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NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Page 1: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

NORTEL NETWORKS

The New Market RealityWireless Data Networks

Scott WickwareDirector, UMTS Product Solutions

Page 2: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

2NORTEL NETWORKS

• US $17.5B in Revenue in 2001

• Customers in over 150 countries

• US $3.2B in R&D in 2001

• 1/3 of employees are engineers, designers & scientists

• Leadership Categories (HQ in Brampton, Canada)• Wireless Networks (Châteaufort, France)

• Wireline Networks (Richardson , Texas, USA)

• Optical Networks (Montréal, Québec, Canada)

• Enterprise Networks (Santa Clara, California, USA)

Nortel NetworksIndustry Leader and Innovator

Page 3: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

3NORTEL NETWORKS

Wireless Data Market Drivers

North AmericaWireless Sub & MOU Growth

Wireless Revenue GrowthInternet Users Flat – 182M

OverallSubscribers still growingVoice traffic still growing

Wireless Data traffic risingInternet Usage rising (18% annually)

Nua Internet SurveysNua Internet Surveys

South AmericaWireless Sub GrowthLowest Cost Service

Strong Internet Growth – 33M

EuropeWireless Growth FlatWireless Data Growth

Internet Growth 20%+ - 190M

AsiaWireless Sub GrowthWireless Data Growth

Internet Growth 20% - 187M

Page 4: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Network & Traffic Growth Examples

Revenues & Subs growing - MOU growing faster

0%

50%

100%

150%

1H 01 2H 01 1H 02

1H02 Revenue $37B

0%

50%

100%

150%

1H 01 2H 01 1H 02

1H02 Subs 134M

0%

50%

100%

150%

1H 01 2H 01 1H 02

1H02 MOU 296M

0%

50%

100%

150%

1H 01 2H 01 1H 02

Global Internet - # of Hosts• >25% annual growth• Exceeds 162M globally

CTIACTIA

ISCISC

US Wireless in 1H 2002

Page 5: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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The New Reality: Access is Wireless

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04

Mobile now exceeds Fixed in almost 100 countries

MobileDevices

FixedDevices

Source: ITU, 2001

Page 6: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Traffic & Revenue Don’t Match

Source: Nortel & analyst estimates

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1999 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

IP

Private (mixed)

Switched non-IPData

LD Voice

US Backbone Traffic (Exabytes)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Asia

CALA

EMEA

North America

Millions of Mobile IP Users: Global

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

$500

1999 2000 2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E

Wireline Data

Wireless Data

Wireless Voice

Wireline Voice

Total Service Revenue: US• Business Case is shifting

• Traffic is Data

• Revenues are Voice

• Volume is growing

• Low Service Cost is critical

Page 7: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

7NORTEL NETWORKS

The End of the Voice ONLY Business Case

3G License Debt

Bandwidth Bubble

OverInvestment

Recession

Wireline VoiceAnalog & 2G Wireless

Voice Business Case

Voice Business Cycle is Ended

VoP and Packet Data2.5G and 3G Wireless

Voice & Data Business Case

Application BusinessCycle is Starting

Industry needs to redefine itself

Page 8: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

8NORTEL NETWORKS

Fundamentals of the New Business Case

• Core Networks evolve to low cost Packet Architecture• Voice and data treated homogeneously

• Low cost broadband Wireless access• High mobility voice and thin applications

• Nomadic bandwidth-intensive applications

• Application Enablers• Service Management: making a business of applications

• Network Applications: building blocks to tap network capabilities

• Media Gateways: interfaces for multiple networks & traffic types

• Service Integration: support for third party apps and services

• Carrier Business Evolution• From Traffic management, to Retailing and Marketing

Page 9: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Universal solution in the Core:Packet Transport & Switching

TelecomSynchronous / Circuit

Wireline / WirelessVoice Optimized

DatacomAsynchronous / Routed

Wireline / OpticalData Optimized

Nortel Packet CoreCarrier-Grade Platforms, Multi-Service

Switching & Optical Transport

Page 10: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Broadband Wireless Access:Two Solution Sets – Mobile & Nomadic

Mobile Voice and<2Mbps Data2.5G / 3G network

Real-time voice & data applications

Ubiquitous coverage

Nomadic Data 2Mbps+

Best-effort data applications

Local coverage, Mbps speeds

Telecom / Voice Datacom / WLAN

Nortel Wireless AccessGPRS / EDGE / CDMA2000 /

UMTS / WLAN

Page 11: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Applications Development & Delivery:Ecosystem Tools & Support

Network ApplicationsCommercial grade services such as VPN, Firewall, Security, VoP, Authentication, QoS, SIP, etc.

