on leading edge erosion at turbine blades due to heavy ...dtu wind energy. control strategies. 12....
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On leading edge erosion at turbine blades due to heavy rain and the application oferosion safe mode control to extend life
Hasager, Charlotte Bay; Bech, Jakob Ilsted; Bak, Christian
Publication date:2019
Document VersionPublisher's PDF, also known as Version of record
Link back to DTU Orbit
Citation (APA):Hasager, C. B. (Author), Bech, J. I. (Author), & Bak, C. (Author). (2019). On leading edge erosion at turbineblades due to heavy rain and the application of erosion safe mode control to extend life. Sound/Visualproduction (digital), DTU Wind Energy.
https://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/9857c172-7f5b-499d-9b44-df3c4f81c96a
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
On leading edge erosion at turbine blades due to heavy rain and the application of erosion safe mode control to extend life
Charlotte Hasager, Jakob I. Bech, Christian Bak
DTU Wind Energy, Risø Campus, Roskilde, Denmark
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Motivation
3
Unforeseen repair cost at several offshore wind farms motivated the research project
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Working hypothesis
4
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019 5
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Simulated power curves for the Vestas V52 for different leading edge roughness levels
6
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
3 5 7 9 11 13
Elec
trica
l pow
er [k
W]
Wind speed [m/s]
Clean 20% of full LER 40% of full LER
60% of full LER 80% of full LER Full LER Bech et al. 2018, WES
LER is leading edge roughness. Roughness levels increase for eroded blade.
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Rain erosion test example
7
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Rain erosion test data plotted as a Wöhler curve
8
Bech et al. 2018, WES
D is drop sizevt is blade speed
Impacts per unit area to failure as function of the kinetic energy for each impact
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Wöhler curves for droplet diameters of 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5 mm
9
RET is Rain Erosion Test
Bech et al. 2018, WES
Chart1
8482.958466798653717705.29829112022400.6281089541889.973478598
15776.2337339841311525171.3736145729201.43609224258234.350217781
22991.9209664129156842218.1054812884456.03688359130012.12101288
29931.739630815882794888.78433411522665.3873032168631.6428695075
36293.958480914345546766.0824866837642.09645898537755.3425040132
42518.243046999825980743.423959477807.01597552321536.3669223848
15303303.4049858281440.20419990512685.4552187458
9275775.76060499170589.0653208037689.0220964936
5768605.31957721106089.346602224781.8031518786
3671621.605053467524.10946347373043.5383928878
2386572.112701643891.00346254011978.3149337626
1581280.169014929081.02923188591310.7796559659
1066233.9031465619608.9092325427883.83939553
730607.46558360313436.4658964307605.6266442527
508107.2406483549344.5056782271421.1882543912
358244.9935300286588.4169884416296.9620808331
255814.534367654704.6374814916212.0538117912
184843.0497631373399.4141195241153.2230112815
135041.0379183842483.5145903684111.9403434587
99677.99669585461833.15948210182.6266545148
74288.1916494421366.220303823361.5801375371
55868.82050545881027.473077893846.3116623836
42375.4003342113779.318099334535.1264840728
32399.5139656211595.853430148426.8571152674
24960.1636735365459.037723767220.690371886
RET results
1.5 mm
2.0 mm
2.5 mm
Impacts/area to removed coating [cm-2]
Local rotor speed [m/s]
131.2
60
60
60
122
65
65
65
118.5333333333
70
70
70
115.7333333333
75
75
75
112.2666666667
80
80
80
109.6
85
85
85
90
90
90
95
95
95
100
100
100
105
105
105
110
110
110
115
115
115
120
120
120
125
125
125
130
130
130
135
135
135
140
140
140
145
145
145
150
150
150
155
155
155
160
160
160
165
165
165
170
170
170
175
175
175
180
180
180
life model polytech data
POLYTEC results
vo [m/s]140Regn intensitet32.5mm/hdroplet volume0.0000000042
vi [m/s]110droplet speed6m/sdroplet size2mm2
r0-ri [m]0.225mass0.0000041888kg0.0000031416
omega [rad/s]13310002
rpm1273TidRegnmængdeslid [mm]hastighedcinetic energyHits/m2/sfailure atfailure atpower function failurefailure atacc impact energy3
rotor diam2.1[hrs][min][sec][J]hits/m2hits/cm2hits/m2hits/2 mm circle[J/cm2]
0.530.01800.016.3661310.0360517444471288.5E+078.5E+038.58E+072.7E+023.1E+02
1.060.03600.032.51351220.0311729767438231.6E+081.6E+04168259557.5512565.0E+024.9E+02
1.590.05400.048.81611190.0294265677425782.3E+082.3E+04219739821.3262087.2E+026.8E+02
2.0120.07200.065.01821160.0280527562415723.0E+083.0E+04274186721.400559.4E+028.4E+02
2.5150.09000.081.32081120.0263973463403273.6E+083.6E+04363370031.3363811.1E+039.6E+02
3.0180.010800.097.52281100.0251582091393694.3E+084.3E+04453968838.8522371.3E+031.1E+03
c=17.872
32.510010m=4.63
percent of timehours pr yearrain intensityrain ratefall speeddroplet sizedroplet sizerain relative volume1 droplet volumedroplets/m3densitymassblade tip speedcinetic energyhits/m2/shits/m2/hrhits/cm2/shits/cm2/hrpower function impacts to failurehours to failuremm to failurefraction of life spent pr yearfraction of life spent pr yearreduced production
[hrs/year][mm/hr]m/sm/s[mm]m[-][m3][kg/m3]kg[m/s][m-2*hr-1][cm-2s-1][cm-2hr-1][m-2][hrs][%]
0.021.752200.000005555662.50.00250.00000092590.000000008211310000.000008181270.00.020044015679222.85E+070.792237938928521.30E+094.56E+019120.0383.840.0000888889
0.18.76100.0000027778620.0020.0000004630.000000004211110000.000004188880.00.013404128788423.18E+070.884194128331838.38E+092.63E+0226320.0333.330.0001111111
187.650.000001388961.50.00150.00000023150.000000001813110000.000001767190.00.0071569408117894.24E+071.178925504442441.53E+113.61E+03180290.0242.430
3262.820.0000005556610.0010.00000009260.000000000517710000.000000523690.00.002120575159155.73E+071.591549430957304.27E+137.46E+0514914210.0000.040
543810.000000277860.50.00050.00000004630.000000000170710000.000000065490.00.0002650719636622.29E+086.3661977237229186.49E+172.83E+0928301978260.0000.000
20.002100080.00.0134041287sum fraction0.0969.637
rpmm/sD rotorlifetime years:10.37710.377
SWP 2.3-1061690.4778684234108
633.9292006588108
Jakob Ilsted Bech:antaget
Jakob Ilsted Bech:antaget
Jakob Ilsted Bech:cinetic energy with diameter
life model polytech data
kinetic energy [J]
impacts/m2
rain impact fatigue
impact fatigue V-N
d[mm]cmrho [kg/m3]d[mm]cmrho [kg/m3]d[mm]cmrho [kg/m3]
0.00151.79E+01-4.6310000.0021.79E+01-4.6310000.00251.79E+01-4.631000
1.5 mm2.0 mm2.5 mm
vNvNvN
m-2cm-2m-2cm-2m-2cm-2
606.54E+12653717705.298291601.20E+1112022400.6281089605.42E+09541889.973478598
653.12E+12311525171.373614655.73E+105729201.43609224652.58E+09258234.350217781
701.57E+12156842218.105481702.88E+102884456.03688359701.30E+09130012.12101288
758.28E+1182794888.7843341751.52E+101522665.38730321756.86E+0868631.6428695075
804.55E+1145546766.0824866808.38E+09837642.096458985803.78E+0837755.3425040132
852.60E+1125980743.423959854.78E+09477807.015975523852.15E+0821536.3669223848
901.53E+1115303303.4049858902.81E+09281440.204199905901.27E+0812685.4552187458
959.28E+109275775.76060499951.71E+09170589.065320803957.69E+077689.0220964936
1005.77E+105768605.319577211001.06E+09106089.346602221004.78E+074781.8031518786
1053.67E+103671621.60505341056.75E+0867524.10946347371053.04E+073043.5383928878
1102.39E+102386572.11270161104.39E+0843891.00346254011101.98E+071978.3149337626
1151.58E+101581280.16901491152.91E+0829081.02923188591151.31E+071310.7796559659
1201.07E+101066233.903146561201.96E+0819608.90923254271208.84E+06883.83939553
1257.31E+09730607.4655836031251.34E+0813436.46589643071256.06E+06605.6266442527
1305.08E+09508107.2406483541309.34E+079344.50567822711304.21E+06421.1882543912
