overview of emr. population size birth numbers have remained steady in emr (11-12k) despite a large...
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Overview of EMR
Population size
Birth numbers have remained steady in EMR (11-12K) despite a large rise (19%) in Victoria
Actual & projected population figures for EMR show a stable pattern (220-225K)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
No.
Year
Number of births, 2000 to 2010
EMR Victoria
0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
125,000
150,000
175,000
200,000
225,000
250,000
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026
No.
Year
Actual and projected population of children aged 0-17 years in EMR
EMR ERP EMR projections
Population size cont.EMR has a large population - 2nd largest in state18% Victorian children < 18 years live in EMR
292,818
219,726
193,065180,921
86,72777,381
65,989 60,26553,324
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
SMR EMR NMR WMR Barwon South Western
Loddon Mallee Hume Gippsland Grampians
No.
Region
Estimated Resident Population at 30 June 2010 for children aged 0-17 years in Victoria
Source: ABS ERP
Population distribution & growth
LGAs differ in population size……and growth trends: 2 are declining, 3 are growing, 2 are stable
36,016 35,522
24,013 23,339
32,402 31,833
36,601
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
Boorondara Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Whitehorse Yarra Ranges
No.
LGA
Estimated Resident Population at 30 June 2010 for children aged 0-17 years in EMR
Source: ABS ERP
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026
No.
Year
Actual & projected population of children aged 0-17 years in EMR
Boroondara ERP Boroondara projectionsKnox ERP Knox projectionsManningham ERP Manningham projectionsMaroondah ERP Maroondah projectionsMonash ERP Monash projectionsWhitehorse ERP Whitehorse projectionsYarra Ranges ERP Yarra Ranges projections
Source: ABS ERP; DPCD VIF
Cultural diversity
EMR has a diverse population: 27% residents were born overseas & 22% speak LOTE at home
But it is a region of extremes:Almost 39% Monash households speak LOTE compared to about 5% in Yarra Ranges
25.6 25.2
34.1
18.6
39.7
29.2
16.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Boorondara Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Whitehorse Yarra Ranges
%
LGA
Residents of EMR by birthplace, 2006
20.517.7
35.7
9.1
38.6
25.2
5.3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Boorondara Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Whitehorse Yarra Ranges
%
LGA
Residents of EMR by language spoken at home, 2006
Socio-economic status
EMR has relatively low levels of disadvantageLGAs with higher levels of vulnerability – Yarra Ranges, Maroondah & Knox
99
8694
8187 89
80
0
20
40
60
80
100
Boorondara Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Whitehorse Yarra Ranges
EMR percentile ranks on Index of Relative Socio-Economic Disadvantage, 2006
Source:\\EDUEMRFS01\Share\users\SHARE\DATA\Region Wide Data\Regional Analysis\2010 Data Up-date\SFO Comparison 2006-20010 by NetworkSource:\\EDUEMRFS01\Share\users\SHARE\DATA\Region Wide Data\Regional Analysis\2010 Data Up-date\SFO Comparison 2006-20010 by Network
Demographic Socio-economic
0.000
0.050
0.100
0.150
0.200
0.250
0.300
0.350
0.400
0.450
0.500
0.550
0.600
0.650
0.700
0.750
0.800
0.850
0.900
0.950
1.000
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
Boroondara Dand. Ranges Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse Yarra Ranges Yarra Valley
SF
O
Network SFO Comparison 2008-2011
Source: \\EDUEMRFS01\Share\users\SHARE\DATA\Region Wide Data\Enrolments\Enrolments 2010.xlsx
EMR Enrolments 2009-2011Primary Schools
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Boroondara Dandenong Ranges
Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse Yarra Ranges Yarra Valley
2009 8,901 5,556 7,798 6,247 6,405 4,769 7,130 7,392 5,972 2,211
2010 8,913 5,448 7,576 6,266 6,276 4,771 7,165 7,632 5,886 2,137
2011 8,999 5,338 7,396 6,295 6,187 4,881 7,248 7,693 5,769 2,117
No.
Of S
tude
nts
EMR 2009-2011 Enrolments - Primary, Combined and Special Schools
Source: \\EDUEMRFS01\Share\users\SHARE\DATA\Region Wide Data\Enrolments\Enrolments 2010.xlsx
EMR Enrolments 2009-2011Secondary Schools
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Boroondara Dandenong Ranges
Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse Yarra Ranges Yarra Valley
2009 6,133 3,034 4,994 3,785 5,003 3,743 6,535 3,730 4,242 1,047
2010 6,180 2,909 4,992 3,709 4,814 3,923 6,455 3,869 4,296 998
2011 6,110 2,725 4,777 3,637 4,557 4,133 6,406 3,876 4,320 910
No.
