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Nova Scotia Demographic and Employment InsightsMaking Waves Conference
Shirley Hazen
Department of Business
January 2018
2
Population, Canada and NS, 2016
400,000 200,000 0 200,000 400,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
Males Females
Canada
Population
aged 18-64
Males Females
Nova Scotia
5,000 2,500 0 2,500 5,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
Males Females
Halifax
• Aging population a Canadian/global trend
• NS aging faster than Canada• Halifax an exception• Aging most pronounced in
NS Regions
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 051-0059
3
1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
Population, NS Regions, 2016
Males Females
Cape Breton
1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
Males Females
North Shore
1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
Males Females
Annapolis
Valley
1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
Males Females
Southern
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0002
4
10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
10,000 5,000 0 5,000 10,000
< 10
20
30
40
50
50
70
80
90 +
NS Population Projections, 2022-2042
Males Females
2022
Males Females
2027
Males Females
2032
Males Females
2042
Source: Nova Scotia Department of Finance and Treasury Board
5
NS Distribution of Labour Force by Age Group1997, 2007, 2017
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0002
16.9%
16.6%
14.1%
74.7%
68.4%
62.6%
8.3%
15.0%
23.3%
0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%
1997
2007
2017
15 to 24 years 25 to 54 years 55 years and over
63.7% 86.2% 34.8%
66.5% 85.3% 28.7%
59.6% 79.7% 18.4%
Participation Rate
6
Participation Rates by Age and Sex, 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70
Males - NS Females - NS Males - Canada Females - Canada
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0002
7
Aging by Occupation
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Biological technologists
and technicians (2221)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Aquaculture and
marine harvest
labourers (8613)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Managers in
aquaculture (0823)
Nova ScotiaCanada
Source: Statistics Canada, 2016 Census
8
Labour Availability, 2017
62.0
38.0
6.0
53.1
46.9
9.2
58.5
41.5
6.6
60.6
39.5
4.7
56.3
43.7
6.1
69.7
30.4
4.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Participation Rate Not in Labour Force Ratio toPop 15+
Unemployed Ratio to Pop 15+
Per
cen
t
Nova Scotia Cape Breton North Shore Annapolis Valley Southern Halifax
65+
Notes: participation rate is the ratio of labour force to base population (non-institutionalized civilian population age 15 and older)Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM table 282-0123
9
Reasons for not looking for work, 2017*
*Not in the labour force but wanting to work (ages 15+)
3.3
1.8
3.2
1.4
1.0
2.4
1.9
0.4
1.7
1.1
0.7
1.31.4 1.4 1.5
0.3 0.3
1.1
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Illness Personal/FamilyResponsibilities
School AwaitingRecall/Reply
Discouraged Other
tho
usa
nd
s
Nova Scotia Men Women
Note: Lighter colours mean derived data
Source: Statistics Canada, CANSIM Table 282-0219
10
Labour AvailabilityUnemployment rates by highest level of education, 2016ages 25-64
0
5
10
15
20
25
No Certificate High School Apprenticeship/Trade College University
Un
em
plo
yme
nt
rate
, pe
r ce
nt
NS Visible Minority African Nova Scotians Aboriginal Identity Recent Immigrants
Source: Census 2016
11
Education an IssuePercentage without Diploma, Certificate or DegreeAges 25-64, 2016 Census
Below NS Average
Above NS Average
GUYSBOROUGH 23.5%
CAPE BRETON
13.7%
VICTORIA
18.1%
RICHMOND 15.8%
HALIFAX 9.7%
LUNENBURG 18.2%
QUEENS 22.9%
SHELBURNE 27.9%
YARMOUTH
20.7%
DIGBY 22.8%
ANNAPOLIS 17.4%
KINGS 13.2% HANTS
14.6%
CUMBERLAND 15.8%
COLCHESTER 13.6%
PICTOU
14.7%
ANTIGONISH 8.6%
NOVA SCOTIA 12.2%
INVERNESS 11.6%
Source: Census 2016
12
Education is an issuePercentage with Post-secondary EducationAges 25-64, 2016 Census
Above NS Average
Below NS Average
GUYSBOROUGH 52.8%
CAPE BRETON
60.2%
VICTORIA
56.1%
RICHMOND 63.6%
HALIFAX 69.6%
LUNENBURG 60.3%
QUEENS 51.8%
SHELBURNE 46.9%
YARMOUTH
59.3%
DIGBY 54.9%
ANNAPOLIS 57.9%
KINGS 62.0% HANTS
60.6%
CUMBERLAND 54.6%
COLCHESTER 59.2%
PICTOU
61.2%
ANTIGONISH
72.2%
NOVA SCOTIA 64.3%
INVERNESS 67.3%
Source: Census 2016
13
Thank you
14
GDP, Jobs, and Productivity
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Aquaculture
CA-GDP NS-GDP
CA-Jobs NS - Jobs
CA - Productivity NS - Productivity