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Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment

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Page 1: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Operational Risk

Management

&

Risk Assessment

Page 2: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Levels of Operational Risk Management

Planning Level

Operational Level

Time Critical Level

Page 3: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Risk Assessment PlanningRisk Management Process Planning Operational

Tools 215A/Risk Mgmt Matrix IAP

Situation Awareness Establishing situation awareness/gathering information

Planning Strategy Meeting­ Operations­ Safety­ Logistics­ Plans

Incident objectives (202)Incident organization (203)Weather forecastFire behavior forecastCommunications Plan (205)

Hazard Assessment Identifying hazards and assessing the risk

Risk Management MatrixJHA/RA

Safety MessagesPocket cardBriefings

Hazard Control Controlling or eliminating hazards

Safety Planning - (215A)­ Engineering­ Administrative ­ PPE­ Educational­ Avoidance

Safety MessagesMedical Plans

Decision Point Making go/no-go decisions based on acceptability of remaining risk Residual risk

Operational Planning – (215)­ Contingency plans­ Incident Emergency Plans­ Safety Action Plan­ ICP/Remote Camp Safety Plans­ Incident within Incident PlanRe-evaluate and revise strategy and/or tactics

Work Assignments (204)Medical Plan (206)Turndown protocols (IRPG)

Evaluate Evaluating effectiveness of hazard controls and continuously re-evaluating situation

During Action ReviewConcurrence from Command & General Staff

Debrief

Page 4: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Operational Risk Management Red Book

Chapters 1 & 7

Blue Book (BIA) Chapters 2 & 9

Fireline Handbook Local Unit SOP’s IRPG

Page 5: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Operational Risk Management

IRPG - Green Pages Risk Management Process Look Up, Down, Around LCES Safety Zones Urban Interface Complexity Analysis Refuse Risk

Page 6: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

The Five Step Process

Page 7: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Principles of Operational Risk Management

Manage risk in the planning stage

Do not accept unnecessary risk Make risk decisions at the

appropriate level Accept risk when benefits

outweigh costs and/or potential consequences

Page 8: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Operational Risk Management Process

Determine level of Risk and establish Mitigations

Page 9: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Risk Assessment Matrix

Page 10: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Hazard Probability Codes

Frequent (A) Likely (B) Occasional (C) Rarely (D)

DefinitionProbability – The likelihood that a hazard will result in a mishap or loss (Exposure in terms of time, proximity, and repetition)

Risk Assessment Code Matrix

Page 11: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Severity Codes

Catastrophic (I) Critical (II) Significant (III) Minor (IV)

Definition:Severity – The worst credible consequence that can occur as a result of a hazard

Risk Assessment Code Matrix

Page 12: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Risk Management Process

Risk An expression of possible loss in terms of severity and probability HazardAny real or potential condition that can cause injury, illness or death of personnel, or damage to, or loss of equipment or property.

Page 13: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Incident Risk Assessment Worksheet

1. Incident Name

2. Location

Identification of Hazards and Risk Assessment

3. Name and Title of Analyst

4. Date

5. Pre-Mitigation 6. Mitigation or Abatement Action

(Engineering, Administrative, PPE, Avoidance, Education, etc)

7. Post-Mitigation

8. Hazard 9.

Hazard Probability

10. Severity

Code

11. RAC

12. Hazard

Probability

13. Severity

Code

14. RAC

15. Acceptable

Yes/No

Page 14: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Risk Assessment Worksheet Instructions

The Risk Assessment (RA) Worksheet will identify location(s) of the work project or activity, the name of employee(s) creating the RA, and date created. The approving Agency Administrator (AA), or Superintendent will review the RA and mitigation strategies to ensure risk is at an acceptable level for task or activity. A signed document will be required for apporval of the RA. The supervisor or project leader of the project/task will share information with affected employees through a safety meeting. Employees participating in the project/task will be required to sign RA acknowleding participation in safety meeting and that they have received the necessary training, and understand procedures, protocol and mitigation strategies to reduce risk with the project. Blocks 1, 2, 3, and 4 – Self explanitory Block 5 – Pre-Mitigation: What hazards are involved with the project or activity Block 6 – Mitigation or Abatement Strategy: What mitigation or abatement strategy will minimize risk or exposure (ex. engineering, administrative, PPE, Avoidance, education, etc.) Block 7 – Post-Mitigation: What hazards and risk associated with hazards are still present following mitigation or abatement strategy Block 8 – Hazards: What hazards exist with project (ex. hazard trees, driving, rolling debris, heat, etc.) Block 9 – Hazard Probability: What is probability a hazard will be encountered during project or activity, refer to Probability table Block 10 – Severity Code: What are the consequences should an unplanned event occur, refer to Severity table Block 11 – Risk Level: Assign a Risk Level prior to mitigation measures assigned, listed by RAC number, followed by Frequecy and Severity, ex. 1(A)(1) Block 12 – Hazard Probabilty: Following mitigation or abatement actions the probability of exposure or risk Block 13 – Severity Code: Following mitigation or abatement actions the severity or consequences associated with task or project Block 14 – Risk Level: Assign a Risk Level following mitigation strategies, listed by RAC number, followed by Frequecy and Severity, ex. 1(A)(1) Block 15 – Acceptable Level Yes/No: Is level of risk acceptable following mitigation or abatement actions, decision should be made at appropriate management level Risk Assessment Code (RAC) Severity Code Catastrophic (I) - Imminent and immediate danger of death or permanent disability. Critical (II) - Permanent partial disability, temporary total disability. Significant (III) - Hospitalized minor injury, reversible illness. Minor (IV) - First aid or minor medical treatment.

