oilseed prod. in world

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  • 8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World

    1/9

    World Harvested Area1979/80 - 1999/00

    1979/80

    1989/90

    1999/00120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    170

    180

    620

    640

    660

    680

    700

    720

    740

    World Harvested Area1979/80 - 1999/00

    1979/80

    1989/90

    1999/00120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    170

    180

    620

    640

    660

    680

    700

    720

    740

    Million hectares

    Oilseeds Grains

    oilseeds

    grains

    World Production

    1979/80 - 1999/00

    1979/80

    1989/90

    1999/00100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    1,300

    1,400

    1,500

    1,600

    1,700

    1,800

    1,900

    Million tons

    oilseeds

    grains

    Oilseeds Grains

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

  • 8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World

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    Oilseeds

    Area breaks record setin 1979/80 due tofavorable soybeanloan rate

    Area trending higherfor soybeans,sunflowerseed andrapeseed

    Grains

    Total-grain area downfor third year due tocontinued weak prices

    Wheat lowest levelsince 1988/89; barleylowest on record

    Corn at 5-year averagelevel 1979/80 1989/90 1999/00

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    50

    55

    60

    65

    70

    75

    80

    Million hectares

    United States' Grains Area Down, Oilseeds Up

    oilseedsgrains

    GrainsOilseeds

    United States' Grains and Oilseeds Output LowerOilseeds

    Output down slightlybecause of loweraverage yield

    Soybean yield hurt byregional weatherproblems in the eastand south

    GrainsTotal-grain outputslightly lower

    Wheat output lower asreduced area offsetsnear-record yield

    Corn output down,third largestproduction andsecond highest yield

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/0030

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    Million tons

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

  • 8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World

    3/9

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/000

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    34

    36

    38

    40

    42

    44

    EU's Oilseeds Area Grow, Grains Decrease

    OilseedsRapeseed areacontinues trend higheron strong demand

    Third consecutiveovershoot ofMaximum GuaranteedArea expected for1999/2000, thoughfinal data not yetavailable

    Grains

    Area falls for secondyear

    Weather difficulties,weaker prices, andincreased set-asidepressure area

    Million hectares

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    1979/80

    1989/90

    1999/000

    5

    10

    15

    20

    125

    150

    175

    200

    225

    Million tons

    EU's Grains Output Decline, Oilseeds at Record

    Oilseeds

    Production trendshigher, record level

    Rapeseed yieldpushes to new loftyrecord

    Grains

    Total-grain upwardtrend output trimmed

    Wheat yield down fromlast season's recordlevel

    Decrease in barleymore than offsets anincrease in corn

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

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    Argentina's Oilseeds Area Drop, Grains Rise

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/002

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    Million hectares

    OilseedsArea forecast to benear last year's record

    Soybean area helpedby recent improvementin soybean/corn priceratio

    Sunflowerseed areadown

    Grains

    Area expands asproducers attempt tomaximize income

    Wheat area increase13 percent

    Corn up, taking somesunflowerseed area

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/000

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    Argentina's Oilseeds Output Down, Grains Higher

    Oilseeds

    Production downslightly followingrecord last year

    Soybean yield below1997/98 record

    Sunflowerseed outputdown following recordarea last year

    Grains

    Output up due tohigher area

    Wheat output higher,second highest yield

    Corn yield off 1997/98spike, but still strongand above last season

    Million tons

    oilseeds

    grains

    GrainsOilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

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    Brazil's Oilseeds Area Stable, Grains Decrease

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/008

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26Oilseeds

    Area forecast downmarginally

    Recent increase insoybean/corn priceratio could result inarea being near lastyear's level

    Grains

    Long-term areadecline

    Wheat continues todecline, while cornincreases

    Devaluation of Real,access to credit, andrural debt majorconcerns

    Million hectares

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    Brazil's Oilseeds Output Decline, Grains Rise

