onsite seo from the wizard of moz

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Rand Fishkin, Wizard of Moz | @randfish | [email protected] SEO in a Two Algorithm World

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Page 1: Onsite seo from the  wizard of moz

Rand Fishkin, Wizard of Moz | @randfish | [email protected]

SEO in a Two Algorithm World

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bit.ly/twoalgoGet the presentation:

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Remember When…

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We Had One Job

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Perfectly Optimized Pages

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The Search Quality Teams Determined What to Include in the Ranking System

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They decided links > content

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By 2007, Link Spam Was Ubiquitous

This paper/presentation from Yahoo’s spam team in 2007 predicted a lot of what Google would launch in Penguin Oct, 2012 (including machine learning)

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Even in 2012, It Felt Like Google Was Making Liars Out of the White Hat SEO World

Via Wil Reynolds

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Google’s Last 3 Years of Advancements Erased a Decade of Old School SEO Practices

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They Finally Launched Effective Algorithms to Fight Manipulative Links & Content

Via Google

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And They Leveraged Fear + Uncertainty of Penalization to Keep Sites Inline

Via Moz Q+A

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Google Figured Out Intent

Rand probably doesn’t just want webpages filled with the word

“beef”

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They Looked at Language, not Just Keywords

Oh… I totally know this one!

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They Predicted When We Want Diverse Results

He probably doesn’t just want a

bunch of lists.

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They Figured Out When We Wanted Freshness

Old pages on this topic probably aren’t relevant

anymore

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Their Segmentation of Navigational from Informational Queries Closed Many Loopholes

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Google Learned to ID Entities of Knowledge

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And to Connect Entities to Topics & Keywords

Via Moz

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Brands Became a Form of Entities

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These Advancements Brought Google (mostly) Back in Line w/ Its Public Statements

Via Google

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During These Advances, Google’s Search Quality Team Underwent a Revolution

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Early On, Google Rejected Machine Learning in the Organic Ranking Algo

Via Datawocky, 2008

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In 2012, Google Published a Paper About How they Use ML to Predict Ad CTRs:

Via Google

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Susan Wojcicki, Google SVP, at All Things Digital, 2012

“Our SmartASS system is a machine learning system. It learns whether our users are interested in that ad, and whether users are going to click on them.”

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By 2013, It Was Something Google’s Search Folks Talked About Publicly

Via SELand

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As ML Takes Over More of Google’s Algo, the Underpinnings of the Rankings Change

Via Colossal

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Google is Public About How They Use ML in Image Recognition & Classification

Potential ID Factors(e.g. color, shapes, gradients,

perspective, interlacing, alt tags, surrounding text, etc)

Training Data(i.e. human-labeled images)

Learning Process

Best Match Algo

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Google is Public About How They Use ML in Image Recognition & Classification

Via Jeff Dean’s Slides on Deep Learning; a Must Read for SEOs

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Machine Learning in Search Could Work Like This:

Potential Ranking Factors

(e.g. PageRank, TF*IDF,Topic Modeling, QDF, Clicks,

Entity Association, etc.)

Training Data(i.e. good & bad search results)

Learning Process

Best Fit Algo

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Training Data(e.g. good search results)

This is a good SERP – searchers rarely bounce, rarely short-click, and rarely need to enter other queries or go to page 2.

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Training Data(e.g. bad search results!)

This is a bad SERP – searchers bounce often, click other results, rarely long-click, and try other queries. They’re definitely not happy.

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The Machines Learn to Emulate the Good Results & Try to Fix or Tweak the Bad Results

Potential Ranking Factors

(e.g. PageRank, TF*IDF,Topic Modeling, QDF, Clicks,

Entity Association, etc.)

Training Data(i.e. good & bad search results)

Learning Process

Best Fit Algo

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Deep Learning is Even More Advanced:

Dean says by using deep learning, they don’t have to tell the system what a cat is, the machines learn, unsupervised, for themselves…

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We’re Talking About Algorithms that Build Algorithms(without human intervention)

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Googlers Don’t Feed in Ranking Factors… The Machines Determine Those Themselves.

Potential Ranking Factors

(e.g. PageRank, TF*IDF,Topic Modeling, QDF, Clicks,

Entity Association, etc.)

Training Data(i.e. good search results)

Learning Process

Best Fit Algo

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What Does Deep Learning Mean for SEO?

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Googlers Won’t Know Why Something Ranks or Whether a Variable’s in the Algo

He means other Googlers.I’m Jeff Dean. I’ll know.

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The Query Success Metrics Will Be All That Matters to the Machines

Long to Short Click Ratio Relative CTR vs. Other Results

Rate of Searchers Conducting Additional, Related Searches

Metrics of User Engagement on the Page

Metrics of User Engagement Across the Domain

Sharing/Amplifcation Rate vs. Other Results

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The Query Success Metrics Will Be All That Matters to the Machines

Long to Short Click Ratio Relative CTR vs. Other Results

Rate of Searchers Conducting Additional, Related Searches

Metrics of User Engagement on the Page

Metrics of User Engagement Across the Domain

Sharing/Amplifcation Rate vs. Other Results

If lots of results on a SERP do these well, and higher results outperform lower results, our deep learning algo will consider it a success.

