[no.24] stl global weekly market report(nov 11, 2014)

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STL GLOBAL Co., Ltd. 101-1401, Lotte Castle President, 109, Mapo-daero, Mapo-gu, Seoul, Korea Tel: +82-2-776-0840 (Rep.) Fax: +82-2-776-0864 TLX: K35476 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage : www.stlkorea.com STL Market Report Weekly focus No.24 2014 Nov 11

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Page 1: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL GLOBAL Co., Ltd. 101-1401, Lotte Castle President, 109, Mapo-daero, Mapo-gu, Seoul, Korea Tel: +82-2-776-0840 (Rep.) Fax: +82-2-776-0864 TLX: K35476 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage : www.stlkorea.com

STL Market Report

Weekly focus No.24

2014 Nov 11

Page 2: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

Table Of Contents

Contents โ… . Market Overview ___________________________________________________________________________________ 1

โ…ก. Issue & Trend _______________________________________________________________________________________ 3

โ…ข. Bulk Carrier _________________________________________________________________________________________ 9

โ…ข-1. BC Sales Reported _________________________________________________________________________ 12

โ…ฃ. Tankers _____________________________________________________________________________________________ 13

โ…ฃ-1. Tanker & Container Sales Reported ___________________________________________________ 16

โ…ค. Demolition _________________________________________________________________________________________ 18

โ…ค-1. Demolition Sales Reported ______________________________________________________________ 19

โ…ฅ. Key Indicators _____________________________________________________________________________________ 20

โ…ฆ. Useful Information _______________________________________________________________________________ 22

โ…ง. Contact Information ______________________________________________________________________________ 23

Page 3: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ… . Market Overview

1. ์‹ ์กฐ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ๋™ํ–ฅ

์‹ ์กฐ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ์กฐ์šฉํ•œ ํ•œ ์ฃผ์˜€๋‹ค.

์‚ผ์„ฑ์ค‘๊ณต์—…์ด ๋กœ์—ด๋”์น˜์…ธ(Royal Dutch Shell)๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋ถ€์œ ์‹์ƒ์‚ฐ์„ค๋น„(FPU) ํ•˜๋ถ€๊ตฌ์กฐ(Hull) 1 ๊ธฐ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ

์ˆ˜์ฃผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ์„ ์กฐ๋งŒ๊ฐ„ ์ฒด๊ฒฐํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋ผ๊ณ  10 ์ผ ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค. ์ด์™€

ํ•จ๊ป˜ ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ค‘๊ณต์—…์€ ์ด๋‹ฌ ์ค‘์ˆœ ์ดํ›„ ๋ฏธ์ฃผ์ง€์—ญ ์„์œ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๊ฐ€

๋ฐœ์ฃผํ•˜๋Š” ํ•ด์ƒํ”Œ๋žซํผ ์ œ์ž‘ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ์˜ ์ •์‹ ๊ณ„์•ฝ๋„ ์ฒด๊ฒฐํ• 

์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค.

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ์Šค ๊ณจ๋“ ์œ ๋‹ˆ์˜จ์‰ฌํ•‘(Golden Union Shipping)์ด ์ง€๋‚œ๋‹ฌ

ํ•œ์ง„์ค‘๊ณต์—…์— ๋ฐœ์ฃผํ•œ 180,000 dwt ์ผ€์ดํ”„๋ฒŒํฌ์„  ์‹ ์กฐ๊ณ„์•ฝ

์ค‘ 2 ์ฒ™์˜ ์˜ต์…˜์„ ํ™•์ •ํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค. ์ด๋กœ์„œ ์ด 5 ์ฒ™์˜ ์ผ€์ดํ”„๋ฒŒํฌ์„  ์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ๊ฐ€ ๊ฑด์กฐ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค.