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/007

    14

    21

    28

    35

    21

    28

    35

    42

    49

    Oilseeds

    Production down afterrecord yield in 1997/98

    Soybean productiondown on lower area

    Cottonseed yield risesas production shifts toCenter-West

    Grains

    Output expands due tohigher corn yield

    Wheat down, yield ataverage level

    Rice retreats fromrecord level

    Million tons

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

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    China's Grains Area Stable, Oilseeds Increase

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/0016

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    81

    84

    87

    90

    93

    96

    Million hectares

    Oilseeds

    Area trending upwardagain after drop in1996/97

    Soybean area declinesas imports increase

    Rapeseed and peanutareas at record levels

    Grains

    Area declinesmarginally

    Corn at record leveldue to demand andsupport prices

    Wheat declines due todry weather

    Rice nearly unchanged

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/000

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    China's Grains and Oilseeds Output at Record

    Oilseeds

    Production sets a newrecord

    Peanut and rapeseedoutput higher

    Soybean area andyield decline

    Grains

    Total-grain output atrecord level

    Corn down from lastyear's record, butsecond highest

    Wheat at secondhighest output

    Rice at record level

    Million tons

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

  • 8/14/2019 Oilseed Prod. in World

    7/9

    FSU Grains Area Slide, Oilseeds at Record

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/007

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    OilseedsArea jumps on strong

    demand for rapeseedand sunflowerseed

    Cottonseed steadyafter decline earlier inthe decade

    Grains

    Area continues to dropdue to unfavorableweather and landdiversion

    Feed demand falls aslivestock and poultrynumbers decline

    Russia's wheat downdue to drought atplanting

    Million hectares

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    FSU Grains Output Up Slightly, Oilseeds Recover

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/006

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    75

    100

    125

    150

    175

    200

    225

    Oilseeds

    Production reboundsfollowing declineearlier in the decade

    Sunflowerseed higherdespite low yield

    Grains

    Total-grain output

    slightly above lastyear's poor level

    Russian andKazakstan wheatrebound

    Russia and Ukraineyield still constrainedby variable weatherand economicdificulties

    Million tons

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

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    India's Grains Area Climb, Oilseeds Decrease

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/0016

    20

    24

    28

    32

    36

    96

    100

    104

    108

    112

    OilseedsArea down from therecord set last year

    Lower tariff reducesdomestic prices andincentive to plant

    Soybean area morethan triples in 10 years

    Grains

    Area starting to trendhigher

    Wheat and rice at

    record levelCoarse grains declineover long-term

    Million hectares

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    India's Grains Production Record, Oilseeds Lower

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/005

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    75

    100

    125

    150

    175

    200

    Oilseed

    Drought in westerngrowing areas reducescrops' prospects

    Peanut yield forecastlowest in 14 years

    Soybean output downmarginally

    GrainProduction at recordlevel

    Wheat and rice atrecord owing to largeryield and area

    Coarse grains lower asmonsoon is irregular,although "normal"

    Million tons

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD

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    Canada's Oilseeds Area Record, Grains Lower

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/000

    2

    4

    6

    8

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    OilseedsArea trending higher,

    recent volatility

    Strong prices relativeto grains inducesrecord oilseed area

    Soybean sunflowerand rapeseed areas allat high levels

    Grains

    Weak durum wheatprices pressures area

    Wheat and barley alsodecreases due torotation, wet weatherat planting, andrelatively strongerrapeseed prices

    Million hectares

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    Canada's Oilseeds Output Record, Grains Higher

    1979/80 1989/90 1999/002

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Oilseeds

    Output increaseencouraged by greatercrush capacity

    Rapeseed benefitsfrom favorablemoisture, despiteplanting difficulties

    GrainsTotal-grain output updue to favorable lateseason weather

    Wheat recovers fromlate planting, barleybenefits fromfavorable weather

    Oats and corn lower

    Million tons

    grains

    Grains

    oilseeds

    Oilseeds

    November 1999 Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Div., FAS, USD