nyagp solar market

8/8/2019 NYAGP Solar Market

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/nyagp-solar-market 1/30



People without access to electricityPeople without access to electricity



Global Energy RequirementsGlobal Energy Requirements



Cost and Environmental concerns of Cost and Environmental concerns of

Traditional generation sourcesTraditional generation sources



Greenhouse GasesGreenhouse Gases



Paradigm shift on Energy DevelopmentParadigm shift on Energy Development



A Path to SUSTAINABLE ENERGY by 2030A Path to SUSTAINABLE ENERGY by 2030



PV Solar for ElectricityPV Solar for Electricity

For the 2 billion people without access to electricity, it would be

cheaper to install solar panels than to extend the electrical grid.(The Fund for Renewable Energy Everywhere)

Average amount of solar energy arriving on top of the atmosphereis 1,330 watts per square meter. Amount reaching the earth’s surface is 10,000 times more than all commercial energy

used annually.

Providing power for villages in developing countries is a fast-growing market for photovoltaics. The United Nations estimatesthat more than 2 million villages worldwide are without electricpower for water supply, refrigeration, lighting, and other basicneeds, and the cost of extending the utility grids is prohibitive,$23,000 to $46,000 per kilometer in 1988.



A Brief of PVA Brief of PV

Photovoltaics (PV) is the science of direct conversion of light to D.C. electricity, based on the fundamentalprinciple of “photovoltaic effect”. This phenomenon isexhibited in semiconductor materials.

PV benefits from a number of attractive features: Abundance of free fuel in the form of sunlight No moving parts – low maintenance Totally noiseless, pollution free, benign source of energy

A one kilowatt PV system each month: prevents 150 lbs. of coal from being mined prevents 300 lbs. of CO2 from entering the atmosphere keeps 105 gallons of water from being consumed

keeps NO and SO2 from being released into the environment



Solar Cell BackgroundSolar Cell Background

1839 - French physicist A. E. Becquerel first recognized the1839 - French physicist A. E. Becquerel first recognized the

photovoltaic effect.photovoltaic effect.

1883 - first solar cell built, by Charles Fritts, coated semiconductor 1883 - first solar cell built, by Charles Fritts, coated semiconductor selenium with an extremely thin layer of gold to form the junctions.selenium with an extremely thin layer of gold to form the junctions.

1954 - Bell Laboratories, experimenting with semiconductors,1954 - Bell Laboratories, experimenting with semiconductors,accidentally found that silicon doped with certain impurities wasaccidentally found that silicon doped with certain impurities wasvery sensitive to light. Daryl Chapin, Calvin Fuller and Geraldvery sensitive to light. Daryl Chapin, Calvin Fuller and GeraldPearson, invented the first practical device for converting sunlightPearson, invented the first practical device for converting sunlightinto useful electrical power. Resulted in the production of the firstinto useful electrical power. Resulted in the production of the firstpractical solar cells with a sunlight energy conversion efficiency of practical solar cells with a sunlight energy conversion efficiency of around 6%.around 6%.

1958 - First spacecraft to use solar panels was US satellite1958 - First spacecraft to use solar panels was US satelliteVanguard 1Vanguard 1



Performance ComparisonPerformance Comparison

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/a/a4/PVeff%28rev110707%29d.png



Solar Cells Trend and ProjectionsSolar Cells Trend and Projections

25000



Types of solar cellsTypes of solar cells

1st Generation

Crystalline silicon solar cells: Mono crystalline silicon (c-Si) and Multicrystalline silicon (mc-Si)

Surface barrier solar cells (a-Si on c-Si) – Passivated Interface(PI) at hetero junction

2nd Generation

Thin film solar cells: Amorphous silicon (a-Si) Polycrystalline copper indium diselenide (CIS) or Copper-indium-gallium - selenide / sulphide (CIGS) Cadmium telluride (CdTe) Thin-film crystalline silicon

3rd Generation Gallium arsenide (GaAs) and multi junction cells (GaInP /

GaAs / Ge ) with super-high efficiency Nano crystalline Dye-sensitized TiO2 based and other nano-

structured solar cells

Organic (Polymer) solar cells



Solar Cell Market EstimateSolar Cell Market Estimate

Solar Cells 2010 Market Share Estimate

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Type

M a r k e t S h a

r e



PV TECHNOLOGY SHARE FORECASTPV TECHNOLOGY SHARE FORECAST

Fore cast of PV Technology - Shar

8576

31

13

18

34

2 6

35

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2020 2030

Year

% o

f S h a r e Crystalline

Thin FilmNew Technolog



Market Share (MW) by CountryMarket Share (MW) by Country

Source: “Report on Photovoltaics” from Solar Novus Today



Market Share ( $$ ) by CountryMarket Share ( $$ ) by Country

Annual PV Market Outlo

$-

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

S a l e s i n B i l l i o n s

Rest of World

South Asia

China

Central + Sout

AmericaNorth America

Europe



US State Solar PV opportunities by 2011US State Solar PV opportunities by 2011



Present and Future( Jobs, Cost, Numbers )Present and Future( Jobs, Cost, Numbers )



PV Cost DistributionPV Cost Distribution



Grid ParityGrid Parity



ContdContd…..



Investment in different sectorsInvestment in different sectors



Investment in RenewablesInvestment in Renewables



Investment Trend ( in terms of $$ )Investment Trend ( in terms of $$ )



Global Strategy to tap PV businessGlobal Strategy to tap PV business

To maintain The current high growth rate of PV shipments &

To address scarcity of silicon feedstock, following threedifferent pathways are being pursued simultaneously:

1. Substantial increase in production of solar gradesilicon

2. Reduction of material consumption through: Development of higher efficiency solar cells

Technology development for use of thinner wafers

1. Accelerated development and introduction of thinfilm solar cell technologies into the market.



Future DirectionsFuture Directions

Utilities will face increasing economic stress from

shrinking volume, and devise defensive as well asoffensive solutions German solar market will face risk of market saturation

by 2013 Grid-tied solar will require complementary investments in

smart grid and storage technology as market penetrationapproaches 20%

Solar companies will boost weak margins by verticalintegration, lowering cost and differentiating their

products by esthetics, ease of installation, and sellingdirectly to distributors or end-users. PV systems and concentrated power systems (CSP)

technologies will compete vigorously for utility-scalecontracts

nyagp solar market

Documents