Media GatewaysApps built on industry standards

such as IMS for voice, data, & video; wireline and wireless

Service ManagementCommercialization services such as billing, metering, SLA support,

& ecommerce

Service IntegrationNetwork integration for third party servers and applications with core

network services

ApplicationsDeveloper driven such as MMS,

SMS, WAP, xTML, email etc.

Page 12: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Nortel’s Value Proposition:Packet Traffic: End to End Care & Delivery

• Integrated Optical and Wireline packet transport networks

• Support for multiple services: IP, ATM, MPLS, etc.

• 1x CDMA upgrades, UMTS overlays for dense GSM/GPRS

• 802.11 PWLAN today, evolving to mesh extensions in future

• Support the creation, deployment, and billing of IP services

• Switch, route, repair, manage, secure & prioritize Packets

• Simple, high performance network elements

• Common across Optical, Wireline, and Wireless networks

Packet Core: low-cost, high performance connectivity

Efficient Access: matched to growth & usage

Service Enablers: supporting revenue creation & collection

Carrier-grade Platforms: Pre-engineered performance

Page 13: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Market Update: Wireless Data Today

Sprint1x launched

Bell Mobility5k 1x data Subscribers

Verizon35k 1x data Subscribers

VodafoneSoft-launch

Vodafone live!

HutchisonSoft-launch

MobilkomSoft-launch

KTF / SKT / LG7.5M 1x data Subscribers

DoCoMo136k Foma Subscribers

KDDI805k 1x data Subscribers

Unicom1x Pilot

2.5M+ GPRS Subscribers16.7M+ 1xRTT Subscribers47 MMS networks launched

Stats as of 2Q02Stats as of 2Q02

Telesp / Telerj35k 1x data SubscribersSmartcom

1x launched

Page 14: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Wireless Investment:2006

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRSUMTS

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRSUMTS

2006EGlobal

TechnologyMix

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

EMEA39% of market

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

CALA5% of market

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

North America18% of market

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Developing Asia22% of marketOther

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Other

CDMA/1x

GSM/GPRS

UMTS

Developed Asia15% of market

Black represents “other”Black represents “other”

Page 15: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Nortel Networks and WirelessOther, $44

Optical$1,121

Enterprise$1,928

Wireless$3,199 Wireline

$1,748

2002 Contracts • China Unicom (4 - China)• Microcell (Canada)• Ufone (Pakistan)• Cingular (USA)• Telefonica (Spain)• TSTT (Trinidad)• ACS (USA)• O2 (Pan-Europe)• Dutchtone (Netherlands)• Pelephone (Israel)• T-Mobile (Pan-Europe)• Alltel (USA)• C&W (CALA)

• Ratelindo (Indonesia)• US Cellular (USA)• Triton PCS (USA)• Edge Wireless (USA)• Bellsouth Int’l (Ecuador)• China Mobile (2 - China)• Telgua (Guatemala)• Dobson (USA)• Centertel (Poland)• Smartcom PCS (Chile)• Aycell (Turkey)• Chunghwa (Taiwan)• Deutsche Bahn (Germany)• Vesper (Brazil)

2002 Q3 YTDRevenue

Mix

Nortel Revenue by Segment

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

1999 2000 2001

US

$ B

illio

n OtherSegments

Wireless

• Stable Revenues from

• Global Diversity

• Multiple Product lines

• Services & Support

Page 16: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Overtaking the Incumbents Top 6 Western Europe Operators

Top 6 WE Operators account for >75% of SubscribersVodafone - mmO2 - DT - Orange (FT) - TIM - Telefonica

Source: Nortel Networks Q3/02

Includes Industry Estimated Contract Values

62%

28%

28%

14%

21%21%

52%

Nortel

Nokia

Ericsson

Siemens

Motorola

Lucent

Alcatel29%

26%

9%34%

49%

2G Network Presence 3G Network Presence

Nortel Networks is the only vendor to increase presence as advanced networks are deployed

Totals >100% due to multi-vendor networks

Page 17: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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Nortel Networks Wireless Presence

AT&TAT&T WirelessWireless

TelusTelus

Sprint PCSSprint PCS

BellBell MobilityMobility

TelstraTelstra

CingularCingular

VoiceStreamVoiceStream

ChinaChina UnicomUnicom

ChinaChina MobileMobile

ChungHwaChungHwa

OrangeOrange

O2O2T-MobileT-Mobile

VerizonVerizonVodafoneVodafone

Anticipating gains as Wireless Data Networks continue to roll outCapitalizing on global diversity, and multi-technology portfolio

Winning new business with Optical & Multi-service market leadershipDemonstrated end-to-end IP expertise

TelefonicaTelefonica

NextelNextel

Bouygues TelecomBouygues Telecom

Page 18: NORTEL NETWORKS The New Market Reality Wireless Data Networks Scott Wickware Director, UMTS Product Solutions

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