1353.58E+09358244.9935300281356.59E+076588.41698844161352.97E+06296.9620808331
1402.56E+09255814.534367651404.70E+074704.63748149161402.12E+06212.0538117912
1451.85E+09184843.0497631371453.40E+073399.41411952411451.53E+06153.2230112815
1501.35E+09135041.0379183841502.48E+072483.51459036841501.12E+06111.9403434587
1559.97E+0899677.99669585461551.83E+071833.1594821011558.26E+0582.6266545148
1607.43E+0874288.1916494421601.37E+071366.22030382331606.16E+0561.5801375371
1655.59E+0855868.82050545881651.03E+071027.47307789381654.63E+0546.3116623836
1704.24E+0842375.40033421131707.79E+06779.31809933451703.51E+0535.1264840728
1753.24E+0832399.51396562111755.96E+06595.85343014841752.69E+0526.8571152674
1802.50E+0824960.16367353651804.59E+06459.03772376721802.07E+0520.690371886
N_Ei=18∗(1/12 ρπ)^(-4.63) 〖v_t〗^(-9.26) D^(-13.89)
N_Ei=c∗(1/12 〖ρπD〗^3 v_t^2 )^(-m)
impact fatigue (4)
d[mm]cmrho [kg/m3]d[mm]cmrho [kg/m3]d[mm]cmrho [kg/m3]
0.00151.79E+01-4.6310000.0021.79E+01-4.6310000.00251.79E+01-4.631000
1.5 mm2.0 mm2.5 mm
vNvNvN
m-2cm-2m-2cm-2m-2cm-2
606.54E+12653717705.298291601.20E+1112022400.6281089605.42E+09541889.973478598
653.12E+12311525171.373614655.73E+105729201.43609224652.58E+09258234.350217781
701.57E+12156842218.105481702.88E+102884456.03688359701.30E+09130012.12101288
758.28E+1182794888.7843341751.52E+101522665.38730321756.86E+0868631.6428695075
804.55E+1145546766.0824866808.38E+09837642.096458985803.78E+0837755.3425040132
852.60E+1125980743.423959854.78E+09477807.015975523852.15E+0821536.3669223848
901.53E+1115303303.4049858902.81E+09281440.204199905901.27E+0812685.4552187458
959.28E+109275775.76060499951.71E+09170589.065320803957.69E+077689.0220964936
1005.77E+105768605.319577211001.06E+09106089.346602221004.78E+074781.8031518786
1053.67E+103671621.60505341056.75E+0867524.10946347371053.04E+073043.5383928878
1102.39E+102386572.11270161104.39E+0843891.00346254011101.98E+071978.3149337626
1151.58E+101581280.16901491152.91E+0829081.02923188591151.31E+071310.7796559659
1201.07E+101066233.903146561201.96E+0819608.90923254271208.84E+06883.83939553
1257.31E+09730607.4655836031251.34E+0813436.46589643071256.06E+06605.6266442527
1305.08E+09508107.2406483541309.34E+079344.50567822711304.21E+06421.1882543912
1353.58E+09358244.9935300281356.59E+076588.41698844161352.97E+06296.9620808331
1402.56E+09255814.534367651404.70E+074704.63748149161402.12E+06212.0538117912
1451.85E+09184843.0497631371453.40E+073399.41411952411451.53E+06153.2230112815
1501.35E+09135041.0379183841502.48E+072483.51459036841501.12E+06111.9403434587
1559.97E+0899677.99669585461551.83E+071833.1594821011558.26E+0582.6266545148
1607.43E+0874288.1916494421601.37E+071366.22030382331606.16E+0561.5801375371
1655.59E+0855868.82050545881651.03E+071027.47307789381654.63E+0546.3116623836
1704.24E+0842375.40033421131707.79E+06779.31809933451703.51E+0535.1264840728
1753.24E+0832399.51396562111755.96E+06595.85343014841752.69E+0526.8571152674
1802.50E+0824960.16367353651804.59E+06459.03772376721802.07E+0520.690371886
N_Ei=18∗(1/12 ρπ)^(-4.63) 〖v_t〗^(-9.26) D^(-13.89)
N_Ei=c∗(1/12 〖ρπD〗^3 v_t^2 )^(-m)
fig 3
0.53.1976750428
13.1337340646
1.53.0711935499
23.0100201659
2.52.9501814358
32.8916457161
2.8343821727
2.7783607596
2.7235521965
2.6699279482
2.6174602045
2.5661218598
2.5158864946
2.4667283564
2.4186223417
2.3715439788
2.3254694103
2.2803753765
2.2362392
2.1930387691
2.1507525235
2.1093594389
2.0688390133
2.0291712524
1.9903366566
1.9523162079
1.9150913566
1.8786440095
1.8429565175
1.8080116642
1.773792654
1.7402831016
1.707467021
1.675328815
1.6438532653
1.6130255221
1.5828310953
1.5532558443
1.5242859697
1.4959080039
1.4681088029
1.4408755377
1.4141956865
1.3880570262
1.3624476257
1.3373558376
1.3127702911
1.2886798854
1.2650737823
1.2419413998
1.2192724054
1.1970567102
1.1752844621
1.1539460405
1.1330320499
1.1125333147
1.0924408733
1.072745973
1.0534400646
1.0345147975
1.0159620146
0.9977737475
0.979942212
0.9624598031
0.9453190911
0.9285128169
0.912033888
0.8958753741
0.8800305035
0.864492659
0.849255374
0.8343123292
0.8196573485
0.805284396
0.7911875721
0.7773611107
0.7637993755
0.7504968573
0.7374481705
0.7246480503
0.71209135
0.6997730378
0.6876881942
0.6758320095
0.6641997808
0.6527869097
0.6415888997
0.6306013539
0.6198199726
0.6092405508
0.5988589762
0.588671227
0.5786733694
0.5688615561
0.5592320238
0.5497810915
0.5405051585
0.5314007022
0.5224642769
0.5136925114
0.5050821079
Fit
Time to removed coating [hrs]
Local rotor speed [m/s]
131.2
109.6
122
109.816
118.5333333333
110.032
115.7333333333
110.248
112.2666666667
110.464
109.6
110.68
110.896
111.112
111.328
111.544
111.76
111.976
112.192
112.408
112.624
112.84
113.056
113.272
113.488
113.704
113.92
114.136
114.352
114.568
114.784
115
115.216
115.432
115.648
115.864
116.08
116.296
116.512
116.728
116.944
117.16
117.376
117.592
117.808
118.024
118.24
118.456
118.672
118.888
119.104
119.32
119.536
119.752
119.968
120.184
120.4
120.616
120.832
121.048
121.264
121.48
121.696
121.912
122.128
122.344
122.56
122.776
122.992
123.208
123.424
123.64
123.856
124.072
124.288
124.504
124.72
124.936
125.152
125.368
125.584
125.8
126.016
126.232
126.448
126.664
126.88
127.096
127.312
127.528
127.744
127.96
128.176
128.392
128.608
128.824
129.04
129.256
129.472
129.688
129.904
130.12
130.336
130.552
130.768
130.984
131.2
fig 4
8482.95846679845319.8415509923
15776.233733984144422.3298518267
22991.920966412943546.3395651789
29931.739630815842691.2655401948
36293.958480914341856.5221258607
42518.243046999841041.5424632938
40245.7778065734
39468.6968708487
38709.7852065186
37968.5445983355
37244.4924883448
36537.1614216194
35846.098513798
35170.8649394869
34511.0354406237
33866.1978539499
33235.9526567722
32619.9125302371
32017.7019393754
31428.9567292081
30853.3237362397
30290.4604146922
29740.0344768675
29201.7235470486
28675.2148283813
28160.2047821987
27656.3988192795
27163.5110025519
26681.2637607734
26209.3876127455
25747.6209016332
25295.7095389845
24853.4067580594
24420.4728760957
23996.6750651574
23581.7871312228
23175.589301187
22777.8680174694
22388.4157399223
22007.0307547618
21633.5169902413
21267.6838388095
20909.3459855011
20558.3232423197
20214.4403883818
19877.5270156044
19547.4173797216
19223.9502564294
18906.9688024643
18596.3204214298
18291.8566341916
17993.4329536705
17700.9087638707
17414.1472029822
17133.0150504106
16857.3826175856
16587.1236424115
16322.115187225
16062.2375401323
15807.3741196027
15557.4113821997
15312.238733337
15071.7484409499
14835.8355519769
14604.3978115519
14377.3355848089
14154.5517812079
13935.9517812904
13721.4433657812
13510.9366469516
13304.3440021664
13101.5800095362
12902.5613856046
12707.2069249961
12515.4374419592
12327.175713739
12142.3464257146
11960.8761182432
11782.6931351499
11607.7275738105
11435.9112367685
11267.1775848397
11101.4616916491
10938.7001995557
10778.8312769166
10621.7945766462
10467.5311960271
10315.9836377317
10167.0957720132
10020.812800029
9877.0812182574
9735.8487839736
9597.064481748
9460.6784909365
9326.6421541272
9194.9079465149
9065.4294461729
8938.1613051922
8813.0592216609
8690.0799124579
8569.1810868326
Fit
Impacts/area to removed coating [cm-2]
Kinetic energy of impact [J]
0.0360517444
0.0251582091
0.0311729767
0.0252671444
0.0294265677
0.0253760798
0.0280527562
0.0254850151
0.0263973463
0.0255939505
0.0251582091
0.0257028858
0.0258118212
0.0259207565
0.0260296919
0.0261386273
0.0262475626
0.026356498
0.0264654333
0.0265743687
0.026683304
0.0267922394
0.0269011747
0.0270101101
0.0271190454
0.0272279808
0.0273369161
0.0274458515
0.0275547869
0.0276637222
0.0277726576
0.0278815929
0.0279905283
0.0280994636
0.028208399
0.0283173343
0.0284262697
0.028535205
0.0286441404
0.0287530757
0.0288620111
0.0289709464
0.0290798818
0.0291888172
0.0292977525
0.0294066879
0.0295156232
0.0296245586
0.0297334939
0.0298424293
0.0299513646
0.0300603
0.0301692353
0.0302781707
0.030387106
0.0304960414
0.0306049768