Of S
tude
nts
EMR 2009-2011 Enrolments - Secondary Schools
EMR – NAPLAN Year 3 and Year 5 2008-2011
Year 3 results mostly stable from 2010 to 2011. Over half the students in the top 2 bands.
The trend for the last 4 years is positive for Reading.
Year 5 results improved in 2011 for Reading. In
the last 4 years, the % of students in the bottom
2 bands decreased and the % of students in the
top 2 bands increased in both domains.
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Reading Numeracy
EMR - Year 5
Res
ults
Ab
ove
/ B
elo
w N
atio
nal
Min
imum
Sta
ndar
d
Below NMS and At NMS Expected and Above Well Above and Advanced
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Reading Numeracy
EMR - Year 3
Res
ults
Ab
ove
/ B
elo
w N
atio
nal
Min
imum
Sta
ndar
d
Below NMS and At NMS Expected and Above Well Above and Advanced
EMR – NAPLAN Year 7 and Year 9 2008-2011
The % of Year 7 students in the bottom 2 bands increased for all domains in 2011. Students concentrated in the middle two bands. Negative trend for the last 4 years for Reading and Numeracy.
The % of Year 9 students in the bottom 2 bands in 2011 increased for Numeracy. Students concentrated in the middle two bands. The trend for the last 4 years is negative for Reading and flat for Numeracy.
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Reading Numeracy
EMR - Year 9
Res
ults
Ab
ove
/ B
elo
w N
atio
nal
Min
imum
S
tand
ard
Below NMS and At NMS Expected and Above Well Above and Advanced
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011
Reading Numeracy
EMR - Year 7
Res
ults
Ab
ove
/ B
elo
w N
atio
nal
Min
imum
Sta
ndar
d
Below NMS and At NMS Expected and Above Well Above and Advanced
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
16.0
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
Prep Yr1 Yr2 Yr3 Yr4 Yr5 Yr6 Yr7 Yr8 Yr9 Yr10 Yr11 Yr12
Ave
rag
e a
bse
nt d
ays
pe
r F
TE
stu
de
nt
Student Absence (by FTE student), 2006-2010: Region vs State
2006 Eastern Metropolitan 2007 Eastern Metropolitan 2008 Eastern Metropolitan
2009 Eastern Metropolitan 2010 Eastern Metropolitan 2010 state
EMR Student Absence Prep-Yr12
Student absence in EMR is lower than the state average.
EMR Student Absence Prep-Yr6
BoroondaraDandenong
RangesKnox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse
Yarra Ranges
Yarra Valley
Year P-6 (2007) 11.7 13.9 12.4 12.4 12.4 12.1 10.9 11.9 12.5 14.8
Year P-6 (2008) 11.7 14.1 12.9 12.7 13.6 10.8 11.3 12.3 12.4 15.9
Year P-6 (2009) 12.0 14.4 12.8 13.2 12.8 12.5 11.5 11.9 13.2 17.5
Year P-6 (2010) 11.5 13.9 13.2 12.9 13.2 12.5 11.3 11.4 13.2 16.4
State Avg P-6 (2010) 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9 13.9
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
Days
Abs
ent
Student Absence 2007 to 2010 - Network P-6 vs State P-6
EMR Student Absence Yr7-Yr12
BoroondaraDandenong
RangesKnox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse
Yarra Ranges
Yarra Valley
Year 7-12 (2007) 12.6 18.0 16.1 15.2 14.3 14.9 10.4 11.8 11.9 18.8
Year 7-12 (2008) 11.9 16.4 17.4 17.8 17.6 15.8 11.3 12.7 17.1 23.6
Year 7-12 (2009) 11.9 25.1 16.9 15.9 15.8 15.5 11.9 13.0 16.6 19.4
Year 7-12 (2010) 13.2 24.4 17.6 17.5 25.4 14.3 12.8 14.1 17.5 23.6
State Avg 7-12 (2010) 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5 17.5
0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
16.0
20.0
24.0
28.0
Days
Abs
ent
Student Absence 2007 to 2010 - Network Year 7-12 vs State
78.3
79.8
80.5
91.9
92.7
94.6
95.7
Yarra Ranges
Knox
Maroondah
Manningham
Monash
Whitehorse
Boroondara
