oceanside-escondido rail line 1.011 final project presentation john r. velascomay 12 th , 2003

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Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. Velasco May 12 th , 2003

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Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003. North San Diego County Transit District Service Area. Background. 1987 SANDAG Highway 78 Corridor Study (determined rail service in corridor is feasible) 1987 TRANSNET 1/2% sales tax approved - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line1.011 Final Project PresentationJohn R. Velasco May 12th, 2003

Page 2: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

North San Diego County Transit District Service Area

Page 3: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Background1987 SANDAG Highway 78 Corridor Study (determined rail service in corridor is feasible)1987 TRANSNET 1/2% sales tax approved1992 SANDAG Transit Corridor Evaluation (determined DMU’s most cost-efficient)1992 NCTD (with MTDB) purchases 84 miles of track, including The SPRINTER line for $90 millionKeeps project costs down

Page 4: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Problems & Issues Cal State San Marcos Loop at Highway 78 Overcrossing

37 grade crossings in 22 miles

Short-term construction traffic

Local outreach and notification

Continuing Freight Rail operations during construction

Traffic Control Plan to meet Caltrans requirements

Implementation of Traffic Control Plan will reduce impacts to less than significant

Page 5: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Costs & Benefits

Page 6: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Costs

Total Construction Costs $205,969,000

Total Non-Constr. Costs $107,062,000

Project Contingency$ 16,400,000

Project Escalation $ 22,069,000

Total Project Budget $351,500,000

Page 7: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Costs--In perspective

“Highly Recommended” Project by FTA $16.1 million/mile ($40-50 M National

Avg.) 55% locally funded High potential use

Annual operating cost for Oceanside - Escondido Rail Project: $12.2 million in first full year of operation

Estimated 40-50% farebox recovery rate - consistent with national average

Page 8: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Benefits

Potential addition of 4,884 full-time jobs during construction with 6,667 secondary or indirect jobs for the region

Addition of 170 on-site jobs for operation and maintenance of the system when it is up and running with 304 indirect jobs generated

Improved air quality…Fewer emissions from vehicles on Highway 78 (25-30% decrease in auto traffic)

Increased travel capacity in the corridor...You don’t have to use transit to benefit from transit

Increased mobility for North County residents:Link to COASTER / AMTRAK / MetrolinkLink to BREEZELink to Interstate 15 and future Bus Rapid TransitProvide bike trail in corridor More access to local schools, jobs and shopping

Page 9: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

SERVICE TO STUDENTS

Cal State University San MarcosCurrently has 8,000 students

plus 800 faculty & staff11,000 students projected by 200918,000 students projected by 2020

Palomar College20,000 students currently attend San Marcos campus

Mira Costa College13,616 students by 2005

Page 10: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

CSU SAN MARCOS STATION

Page 11: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Potential Ridership

Page 12: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

RAIL SERVICE Passenger service every 30 minutes from 5 a.m.

to 10:30 p.m. 64 train trips/day Max speed: 50 mph Flat fares proposed $1.50/trip Freight service will continue 2-3 times a week at night Projected daily ridership:

12,000 in 200519,000 in 2020

Transit riders in corridor: 9,800 on Routes 302, 318 and 320**Fastest growing ridership in system**

Page 13: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

POTENTIAL RIDERS

Ridership throughout the day, connections to shopping important

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Work 21%

School 12%

Shopping 68%

Visit friends 51%

Other 49%

Page 14: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

WHY DMU?

•Ability to operate in existing right-of-way

•Bi-directional operation•Designed for light-density, regional service to heavily-used urban and inter-city rail lines and Bus Rapid Transit

•Modular design / “building block” approach •Multiple - unit capability•Lightweight materialSelf-propelled diesel - no catenary required

Page 15: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Financial Analysis

Page 16: Oceanside-Escondido Rail Line 1.011 Final Project Presentation John R. VelascoMay 12 th , 2003

The SPRINTER – 2005

Scenario Analysis

Original Interest Rate 10%

Format( 5.5=5:30 AM, 22.25=10:15 PM)

Start time: 5.5 # Trips/Hr 2 Fare/person/trip $1.50

Stop time: 22 Total Trips/Day 33 Total Daily Riders 12,375

Total time (hrs) 16.5 Train Capacity 375 Total Daily Revenue $18,562.50

Total Yearly Revenue$6,775,312.5

0

New Interest Rate 14%

Format( 5.5=5:30 AM, 22.25=10:15 PM)

Start time: 7 # Trips/Hr 2 Fare/person/trip $1.50

Stop time: 17.5 Total Trips/Day 21 Total Daily Riders 5,250

Total time (hrs) 10.5 Train Capacity 250 Total Daily Revenue $7,875.00

Total Yearly Revenue$2,874,375.0

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