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We’ll Be Optimizing Lessfor Ranking Inputs

Unique Linking Domains

Keywords in Title

Anchor Text

Content Uniqueness

Page Load Speed

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And Optimizing More for Searcher Outputs

High CTR for this position?

Good engagement?

High amplification rate?

Low bounce rate?

Strong pages/visit afterlanding on this URL?These are likely to be the criteria of

on-site SEO’s future… People return to the siteafter an initial search visit

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OK… Maybe in the future. But, do those kinds of metrics really affect SEO today?

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Remember Our Queries & Clicks Test from 2014?

Via Rand’s Blog

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Since then, it’s been much harder to move the needle with raw queries and clicks…

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Case closed! Google says they don’t use clicks in the rankings.Via Linkarati’s Coverage of SMX Advanced

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But, what if we tried long clicks vs.

short clicks?

Note SeriousEats, ranking #4 here

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11:39am on June 21st,I sent this tweet:

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40 Minutes & ~400 Interactions Later

Moved up 2 positions after 2+ weeks of the top 5 staying static.

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70 Minutes & ~500 Interactions Total

Moved up to #1.

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Stayed ~12 hours, when it fell to #13+ for ~8 hours, then

back to #4.

Google? You messing with us?

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Via Google Trends, we can see the relative impact of the test on query volume

~5-10X normal volume over 3-4 hours

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BTW – This is hard to replicate. 600+ real searchers using a variety of devices, browsers, accounts, geos, etc. will not look the same to Google as a Fiverr buy, a clickfarm, or a bot. And note how G penalized the page after the test… They might not put it back if they thought the site itself was to blame for the click manipulation.

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The Future:Optimizing for Two

Algorithms

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The Best SEOs Have Always

Optimized to Where Google’s Going

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Today, I Think We Know,Better Than Ever, Where That Is

Welcome to your new home, the User/Usage Signals + ML Model Cabin

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We Must Choose How to Balance Our Work…

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Hammering on the Fading Signals of Old…

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Or Embracing Those We Can See On the Rise

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Classic On-Site SEO(ranking inputs)

New On-Site SEO(searcher outputs)

Keyword Targeting Relative CTR

Short vs. Long-Click

Content Gap Fulfillment

Amplification & Loyalty

Task Completion Success

Quality & Uniqueness

Crawl/Bot Friendly

Snippet Optimization

UX / Multi-Device

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5 New(ish) Elements of Modern SEO

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Punching Above Your Ranking’s Average CTR#1

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Optimizing the Title, Meta Description, & URLa Little for KWs, but a Lot for Clicks

If you rank #3, but have a higher-than-average CTR for that position, you might

get moved up.

Via Philip Petrescu on Moz

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Every Element Counts Does the title match what

searchers want?Does the URL seem

compelling?

Do searchers recognize & want to click your

domain?

Is your result fresh? Do searchers want a newer

result?

Does the description create curiosity & entice

a click?

Do you get the brand dropdown?

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Given Google Often Tests New Results Briefly on Page One…

It May Be Worth Repeated Publication on a Topic to Earn that High CTR

Shoot! My post only made it to #15… Perhaps I’ll try again in a few months.

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Driving Up CTR Through Branding Or Branded Searches May Give An Extra Boost

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#1 Ad Spender

#2 Ad Spender

#4 Ad Spender

#3 Ad Spender

#5 Ad Spender

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With Google Trends’ new, more accurate, more customizable ranges, you can actually watch the effects of events and ads on search query volume

Fitbit has been running ads on Sunday NFL games that clearly show

in the search trends data.

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Beating Out Your Fellow SERP Residents on Engagement#2

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Together, Pogo-Sticking & Long Clicks Might Determine a Lot of Where You Rank (and for how

long)

Via Bill Slawski on Moz

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What Influences Them?

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Speed, Speed, and More Speed

Delivers the Best UX on Every Browser

Compels Visitors to Go Deeper Into Your Site

Avoids Features that Annoy or Dissuade Visitors

Content that Fulfills the Searcher’s Conscious & Unconscious Needs

An SEO’s Checklist for Better Engagement:

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Via NY Times

e.g. this interactive graph that asks visitors to draw

their best guess likely gets remarkable engagement

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e.g. Poor Norbert does a terrible job at SEO, but the simplicity compels visitors to go deeper and to return time and again

Via VoilaNorbert

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e.g. Nomadlist’s superb, filterable database of

cities and community for remote workers.

Via Nomadlist

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Filling Gaps in Your Visitors’ Knowledge#3

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Google’s looking for content signals that a

page will fulfill ALL of a searcher’s needs.

I think I know a few ways to figure that out.

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ML models may note that the presence of certain

words, phrases, & topics predict more successful

searches

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e.g. a page about New York that doesn’t mention Brooklyn or Long Island may not be very comprehensive

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If Your Content Doesn’t Fill the Gaps in Searcher’s Needs…

e.g. for this query, Google might seek content that includes topics

like “text classification,” “tokenization,” “parsing,” and

“question answering”

Those Rankings Go to Pages/Sites That Do.