0.0307139121
0.0308228475
0.0309317828
0.0310407182
0.0311496535
0.0312585889
0.0313675242
0.0314764596
0.0315853949
0.0316943303
0.0318032656
0.031912201
0.0320211363
0.0321300717
0.0322390071
0.0323479424
0.0324568778
0.0325658131
0.0326747485
0.0327836838
0.0328926192
0.0330015545
0.0331104899
0.0332194252
0.0333283606
0.0334372959
0.0335462313
0.0336551667
0.033764102
0.0338730374
0.0339819727
0.0340909081
0.0341998434
0.0343087788
0.0344177141
0.0345266495
0.0346355848
0.0347445202
0.0348534555
0.0349623909
0.0350713262
0.0351802616
0.035289197
0.0353981323
0.0355070677
0.035616003
0.0357249384
0.0358338737
0.0359428091
0.0360517444
fig.5 v-N
8482.958466798653717705.29829112022400.6281089541889.973478598
15776.2337339841311525171.3736145729201.43609224258234.350217781
22991.9209664129156842218.1054812884456.03688359130012.12101288
29931.739630815882794888.78433411522665.3873032168631.6428695075
36293.958480914345546766.0824866837642.09645898537755.3425040132
42518.243046999825980743.423959477807.01597552321536.3669223848
15303303.4049858281440.20419990512685.4552187458
9275775.76060499170589.0653208037689.0220964936
5768605.31957721106089.346602224781.8031518786
3671621.605053467524.10946347373043.5383928878
2386572.112701643891.00346254011978.3149337626
1581280.169014929081.02923188591310.7796559659
1066233.9031465619608.9092325427883.83939553
730607.46558360313436.4658964307605.6266442527
508107.2406483549344.5056782271421.1882543912
358244.9935300286588.4169884416296.9620808331
255814.534367654704.6374814916212.0538117912
184843.0497631373399.4141195241153.2230112815
135041.0379183842483.5145903684111.9403434587
99677.99669585461833.15948210182.6266545148
74288.1916494421366.220303823361.5801375371
55868.82050545881027.473077893846.3116623836
42375.4003342113779.318099334535.1264840728
32399.5139656211595.853430148426.8571152674
24960.1636735365459.037723767220.690371886
RET results
1.5 mm
2.0 mm
2.5 mm
Impacts/area to removed coating [cm-2]
Local rotor speed [m/s]
131.2
60
60
60
122
65
65
65
118.5333333333
70
70
70
115.7333333333
75
75
75
112.2666666667
80
80
80
109.6
85
85
85
90
90
90
95
95
95
100
100
100
105
105
105
110
110
110
115
115
115
120
120
120
125
125
125
130
130
130
135
135
135
140
140
140
145
145
145
150
150
150
155
155
155
160
160
160
165
165
165
170
170
170
175
175
175
180
180
180
ASTM E739 stat (time;speed)
SN PointsXYX^2Y^2X*YN6XYHATXXconfiYavgY1Y2SN-lineLower confUpper ConfSUMMARY OUTPUT
131.2000.52.118-0.3014.4860.091-0.6375616132SUMX12.4322.118-0.29662.03980.07190.50480.43300.57673.20109.63109.64109.6
122.0001.02.0860.0004.3530.0000SUMY1.0512.0860.02732.04070.07070.49610.42540.56683.13109.83109.84109.8Regression Statistics
118.5331.52.0740.1764.3010.0310.3651851843SUMXX25.7622.0740.15572.04150.06960.48730.41770.55693.07110.03110.04110.0Multiple R0.8824404681
115.7332.02.0630.3014.2580.0910.6211628918SUMYY0.5982.0630.26222.04240.06840.47860.41010.54703.01110.23110.24110.2R Square0.7787011797
112.2672.52.0500.3984.2040.1580.8158768323SUMXY2.1382.0500.39772.04320.06730.46980.40250.53712.95110.53110.53110.5Adjusted R Square0.7510388271
109.6003.02.0400.4774.1610.2280.973236971SAKX0.00390163422.0400.50482.04410.06620.46110.39490.52732.89110.72110.73110.7Standard Error4.8757093885
SAKY (SAKtotal)0.410.00021.43142.04490.06510.45250.38730.51762.83110.92110.93110.9Observations10
SAPXY-0.04002714510.00021.43142.04580.06400.44380.37970.50782.78111.12111.13111.1
XMEAN2.07194233460.00021.43142.04660.06300.43510.37210.49812.72111.32111.33111.3ANOVA
YMEAN0.1750.00021.43142.04740.06200.42650.36450.48852.67111.52111.53111.5dfSSMSFSignificance F
A1-10.2590717384-10.2591-0.09750.00021.43142.04830.06090.41790.35690.47882.62111.82111.83111.8Regression1669.2021766792669.202176679228.15021529980.0007234162
A021.4312700207474631489600000.01.361E-2200.00021.43142.04910.06000.40930.34930.46922.57112.02112.03112.0Residual8190.180336328223.772542041
R20.992(X=2.700.207.474.631.490.000.000Y^-010)0.00021.43142.05000.05900.40070.34170.45972.52112.22112.23112.2Total9859.3825130074
T-VALUE2.7760.00021.43142.05080.05800.39210.33410.45022.47112.42112.43112.4
F-VALUE6.9400.00021.43142.05160.05710.38360.32640.44072.42112.62112.63112.6CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
CONFIA11.3058064549-8.9532652835-11.56487819330.00021.43142.05250.05620.37500.31880.43132.37112.82112.83112.8Intercept86.9588264452.934840697429.62982846830.000000001880.191067284193.726585605980.191067284193.7265856059
CONFIA00.033298637321.39821.4650.00021.43142.05330.05540.36650.31120.42192.33113.12113.13113.1X Variable 1-0.00039353120.0000741717-5.30567764760.0007234162-0.0005645715-0.0002224908-0.0005645715-0.0002224908
Xmin109.60.00021.43142.05410.05450.35800.30350.41252.28113.32113.33113.3
Xmax131.22.05490.05370.34950.29580.40322.24113.52113.53113.5
Variansanalysetabel2.05580.05290.34100.28810.39402.19113.72113.72113.7
SAKfS2F2.05660.05210.33260.28040.38472.15113.92113.92113.9RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Regress0.410641353110.411475.802.05740.05140.32420.27270.37562.11114.12114.12114.1
Residual0.00340.0012.05820.05070.31570.26500.36642.07114.42114.42114.4ObservationPredicted YResidualsStandard Residuals
Total0.41452.05910.05010.30730.25730.35742.03114.62114.62114.6164.96200857310.47441169590.1032033599
2.05990.04940.29890.24950.34841.99114.82114.82114.8284.73537537568.12243379941.7669515023
2.06070.04880.29060.24170.33941.95115.02115.02115.0372.3989604863-3.7728515527-0.8207448511
2.06150.04830.28220.23390.33051.92115.22115.22115.2483.96798960833.53894129330.7698600923
N =2.700E+21*S^-10.262.06230.04780.27380.22610.32161.88115.42115.42115.4580.2495136516-3.0746271321-0.6688533467
2.06310.04730.26550.21820.31281.84115.62115.62115.6678.1834750473-4.5407034997-0.987783104
2.06390.04680.25720.21040.30401.81115.92115.92115.9758.2920488965.53846357531.2048354935
NTVALUEFVALUE95%2.06480.04640.24890.20250.29531.77116.12116.12116.1876.1768596485-1.6616650429-0.3614780516
112.706199.52.06560.04610.24060.19460.28671.74116.32116.32116.3966.37832722771.08067647120.2350899941
24.303192.06640.04570.23240.18660.27811.71116.52116.52116.51071.750027599-5.7050796076-1.2410810888
33.1829.552.06720.04550.22410.17860.26961.68116.72116.72116.7111.8219740758-0.0235723844-2.1105589334
42.77646.942.06800.04520.21590.17060.26111.64116.91116.92116.9121.74184586680.00519802610.465406478
52.57065.792.06880.04500.20760.16260.25271.61117.21117.22117.2
62.44695.142.06960.04490.19940.15460.24431.58117.41117.42117.4
72.36464.742.07040.04480.19120.14650.23601.55117.61117.62117.6
82.3064.462.07120.04470.18310.13840.22781.52117.81117.82117.8
92.26224.262.07200.04470.17490.13020.21961.50118.01118.02118.0
102.22814.12.07280.04470.16680.12210.21151.47118.21118.22118.2
112.2013.982.07360.04480.15860.11390.20341.44118.51118.52118.5
122.17882.892.07430.04490.15050.10560.19541.41118.71118.72118.7
132.16043.812.07510.04500.14240.09740.18741.39118.91118.92118.9
142.14483.742.07590.04520.13430.08910.17951.36119.11119.12119.1
152.13153.682.07670.04550.12620.08080.17171.34119.31119.31119.3
162.11993.632.07750.04570.11820.07250.16391.31119.51119.51119.5
172.10983.592.07830.04600.11010.06410.15621.29119.81119.81119.8
182.10093.552.07910.04640.10210.05570.14851.27120.01120.01120.0
192.0933.522.07980.04680.09410.04730.14091.24120.21120.21120.2
202.0863.492.08060.04720.08610.03890.13331.22120.41120.41120.4
212.07963.472.08140.04770.07810.03050.12581.20120.61120.61120.6
222.07393.442.08220.04820.07010.02200.11831.18120.81120.81120.8
232.0693.422.08300.04870.06220.01350.11091.15121.01121.01121.0
242.0643.42.08370.04920.05420.00500.10351.13121.31121.31121.3
252.063.392.08450.04980.0463-0.00350.09611.11121.51121.51121.5
262.0563.372.08530.05040.0384-0.01200.08881.09121.71121.71121.7
272.0523.352.08600.05110.0305-0.02060.08161.07121.91121.91121.9
282.0483.342.08680.05170.0226-0.02910.07431.05122.11122.11122.1
