Forecast Review 1 Groton, Connecticut

November 27th,

2012METEO 415

ALLEGRETTI

LUTZ

MAZZENGA

Groton, CT

• Population: 40,115 (2010)• Home of the Naval Sub Base New

London• Home of the Electric Boat Corp. which

is a major contractor of the United States Navy

• Home to the pharmaceutical company Pfizer

• KGON 271756Z 36007KT 4SM -RA BR SCT005 OVC021 03/02 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP250 P0001 60003 T00280022 10039 20022 58014=• KGON 271756Z 36007KT 4SM -RA BR SCT005 OVC021 03/02 A3027=• KGON 271856Z 02005KT 4SM -RA BR BKN021 BKN027 OVC032 03/02 A3025 RMK AO2 SLP241 P0000 T00280022=• KGON 271856Z 02005KT 4SM -RA BR BKN021 BKN027 OVC032 03/02 A3025=• KGON 271956Z 02008KT 4SM -RA BR FEW021 BKN028 OVC036 02/02 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP237 P0000 T00220017 $=• KGON 271956Z 02008KT 4SM -RA BR FEW021 BKN028 OVC036 02/02 A3023=• KGON 272013Z 02006KT 4SM -RA BR FEW023 BKN030 OVC036 02/02 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 272013Z 02006KT 4SM -RA BR FEW023 BKN030 OVC036 02/02 A3023=• KGON 272019Z 01006KT 5SM -RA BR FEW006 BKN028 OVC035 02/02 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 272019Z 01006KT 5SM -RA BR FEW006 BKN028 OVC035 02/02 A3023=• KGON 272056Z 02007KT 4SM -RA BR FEW007 OVC021 02/02 A3024 RMK AO2 SLP239 P0000 60000 T00220022 55011 $=• KGON 272056Z 02007KT 4SM -RA BR FEW007 OVC021 02/02 A3024=• KGON 272156Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR OVC023 02/02 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP234 P0000 T00170017 $=• KGON 272156Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR OVC023 02/02 A3022=• KGON 272256Z 02008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC027 02/01 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP237 P0000 T00170011 $=• KGON 272256Z 02008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC027 02/01 A3023=• KGON 272305Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT024 OVC030 02/01 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 272305Z 02007KT 5SM -RA BR SCT024 OVC030 02/01 A3023=• KGON 272314Z 01008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC028 02/01 A3023 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 272314Z 01008KT 5SM -RA BR OVC028 02/01 A3023=• KGON 272332Z 02007KT 6SM -RA BR OVC030 02/01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 272332Z 02007KT 6SM -RA BR OVC030 02/01 A3022=• KGON 272356Z 02008KT 6SM -RA BR OVC030 02/01 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP231 P0000 60000 T00170006 10028 20017 58007 $=

OBSERVATIONS

• KGON 280038Z 02007KT 4SM -SN BR OVC028 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAE34SNB34 P0000 $=• KGON 280038Z 02007KT 4SM -SN BR OVC028 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280056Z 01007KT 3SM -SN BR OVC026 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAE34SNB34 SLP232 P0000 T00110011 $=• KGON 280101Z 01007KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC026 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 280101Z 01007KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW007 OVC026 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280056Z 01007KT 3SM -SN BR OVC026 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280140Z 01006KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN019 OVC025 01/M01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 280140Z 01006KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR BKN019 OVC025 01/M01 A3022=• KGON 280151Z 36005KT 2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 P0000 $=• KGON 280151Z 36005KT 2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280156Z 36006KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP234 P0000 T00060006 $=• KGON 280156Z 36006KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR FEW006 BKN019 OVC035 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280205Z 36006KT 4SM -RASN BR FEW006 BKN023 OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAB0158 P0000 $=• KGON 280205Z 36006KT 4SM -RASN BR FEW006 BKN023 OVC035 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280218Z 36006KT 3SM -RASN BR OVC035 01/01 A3022 RMK AO2 RAB0158 P0000 $=• KGON 280218Z 36006KT 3SM -RASN BR OVC035 01/01 A3022=• KGON 280256Z 01008KT 4SM FEW018 BKN039 OVC048 01/01 A3021 RMK AO2 RAB0158E49SNE49 SLP229 P0000 60000

