nov-18 dec-18 mbs bulletin working-age (15+) population ...€¦ · month-over-month nov-18 dec-18...

MBS Bulletin M a n i t o b a L a b o u r M a r k e t , D e c e m b e r 2 0 1 8 1

January 4, 2019 Manitoba Bureau of Statistics Finance Research Division

Labour Force Survey

D e c e m b e r 2 0 1 8

The Manitoba labour force increased by 3,600 per-

sons (0.5%) in December, while Canada’s labour

force was unchanged. Compared to the previous

December, the labour force increased 1.5% in Mani-

toba.

Manitoba’s employment level increased by 700 per-

sons (0.1%) in December. This follows an increase of

0.4% in the previous month. Across the country, em-

ployment performance varied with Newfoundland &

Labrador experiencing the highest employment in-

crease at 1.2%, while Prince Edward Island

experienced the largest decline among the provinces

(-1.6%). Canada’s overall employment was un-

changed in December. From December 2017 to De-

cember 2018, Manitoba’s employment increased by 6,900

persons or 1.1%.

Manitoba’s private sector (private sector employees + self-

employed) increased by 1,300 jobs from November to De-

cember. The public sector decreased by 600.

Full-time employment increased by 6,200 positions from

November to December while part-time employment was

down 5,500 positions.

Labour Force Survey Notes

The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a household survey

carried out monthly by Statistics Canada.

employment rate is the number of employed people

as a percentage of the population aged 15+.

unemployment rate is the number of unemployed

people as a percentage of the labour force

(employed and unemployed and looking for work).

participation rate is the number in the labour force

as a percentage of the population.

Full-time employment is the number of persons

who working 30 hours+ per week at their main job.

All estimates are seasonally adjusted, unless otherwise

specified. This removes seasonal and calendar effects

allowing for comparisons between time periods.

The LFS estimates are based on a sample and are there-

fore subject to sampling variability.

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?

Function=getSurvey&SDDS=3701

Employment growth by province,

November 2018 to December 2018

Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey, table 14-10-0287-01 (formerly CANSIM 282-0087 )

0.1 0.0

-1.6

-1.2

-0.8

-0.4

0.0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

NL NS ON BC MB QC CA SK AB NB PE

month-over-month change (%)

Manitoba Labour Market, Nov 2018 to Dec 2018

Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey, tables 14-10-0287-01

and 14-10-0355-01 (formerly CANSIM 282-0087 and 282-0088)

Nov-18 Dec-18

Working-Age (15+) Population 1,028,800 1,029,800 ↑ 0.1%

Labour force 691,500 695,100 ↑ 0.5%

Employment 652,500 653,200 ↑ 0.1%

Full-time 526,500 532,700 ↑ 1.2%

Part-time 126,000 120,500 ↓ -4.4%

Private Sector 486,700 488,000 ↑ 0.3%

Public Sector 165,800 165,200 ↓ -0.4%

Unemployment rate (%) 5.7 6.0 ↑ 0.3pts

Youth Unemployment rate (%) 12.5 12.6 ↑ 0.1pts

Participation rate (%) 67.2 67.5 ↑ 0.3pts

Employment rate (%) 63.4 63.4 ↔ 0pts

Change

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&SDDS=3701

http://www23.statcan.gc.ca/imdb/p2SV.pl?Function=getSurvey&SDDS=3701



Manitoba Employment Trend

From November 2016 to August 2017, Manitoba’s employ-

ment experienced a strong upward trend, followed by a

decline from September to December 2017.

Beginning in 2018, Manitoba has experienced both increas-

es and decreases in total employment between months,

however the overall trend continues to move upward.

Manitoba’s unemployment rate was 6.0% for December

2018. This rate was up 0.3 percentage points from No-

vember, ranking Manitoba fifth interprovincially. The

December unemployment rate was above Canada’s rate

of 5.6%.

Compared to December 2017, Manitoba’s unemployment

rate was up 0.4 percentage points.

The province’s youth (aged 15 to 24 years) unemploy-

ment rate of 12.6% was up 0.1 percentage points from

November to December and was above Canada’s rate of

11.1%.

Compared to the previous December, the youth unem-

ployment rate in Manitoba was up 1.1 percentage points.

Contact: Paul Beckta [email protected]

MBS intranet website: http://intranet.mbgov.ca/finance/mbs/Pages/default.aspx

MBS public website: http://www.gov.mb.ca/mbs/

What is the Trend-cycle?