Att ainment Rate (%)
EMR 2010 Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment Rate at Age 19 by LGA
EMR - Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment Rate at Age 19
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Total Victoria 75.7 75.8 78.4 78.8 77.2 78.5 77.6 80.0 79.7 79.9
Eastern Metropolitan 83.5 83.4 84.4 86.6 84.7 87.0 84.4 88.7 87.3 87.4
65
70
75
80
85
90
Attain
men
t Rat
e (%
)
Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment Rate at Age 19 EMR vs State
IB1%
VCAL5%
VCE88%
VET6%
Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment at age 19 by attributed Certificate Type
Male Female
2008 84.4 93.2
2009 83.1 91.6
2010 83.6 91.4
788082848688909294
Attai
nmen
t Rat
e (%
)
EMR - Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment at Age 19 by Gender
EMR 2010 Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment Rate at Age 19
EMR 2010 Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment Rate at Age 19
Boroondara (C)
Knox (C)Manningham
(C)Maroondah
(C)Monash (C)
Whitehorse (C)
Yarra Ranges (S)
VET 2.3 7.3 2.0 6.9 5.3 6.4 10.3
VCE 91.9 85.5 93.8 85.4 89.7 87.2 80.6
VCAL 1.7 6.8 2.4 6.8 3.9 4.8 8.7
IB 4.2 0.4 1.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 0.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
Att
ain
men
t R
ate
(%)
Year 12 or Equivalent Attainment at age 19 by attributed Certificate Type
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Boroondara Dandenong Ranges
Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse Yarra Ranges Yarra Valley
% T
ota
l Stu
de
nts
en
rolle
d i
n o
ne
or
mo
re V
ET
su
bje
cts
EMR - VET Participation Rates by Network - 2007 to 2010
2007 2008 2009 2010 State Average 2010
VET - Participation
VCAL - Participation
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
Boroondara Dandenong Ranges
Knox Manningham Maroondah Monash Waverley Whitehorse Yarra Ranges Yarra Valley
% T
ota
l Stu
den
ts e
nro
lled
in o
ne
or
mo
re V
CA
L s
ub
ject
s
EMR - VCAL Participation Rates by Network - 2007 to 2010
2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 State Average
Select year level:
Exit Destinations: Eastern Metropolitan, Year 10 - Regional vs State Means.
Govern
ment
School
Non-G
overn
ment
School
Univ
ers
ity
Oth
er
Tra
inin
g
Pro
vid
er
TA
FE
/RT
O/A
CE
*
Appre
nticeship
/Tra
ineeship
*
Hom
e S
chooling*
Defe
rred*
School (n
on-
Vic
torian)*
*
TA
FE
**
Private
RT
O**
AC
E O
rganis
ation**
SU
BT
OT
AL
Em
plo
yed:
Part
-
tim
e
Em
plo
yed:
Full-t
ime
Unem
plo
yed:
Seekin
g W
ork
Unem
plo
yed:
Not
Seekin
g W
rk
Deceased
SU
BT
OT
AL
Unknow
n
2002 2002 27.22 5.68 0.32 2.79 1.61 13.29 1.50 0.00 52.41 1.18 11.68 6.75 1.93 0.21 21.75 25.832003 2003 34.17 9.96 0.00 2.06 8.16 13.99 0.81 0.45 69.60 1.79 11.57 4.66 0.63 0.00 18.65 11.752004 2004 32.60 8.83 0.09 3.58 4.98 15.56 0.70 0.52 66.86 1.22 12.76 5.33 0.61 0.17 20.09 12.412005 2005 29.51 6.58 0.18 3.20 5.64 19.26 0.94 0.28 65.59 1.97 10.53 4.32 1.41 0.00 18.23 16.172006 2006 31.56 10.14 0.32 3.54 5.31 14.25 0.72 0.24 66.08 1.13 10.47 4.03 0.64 0.00 16.27 17.632007 2007 34.67 9.84 0.08 3.84 14.91 8.69 0.15 0.00 72.18 1.69 6.15 3.61 0.85 0.15 12.45 15.372008 2008 36.27 9.44 0.00 4.48 18.33 8.10 0.24 0.00 76.86 1.57 4.25 4.01 1.26 0.16 11.25 11.882009 2009 44.72 10.10 0.08 4.24 18.04 6.71 0.39 0.08 84.36 0.85 3.62 2.62 0.93 0.15 8.17 7.482010 2010 49.26 10.67 1.04 4.89 17.78 6.81 0.30 0.00 90.75 0.37 2.44 1.26 0.81 0.22 5.10 4.152010 2010 State mean 51.37 6.91 0.22 4.20 13.92 6.99 0.25 0.04 83.90 1.12 3.49 2.22 1.04 0.09 7.96 8.12