Hazard Probability Frequent (A) - Immediate danger to health and safety of the public, staff or property and resources. Likely (B) - Probably will occur in time if not corrected, or probably will occur one or more times. Occasional (C) - Possible to occur in time if not corrected. Rarely (D) - Unlikely to occur; may assume exposure, will not occur. Definitions Probability – The likelihood that a hazard will result in a mishap or loss (Exposure in terms of time, proximity, and repetition) Severity – The worst credible consequence that can occur as a result of a hazard Hazard – Any real or potential condition that can cause injury, illness or death of personnel, or loss and damage to equipment Risk – An expression of possible loss in terms of severity and probability (associated with human interaction)

Page 15: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Risk Management Process

Types of Hazards

Material

Environment

Organizational

Special Considerations

Page 16: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Assess hazards to determine risks

Assess impact of each hazard Potential loss (Risk vs Reward) Cost Mission degradation based on

probability and severity.

Risk Management Process

Page 17: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Develop Controls

Reduce risk by lowering the probability of occurrence and decreasing potential severity of a hazard, or both.

Types of Controls – Engineering Administrative PPE Educational Avoidance

Most often described as “mitigations” within the wildland fire community.

Page 18: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Criteria for Controls

Suitability – The control must truly remove the hazard or mitigate (reduce) the risk to an acceptable level.

Feasible – The end user will have the capability to implement the control.

Acceptable – The end user will accept and implement the control.

Effectiveness – Benefit gained by implementing the control and justifying the cost in resources and time.

Page 19: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Residual Risk

The level of risk remaining after controls have been identified and selected.

Eliminating every risk is often not achievable

Residual risk after mitigation needs to be identified and determined if the risk is at an acceptable level.

Page 20: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Overall Residual Risk

Cumulative Risk Should be determined based on the

hazard having the greatest residual risk down to the hazard having the least risk.

Determining overall mission risk by averaging the risks of all hazards is not valid.

Page 21: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

The decision to accept or not accept the Risk(s) associated with an action.  

Based on residual risk Benefits outweigh the

cost/potential consequence Made at the appropriate level

Risk Decision

Page 22: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Decision Options Accept Risk Modify Risk with control

measures Requires more information Reject Risk Elevate to higher levels Consider alternative action Avoidance

Page 23: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Risk Management Process

Evaluate hazard controls and continuously monitor the overall situation

Each operational period, leaders should evaluate how well the risk management process was executed.

 

Page 24: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Completed Risk Assessments

• 13 Generic R.A.’s Completed

• Need to Complete R.A. Codes

• Add/Delete Mitigation Measures

http://www.bia.gov/nifc/safety/risk/index.htm

Page 25: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

Incident Risk Assessment Worksheet

1. Incident/Activity Name Daily Physical Training

2. Location

Identification of Hazards and Risk Assessment

3. Name and Title of Analyst

4. Date

5. Pre-Mitigation 6. Mitigation or Abatement Action

(Engineering, Administrative, PPE, Avoidance, Education, etc)

7. Post-Mitigation

8. Hazard 9.

Hazard Probability

10. Severity

Code

11. RAC

12. Hazard

Probability

13. Severity

Code

14. RAC

15. Acceptable

Yes/No

Improper Warm Up

Warm up 10-15 minutes prior to actual exercise

Use proper stretching techniques

Use equipment properly

Poor or improper

equipment

Ensure proper shoes/boots for P/T exercise

Ensure clothing is appropriate for existing weather conditions

Exercise equipment is functioning properly according to Manufacturers specs

Unfit for Duty

Have passed Medical Standards Program fit for duty exam

Have passed the Work Capacity Test

Daily assessment of personnel prior to initiating daily training

Don’t allow to participate in daily training, or send home

Page 26: Operational Risk Management & Risk Assessment. Levels of Operational Risk Management Planning Level Operational Level Time Critical Level

00-27 S-404 EP

Tony [email protected]