292.0453.332.08760.05240.0147-0.03770.06721.03122.31122.31122.3
302.0423.322.08830.05310.0069-0.04630.06001.02122.61122.61122.6
312.0213.232.08910.0539-0.0010-0.05480.05291.00122.81122.81122.8
402.0213.232.08990.0546-0.0088-0.06340.04580.98123.01123.01123.0
4123.152.09060.0554-0.0166-0.07200.03880.96123.21123.21123.2
6023.152.09140.0562-0.0244-0.08060.03180.95123.41123.41123.4
611.983.072.09220.0570-0.0322-0.08920.02480.93123.61123.61123.6
1201.983.072.09290.0579-0.0400-0.09780.01790.91123.91123.91123.9
1211.9632.09370.0587-0.0478-0.10650.01100.90124.11124.11124.1
2.09440.0596-0.0555-0.11510.00410.88124.31124.31124.3
2.09520.0605-0.0632-0.1237-0.00280.86124.51124.51124.5
2.09590.0614-0.0710-0.1323-0.00960.85124.71124.71124.7
2.09670.0623-0.0787-0.1409-0.01640.83124.91124.91124.9
2.09740.0632-0.0864-0.1496-0.02320.82125.21125.21125.2
2.09820.0641-0.0941-0.1582-0.02990.81125.41125.41125.4
2.09890.0651-0.1017-0.1668-0.03670.79125.61125.61125.6
2.09970.0660-0.1094-0.1754-0.04340.78125.81125.81125.8
2.10040.0670-0.1170-0.1840-0.05000.76126.01126.01126.0
2.10120.0680-0.1247-0.1926-0.05670.75126.21126.21126.2
2.10190.0690-0.1323-0.2012-0.06330.74126.41126.41126.4
2.10270.0699-0.1399-0.2098-0.06990.72126.71126.71126.7
2.10340.0709-0.1475-0.2184-0.07650.71126.91126.91126.9
2.10410.0720-0.1550-0.2270-0.08310.70127.11127.11127.1
2.10490.0730-0.1626-0.2356-0.08960.69127.31127.31127.3
2.10560.0740-0.1702-0.2442-0.09620.68127.51127.51127.5
2.10630.0750-0.1777-0.2527-0.10270.66127.71127.71127.7
2.10710.0761-0.1852-0.2613-0.10920.65128.01128.01128.0
2.10780.0771-0.1927-0.2699-0.11560.64128.21128.21128.2
2.10850.0782-0.2002-0.2784-0.12210.63128.41128.41128.4
2.10930.0792-0.2077-0.2869-0.12850.62128.61128.61128.6
2.11000.0803-0.2152-0.2955-0.13490.61128.81128.81128.8
2.11070.0813-0.2227-0.3040-0.14130.60129.00129.01129.0
2.11150.0824-0.2301-0.3125-0.14770.59129.30129.31129.3
2.11220.0835-0.2376-0.3210-0.15410.58129.50129.51129.5
2.11290.0845-0.2450-0.3295-0.16050.57129.70129.71129.7
2.11360.0856-0.2524-0.3380-0.16680.56129.90129.91129.9
2.11430.0867-0.2598-0.3465-0.17310.55130.10130.11130.1
2.11510.0878-0.2672-0.3550-0.17940.54130.30130.31130.3
2.11580.0889-0.2746-0.3634-0.18570.53130.60130.61130.6
2.11650.0900-0.2819-0.3719-0.19200.52130.80130.81130.8
2.11720.0911-0.2893-0.3803-0.19820.51131.00131.01131.0
2.11790.0921-0.2966-0.3888-0.20450.51131.20131.21131.2
ASTM E739 stat (impacts;energy)
SN PointsXYX^2Y^2X*YN6XYHATXXconfiYavgY1Y2SN-lineLower confUpper ConfSUMMARY OUTPUT
0.0368483.0-1.4433.9292.08215.433-5.6691834105SUMX-9.210-1.4433.9329-1.59930.07194.65634.58444.728245319.840.0384070.0534770.0
0.03115776.2-1.5064.1982.26917.623-6.3231238203SUMY26.153-1.5064.2253-1.59740.07064.64764.57704.718244422.330.0377580.0522640.0Regression Statistics
0.02922991.9-1.5314.3622.34519.023-6.6787074357SUMXX14.154-1.5314.3412-1.59560.06934.63904.56964.708343546.340.0371200.0510850.0Multiple R0.8824404681
0.02829931.7-1.5524.4762.40920.036-6.9470662987SUMYY114.332-1.5524.4373-1.59370.06814.63034.56224.698442691.270.0364950.0499390.0R Square0.7787011797
0.02636294.0-1.5784.5602.49120.792-7.1974236821SUMXY-40.218-1.5784.5596-1.59190.06694.62184.55494.688641856.520.0358820.0488260.0Adjusted R Square0.7510388271
0.02542518.2-1.5994.6292.55821.424-7.4025743521SAKX0.0156065368-1.5994.6563-1.59000.06574.61324.54754.678941041.540.0352800.0477430.0Standard Error4.8757093885
SAKY (SAKtotal)0.340.000-2.7478-1.58820.06454.60474.54024.669240245.780.0346900.0466920.0Observations10
SAPXY-0.07225102180.000-2.7478-1.58640.06344.59634.53294.659639468.700.0341100.0456700.0
XMEAN-1.53505671730.000-2.7478-1.58450.06234.58784.52564.650138709.790.0335400.0446760.0ANOVA
YMEAN4.3590.000-2.7478-1.58270.06124.57944.51834.640637968.540.0329810.0437100.0dfSSMSFSignificance F
A1-4.6295358692-4.6295-0.21600.000-2.7478-1.58090.06014.57114.51104.631137244.490.0324320.0427710.0Regression1669.2021766792669.202176679228.15021529980.0007234162
A0-2.7480.05.262E+120.000-2.7478-1.57910.05904.56274.50374.621836537.160.0318930.0418580.0Residual8190.180336328223.772542041
R20.990(X=00Y^-005)0.000-2.7478-1.57730.05804.55444.49644.612535846.100.0313620.0409710.0Total9859.3825130074
T-VALUE2.7760.000-2.7478-1.57550.05704.54624.48914.603235170.860.0308420.0401080.0
F-VALUE6.9400.000-2.7478-1.57380.05614.53804.48194.594134511.040.0303300.0392690.0CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
CONFIA10.6529032275-3.9766326417-5.28243909670.000-2.7478-1.57200.05524.52984.47464.584933866.200.0298260.0384530.0Intercept86.9588264452.934840697429.62982846830.000000001880.191067284193.726585605980.191067284193.7265856059
CONFIA00.0332986373-2.781-2.7150.000-2.7478-1.57020.05434.52164.46734.575933235.950.0293310.0376600.0X Variable 1-0.00039353120.0000741717-5.30567764760.0007234162-0.0005645715-0.0002224908-0.0005645715-0.0002224908
Xmin0.02515820910.000-2.7478-1.56850.05344.51354.46014.566932619.910.0288440.0368890.0
Xmax0.0360517444-1.56670.05264.50544.45284.558032017.700.0283660.0361400.0
Variansanalysetabel-1.56500.05184.49734.44554.549131428.960.0278950.0354110.0
SAKfS2F-1.56330.05114.48934.43824.540430853.320.0274310.0347020.0RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Regress0.334488697110.334387.56-1.56150.05034.48134.43104.531630290.460.0269750.0340130.0
Residual0.00340.001-1.55980.04974.47334.42374.523029740.030.0265260.0333430.0ObservationPredicted YResidualsStandard Residuals
Total0.3385-1.55810.04904.46544.41644.514429201.720.0260840.0326920.0164.96200857310.47441169590.1032033599
-1.55640.04844.45754.40914.505928675.210.0256490.0320580.0284.73537537568.12243379941.7669515023
-1.55470.04794.44964.40184.497528160.200.0252210.0314420.0372.3989604863-3.7728515527-0.8207448511
-1.55300.04744.44184.39444.489227656.400.0247990.0308430.0483.96798960833.53894129330.7698600923
N =1.787E-03*S^-4.63-1.55130.04694.43404.38714.480927163.510.0243830.0302610.0580.2495136516-3.0746271321-0.6688533467
-1.54960.04654.42624.37974.472726681.260.0239740.0296940.0678.1834750473-4.5407034997-0.987783104
-1.54790.04614.41854.37244.464526209.390.0235710.0291440.0758.2920488965.53846357531.2048354935
NTVALUEFVALUE95%-1.54630.04584.41074.36504.456525747.620.0231730.0286080.0876.1768596485-1.6616650429-0.3614780516
112.706199.5-1.54460.04554.40304.35764.448525295.710.0227820.0280870.0966.37832722771.08067647120.2350899941
24.30319-1.54300.04524.39544.35024.440624853.410.0223960.0275810.01071.750027599-5.7050796076-1.2410810888
33.1829.55-1.54130.04504.38784.34274.432824420.470.0220160.0270880.0111.8219740758-0.0235723844-2.1105589334
42.77646.94-1.53970.04494.38024.33534.425023996.680.0216410.0266080.0121.74184586680.00519802610.465406478
52.57065.79-1.53800.04484.37264.32784.417323581.790.0212720.0261420.0
62.44695.14-1.53640.04474.36504.32034.409723175.590.0209090.0256880.0
72.36464.74-1.53480.04474.35754.31284.402222777.870.0205510.0252460.0
82.3064.46-1.53320.04474.35004.30534.394722388.420.0201980.0248160.0
92.26224.26-1.53160.04484.34264.29784.387322007.030.0198510.0243980.0
102.22814.1-1.52990.04494.33514.29024.380021633.520.0195080.0239900.0
112.2013.98-1.52830.04514.32774.28274.372821267.680.0191710.0235930.0
122.17882.89-1.52680.04534.32034.27514.365620909.350.0188400.0232070.0
132.16043.81-1.52520.04554.31304.26754.358520558.320.0185130.0228300.0
142.14483.74-1.52360.04584.30574.25994.351520214.440.0181910.0224630.0
152.13153.68-1.52200.04614.29844.25224.344519877.530.0178750.0221050.0
162.11993.63-1.52040.04654.29114.24464.337619547.420.0175630.0217560.0
172.10983.59-1.51890.04694.28384.23704.330719223.950.0172570.0214150.0
182.10093.55-1.51730.04734.27664.22934.323918906.970.0169560.0210830.0
192.0933.52-1.51580.04784.26944.22174.317218596.320.0166590.0207590.0
202.0863.49-1.51420.04834.26234.21404.310518291.860.0163680.0204420.0
212.07963.47-1.51270.04884.25514.20634.303917993.430.0160810.0201330.0