2. ๋ฒŒํฌ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ๋™ํ–ฅ

๋ฒŒํฌ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ์ผ€์ดํ”„์‚ฌ์ด์ฆˆ ์šฉ์„ ๋ฃŒ๊ฐ€ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ-๊ทน๋™ ํ•ญ๋กœ์—์„œ ์ผ์ผ 45,000 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ˆ˜์ค€์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ด์–ด๊ฐ€๊ณ 

์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ 12 ๊ฐœ์›” ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์šฉ์„ ๋ฃŒ๋Š” ์•„์ง ์ผ์ผ 18,500-17,500 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ˆ˜์ค€์„ ๋ฒ—์–ด๋‚˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํŒŒ๋‚˜๋ง‰์Šค

์‹œํ™ฉ์€ ํ•œ๋™์•ˆ ์ƒ์Šน์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์˜€์œผ๋‚˜ ์ง€๋‚œ์ฃผ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋‹ค์‹œ ์ŠคํŒŸ์šด์ž„๊ณผ 12 ๊ฐœ์›” ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์šฉ์„ ๋ฃŒ ๋ถ€๋ถ„ ๋ชจ๋‘์—์„œ

ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

์šฉ์„ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์ค‘๊ณ ์„  ๋ฐ”์ด์–ด์™€ ์…€๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ„์˜ ์„ ๊ฐ€์ฐจ์ด๊ฐ€ ์ข€์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ์ค„์–ด๋“ค์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

ํŒŒ๋‚˜๋ง‰์Šค ๋ถ€๋ถ„์—์„œ โ€œF. D. JACQUES GRAUBARTโ€ (76,588 dwt, built 2007, Imabari S.B.) ๋ฐ โ€œETERNAL GRACEโ€

(76,585 dwt, built 2006, Imabari S.B.) ๋“ฑ ๋ช‡๋ช‡ ์„ ์ฃผ๋“ค์ด ์˜คํผ๋ฅผ ๋ชจ์ง‘ํ•˜์˜€์œผ๋‚˜ ์„ ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ์ƒ๊ฐ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๋‚ฎ์•„

๋งค๊ฐ์„ ๋ณด๋ฅ˜ํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค.

ํ•œํŽธ์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ๋งค๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•œ ์„ ๋ฐ•๋งค๊ฐ์ด ํ™œ๋ฐœํ•˜๋‹ค. ํ”„๋ž‘์Šค์€ํ–‰ Credit Agricole ์ด ํ•ธ๋””์‚ฌ์ด์ฆˆ ๋ฒŒํฌ์„  3 ์ฒ™์„

๊ฒฝ๋งค๋กœ ๋งค๊ฐํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฏธ M/V "NESTOR" (27,407 DWT/Built 1997 at Hudong SB)์™€ M/V "ELENI T"

(27,802 DWT/Built 1997 Hudong SB)๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฝ๋งค๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ๊ฐ๊ฐ 486 ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ / 530 ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ๋งค๊ฐ๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ์˜ค๋Š˜

Page 1

Page 4: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 12 ์ผ์— M/V "NIKI T" (27,827 DWT/Built 1997 at Hudong SB)์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ฒฝ๋งค๊ฐ€ ์ง„ํ–‰๋  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค. ์ด

์„ ๋ฐ•๋“ค์˜ ์›๋ž˜ ์„ ์ฃผ๋Š” ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ์Šค์˜ Tsangaris Bros ์‚ฌ ์ด๋‹ค.

3. ํƒฑ์ปค์„  ์‹œ์žฅ๋™ํ–ฅ

ํƒฑ์ปค์„  ๋ถ€๋ถ„์—์„œ๋„ ๊ฒฝ๋งค๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•œ ์„ ๋ฐ• ๋งค๊ฐ์ด ๋ณด๊ณ  ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค.

์Šค์ฝ”ํ‹€๋žœ๋“œ์™•๋ฆฝ์€ํ–‰(Royal Bank of Scotland)์ด 4์ฒ™์˜ ์ผ€๋ฏธ์ปฌ ํƒฑ์ปค๋ฅผ ๊ฒฝ๋งค๋กœ ๋งค๊ฐ์ค‘์— ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์› ์„ ์ฃผ๋Š”

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ์Šค์˜ Elmira Tankers ์ด๋‹ค. M/T "LIQUID FORTUNE" (11,747 DWT/Built 2000 at Fukuoka)๊ฐ€ ์ง€๋‚œ์ฃผ

670๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ๋งค๊ฐ๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ  M/T "LIQUID SILVER" / "LIQUID GOLD" (13,864 DWT/Built 1999 Jiangnan

Shipyard) ๋ฐ M/T "LIQUID SUCCESS" (13,300 DWT/Built 1999 at Lindenau Shipyard in Germany)๊ฐ€

๊ฒฝ๋งค ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋‹ค.

๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ Overseas Group ์—์„œ VLCC โ€œOVERSEAS SOVEREIGNโ€ (309,892 dwt, built 1996, Hitachi

Zosen)์„ ํƒœ๊ตญ๋ฐ”์ด์–ด์—๊ฒŒ ๋งค๊ฐํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค. ์„ ๊ฐ€๋Š” 2,200 ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ ์ตœ๊ทผ ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ๊ฐ€์— ์•ฝ 150 ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜

ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ฏธ์—„์ด ๋”ํ•ด์ง„ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‹ค.

์ˆ˜์—์ฆˆ๋ง‰์Šค โ€œOS BREEZEโ€ (134,441 dwt, built 1996, Hyundai HI)์ด ์•ฝ 1,360 ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์ˆ˜์ค€์— ๋งค๊ฐ๋œ

๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์•Œ๋ ค์กŒ๋‹ค. ์ง€๋‚œ 2์›”์— โ€œALDAWHAโ€ (153,045 dwt, built 1997, Hyundai HI)์ด 1,250๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—

๋งค๊ฐ๋˜์—ˆ๋˜ ๊ฒƒ๊ณผ ๋น„๊ตํ•˜๋ฉด ํ™•์‹คํ•œ ์„ ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šน์„ธ๋ฅผ ์•Œ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.

4. ํ•ด์ฒด์„  ์‹œ์žฅ๋™ํ–ฅ

์ฃผ์š”ํ•ด์ฒด์„  ์‹œ์žฅ ์ „๋ฐ˜์—์„œ ์„ ๊ฐ€ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ด์–ด์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋”๋ถˆ์–ด ํ•ด์ฒด ๋Œ€์ƒ์„ ์˜ ์ˆซ์ž๋„ ํ•จ๊ป˜ ์ค„๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

ํ˜„์žฌ ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๊ต์ฐฉ์ƒํƒœ์— ๋น ์ ธ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋กœ์ปฌํ•ด์ฒด์กฐ์„ ์†Œ vs ์บ์‰ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์–ด vs ์„ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์„œ๋กœ ๋ˆˆ์น˜๋ฅผ ๋ณด๋ฉฐ

์›€์ธ ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ•ด์ฒด์กฐ์„ ์†Œ๋“ค์€ ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜์‹œ์žฅ์— ๋งž๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ค€๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ณ„์† ๋–จ์–ด์ง€๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๋ฐ”๋ผ๊ณ  ์žˆ๊ณ ,

์บ์‰ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์–ด๋“ค์€ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ์„ฃ๋ถˆ๋ฆฌ ์˜คํผ๋ฅผ ๋‚ด์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๊ณ , ํ•œํŽธ์—์„œ๋Š” ์„ ์ฃผ๋“ค์€ ์ž๊พธ

๋–จ์–ด์ง€๋Š” ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ ์ฐจ๋งˆ ๋ฐ›์•„๋“ค์ด์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ์ง€์ผœ๋ณด์ž๋Š” ๋ถ„์œ„๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ํ˜•์„ฑ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

์•ž์„œ๋„ ์–ธ๊ธ‰ํ•œ๋ฐ” ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ ํ˜„์žฌ ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ธ๋Š” ์ค‘๊ตญ์‚ฐ ๊ฐ’์‹ผ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ์ˆ˜์ž…์ด ์ฃผ ์š”์ธ์ด๋‹ค.

ํŒŒํ‚ค์Šคํƒ„์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ, ์ž๊ตญ๋‚ด ํ•ด์ฒด์„  ์‚ฐ์—…์„ ๋ณดํ˜ธํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ์ˆ˜์ž…๊ด€์„ธ๋ฅผ ํ• ์ฆํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋…ผ์˜ ์ค‘์ธ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ

์•Œ๋ ค์กŒ๋‹ค. ๋งŒ์•ฝ ์ด ๊ฐ™์€ ์กฐ์น˜๊ฐ€ ํ˜„์‹คํ™” ๋˜๋ฉด ์ธ๋„์™€ ๋ฐฉ๊ธ€๋ผ๋ฐ์‹œ๋„ ๋น„์Šทํ•œ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ •์ฑ…์„ ์ „ํ™˜ํ• 

๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ํฌ๋‹ค.

