915/5b6088a87f8b9a08478b59a6/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Overview of Energy StorageCost Analysis
Pre-Conference WorkshopHouston, TX
January 24, 2011
Dr. Susan M. Schoenung
Longitude 122 West, Inc.
Menlo Park,CA 94025 USA
ELECTRICITY STORAGE: BUSINESS AND POLICY DRIVERS
1
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Outline of Presentation
• Review of energy storage systemconfigurations and components
• Capital cost analysis
• Life cycle cost analysis
• Present value analysis
• Some results
• Summary and conclusions
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Fuel Cell*Electrolyzer
Hydrogen
Power Conversion
H2O
Energy Storage SystemConfigurations and Components
PCSEnergyStorage
Unit~
3Ø AC
Source/Load
PCS
Load
EnergyStorage
~
Source
3Ø AC
Load Management
Power Quality
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Energy Storage System Applications
• Bulk storage
• Distributed storage
• Power quality
Application
Category
Discharge
power range
Discharge
time range
Stored energy
range
Representative
Applications
Bulk energy
storage
10 - 1000 MW 1 - 8 hrs 10 - 8000 MWh Load leveling,
spinning reserve
Distributed
generation
100 - 2000 kW 0.5 - 4 hrs 50 - 8000 kWh
(0.05 - 8 MWh)
Peak shaving,
transmission
deferral
Power quality 100 - 2000 kW 1 - 30 sec 0.1 - 60 MJ
(0.028-16.67
kWh)
End-use power
quality and
reliability
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Energy Storage SystemTechnologies
Lead-acid batteriesLi-ion batteriesHigh-speed flywheelsLow-speed flywheelsSMESSupercapacitors
Lead-acid batteriesNa/S batteriesNi/CdLi-ion batteriesZn/Br batteriesV-redox batteriesHigh-speed flywheelsCAES-surfaceLead-carbon asymmetric
capsHydrogen fuel cellHydrogen engine
Lead-acid batteriesNa/S batteriesRegenesysZn/Br batteriesNi/CdCAESPumped hydroLead-carbon asymmetric
caps
Power QualityDistributed GenerationBulk Energy Storage
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Operational Use Profiles
Category/DefinitionHours ofStorage Use/Duty Cycle
RepresentativeApplication
Long-duration storage,frequent discharge
4 – 8*1 cycle/day
250 days/year
Load-levelling,source-following
Long-duration storage,infrequent discharge
4 – 8* 20 times/year Capacity credit
Short-duration storage,frequent discharge
0.25 – 1**
4 15 minutes of cycling
250 days/year =1000 cycles/year
Frequency or arearegulation
Short-duration storage,infrequent discharge
0.25 – 1** 20 times/yearPower quality,
momentary carry-over
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Costs
• Capital: up-front investment costs forstorage unit, power electronics andbalance-of-plant
• Replacement costs: storage systemcomponents
• Operating costs: energy, O&M
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Capital Cost Calculation
Costtotal($) = Costpcs($) + [Coststorage($) + CostBop($)]
Estorage(kWh) = Power(kW) x time (hr)
Costtotal($) = [P(kW) x Costpcs($/kW)] + [Coststorage+BOP($/kWh) x time (hr) x Power(kW)]
Costtotal($/kW) = Costpcs($/kW) + Coststorage+BOP ($/kWh) xtime (hr)
Message: The storage and power electronics are usually costed separately!
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General Capital Cost Trends
• Storage range:– $250 - $1000/MWh
– depends on technology
• Power conditioning system range:– $150 - $500/kW
– Depends on usage, discharge & chargetimes
– Depends on technology
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Examples for power quality (20 sec)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Lead-acid
battery
Zn/Br Va++ Li-ion Pb-C hybrid Flywheel Supercaps
Cap
ital
Co
st,
do
llars /
kW
Storage
Power conditioning
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Examples for power quality (1 sec)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Adv Ba
tteries
PQ B
attery
-SMES
Low-S
peed
Flywhe
el
High-
Spee
d Flyw
heels
Supe
rcap
acito
rsHyd
roge
n Fu
el C
ell
Hyd
roge
n En
gine
w/storage
Co
st,
do
llars
Storage component
Power component
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Example for voltage regulation (15 min)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Lead-acid
battery
Zn/Br Va++ Li-ion Pb-C hybrid Flywheel Supercaps
Cap
ital
Co
st,
do
llars/
kW
Storage
Power conditioning
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Example for distributed storage (4 hrs)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Lead-acid
battery
Na/S Zn/Br Va++ Li-ion Pb-C
hybrid
CAES Pumped
Hydro
Cap
ital
co
st,
do
llars /
kW
Storage
Power conditioning
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Example for bulk storage (8 hrs)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
Lead-acid
battery
Na/S Zn/Br Va++ Li-ion Pb-C
hybrid
CAES Pumped
Hydro
Cap
ital
Co
st,
do
llars /
kW
Storage
Power conditioning
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Costs increase with discharge time
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Hours of storage
do
llars p
er k
W y
ear
Lead-acid battery
Na/S
Zn/Br
Va++
Li-ion
Pb-C hybrid
CAES
Pumped Hydro
Flywheel
Supercaps
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Life-cycle Cost Analysis
Gives a better view of energy storage systemcost, because it considers differences in
• System operating life (payment period)
• Efficiency
• Operating cycles: hours/day, days/week,cycles per year
• Parasitic losses
• Replacement costs
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Annual Cost Calculation
Levelized annual cost ($/kw-yr)
= Cost of capital (carrying charge on initialpurchase)
+ cost of fixed O&M
+ cost of variable O&M
+ annualized replacement costs
+ consumables (fuel and electricity)
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Life-cycle Cost Analysis Input
• Capital cost: power, energy, Balance-of-Plant
• Round trip efficiency, AC-AC
• Operating costs: fixed O&M, variable O&M,electricity, fuel
• Replacement frequency and costs
• Parasitic losses (e.g., cooling)
• Economic assumptions: cost of electricity,fuel, interest and inflation rates
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Example costs for power qualitysystems (10 year life, 20 secs storage)
Components of Annual Cost for Power Quality
Technologies
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Lead-acid battery Advanced
battery
(projected)
Micro-SMES High speed
flywheel (1)
High speed
flywheel (2)
Low speed
flywheel
Supercapacitors
Annual
cost
, $
/kW
-yr
O&M Cost
Electricity Cost
Fuel Cost
Carrying Charges
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Example Annual Costs for distributedstorage (10 yr life, 4 hrs storage)Cost Components for DG Technologies (4 hr
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Lead-acid
battery
(flooded cell)
Lead-acid
battery
(VRLA)
Na/S Zn/Br V-redox Li-ion Ni/Cd High speed
flywheel
CAES-
surface
Hydrogen
fuel cell
Hydrogen
engine
Annual
cost
, $
/kW
-yr
Replacement Cost
O&M Cost
Electricity Cost
Fuel Cost
Carrying Charges
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Example annual cost for bulk storage(20 yr life, 8 hrs storage)Components of Annual Cost for Bulk Storage Technologies (8 hr discharge) .