222.07393.44-1.51110.04944.24804.19864.297417700.910.0157990.0198310.0
232.0693.42-1.50960.04994.24094.19104.290817414.150.0155220.0195360.0
242.0643.4-1.50810.05064.23384.18334.284417133.020.0152500.0192480.0
252.063.39-1.50650.05124.22684.17564.278016857.380.0149830.0189660.0
262.0563.37-1.50500.05194.21984.16794.271616587.120.0147200.0186910.0
272.0523.35-1.50350.05254.21284.16024.265316322.120.0144620.0184210.0
282.0483.34-1.50200.05324.20584.15264.259016062.240.0142090.0181570.0
292.0453.33-1.50050.05404.19894.14494.252815807.370.0139600.0178990.0
302.0423.32-1.49900.05474.19194.13724.246615557.410.0137160.0176460.0
312.0213.23-1.49750.05554.18504.12964.240515312.240.0134760.0173990.0
402.0213.23-1.49600.05634.17824.12194.234415071.750.0132410.0171560.0
4123.15-1.49460.05714.17134.11434.228414835.840.0130090.0169190.0
6023.15-1.49310.05794.16454.10664.222414604.400.0127830.0166860.0
611.983.07-1.49160.05874.15774.09904.216414377.340.0125600.0164580.0
1201.983.07-1.49020.05954.15094.09144.210414154.550.0123410.0162340.0
1211.963-1.48870.06044.14414.08384.204513935.950.0121270.0160150.0
-1.48720.06134.13744.07614.198713721.440.0119160.0158000.0
-1.48580.06214.13074.06864.192813510.940.0117100.0155890.0
-1.48430.06304.12404.06104.187013304.340.0115070.0153820.0
-1.48290.06394.11734.05344.181213101.580.0113090.0151790.0
-1.48150.06484.11074.04594.175512902.560.0111140.0149790.0
-1.48000.06574.10414.03834.169812707.210.0109220.0147840.0
-1.47860.06674.09744.03084.164112515.440.0107350.0145910.0
-1.47720.06764.09094.02334.158412327.180.0105510.0144030.0
-1.47580.06854.08434.01584.152812142.350.0103700.0142170.0
-1.47440.06954.07784.00834.147211960.880.0101930.0140350.0
-1.47290.07044.07124.00084.141711782.690.0100190.0138570.0
-1.47150.07144.06473.99344.136111607.730.098490.0136810.0
-1.47010.07234.05833.98594.130611435.910.096820.0135080.0
-1.46880.07334.05183.97854.125111267.180.095180.0133380.0
-1.46740.07434.04543.97114.119611101.460.093570.0131720.0
-1.46600.07524.03903.96374.114210938.700.091990.0130080.0
-1.46460.07624.03263.95644.108810778.830.090440.0128460.0
-1.46320.07724.02623.94904.103410621.790.088920.0126880.0
-1.46180.07824.01983.94174.098010467.530.087430.0125320.0
-1.46050.07924.01353.93444.092710315.980.085970.0123780.0
-1.45910.08014.00723.92714.087310167.100.084540.0122280.0
-1.45780.08114.00093.91984.082010020.810.083130.0120790.0
-1.45640.08213.99463.91254.07689877.080.081750.0119330.0
-1.45500.08313.98843.90524.07159735.850.080400.0117900.0
-1.45370.08413.98213.89804.06639597.060.079070.0116480.0
-1.45240.08513.97593.89084.06109460.680.077770.0115090.0
-1.45100.08613.96973.88364.05589326.640.076490.0113720.0
-1.44970.08713.96353.87644.05079194.910.075240.0112380.0
-1.44840.08813.95743.86934.04559065.430.074000.0111050.0
-1.44700.08913.95123.86214.04048938.160.072800.0109740.0
-1.44570.09013.94513.85504.03538813.060.071610.0108460.0
-1.44440.09113.93903.84794.03028690.080.070450.0107190.0
-1.44310.09213.93293.84084.02518569.180.069310.0105950.0
fig accu. energ.
305.82545066671140.1660489024
491.79216666671122.4254241385
676.57331829631105.0353869471
839.66779417281087.9875483775
958.06419061731071.2737548677
1069.6828481054.8860806755
1038.816820583
1023.0584828653
1007.6037825111
992.4456346858
977.5771484275
962.9916205667
948.6825298608
934.643531335
920.8684508213
907.3512796881
894.0861697535
881.0674283738
868.2895137025
855.7470301108
843.4347237659
831.3474783592
819.4803109801
807.8283681286
796.386921863
785.1513660757
774.1172128948
763.2800892042
752.6357332798
742.1799915369
731.9088153841
721.8182581804
711.9044722924
702.1637062462
692.5923019723
683.1866921392
673.9433975727
664.8590247583
655.9302634229
647.1538841935
638.5267363303
630.0457455314
621.7079118063
613.5103074163
605.4500748792
597.524425036
589.7306351775
582.0660472292
574.5280659917
567.1141574349
559.821847045
552.6487182213
545.5924107218
538.6506191562
531.8210915236
525.1016277946
518.4900785361
511.9843435765
505.5823707109
499.2821544449
493.0817347748
486.9791960047
480.9726655972
475.0603130585
469.2403488555
463.5110233648
457.8706258517
452.3174834784
446.8499603418
441.4664565374
436.1654072513
430.9452818768
425.8045831573
420.741846352
415.7556384267
410.844557266
406.0072309079
401.2423168008
396.5485010793
391.9244978615
387.3690485654
382.8809212438
378.4589099379
374.1018340481
369.8085377224
365.5778892613
361.4087805387
357.3001264389
353.2508643077
349.25995342
345.3263744596
341.4491290147
337.6272390858
333.8597466066
330.1457129784
326.484218616
322.8743625054
319.3152617745
315.8060512727
312.345883164
308.9339265284
Fit
accumulated imapct energy [J/cm-2]
kinetic energy of impact [J]
0.0360517444
0.0251582091
0.0311729767
0.0252671444
0.0294265677
0.0253760798
0.0280527562
0.0254850151
0.0263973463
0.0255939505
0.0251582091
0.0257028858
0.0258118212
0.0259207565
0.0260296919
0.0261386273
0.0262475626
0.026356498
0.0264654333
0.0265743687
0.026683304
0.0267922394
0.0269011747
0.0270101101
0.0271190454
0.0272279808
0.0273369161
0.0274458515
0.0275547869
0.0276637222
0.0277726576
0.0278815929
0.0279905283
0.0280994636
0.028208399
0.0283173343
0.0284262697
0.028535205
0.0286441404
0.0287530757
0.0288620111
0.0289709464
0.0290798818
0.0291888172
0.0292977525
0.0294066879
0.0295156232
0.0296245586
0.0297334939
0.0298424293
0.0299513646
0.0300603
0.0301692353
0.0302781707
0.030387106
0.0304960414
0.0306049768
0.0307139121
0.0308228475
0.0309317828
0.0310407182
0.0311496535
0.0312585889
0.0313675242
0.0314764596
0.0315853949
0.0316943303
0.0318032656
0.031912201
0.0320211363
0.0321300717
0.0322390071
0.0323479424
0.0324568778
0.0325658131
0.0326747485
0.0327836838
0.0328926192
0.0330015545
0.0331104899
0.0332194252
0.0333283606
0.0334372959
0.0335462313
0.0336551667
0.033764102
0.0338730374
0.0339819727
0.0340909081
0.0341998434
0.0343087788
0.0344177141
0.0345266495
0.0346355848
0.0347445202
0.0348534555
0.0349623909
0.0350713262
0.0351802616
0.035289197
0.0353981323
0.0355070677
0.035616003
0.0357249384
0.0358338737
0.0359428091
0.0360517444
fig
8482.95846679845319.8415510438
15776.233733984144501.1526968153
22991.920966412943698.8185343382
29931.739630815842912.4812025937
36293.958480914342141.791349927
42518.243046999841386.4079156283
40645.9979175265
39920.2362454331
39208.8054602438
38511.3955985505
37827.7039825948
37157.4350354031
36500.30010096
35856.0172692686
35224.3112061582
34604.9129876992
33997.5599390947
33401.9954779185
32817.9689615728
32245.2355388469
31683.5560054579
31132.6966634576
30592.4291843988
30062.5304761508
29542.7825532595
29032.9724107552
28532.891901306
28042.3376156244
27561.1107660335
27089.0170731068
26625.8666552894
26171.4739214239
25725.6574660917
25288.2399676985
24859.0480892212
24437.9123815443
24024.6671893146
23619.150559242
23221.2041507809
22830.673149124
22447.4061804437
22071.2552293262
21702.0755583252
21339.7256295896
20984.0670285
20634.9643892635
20292.2853224091
19955.9003441363
19625.6828074617
19301.5088351196
18983.2572541652
18670.8095322343
18364.0497154179
18062.8643677042
17767.1425119486
17476.7755723285
17191.6573182442
16911.683809627
16636.7533436157
16366.766402567
16101.6256033615
15841.2356479738
15585.5032752697
15334.3372140009
15087.6481369642
14845.3486162936
14607.3530798571
14373.5777687276
14143.9406957002
13918.3616048281
13696.7619319522
13479.0647661941
13265.1948123926
13055.0783544548
12848.6432196003
12645.8187434752
12446.535736111
12250.7264487102
12058.3245412343
11869.2650507738
11683.4843606817
11500.9201704496
11321.5114663065
11145.1984925241
10971.922723408
10801.626835959
10634.2546831866
10469.751268058
10308.0627180672
10149.1362604075
9992.9201977326
9839.3638844908
9688.4177038201
9540.0330449854
9394.1622813496
9250.7587488613
9109.7767250473
8971.1714084978
8834.8988988316
8700.9161771285
8569.1810868186
Fit
impacts to erosion [cm-2]
