nordledger regtech 2017_02_09.pptx
TRANSCRIPT
6 Age of Massive Multiparty ICCT** 2015 2035a.k.a Blockchain golden age (China)
5 Age of Information 1971 2010 - 2020 2015* & Telcos (USA, Europe, Asia)
4 Age of Oil, Automobile 1908 1960-1970 1974Mass production (USA, Europe)
3 Age of Steel, Electricity 1875 1904-1914 1920& Engineering (USA & Germany)
2 Age of Steam 1829 1866-1873and Railways (Britain & USA)
1 The Industrial 1771 1820Revolution (Britain)
Installation period Deployment periodTechnological revolution
*Carlota Perez, Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital, 2003, p.87
Dept cycle
** Information Coordination Computing Technology: Richard Baldwin, The Great Convergence , 2016
The tissue connecting 3bn active users*
0.5
1.5
1.0
2.0
Facebook Messenger WhatsApp Instagram WeChat BaiduMaps
iOS GoogleAndroid
ChineseAndroid
Bnmau*
** mau = monthly active users
The tissue connecting 3bn active users*
0.5
1.5
1.0
2.0
Facebook Messenger WhatsApp Instagram WeChat BaiduMaps
iOS GoogleAndroid
ChineseAndroid
- WeChat - messaging service offers 815 million monthly active users access to 12 million Applications & AI -Chat Bots trying to catch your attention and intent 24/7
100200300400
500600700800mau
2013 2014 2015 2016
WeChat monthly active users (MAUs) & est* revenue
*ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) $7
0.71.42.12.8
3.54.24.95.6$ Bn*
Chinese yuan. Rate: US$1 = RMB 6.5.
Tencent Llc owns and develops WeChat and several other Internet Plus Ecosystem companies. They contribute to Massive Multiparty Computing offering a combination of mobile ChatBots + AI + B2C interaction.
The tissue connecting 3+bn peoplemobile monthly active users / devices (Bn)
0.5
1.5
1.0
2.0
Facebook Messenger WhatsApp Instagram WeChat BaiduMaps
iOS GoogleAndroid
ChineseAndroid
- WhatsApp 2017 - enables B2C messaging services - offers businesses access to 1 billion monthly active users
1B 42B
1 Billionmonthly active users
42 Billionmessages sent per day
1B
1 Billiongroups
57 57 Engineers$1bn estimated revenue 2017
B2C B2C MessagingFacebook David Fehner: Business to customer interaction will bring WhatsA$1bn estimated revenue 2017$2bn estimated revenue 2018
WhatsApp ...
B2C
WhatsApp B2C MessagingStarting this year, we will test tools that allow you to use WhatsApp to communicate with businesses and organizations that you want to hear from. That could mean communicating with your bank about whether a recent transaction was fraudulent, or with an airline about a delayed flight. We all get these messages elsewhere today – through text messages and phone calls – so we want to test new tools to make this easier to do on WhatsApp, while still giving you an experience without third-party ads and spam.”https://blog.whatsapp.com/615/Making-WhatsApp-free-and-more-useful
Multisided Platforms - attention - intent - action
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
20153bn people
20205bn people
attention / intent
massive multiparty attention & intent coordination platforms
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
(prod)user
attention / intent
focusing on: permissions, paying for access gatekeepers, pipe bottlenecks, slow in innovation, 15 years behind in tech
Thin reach Gatekeeper Governments
FIRM HR CAP CUST FIRM TAX HR LAW HR INFR
regulation 1.0
dead registry data /
judiciary- provenance- & identity data
thin data
thin reachthin regulation
Web platformservice paradigm
2000
“Coordination”paradigm
2035Ethereum - GPU - AI
2015
Source:Carlota Perez, Technno-Economic Paradigm ShiftsNick Grossman / Union Square Ventures, Shift 2015 Slides (Slideshare)Richard Baldwin, The Great Convergence , 2016
au revoir Welfare State. Dieu vous bénisse.歡迎 Leviathan with thousand machine brains!
- The Regulation 1.0 Endgame -
3 Strategic Gov Options - Red, Blue and Black oceanThe Dangerous, The Ridiculous, The Impossible
Red: Competeuntil the sea is redof blood.
Blue: Find internal non-customers, create new demand there and respond with pseudo action (to spend all that tax money)
Black ocean: Change the rules, create new policies, gain unfair advantage (Anne Berner showed this is impossible here)
Massive multiparty attention and intention coordination tech:task-oriented, serverless, small data morphing & blending AI, mobile IX, sharded blockhain backend
5 bn smartphones
2035
Regulation 2.0 - Gov Reg
2020