( * New in 2007 ** Ceased in 2007 )
Not continuing any further educationor training
Continuing in any further education or training
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Go
ve
rnm
en
t S
ch
oo
l
No
n-Go
ve
rnm
en
t S
ch
ool
Un
ive
rsity
Oth
er
Tra
inin
g P
rovid
er
TA
FE
/RT
O/A
CE
*
Ap
pre
ntice
sh
ip /T
rain
ee
ship
*
Ho
me
Sch
oo
lin
g*
De
ferr
ed*
Sch
oo
l (n
on
-Vic
torian
)**
TA
FE
**
Pri
vate
RT
O**
AC
E O
rgan
isatio
n**
SU
BT
OT
AL
Em
plo
ye
d: P
art
-tim
e
Em
plo
ye
d: F
ull
-tim
e
Un
em
plo
ye
d: S
ee
kin
g W
ork
Un
em
plo
ye
d: N
ot S
ee
kin
g W
rk
De
ce
ase
d
SU
BT
OT
AL
Un
kn
ow
n
Continuing in any further education or training Not continuing any further educationor training
Pe
rce
nt
.
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 State mean
Year 10
EMR Exit DestinationYEAR 10
665 Students 56 Students
Source: \\EDUEMRFS01\Share\users\SHARE\DATA\Network Data\Exit Destination\Year 10 EMR 2010 Exit Dest Network Comparison.xlsSource: \\EDUEMRFS01\Share\users\SHARE\DATA\Network Data\Exit Destination\Year 10 EMR 2010 Exit Dest Network Comparison.xls
EMRDandenong
RangesYarra Valley Manningham Knox
Yarra Ranges
Maroondah Boroondara Monash Whitehorse Waverley
2008 17.0% 11.6% 32.0% 18.5% 16.0% 24.0% 14.6% 13.1% 16.2% 18.8% 16.6%
2009 17.3% 24.6% 23.3% 22.1% 16.8% 19.7% 17.9% 10.9% 14.8% 18.9% 15.2%
2010 15.9% 21.8% 20.7% 18.5% 17.6% 16.5% 16.1% 15.1% 14.4% 14.0% 11.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
YEAR 10 - EMR Exit Data - Network Comparison
EMRDandenong
RangesYarra Valley Manningham Knox
Yarra Ranges
Maroondah Boroondara Monash Whitehorse Waverley
2008 17.0% 11.6% 32.0% 18.5% 16.0% 24.0% 14.6% 13.1% 16.2% 18.8% 16.6%
2009 17.3% 24.6% 23.3% 22.1% 16.8% 19.7% 17.9% 10.9% 14.8% 18.9% 15.2%
2010 15.9% 21.8% 20.7% 18.5% 17.6% 16.5% 16.1% 15.1% 14.4% 14.0% 11.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
YEAR 10 - EMR Exit Data - Network Comparison
EMR Exit DestinationYEAR 10
Attitudes to School Survey : 2006 - 2010 Factor Means** of Year 5 - Year 12 by Region
Region:
Teaching and Learning Factors (Scores: 1 to 5)
Eastern Metropolitan
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12 Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12 Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Teacher Effectiveness Teacher Empathy Stimulating Learning
Mea
n 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2010 State Mean
Impr
ovem
ent
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12 Y
5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12 Y
5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
School Connectedness Student Motivation Learning Confidence
Mea
n 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2010 State Mean
Impr
ovem
ent
Attitudes to School Survey: 2006-2010 Factor Means of Year 5 - Year 12
Student Relationships Factors (Scores: 1 to 5)
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12 Y
5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12 Y
5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y10
Y11
Y12
Connectedness to Peers Classroom Behaviour Student Safety
Mea
n
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 State Mean
Imp
rove
men
t
Wellbeing Factors (Scores: 1 to 7)
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y1
0
Y11
Y1
2
Y5
Y6
Y7
Y8
Y9
Y1
0
Y11
Y1
2
Student Morale Student Distress
Me
an
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 State Mean
Imp
rovem
ent
Attitudes to School Survey: 2006-2010 Factor Means of Year 5 - Year 12