local rotor speed [m/s]
131.2
109.6
122
109.816
118.5333333333
110.032
115.7333333333
110.248
112.2666666667
110.464
109.6
110.68
110.896
111.112
111.328
111.544
111.76
111.976
112.192
112.408
112.624
112.84
113.056
113.272
113.488
113.704
113.92
114.136
114.352
114.568
114.784
115
115.216
115.432
115.648
115.864
116.08
116.296
116.512
116.728
116.944
117.16
117.376
117.592
117.808
118.024
118.24
118.456
118.672
118.888
119.104
119.32
119.536
119.752
119.968
120.184
120.4
120.616
120.832
121.048
121.264
121.48
121.696
121.912
122.128
122.344
122.56
122.776
122.992
123.208
123.424
123.64
123.856
124.072
124.288
124.504
124.72
124.936
125.152
125.368
125.584
125.8
126.016
126.232
126.448
126.664
126.88
127.096
127.312
127.528
127.744
127.96
128.176
128.392
128.608
128.824
129.04
129.256
129.472
129.688
129.904
130.12
130.336
130.552
130.768
130.984
131.2
ASTM E739 stat (impacts;acc en)
SN PointsXYX^2Y^2X*YN6XYHATXXconfiYavgY1Y2SN-lineLower confUpper ConfSUMMARY OUTPUT
0.036305.8-1.4432.4852.0826.178-3.5867216599SUMX-9.210-1.4432.4899-1.59930.07193.05702.98513.12881140.170.09660.013450.0
0.031491.8-1.5062.6922.2697.246-4.0544199354SUMY16.942-1.5062.7191-1.59740.07063.05022.97963.12081122.430.09540.013210.0Regression Statistics
0.029676.6-1.5312.8302.3458.011-4.33394905SUMXX14.154-1.5312.8099-1.59560.06933.04342.97403.11271105.040.09420.012960.0Multiple R0.8824404681
0.028839.7-1.5522.9242.4098.550-4.5382863655SUMYY48.049-1.5522.8853-1.59370.06813.03662.96853.10471087.990.09300.012730.0R Square0.7787011797
0.026958.1-1.5782.9812.4918.889-4.7059517004SUMXY-26.064-1.5782.9812-1.59190.06693.02992.96303.09681071.270.09180.012500.0Adjusted R Square0.7510388271
0.0251069.7-1.5993.0292.5589.176-4.8447490003SAKX0.0156065368-1.5993.0570-1.59000.06573.02322.95753.08891054.890.09070.012270.0Standard Error4.8757093885
SAKY (SAKtotal)0.210.000-2.7478-1.58820.06453.01652.95203.08111038.820.08950.012050.0Observations10
SAPXY-0.0566444850.000-2.7478-1.58640.06343.00992.94653.07331023.060.08840.011840.0
XMEAN-1.53505671730.000-2.7478-1.58450.06233.00332.94103.06551007.600.08730.011630.0ANOVA
YMEAN2.8240.000-2.7478-1.58270.06122.99672.93563.0579992.450.08620.011430.0dfSSMSFSignificance F
A1-3.6295358692-3.6295-0.27550.000-2.7478-1.58090.06012.99022.93013.0502977.580.08510.011230.0Regression1669.2021766792669.202176679228.15021529980.0007234162
A0-2.7480.09.404E+090.000-2.7478-1.57910.05902.98362.92463.0427962.990.08410.011030.0Residual8190.180336328223.772542041
R20.983(X=00Y^-004)0.000-2.7478-1.57730.05802.97712.91913.0352948.680.08300.010840.0Total9859.3825130074
T-VALUE2.7760.000-2.7478-1.57550.05702.97062.91363.0277934.640.08200.010660.0
F-VALUE6.9400.000-2.7478-1.57380.05612.96422.90813.0203920.870.08090.010480.0CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
CONFIA10.6529032275-2.9766326417-4.28243909670.000-2.7478-1.57200.05522.95782.90263.0129907.350.07990.010300.0Intercept86.9588264452.934840697429.62982846830.000000001880.191067284193.726585605980.191067284193.7265856059
CONFIA00.0332986373-2.781-2.7150.000-2.7478-1.57020.05432.95142.89713.0057894.090.07890.010130.0X Variable 1-0.00039353120.0000741717-5.30567764760.0007234162-0.0005645715-0.0002224908-0.0005645715-0.0002224908
Xmin0.02515820910.000-2.7478-1.56850.05342.94502.89162.9984881.070.07790.09960.0
Xmax0.0360517444-1.56670.05262.93872.88612.9913868.290.07690.09800.0
Variansanalysetabel-1.56500.05182.93232.88052.9842855.750.07600.09640.0
SAKfS2F-1.56330.05112.92612.87502.9771843.430.07500.09490.0RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Regress0.205593190210.206238.21-1.56150.05032.91982.86942.9701831.350.07400.09340.0
Residual0.00340.001-1.55980.04972.91352.86392.9632819.480.07310.09190.0ObservationPredicted YResidualsStandard Residuals
Total0.2095-1.55810.04902.90732.85832.9563807.830.07220.09040.0164.96200857310.47441169590.1032033599
-1.55640.04842.90112.85272.9496796.390.07120.08900.0284.73537537568.12243379941.7669515023
-1.55470.04792.89502.84712.9428785.150.07030.08770.0372.3989604863-3.7728515527-0.8207448511
-1.55300.04742.88882.84142.9362774.120.06940.08630.0483.96798960833.53894129330.7698600923
N =1.787E-03*S^-3.63-1.55130.04692.88272.83582.9296763.280.06850.08500.0580.2495136516-3.0746271321-0.6688533467
-1.54960.04652.87662.83012.9231752.640.06760.08380.0678.1834750473-4.5407034997-0.987783104
-1.54790.04612.87052.82442.9166742.180.06670.08250.0758.2920488965.53846357531.2048354935
NTVALUEFVALUE95%-1.54630.04582.86452.81872.9102731.910.06590.08130.0876.1768596485-1.6616650429-0.3614780516
112.706199.5-1.54460.04552.85842.81302.9039721.820.06500.08010.0966.37832722771.08067647120.2350899941
24.30319-1.54300.04522.85242.80722.8976711.900.06420.07900.01071.750027599-5.7050796076-1.2410810888
33.1829.55-1.54130.04502.84642.80142.8915702.160.06330.07790.0111.8219740758-0.0235723844-2.1105589334
42.77646.94-1.53970.04492.84052.79562.8853692.590.06250.07680.0121.74184586680.00519802610.465406478
52.57065.79-1.53800.04482.83452.78982.8793683.190.06160.07570.0
62.44695.14-1.53640.04472.82862.78392.8733673.940.06080.07470.0
72.36464.74-1.53480.04472.82272.77802.8674664.860.06000.07370.0
82.3064.46-1.53320.04472.81692.77212.8616655.930.05920.07270.0
92.26224.26-1.53160.04482.81102.76622.8558647.150.05840.07170.0
102.22814.1-1.52990.04492.80522.76032.8501638.530.05760.07080.0
112.2013.98-1.52830.04512.79942.75432.8444630.050.05680.06990.0
122.17882.89-1.52680.04532.79362.74832.8389621.710.05600.06900.0
132.16043.81-1.52520.04552.78782.74232.8333613.510.05520.06810.0
142.14483.74-1.52360.04582.78212.73632.8279605.450.05450.06730.0
152.13153.68-1.52200.04612.77642.73022.8225597.520.05370.06640.0
162.11993.63-1.52040.04652.77072.72422.8171589.730.05300.06560.0
172.10983.59-1.51890.04692.76502.71812.8119582.070.05230.06480.0
182.10093.55-1.51730.04732.75932.71202.8066574.530.05150.06410.0
192.0933.52-1.51580.04782.75372.70592.8014567.110.05080.06330.0
202.0863.49-1.51420.04832.74802.69982.7963559.820.05010.06260.0
212.07963.47-1.51270.04882.74242.69362.7912552.650.04940.06180.0
222.07393.44-1.51110.04942.73692.68752.7862545.590.04870.06110.0
232.0693.42-1.50960.04992.73132.68142.7812538.650.04800.06040.0
242.0643.4-1.50810.05062.72582.67522.7763531.820.04730.05970.0
252.063.39-1.50650.05122.72022.66912.7714525.100.04670.05910.0
262.0563.37-1.50500.05192.71472.66292.7666518.490.04600.05840.0
272.0523.35-1.50350.05252.70932.65672.7618511.980.04540.05780.0
282.0483.34-1.50200.05322.70382.65062.7570505.580.04470.05720.0
292.0453.33-1.50050.05402.69832.64442.7523499.280.04410.05650.0
302.0423.32-1.49900.05472.69292.63822.7476493.080.04350.05590.0
312.0213.23-1.49750.05552.68752.63202.7430486.980.04290.05530.0
402.0213.23-1.49600.05632.68212.62592.7384480.970.04230.05470.0
4123.15-1.49460.05712.67672.61972.7338475.060.04170.05420.0
6023.15-1.49310.05792.67142.61352.7293469.240.04110.05360.0
611.983.07-1.49160.05872.66612.60742.7248463.510.04050.05310.0
1201.983.07-1.49020.05952.66072.60122.7203457.870.03990.05250.0
1211.963-1.48870.06042.65542.59512.7158452.320.03940.05200.0
-1.48720.06132.65022.58892.7114446.850.03880.05150.0
-1.48580.06212.64492.58282.7070441.470.03830.05090.0
-1.48430.06302.63972.57662.7027436.170.03770.05040.0
-1.48290.06392.63442.57052.6983430.950.03720.04990.0
-1.48150.06482.62922.56442.6940425.800.03670.04940.0
-1.48000.06572.62402.55832.6897420.740.03620.04890.0
-1.47860.06672.61882.55222.6855415.760.03570.04850.0
-1.47720.06762.61372.54612.6813410.840.03520.04800.0
-1.47580.06852.60852.54002.6771406.010.03470.04750.0
-1.47440.06952.60342.53392.6729401.240.03420.04710.0
-1.47290.07042.59832.52792.6687396.550.03370.04660.0
-1.47150.07142.59322.52182.6646391.920.03330.04620.0
-1.47010.07232.58812.51582.6604387.370.03280.04580.0
-1.46880.07332.58312.50982.6564382.880.03230.04530.0
-1.46740.07432.57802.50382.6523378.460.03190.04490.0
-1.46600.07522.57302.49782.6482374.100.03150.04450.0