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Lead-acid
battery
(flooded
cell)
Lead-acid
battery
(VRLA)
Na/S Zn/Br Regenesys Ni/Cd CAES Pumped
Hydro
Pumped
Hydro with
Variable
Speed Drive
Annual
cost
, $
/kW
-yr
Replacement Cost
O&M Cost
Electricity Cost
Fuel Cost
Carrying Charges
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Effect of system life on replacements
An
nu
al
Co
st,
$/k
W-y
r
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Lead-acid
battery (flooded
cell)-10yr
Lead-acid
battery (flooded
cell)-20
Lead-acid
battery (VRLA)-
10yr
Lead-acid
battery (VRLA)-
20yr
Asymmetric
Capacitor -
Today-10yr
Asymmetric
Capacitor -
Today-20yr
Asymmetric
Capacitor -
Target-10yr
Asymmetric
Capacitor -
Target-20yr
y
Replacement Cost
O&M Cost
Electricity Cost
Fuel Cost
Carrying Charges
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Sensitivities
• Operating life: shorter payback periodincreases annual cost
• Number of Operating cycles: morefrequent operation means more inputelectricity costs and possibly earlierreplacement
• Replacement costs
• Energy costs (electricity, natural gas)
• Variable O&M (function of efficiency)
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Present Value Cost Analysis
Makes benefit and cost bases consistent.Parameters used:
• System operating life
• Discount rate
• Escalation rate
PV factor =
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Present Value Cost Analysis
Parameter Value
General Inflation Rate 2%
Discount Rate 10%
Service Life 10 years
Utility Fixed Charge Rate 11%
Customer Fixed Charge Rate 15%
Fuel Cost, Natural Gas (surface CAES only) $5/MBTU
Electricity Cost, Charging 10¢/kWh
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Some study results - SNL*
*Energy Storage Systems Cost Update: A Study for the DOE Energy Storage Systems Program
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Some study results - EPRI**
**Electricity Energy Storage Technology Options:A White Paper Primer on Applications, Costs and Benefits
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A benefit / cost example: Modular storage
“Modular Storage Opportunities: A study for USDOE ESS Program”
T&D deferral
• Arbitrage
• Auxiliary services
• Power quality
• Customer peak shaving
Costs and Benefits calculated as present worthfor 10-year operating life
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Modular Storage Opportunities:Benefit / Costs (T&D deferral)
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
Lead
-acid
Con
vent
iona
lLe
ad-a
cid,
VRLA
Ni/C
d
Na/
S
Li-io
n
Zn/Br
V-redo
x
High-
spee
d fly
whe
els
Low-s
peed
flyw
heels
Lead
-car
bon
Cap
s.H2
Fuel C
ell
$/k
W P
resen
t V
alu
e
Cost ($PV/kW)
Benefit ($PV/kW)
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Modular Storage Opportunities:Benefit / Costs (Power Quality)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Lead
-Acid
Batte
ry
VRLA
Bat
tery
Ni/C
d
Li-io
n
Zn/Br
High-
spee
d fly
whe
el
Low-s
peed
flyw
heel
Asym
met
ric cap
acito
r
$/k
W P
resen
t W
ort
h
Cost
Benefit
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A benefit / cost example:wind-to-hydrogen
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Summary
• Long-duration dispatch => large storage =>storage dominates capital cost
• Short-duration dispatch => small storage =>power electronics can dominate capital cost
• Be careful of replacement costs for long termuse.
• Benefit / cost value proposition difficult togeneralize; need customer specifics
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Conclusions
• Energy storage has an important role to playin electric power:– Reduced fuel use
– Reduced emissions
– Improved system operation and cost efficiencies
• Capital cost of technologies: potential forreduction via mass manufacturing /economies of scale
• Cycle life important for many applications
• Combined benefits ideal for systemjustification
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Acknowledgements
• DOE Energy Storage Systems Program
• Sandia National Laboratories
• Electric Power Research Institute
• Electricity Storage Association
• James Eyer, Distributed Utility Associates
• William Hassenzahl, Advanced EnergyAnalysis
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Thank You for Your Attention!
Contact Information
Dr. Susan SchoenungLongitude 122 West, Inc.
885 Oak Grove Avenue, Suite 304
Menlo Park, CA 94025
(650)329-0845