T00110011 58002 $=• KGON 280256Z 01008KT 4SM FEW018 BKN039 OVC048 01/01 A3021=• KGON 280307Z 01006KT 5SM FEW007 BKN041 OVC050 01/01 A3021 RMK AO2 $=• KGON 280307Z 01006KT 5SM FEW007 BKN041 OVC050 01/01 A3021=• KGON 280356Z AUTO 01007KT 5SM BKN049 OVC070 01/01 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP226T00110011 $=• KGON 280356Z AUTO 01007KT 5SM BKN049 OVC070 01/01 A3020=• KGON 280456Z AUTO 36010KT 5SM FEW008 BKN043 OVC065 01/01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP220 T00110006 400391033 $=• KGON 280456Z AUTO 36010KT 5SM FEW008 BKN043 OVC065 01/01 A3018=• KGON 280556Z AUTO 02007KT 7SM BKN045 OVC065 01/01 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP210 60000 T00110011 10017 20006 58019 $=

OBSERVATIONS

• KGON 280556Z AUTO 02007KT 7SM BKN045 OVC065 01/01 A3015=• KGON 280656Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00110006 $=• KGON 280656Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3017=• KGON 280756Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/00 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP209 T00110000 $=• KGON 280756Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/00 A3015=• KGON 280856Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP206 T00110006 58004 $=• KGON 280856Z AUTO 01009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3014=• KGON 280956Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP218 T00110006 $=• KGON 280956Z AUTO 35009KT 7SM OVC049 01/01 A3018=• KGON 281056Z AUTO 36012KT 7SM OVC049 01/M06 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP211 T00111056 $=• KGON 281056Z AUTO 36012KT 7SM OVC049 01/M06 A3016=• KGON 281156Z 36007G16KT 7SM OVC055 01/M01 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 70003 T00111006 10011 20011 51012 $=• KGON 281156Z 36007G16KT 7SM OVC055 01/M01 A3017=• KGON 281256Z 35010KT 7SM OVC055 02/M01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP220 T00171006 $=• KGON 281256Z 35010KT 7SM OVC055 02/M01 A3018=• KGON 281356Z 36010KT 7SM BKN037 OVC055 02/M01 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00171006 $=• KGON 281356Z 36010KT 7SM BKN037 OVC055 02/M01 A3017=• KGON 281456Z 36014KT 10SM SCT037 OVC055 02/M01 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP220 T00221011 53003 $=• KGON 281456Z 36014KT 10SM SCT037 OVC055 02/M01 A3018=• KGON 281556Z 35011KT 9SM BKN042 OVC055 02/M02 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00221022 $=• KGON 281556Z 35011KT 9SM BKN042 OVC055 02/M02 A3017=• KGON 281656Z 02008KT 10SM CLR 04/M02 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP211 T00441017 $=• KGON 281656Z 02008KT 10SM CLR 04/M02 A3016=• KGON 281756Z 35009KT 10SM CLR 06/M02 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP204 T00561022 10056 2001158016 $=• KGON 281756Z 35009KT 10SM CLR 06/M02 A3014

OBSERVATIONS

Radars For 18z and 6z

18z 6z

18Z SURFACE MAP

Verifications

Survey Scores

Career Scores

Up Close And Personal

Lessons Learned

0Be skeptical of observations that don’t sound right. Always check surrounding observations.

0Keep in mind that precipitation in anafronts is most often behind the cold front.

0Clouds keep temperatures higher than expected at night!

Forecast Review 2 Asheville, North Carolina

November 27th,

2012METEO 415

ALLEGRETTI

LUTZ

MAZZENGA

Asheville, NC

• Largest City in Western North Carolina• Population: 83,393 (2010)• Home to the NCDC (National

Climate Data Center)• Home to the Biltmore House which

is the largest house in America

• KAVL 271754Z 35013G21KT 10SM OVC011 10/06 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP194 60000 T01000061 10106 20061 58004=

• KAVL 271754Z 35013G21KT 10SM OVC011 10/06 A3013=• KAVL 271854Z 34013G20KT 10SM OVC015 09/06 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP195 T00940056=• KAVL 271854Z 34013G20KT 10SM OVC015 09/06 A3012=• KAVL 271954Z 34012KT 10SM OVC017 09/05 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP195 T00890050=• KAVL 271954Z 34012KT 10SM OVC017 09/05 A3012=• KAVL 272054Z 35012G17KT 10SM OVC021 09/05 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP198 T00890050 53001=• KAVL 272054Z 35012G17KT 10SM OVC021 09/05 A3013=• KAVL 272154Z 35009KT 10SM OVC023 08/04 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP205 T00780044=• KAVL 272154Z 35009KT 10SM OVC023 08/04 A3014=• KAVL 272254Z 35008KT 10SM BKN021 07/04 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP211 T00720039=• KAVL 272254Z 35008KT 10SM BKN021 07/04 A3016=• KAVL 272317Z 36006KT 10SM FEW021 BKN039 07/04 A3016 RMK AO2=• KAVL 272317Z 36006KT 10SM FEW021 BKN039 07/04 A3016=• KAVL 272354Z 34012KT 10SM OVC037 07/04 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP217 T00670039 10100 20067 53015=• KAVL 280054Z 34009KT 10SM FEW022 SCT037 06/04 A3019 RMK AO2 SLP223 T00610039=• KAVL 280054Z 34009KT 10SM FEW022 SCT037 06/04 A3019=• KAVL 280152Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020 RMK AO2=• KAVL 280152Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020=• KAVL 280154Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP225 T00610039=• KAVL 280154Z 36006KT 10SM FEW023 BKN029 06/04 A3020=• KAVL 280254Z 35009KT 10SM BKN025 OVC032 07/04 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP227 T00670039 53006=