-1.46460.07622.56802.49182.6442369.810.03100.04410.0
-1.46320.07722.56302.48582.6402365.580.03060.04370.0
-1.46180.07822.55802.47982.6362361.410.03020.04330.0
-1.46050.07922.55302.47392.6322357.300.02980.04290.0
-1.45910.08012.54812.46792.6282353.250.02940.04250.0
-1.45780.08112.54312.46202.6243349.260.02900.04210.0
-1.45640.08212.53822.45612.6204345.330.02860.04170.0
-1.45500.08312.53332.45022.6165341.450.02820.04130.0
-1.45370.08412.52842.44432.6126337.630.02780.04100.0
-1.45240.08512.52362.43842.6087333.860.02740.04060.0
-1.45100.08612.51872.43262.6048330.150.02710.04030.0
-1.44970.08712.51392.42672.6010326.480.02670.03990.0
-1.44840.08812.50902.42092.5972322.870.02640.03960.0
-1.44700.08912.50422.41512.5934319.320.02600.03920.0
-1.44570.09012.49942.40932.5896315.810.02570.03890.0
-1.44440.09112.49462.40352.5858312.350.02530.03850.0
-1.44310.09212.48992.39772.5820308.930.02500.03820.0
ASTM E739 stat (impacts;speed)
SN PointsXYX^2Y^2X*YN6XYHATXXconfiYavgY1Y2SN-lineLower confUpper ConfSUMMARY OUTPUT
131.2008483.02.1183.9294.48615.4338.3204033354SUMX12.4322.1183.93292.03980.07194.65634.58444.728245319.84109.638407109.653477109.6
122.00015776.22.0864.1984.35317.6238.7585455209SUMY26.1532.0864.22532.04070.07074.64844.57774.719144501.15109.837815109.852370109.8Regression Statistics
118.53322991.92.0744.3624.30119.0239.0452114031SUMXX25.7622.0744.34122.04150.06964.64054.57094.710043698.82110.037232110.051289110.0Multiple R0.8824404681
115.73329931.72.0634.4764.25820.0369.2363123663SUMYY114.3322.0634.43732.04240.06844.63264.56424.701042912.48110.236657110.250235110.2R Square0.7787011797
112.26736294.02.0504.5604.20420.7929.3488041277SUMXY54.1512.0504.55962.04320.06734.62474.55744.692042141.79110.536092110.549205110.5Adjusted R Square0.7510388271
109.60042518.22.0404.6294.16121.4249.4414167683SAKX0.00390163422.0404.65632.04410.06624.61694.55074.683141386.41110.735535110.748201110.7Standard Error4.8757093885
SAKY (SAKtotal)0.340.00023.54302.04490.06514.60904.54394.674140646.00110.934987110.947220110.9Observations10
SAPXY-0.03612551090.00023.54302.04580.06404.60124.53724.665239920.24111.134447111.146263111.1
XMEAN2.07194233460.00023.54302.04660.06304.59344.53044.656439208.81111.333915111.345329111.3ANOVA
YMEAN4.3590.00023.54302.04740.06204.58564.52364.647538511.40111.533391111.544417111.5dfSSMSFSignificance F
A1-9.2590717384-9.2591-0.10800.00023.54302.04830.06094.57784.51694.638837827.70111.832875111.843527111.8Regression1669.2021766792669.202176679228.15021529980.0007234162
A023.543349172985649783340000000.01.031E-2180.00023.54302.04910.06004.57004.51014.630037157.44112.032366112.042658112.0Residual8190.180336328223.772542041
R20.990(X=349.172.985.649.783.000.000.000Y^-009)0.00023.54302.05000.05904.56234.50334.621336500.30112.231864112.241811112.2Total9859.3825130074
T-VALUE2.7760.00023.54302.05080.05804.55464.49654.612635856.02112.431370112.440983112.4
F-VALUE6.9400.00023.54302.05160.05714.54684.48974.604035224.31112.630883112.640176112.6CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
CONFIA11.305806455-7.9532652834-10.56487819340.00023.54302.05250.05624.53914.48294.595434604.91112.830403112.839388112.8Intercept86.9588264452.934840697429.62982846830.000000001880.191067284193.726585605980.191067284193.7265856059
CONFIA00.033298637323.51023.5760.00023.54302.05330.05544.53144.47614.586833997.56113.129929113.138619113.1X Variable 1-0.00039353120.0000741717-5.30567764760.0007234162-0.0005645715-0.0002224908-0.0005645715-0.0002224908
Xmin109.60.00023.54302.05410.05454.52384.46934.578333402.00113.329462113.337869113.3
Xmax131.22.05490.05374.51614.46244.569832817.97113.529001113.537137113.5
Variansanalysetabel2.05580.05294.50854.45564.561432245.24113.728547113.736423113.7
SAKfS2F2.05660.05214.50084.44874.553031683.56113.928099113.935726113.9RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Regress0.334488697110.334387.562.05740.05144.49324.44184.544631132.70114.127657114.135046114.1
Residual0.00340.0012.05820.05074.48564.43494.536330592.43114.427220114.434382114.4ObservationPredicted YResidualsStandard Residuals
Total0.33852.05910.05014.47804.42804.528130062.53114.626790114.633735114.6164.96200857310.47441169590.1032033599
2.05990.04944.47054.42104.519929542.78114.826365114.833104114.8284.73537537568.12243379941.7669515023
2.06070.04884.46294.41414.511729032.97115.025945115.032488115.0372.3989604863-3.7728515527-0.8207448511
2.06150.04834.45534.40714.503628532.89115.225531115.231888115.2483.96798960833.53894129330.7698600923
N =3.492E+23*S^-9.262.06230.04784.44784.40014.495628042.34115.425122115.431302115.4580.2495136516-3.0746271321-0.6688533467
2.06310.04734.44034.39304.487627561.11115.624719115.630730115.6678.1834750473-4.5407034997-0.987783104
2.06390.04684.43284.38604.479627089.02115.924320115.930173115.9758.2920488965.53846357531.2048354935
NTVALUEFVALUE95%2.06480.04644.42534.37894.471726625.87116.123927116.129630116.1876.1768596485-1.6616650429-0.3614780516
112.706199.52.06560.04614.41784.37184.463926171.47116.323538116.329100116.3966.37832722771.08067647120.2350899941
24.303192.06640.04574.41044.36464.456125725.66116.523154116.528583116.51071.750027599-5.7050796076-1.2410810888
33.1829.552.06720.04554.40294.35754.448425288.24116.722775116.728079116.7111.8219740758-0.0235723844-2.1105589334
42.77646.942.06800.04524.39554.35034.440724859.05116.922401116.927587116.9121.74184586680.00519802610.465406478
52.57065.792.06880.04504.38814.34304.433124437.91117.222031117.227107117.2
62.44695.142.06960.04494.38074.33584.425524024.67117.421666117.426640117.4
72.36464.742.07040.04484.37334.32854.418023619.15117.621306117.626184117.6
82.3064.462.07120.04474.36594.32124.410623221.20117.820950117.825739117.8
92.26224.262.07200.04474.35854.31384.403222830.67118.020599118.025305118.0
102.22814.12.07280.04474.35124.30654.395922447.41118.220252118.224881118.2
112.2013.982.07360.04484.34384.29914.388622071.26118.519909118.524468118.5
122.17882.892.07430.04494.33654.29164.381421702.08118.719571118.724065118.7
132.16043.812.07510.04504.32924.28424.374221339.73118.919238118.923671118.9
142.14483.742.07590.04524.32194.27674.367120984.07119.118909119.123287119.1
152.13153.682.07670.04554.31464.26914.360120634.96119.318584119.322912119.3
162.11993.632.07750.04574.30734.26164.353120292.29119.518264119.522546119.5
172.10983.592.07830.04604.30014.25404.346119955.90119.817949119.822188119.8
182.10093.552.07910.04644.29284.24644.339219625.68120.017637120.021838120.0
192.0933.522.07980.04684.28564.23884.332419301.51120.217331120.221497120.2
202.0863.492.08060.04724.27844.23124.325618983.26120.417028120.421163120.4
212.07963.472.08140.04774.27124.22354.318818670.81120.616730120.620836120.6
222.07393.442.08220.04824.26404.21584.312118364.05120.816437120.820517120.8
232.0693.422.08300.04874.25684.20814.305518062.86121.016148121.020205121.0
242.0643.42.08370.04924.24964.20044.298817767.14121.315863121.319900121.3
252.063.392.08450.04984.24254.19274.292317476.78121.515583121.519601121.5
262.0563.372.08530.05044.23534.18494.285717191.66121.715307121.719308121.7
272.0523.352.08600.05114.22824.17714.279216911.68121.915036121.919022121.9
282.0483.342.08680.05174.22114.16934.272816636.75122.114769122.118741122.1
292.0453.332.08760.05244.21404.16154.266416366.77122.314506122.318466122.3
302.0423.322.08830.05314.20694.15374.260016101.63122.614247122.618197122.6
312.0213.232.08910.05394.19984.14594.253715841.24122.813993122.817933122.8
402.0213.232.08990.05464.19274.13814.247315585.50123.013743123.017675123.0
4123.152.09060.05544.18574.13034.241115334.34123.213498123.217421123.2
6023.152.09140.05624.17864.12244.234815087.65123.413256123.417172123.4
611.983.072.09220.05704.17164.11464.228614845.35123.613019123.616928123.6
1201.983.072.09290.05794.16464.10674.222414607.35123.912785123.916689123.9
1211.9632.09370.05874.15764.09894.216314373.58124.112556124.116454124.1
