overview of energy planning

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Overview of Energy Planning(Energy Planning and Management)

Rabin ShresthaVisiting FacultyPulchowk Campus, 2010

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THE PRINCIPAL OBJECTIVE OF AN ENERGY

PLANNING ACTIVITY IS TO PROVIDE

INFORMATION TO DECISION-MAKERS

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An Energy Planning Program should

Lead to Specific Actions

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PLANAND PLANNING

The Plan is a statement of choices made bydecision-makers at any one point in time.

Planning is a dynamic process that is repeated

periodically and adjusts to changing conditions.

Planning should not be an end in itself.

Planning should not be an excuse for inaction

Planning should not be a replacement for

decision-making


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There are 7 Steps that Should be Carried

Out in an Energy Planning Program

1. Define Goal

and wider

Objectives

2. Define

Approach

3. Determine

Information

Needs

4. Choose Analysis

Process

5. Conduct

Analysis6. Present Results

7. Prepare Plan


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1. Basic Goals

Prepare of Capital Investment Plan

Need for financial and human resource commitment

Develop Appropriate Policies

Pricing, Laws, regulation, tax incentives, subsidies

Provide signals to the consumers Give information as to future direction


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Wider ObjectivesTo develop the electricity system leading to lowestcost to consumers

To maximize reliability and safety

To diversify electricity generation

To maximize the use of indigenous sources

To maximize the use of renewable resources

To minimize environmental effect

To develop a diversified energy supply system withless dependence on oil

To develop the lowest cost energy supply system


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Hydropower Development Policy 2001

Objectives:

To generate electricity at low cost by utilizing the water

resources available in the country.

To extend reliable and qualitative electric servicethroughout the Kingdom ofNepal at a reasonable price.

To tie-up electrification with the economic activities.

To render support to the development of rural economy

by extending the rural electrification.

To develop hydropower as an exportable commodity.


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It Must be Remembered that Energy Planning

is done in the Context of Overall Planning

Global

Issues

National Economy

Energy System

Electric

System

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The Objectives Chosen for Energy Planning must

Recognize theI

nteractions among Various Systems

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2. Define Approach

The approach to be taken in an energy

planning program will vary with the particular

needs

SCOPE OF THE ANALYSIS

SCALE OF THE ANALYSIS

TIME HORIZON

LEVEL OF DETAIL

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The Scope of the Analysis Determines What

Portions of the Energy/Economy System willbe Included

GLOBAL ANALYSIS

TOTAL NATIONAL ECONOMY

ENERGY SYSTEM

ELECTRIC SECTOR

POWER PLANT STUDY

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The Scale of the Analysis Determines the Amount

of Spatial Disaggregation to be Included

TOTAL COUNTRY

REGIONAL VARIATIONS

PROJECT - SPECIFIC CONSIDERATIONS

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The Time Horizon has a Significant Impact

on the PlanningTechniques Chosen

OPERATIONAL (HOURLY, DAILY)

SHORT - TERM (1-3 YEARS) MEDIUM - TERM (3-10 YEARS)

LONG-TERM (>10 YEARS)

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The Level ofDetail Determines How

Much Effort Must be Spent

IN-DEPTHANALYSIS

QUICK ANDDIRTY

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3. Information Needed for An Energy

Planning Process is ofTwo Types DETAILEDTECHNICAL DATA

DETAILEDTECHNICAL DATAIS USED BY PLANNERS

ANDANALYSTS TO EVALUATE ALTERNATIVES

DECISION-MAKINGINFORMATION

DECISION-MAKINGINFORMATIONIS USED BY

SENIOR OFFICIALS TO CHOOSE A COURSE OFACTION

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4. It is Important to Consider Several

Factors When Choosing Analytical Tools INFORMATION PROVIDED

DOES THE ANALYTICAL TOOL PROVIDE THE

INFORMATION REQUIRED?

DOES IT PROVIDE ITINTHE RIGHT FORM?

IS THE INFORMATION COMPATIBLE WITH OTHER

ANALYSES?

COMPLEXITY VS. SIMPLICITY DATAAVAILABILITY

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Data Availability

DATAIS A CONSTANT PROBLEM. THERE ARE

THREE CHOICES:

1. DO NOTHING

2. INVESTINDATA COLLECTION

3. TAKE THE BESTGUESS NOW ANDITERATE

LATER.

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There are Numerous Analysis Methods

to Choose From:

DEMAND MODELS

SUPPLY MODELS SUPPLY/DEMAND BALANCE MODELS

IMPACTS EVALUATION MODELS

INTEGRATING METHODOLOGIES

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5. The Conduct of an Energy Analysis

Program is a SignificantU

ndertaking

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6. An Important Part of the Planning Process is

the Presentation of Results toD

ecision-makers

DECISION-MAKERS OFTENDO NOTHAVE THE

SAME TECHNICAL EXPERIENCE AS ANALYSTS.

IF THE ANALYTICAL RESULTS ARE NOT

PRESENTED CLEARLY AND CONCISELY, THEY

WILL BE IGNORED

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7. The Energy Plan is a Statement of

the Choices that have been Made

ITIS A STATEMENT OF ACTIONS

PROJECTS

POLICIES

FURTHER STUDY

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The End

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overview of energy planning

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