northern virginia market absorption rates for september

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Market Absorptio n Virginia

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Page 1: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Market Absorption

Virginia

Page 2: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market UpdateSeptember 2011

Northern Virginia Available UC Abs Rate

< $100,000 22 20 1.10

$100,000–$199,999 229 102 2.24

$200,000-$299,999 591 186 3.18

$300,000-$399,999 827 218 3.79

$400,000-$499,999 694 161 4.31

$500,000-$599,999 597 127 4.70

$600,000-$699,999 410 69 5.94Source: MRIS, Inc.; Northern Virginia is comprised of the Counties of Arlington and Fairfax; and the Cities of

Alexandria, Fairfax & Falls Church. October 17, 2011

Page 3: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market UpdateSeptember 2011

Northern Virginia Available UC Abs Rate

$700,000-$799,999 328 44 7.45

$800,000-$899,999 206 22 9.36

$900,000-$999,999 129 19 6.79

$1M -$1.49M 386 33 11.69

$1.5M -2.49 240 13 18.46

$2.5 million + 131 2 65.50

Overall 4,790 1,016 4.71Absorption Rate = the number of active listings/by the number of homes marked “under contract” in the past 30 days. The absorption rate is the number of months it would take to deplete the inventory. October 17 2011

Page 4: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

No VA Stats

Avg. SP- +7.66%

Units Sold- -7.18%

DOM- +16.98% to 62 days

Source: MRIS, Inc. October 17, 2011

Page 5: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market UpdateSeptember 2011

PW & Loudoun Available UC Abs Rate

< $100,000 22 8 2.75

$100,000–$199,999 241 149 1.61

$200,000-$299,999 544 199 2.73

$300,000-$399,999 634 149 4.25

$400,000-$499,999 567 87 6.51

$500,000-$599,999 436 40 10.90

$600,000-$699,999 231 21 11.00Source: MRIS, Inc. October 17, 2011

Page 6: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market UpdateSeptember 2011

PW & Loudoun Available UC Abs Rate

$700,000-$799,999 132 9 14.67

$800,000-$899,999 91 5 18.20

$900,000-$999,999 54 1 54.00

$1M -$1.49M 96 3 32.00

$1.5M -2.49 50 1 50.00

$2.5 million + 37 0 0

Overall 3,135 672 4.66Absorption Rate = the number of active listings/by the number of homes marked “under contract” in the past 30 days. The absorption rate is the number of months it would take to deplete the inventory. October 17 2011

Page 7: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

No. VA Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 4,789 5,470 -12%

UC Last 30 Days 915 1,355 -32%

Sold Last 30 Days 1,334 1,393 -4%

Absorption Rate 5.23 4.03As of October 17, 2011

Page 8: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Fairfax Co. Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 3,462 3,826 -10%

UC Last 30 Days 763 1,013 -25%

Sold Last 30 Days 997 1,052 -5%

Absorption Rate 4.53 3.78As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 9: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Fairfax Co. Stats

Avg. SP- +9.02%

Units Sold- -8.46%

DOM- +17.75% to 60 days

Source: MRIS, Inc. October 17, 2011

Page 10: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Alexandria City Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 518 746 -31%

UC Last 30 Days 110 122 -10%

Sold Last 30 Days 128 121 +6%

Absorption Rate 4.71 6.11As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 11: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Arlington Co. Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 688 764 -9%

UC Last 30 Days 122 187 -35%

Sold Last 30 Days 183 183 0%

Absorption Rate 5.64 4.08As of October 17, 2011

Page 12: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Fairfax Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 353 581 -39%

UC Last 30 Days 98 157 -38%

Sold Last 30 Days 107 143 -25%

Absorption Rate 3.60 3.70As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 13: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Fairfax Station Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 88 72 +22%

UC Last 30 Days 10 9 +11%

Sold Last 30 Days 17 9 +89%

Absorption Rate 8.8 8.0As of October 17, 2011

Page 14: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Clifton Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 79 73 +8%

UC Last 30 Days 8 8 0%

Sold Last 30 Days 14 20 -30%

Absorption Rate 9.87 9.12As of October 17, 2011

Page 15: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Herndon Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 163 159 +3%

UC Last 30 Days 50 68 -26%

Sold Last 30 Days 61 71 -14%

Absorption Rate 3.26 2.33As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 16: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Sterling Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 212 269 -21%

UC Last 30 Days 62 89 -30%

Sold Last 30 Days 80 91 -12%

Absorption Rate 3.42 3.02As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 17: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Vienna/ Oakton Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 334 369 -9%

UC Last 30 Days 41 73 -44%

Sold Last 30 Days 86 80 +8%

Absorption Rate 8.15 5.05As of October 17, 2011

Page 18: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Ashburn Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 350 347 +1%

UC Last 30 Days 64 94 -32%

Sold Last 30 Days 103 120 -14%

Absorption Rate 5.46 3.69As of October 17, 2011

Page 19: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Reston Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 176 195 -10%

UC Last 30 Days 59 56 +5%

Sold Last 30 Days 80 52 +54%

Absorption Rate 2.98 3.48As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 20: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Centreville Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 173 207 -16%

UC Last 30 Days 48 82 -41%

Sold Last 30 Days 82 83 -1%

Absorption Rate 3.60 2.52As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 21: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

DC Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 2,240 2,787 -20%

UC Last 30 Days 372 555 -33%

Sold Last 30 Days 527 501 +5%

Absorption Rate 6.02 5.02As of October 17, 2011

Page 22: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Prince William Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 1,474 1,649 -11%

UC Last 30 Days 406 474 -14%

Sold Last 30 Days 438 512 -14%

Absorption Rate 3.63 3.47As of October 17, 2011

SELLERS

MARKET

Page 23: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

Loudoun Co. Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 1,658 1,742 -5%

UC Last 30 Days 265 357 -26%

Sold Last 30 Days 357 422 -15%

Absorption Rate 6.25 4.88As of October 17, 2011

Page 24: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

GPAAR Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 1,515 1,396 +9%

UC Last 30 Days 122 169 -28%

Sold Last 30 Days 157 187 -16%

Absorption Rate 12.42 8.26As of October 17, 2011

**Includes Faquier, Culpeper, Orange, Madison and Rappahannock Counties

Page 25: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

BRAR Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 1,102 1,397 -21%

UC Last 30 Days 132 175 -25%

Sold Last 30 Days 153 177 -13%

Absorption Rate 8.34 7.98As of October 17, 2011

**Includes Clarke, Frederick, Warren Counties & Winchester City

Page 26: Northern Virginia Market Absorption Rates for September

Local Market Update

FAAR Current Sept 2010 VarAvailable 1,606 2,092 -23%

UC Last 30 Days 315 346 -9%

Sold Last 30 Days 328 360 -9%

Absorption Rate 5.09 6.04As of October 17, 2011

**Includes Fredericksburg City, Stafford, Spotsylvania, King George and Caroline Counties

SELLERS

MARKET