2.09440.05964.15064.09104.210114143.94124.312331124.316223124.3
2.09520.06054.14364.08314.204013918.36124.512110124.515997124.5
2.09590.06144.13664.07534.198013696.76124.711892124.715775124.7
2.09670.06234.12974.06744.191913479.06124.911679124.915557124.9
2.09740.06324.12274.05954.185913265.19125.211469125.215343125.2
2.09820.06414.11584.05174.179913055.08125.411263125.415132125.4
2.09890.06514.10894.04384.173912848.64125.611061125.614925125.6
2.09970.06604.10194.03594.168012645.82125.810862125.814722125.8
2.10040.06704.09504.02814.162012446.54126.010667126.014522126.0
2.10120.06804.08824.02024.156112250.73126.210476126.214326126.2
2.10190.06904.08134.01234.150212058.32126.410288126.414133126.4
2.10270.06994.07444.00454.144411869.27126.710104126.713943126.7
2.10340.07094.06763.99664.138511683.48126.99923126.913757126.9
2.10410.07204.06073.98884.132711500.92127.19745127.113573127.1
2.10490.07304.05393.98094.126911321.51127.39570127.313393127.3
2.10560.07404.04713.97314.121111145.20127.59399127.513216127.5
2.10630.07504.04033.96534.115310971.92127.79231127.713041127.7
2.10710.07614.03353.95744.109610801.63128.09066128.012869128.0
2.10780.07714.02673.94964.103810634.25128.28904128.212700128.2
2.10850.07824.01993.94184.098110469.75128.48745128.412534128.4
2.10930.07924.01323.93404.092410308.06128.68589128.612370128.6
2.11000.08034.00643.92624.086710149.14128.88436128.812209128.8
2.11070.08133.99973.91844.08109992.92129.08286129.012051129.0
2.11150.08243.99303.91064.07549839.36129.38139129.311895129.3
2.11220.08353.98633.90284.06979688.42129.57994129.511741129.5
2.11290.08453.97953.89504.06419540.03129.77853129.711590129.7
2.11360.08563.97293.88724.05859394.16129.97713129.911441129.9
2.11430.08673.96623.87954.05299250.76130.17577130.111295130.1
2.11510.08783.95953.87174.04739109.78130.37443130.311150130.3
2.11580.08893.95283.86404.04178971.17130.67311130.611008130.6
2.11650.09003.94623.85624.03628834.90130.87182130.810868130.8
2.11720.09113.93963.84854.03068700.92131.07055131.010730131.0
2.11790.09213.93293.84084.02518569.18131.26931131.210595131.2
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Extending lifetime
10
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Assumptions:
11
Bech et al. 2018, WES
Weibull A• 7 m/s• 8 m/s• 9 m/s
Wind turbine Rain climate Wind climate
Vestas V52 850 kW pitch regulated variable speed and modified rotation speed to make it consistent with larger turbines.
The temperate maritime climateof occurences of rain intensity is taken from Jones and Sims, 1978.
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Control strategies
12
Apart from a reference case where it is assumed that there is no erosion, six different control strate
on the model for expected lifetime for the blade leading edge:
• Control strategy 1 with expected life time of 1.6 years • Control strategy 2 with expected life time of 10.4 years • Control strategy 3 with expected life time of 24.4 years • Control strategy 4 with expected life time of 53.9 years • Control strategy 5 with expected life time of 106.5 years • Control strategy 6 with expected life time of infinite many years
No reduction (90 m/s)
Reduction ”light” 80 m/s and 70 m/s
Reduction ”severe” 55m/s, 65m/s and 70m/s
Idealized
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019 13
Life time of the blade leading edge with no reduction of the tip speed. Control strategy 1
Rain intensity
Droplet size
Percent of time
Hours pr year
Blade tip speed
Hours to failure
Fraction of life spent pr year
[mm/hr] [mm] [%] [hrs/year] [m/s] [hrs] [%]
20 2.5 0.02 1.8 90 3.5 51 10 2.0 0.1 8.8 90 79 11 5 1.5 1 88 90 3606 2.4 2 1.0 3 263 90 745710 0.0 1 0.5 5 438 90 2830197826 0.0
Sum of fractions [%]: 64
Expected life [years]: 1.6
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019 14
Life time of the blade leading edge with reduction of the tip speed to 70m/s and 80m/s.Control strategy 2
Rain intensity
Droplet size
Percent of time
Hours pr year
Blade tip speed
Hours to failure
Fraction of life spent pr year
[mm/hr] [mm] [%] [hrs/year] [m/s] [hrs] [%]
20 2.5 0.02 1.8 70 46 3.8 10 2.0 0.1 8.8 80 263 3.3 5 1.5 1 88 90 3606 2.4 2 1.0 3 263 90 745710 0.0 1 0.5 5 438 90 2830197826 0.0
Sum of fractions [%]: 9.6
Expected life [years]: 10.4
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019 15
Life time of the blade leading edge with reduction of the tip speed to 55m/s, 65m/s and 70m/s.Control strategy 5
Rain intensity
Droplet size
Percent of time
Hours pr year
Blade tip speed
Hours to failure
Fraction of life spent pr year
[mm/hr] [mm] [%] [hrs/year] [m/s] [hrs] [%]
20 2.5 0.02 1.8 55 541 0.3 10 2.0 0.1 8.8 65 2215 0.4 5 1.5 1 88 70 47514 0.2 2 1.0 3 263 90 745710 0.0 1 0.5 5 438 90 2830197826 0.0
Sum of fractions [%]: 0.9
Expected life [years]: 107
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
AEP relative to AEP with no erosion
16
Weibull A parameter
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019 17
• Energy price: o 50 €/MWh o 250 €/MWh
• Inspection cost: o 500 €/rotor o 1500 €/rotor
• Repair cost o 10000 €/rotor o 20000 €/rotor
Stand still of 1 day inspected
Stand still of 2 days repaired
Cost of operation and maintenance
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Loss of income due to erosion, inspection and repair
18
Weibull A parameter
Bech et al. 2018, WES
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
In what geography is leading edge erosion a challenge?
19
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Rainfall erosivity (for soils)
20
Rainfall erosivity for soils is modelled as a function of the kinetic energy of rain, the maximum intensity of rainfall, the cumulative rainfall, the soil properties and the slopes of terrain. The map on rainfall erosivity in Europe at 500 m spatial resolution assessed by European Soil Data Centre (Panagos et al., 2015).
A map for wind turbine blades is in preparation in the EROSION research project.
Rainfall erosivity (for wind turbine blades?)
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Conclusions
21
A framework for prediction and a mitigation strategy for leading edge erosion was presented.
The model takes into account the entire value chain: leading edge test data, actual on site precipitation, erosion rate, loss of production due to erosion, operation and maintenance.
The lost energy production due to occasional tip speed reduction is marginal in proportion to the alternative of lost production due to eroded blades.
Thus, the cost – benefit balance of erosion control looks very promising and shows a great potential for reducing the loss of produced energy due to erosion and the cost of operation and maintenance.
To accomplish erosion control there is a need for more knowledge on the correlation between precipitation and erosion for different leading edge structures and materials, and for development of methods and equipment for on-site now casting of precipitation.
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Reading:
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DTU Wind Energy1 May 2019
Acknowledgements
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Support from Innovation Fund Denmark is acknowledged
www.rain-erosion.dk
Slide Number 1Slide Number 2MotivationWorking hypothesisSlide Number 5Simulated power curves for the Vestas V52 for different leading edge roughness levelsRain erosion test exampleRain erosion test data plotted as a Wöhler curve����Wöhler curves for droplet diameters of 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5 mm�Extending lifetimeAssumptions:Control strategiesSlide Number 13Slide Number 14Slide Number 15AEP relative to AEP with no erosionCost of operation and maintenanceLoss of income due to erosion, inspection and repairIn what geography is leading edge erosion a challenge?Rainfall erosivity (for soils)ConclusionsReading:Acknowledgements