OBSERVATIONS

• KAVL 280254Z 35009KT 10SM BKN025 OVC032 07/04 A3021=• KAVL 280308Z 34009KT 10SM FEW023 OVC032 06/03 A3021 RMK AO2=• KAVL 280308Z 34009KT 10SM FEW023 OVC032 06/03 A3021=• KAVL 280341Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM OVC028 06/03 A3021 RMK AO2=• KAVL 280341Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM OVC028 06/03 A3021=• KAVL 280354Z AUTO 34012KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP227 T00610033=• KAVL 280354Z AUTO 34012KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3021=• KAVL 280454Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP231 T00610028• 401110056=• KAVL 280454Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC026 06/03 A3022=• KAVL 280529Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC030 06/02 A3023 RMK AO2=• KAVL 280529Z AUTO 34009KT 10SM OVC030 06/02 A3023=• KAVL 280554Z AUTO 35007KT 10SM OVC032 06/02 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP230 T00560022• 10067 20056 50002=• KAVL 280554Z AUTO 35007KT 10SM OVC032 06/02 A3022=• KAVL 280654Z AUTO 36005KT 10SM OVC030 05/02 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP228 T00500017=• KAVL 280654Z AUTO 36005KT 10SM OVC030 05/02 A3021=• KAVL 280754Z AUTO 34005KT 10SM CLR 04/01 A3022 RMK AO2 SLP234 T00390011=• KAVL 280754Z AUTO 34005KT 10SM CLR 04/01 A3022=• KAVL 280854Z AUTO 36003KT 10SM CLR 03/01 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP238 T00330011 53004=• KAVL 280854Z AUTO 36003KT 10SM CLR 03/01 A3023=• KAVL 280954Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3025 RMK AO2 SLP247 T00280000=• KAVL 280954Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3025=• KAVL 281054Z AUTO 35010KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3027 RMK AO2 SLP252 T00280000=• KAVL 281054Z AUTO 35010KT 10SM CLR 03/00 A3027=

OBSERVATIONS

• KAVL 281116Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM BKN020 03/00 A3028 RMK AO2=• KAVL 281116Z AUTO 34007KT 10SM BKN020 03/00 A3028=• KAVL 281154Z 34007KT 10SM OVC020 03/M01 A3029 RMK AO2 SLP259 T00281006 10056 20022

51018=• KAVL 281154Z 34007KT 10SM OVC020 03/M01 A3029=• KAVL 281254Z 35006KT 10SM OVC022 02/M01 A3031 RMK AO2 SLP267 T00221006=• KAVL 281254Z 35006KT 10SM OVC022 02/M01 A3031=• KAVL 281354Z 34012KT 10SM SCT022 04/M01 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP273 T00391006=• KAVL 281354Z 34012KT 10SM SCT022 04/M01 A3033=• KAVL 281454Z 34010KT 10SM FEW021 06/M01 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP279 T00561011 53020=• KAVL 281454Z 34010KT 10SM FEW021 06/M01 A3035=• KAVL 281554Z 33015G18KT 10SM CLR 07/M01 A3036 RMK AO2 SLP281 T00671011=• KAVL 281554Z 33015G18KT 10SM CLR 07/M01 A3036=• KAVL 281654Z 34009G15KT 10SM CLR 08/M02 A3035 RMK AO2 SLP276 T00781022=• KAVL 281654Z 34009G15KT 10SM CLR 08/M02 A3035=• KAVL 281754Z 35010KT 10SM CLR 09/M04 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP269 T00891044 10089 2002

58007=• KAVL 281754Z 35010KT 10SM CLR 09/M04 A3033=

OBSERVATIONS

Surface Map at 17z

Satellite Imagery at 18z

Verifications

Career Scores

Up Close And Personal

Lessons Learned

0A front moving through the region does not necessarily guarantee rain.

0Downsloping from mountains causes the “State College effect” creating stability and inhibiting the potential for convective and stratiform precipitation.

Hey Klipple…18-1