nuts and bolts of genetic improvement genetic model predicting genetic levels increase commercial...

27
Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall Focus, Gettysburg, PA Sept. 14 th , 2015

Upload: hilary-garrett

Post on 17-Jan-2016

223 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement

Genetic ModelPredicting Genetic Levels

Increase Commercial Profitability

Lauren Hyde

Jackie Atkins

Wade Shafer

Fall Focus, Gettysburg, PA Sept. 14th, 2015

Page 2: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Punnett Square

Page 3: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Qualitative Traits

• Controlled by one or few pairs of genes• Measured on a categorical (either-or) scale• Examples

– Black or red– Polled or horned– Genetic defects

• Genotype determined through DNA testing

Page 4: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Genetic defects?

Page 5: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Quantitative Traits

• Controlled by many genes• Measured on a continuous scale• Examples

– Weaning weight (lb)– Ribeye area (sq in)

• Transmittable part of genotype determined through statistical techniques (and DNA testing)– EPD = ½ * EBV

Page 6: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Genetic Model

• Phenotype = Genotype + Environment• Phenotype is the observed level of

performance• Genotype is the genetic makeup of the animal• Environment is the effect that non-genetic

factors have on performance

Page 7: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Genetic Predictions (EPDs)

• Separate genetics from environment– Nature vs nurture

• Estimated using highly advanced statistical methods– BLUP– System of linear equations– Solve for x and y if 2x + 3y = 6 and 4x + 9y = 15

Page 8: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Mixed Model Equations

Page 9: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Heritability

• Heritability - the proportion of phenotypic variation for a specific trait in a specific population that is due to transmissible genetic merit

• Ranges from 0 to 1– h2

CE = 0.19

– h2BW = 0.38

– h2REA = 0.46

Page 10: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Heritability

• The higher the heritability of a trait, the more accurately an individual’s own performance predicts genetic merit

• Even with high heritability we are limited in what we can learn about an animal’s true breeding value from its phenotype

Page 11: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Data

• Large amounts of performance data are the solution– Animal’s own performance– Progeny performance– Performance of ancestors and other relatives

• Progeny performance records are the most influential

Page 12: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Data Collection

• Accurate pedigree records• Performance records for as many traits as

possible on complete contemporary groups– Performance Advocate

Page 13: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group

• Same sex• Close in age (within 90 days)• Raised in same management group from birth

– Same pasture– Same feed

Page 14: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group

• Should include as many cattle as can be compared accurately

• But only takes two

Page 15: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group ExampleAnimal ID Weaning Weight (lb)

2142 801

2134 783

2135 756

2147 729

2139 671

Page 16: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group ExampleAnimal ID Weaning Weight (lb)

2142 801

2134 783

2135 756

2147 729

2139 671

• Average WW = 748 lb• 2142’s WW ratio = 107.1

Page 17: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group ExampleAnimal ID Weaning Weight (lb)

2142 801

2134 783

2135 756

2147 729

2139 671

Page 18: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group ExampleAnimal ID Weaning Weight (lb)

2142 801

2134 783

2135 756

2147 729

2139 671

• Average WW = 780 lb• 2142’s WW ratio = 102.7

Page 19: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group ExampleAnimal ID Weaning Weight (lb)

2142 801

2134 783

2135 756

2147 729

2139 671

Page 20: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group ExampleAnimal ID Weaning Weight (lb)

2142 801

2134 783

2135 756

2147 729

2139 671

• Average WW = 736 lb• 2142’s WW ratio = 111.8

Page 21: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group Example

• What happens when 2142 starts getting used in other herds?

Page 22: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Contemporary Group Example

• Progeny data will get his EPDs going in the right direction

• Faulty data will get washed away• BLUP is very robust

Page 23: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall
Page 24: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Sire Summary

Page 25: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Interpretation

• 35R– BW EPD = -3.0 (.64)

• 3C Full Figures C288 BLK– BW EPD = -0.7 (.96)

• Difference– -3.0 – (-0.7) = -2.3– We would expect 35R’s progeny to weigh -2.3

pounds less at birth on average than 3C Full Figures C288 BLK’s

Page 26: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall

Accuracy

• Measure of the strength of the relationship between the true breeding value and its prediction

• Range from 0 to 1• Affected by the number of progeny records• Higher values associated with less risk and

lower values with more

Page 27: Nuts and Bolts of Genetic Improvement Genetic Model Predicting Genetic Levels Increase Commercial Profitability Lauren Hyde Jackie Atkins Wade Shafer Fall