The trend-cycle estimates are a smoothed version of the

seasonally adjusted time series, removing the irregular

component of the data (unexpected economic events or

shocks). It provides information on longer-term move-

ments in the series. It is calculated as a weighted average

of 13 months, centered on the reference month—referred

to as a symmetric moving average. The most recent 6

estimates are based only on the available months of data

and are considered preliminary.

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/eng/dai/btd/tce-faq

Unemployment Rate, December 2018

Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey, table 14-10-0287-01 (formerly CANSIM 282-0087)

5.6 6.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

BC ON QC SK CA MB AB NS NB PE NL

rate (%)

Manitoba Employment, seasonally adjusted and trend-cycle, December 2015 to December 2018

Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey, table 14-10-0287-01 (formerly CANSIM 282-0087)

625.0

630.0

635.0

640.0

645.0

650.0

655.0

Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16 Apr-17 Aug-17 Dec-17 Apr-18 Aug-18 Dec-18

thousands

Seasonally Adjusted Trend-cycle

mailto:[email protected]

http://intranet.mbgov.ca/finance/mbs/Pages/default.aspx

http://www.gov.mb.ca/mbs/

http://www.statcan.gc.ca/eng/dai/btd/tce-faq



Note: Table figures are represented as a three month moving average using unadjusted data

Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey, table 14-10-0293-01

Regional Labour Market Indicators

Month-over-month Nov-18 Dec-18

Labour Force 426,400 426,900 ↑ 0.1%

Employment 401,600 402,700 ↑ 0.3%

Unemployment 24,800 24,200 ↓ -2.4%

Unemployment rate (%) 5.8 5.7 ↓ -0.1pts

Participation rate (%) 68.1 68.1 ↔ 0.0pts

Year-over-year Dec-17 Dec-18

Labour Force 415,100 426,900 ↑ 2.8%

Employment 392,200 402,700 ↑ 2.7%

Unemployment 22,800 24,200 ↑ 6.1%



Change

Change

Winnipeg, Manitoba


Labour Force 64,100 63,100 ↓ -1.6%

Employment 61,900 60,300 ↓ -2.6%

Unemployment 2,200 2,700 ↑ 22.7%


Participation rate (%) 67.7 66.6 ↓ -1.1pts


Labour Force 63,900 63,100 ↓ -1.3%

Employment 60,800 60,300 ↓ -0.8%

Unemployment 3,000 2,700 ↓ -10.0%



Southeast, ManitobaChange

Change


Labour Force 59,300 60,400 ↑ 1.9%

Employment 57,700 58,200 ↑ 0.9%

Unemployment 1,600 2,200 ↑ 37.5%




Labour Force 58,500 60,400 ↑ 3.2%

Employment 56,000 58,200 ↑ 3.9%

Unemployment 2,500 2,200 ↓ -12.0%



Southwest, ManitobaChange

Change



Note: Table figures are represented as a three month moving average using unadjusted data

Source: Statistics Canada Labour Force Survey, table 14-10-0293-01

Regional Labour Market Indicators (continued)

South Central and North Central, ManitobaMonth-over-month Nov-18 Dec-18

Labour Force 56,800 57,500 ↑ 1.2%

Employment 54,500 55,100 ↑ 1.1%

Unemployment 2,300 2,400 ↑ 4.3%




Labour Force 58,700 57,500 ↓ -2.0%

Employment 56,600 55,100 ↓ -2.7%

Unemployment 2,000 2,400 ↑ 20.0%



Change

Change


Labour Force 47,800 47,400 ↓ -0.8%

Employment 44,700 44,400 ↓ -0.7%

Unemployment 3,100 3,000 ↓ -3.2%




Labour Force 46,900 47,400 ↑ 1.1%

Employment 45,300 44,400 ↓ -2.0%

Unemployment 1,500 3,000 ↑ 100.0%



Interlake, ManitobaChange

Change


Labour Force 34,600 34,700 ↑ 0.3%

Employment 32,100 31,900 ↓ -0.6%

Unemployment 2,500 2,800 ↑ 12.0%




Labour Force 37,100 34,700 ↓ -6.5%

Employment 35,300 31,900 ↓ -9.6%

Unemployment 1,800 2,800 ↑ 55.6%



Parklands and North, ManitobaChange

Change

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