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Moz’s Data Science Team is Working on Something to

Help With This

The (alpha) tool extracts likely focal topics from a given page, which can then be

compared vs. an engines top 10 results

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In the meantime, check out

Alchemy APIOr MonkeyLearn

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Earning More Shares, Links, & Loyalty per Visit#4

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Pages that get lots of social activity & engagement, but few links, seem to overperform…

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Google says they don’t use social signals directly, but examples like these make SEOs suspicious

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Even for insanely competitive keywords, we see this type of behavior when a URL gets authentically “hot” in the social world.

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Data from Buzzsumo & Moz show that very few articles earn shares AND that links & shares have almost no correlation.

Via Buzzsumo & Moz

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I suspect Google doesn’t use raw social shares as a ranking input, because we share a lot of content

with which we don’t engage:

Via Chartbeat

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Google Could Be Using a Lot of Other Metrics/Sources to Get Data That Mimics Social Shares:

Clickstream (from Chrome/Android)

Engagement (from Chrome/Android)

Branded Queries (from Search)

Navigational Queries (from Search)

Rate of Link Growth (from Crawl)

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But I Don’t Care if It’s Correlation or Causation;I Want to Rank Like These Guys!

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BTW – Google Almost Certainly Classifies SERPs Differently & Optimizes to Different Goals

These URLs have loads of shares & may have high loyalty, but for medical queries, Google has different priorities

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Raw Shares & Links Are Fine Metrics…

Via Buzzsumo

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But If the Competition Naturally EarnsThem Faster, You’re Outta Luck

4 new shares/day

2 new shares/day

3 new shares/day

10 new shares/day

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And Google Probably Wants to See Shares that Result in Loyalty & Returning Visits

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New KPI #1: Shares & Links Per 1,000 Visits

Unique Visits

÷

Shares + Links

Via Moz’s 1Metric

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New KPI #2: Return Visitor Ratio Over Time

Total Visitor Sessions

÷

# of Returning Visitors

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Knowing What Makes Our Audience (and their influencers) Share is Essential

From an analysis of the 10,000 pieces of content receiving the most social shares on the web by Buzzsumo.

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Knowing What Makes them Return (or prevents them from doing so) Is, Too.

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We Don’t Need “Better” Content… We Need “10X” Content.

Via Whiteboard Friday

Wrong Question:“How do we make something as

good as this?”

Right Question:“How do we make something 10X

better than any of these?”

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10X Content is the Future, Because It’s the Only Way to Stand Out from the Increasingly-Noisy Crowd

http://www.simplereach.com/blog/facebook-continues-to-be-the-biggest-driver-of-social-traffic/

The top 10% of content gets all the social shares

and traffic.

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Old School On-Site Old School Off-SiteKeyword Targeting Link Diversity

Anchor Text

Brand Mentions

3rd Party Reviews

Reputation Management

Quality & Uniqueness

Crawl/Bot Friendly

Snippet Optimization

UX / Multi-Device

None of our old school tactics will get this done.

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Fulfilling the Searcher’s Task (not just their query)#5

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Broad search Narrower search

Even narrower search

Website visit

Website visit Brand search

Social validation Highly-specific search

Type-in/direct visit Completion of Task

Google Wants to Get Searchers Accomplishing Their Tasks Faster

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Broad search

All the sites (or answers) you probably would have visited/sought along that path

Completion of Task

This is Their Ultimate Goal:

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If Google sees that many people

who perform these types of queries:

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Eventually end their queries on the topic after visiting Ramen

Rater…

The Ramen Rater

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They might use the clickstream data to help

rank that site higher, even if it doesn’t have

traditional ranking signals

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They’re definitely getting and storing it.

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A Page That Answers the Searcher’s Initial Query May Not Be Enough

Searchers performing this query are likely to have the goal of

completing a transaction

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Google Wants to Send Searchers to Websites that Resolve their

Mission

This is the only site where you can reliably find the

back issues and collector covers

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Welcome to theTwo-Algorithm World of 2015

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Algo 1: Google

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Algo 2: Subset of Humanity that Interacts With Your Content

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“Make Pages for People, Not Engines.”

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Terrible Advice.

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Keyword Targeting Relative CTR

Short vs. Long-Click

Content Gap Fulfillment

Amplify & Return Rates

Task Completion Success

Quality & Uniqueness

Crawl/Bot Friendly

Snippet Optimization

UX / Multi-Device

Engines People

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Optimize for Both:

Algo Input & Human Output

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Bonus Time!

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#1) I’ve Been Curating a List of “10X” Content Over the Last 6 months… It’s All Yours:

bit.ly/10Xcontent

FYI that’s a capital “X”

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#2) Not all content earns links… Buzzsumo & Moz collaborated to find out what does:

bit.ly/sharesvslinks

No capitals in this one!

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Rand Fishkin, Wizard of Moz | @randfish | [email protected]

bit.ly/twoalgo