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Page 5: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ก. Issue & Trend

.

1. [ํฌ์Šค์ฝ” ๊ฒฝ์˜์—ฐ๊ตฌ์†Œ] 2015 ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ „๋ง

2015 ๋…„ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ฒฝ์ œ๋Š” ์œ ๋Ÿฝ, ์•„์‹œ์•„ ๋“ฑ์˜ ๋ถ€์ง„ ์†์— ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ํ™€๋กœ ๊ฒฌ์ธํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ•œ ํšŒ๋ณต ์ „๋ง

๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋ฆฌ๋ฐธ๋Ÿฐ์‹ฑ์ด ์ง„ํ–‰๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ '์„ธ๊ณ„ ๊ต์—ญ ๋ถ€์ง„', '๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ ์กฐ์ •', 'ํˆฌ์ž ์—†๋Š” ์„ฑ์žฅ'์ด ๊ณ ์ฐฉํ™”๋ 

์šฐ๋ ค(์ตœ๊ทผ ็พŽ ์–‘์ ์™„ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์ข…๋ฃŒ๋˜๊ณ  ๋‚ด๋…„ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ์ธ์ƒ์ด ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ๋„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์•ˆ์ • ๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณผ์ž‰

ํ•ด์†Œ ๊ณผ์ •์—์„œ ์„ฑ์žฅ ๋‘”ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†๋˜๋Š” ๋“ฑ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์ฐจ์›์˜ ๋ฆฌ๋ฐธ๋Ÿฐ์‹ฑ์ด ๋ถ€๊ฐ)

Weekly Issue & Trend

1) [ํฌ์Šค์ฝ”๊ฒฝ์˜์—ฐ๊ตฌ์†Œ] 2015 ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ „๋ง

2) OPEC ์ˆ˜์š”์ „๋ง ํ•˜ํ–ฅ์— ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝ

3) ๋ฒŒํฌ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ ์žฅ๊ธฐ์ „๋ง โ€˜๋ถ€์ •์ โ€™

4) ๋Œ€ํ•œํ•ด์šด ์ปจ์†Œ์‹œ์—„ VS ํ•˜๋ฆผ - ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜ ์ธ์ˆ˜ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ

โ—‹ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๊ฐ€ ์ œ์กฐ์—…์„ ์ค‘์‹ฌ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํšŒ๋ณต์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ง€์†ํ•จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ 2015 ๋…„ ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ฒฝ์ œ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์€

์˜ฌํ•ด(3.1%) ๋Œ€๋น„ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ 3.3% ์˜ˆ์ƒ

โ—‹ ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ต์—ญ ๋ถ€์ง„์œผ๋กœ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํ˜ธ์กฐ์˜ ํšจ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ์„ธ๊ณ„๋กœ ํ™•์‚ฐ๋˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ , ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๊ถŒ์€

์ˆ˜์š” ๋ถ€์ง„์œผ๋กœ ๋ณธ๊ฒฉ์ ์ธ ํšŒ๋ณต์ด ์–ด๋ ค์šธ ์ „๋ง

โ—‹ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์„ฑ์žฅ์„ ์ด๋Œ์—ˆ๋˜ ๊ต์—ญ์ด ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋ถˆ๊ท ํ˜• ํ•ด์†Œ ๊ณผ์ •์—์„œ ๋ถ€์ง„ ์ด ์žฅ๊ธฐํ™”๋จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ˆ˜์ถœ

์˜์กด๋„๊ฐ€ ๋†’์€ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์— ๋ถ€์ •์  ์˜ํ–ฅ ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€ํ”ผ

โ—‹ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์ถœ๊ตฌ์ „๋žต์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ํ–ฅํ›„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์„ ์ค‘์‹ฌ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ์ƒ์Šนํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ธ€๋กœ ๋ฒŒ ์ฐจ์›์˜ ์œ ๋™์„ฑ ์กฐ์ • ๋ฐ

๋ถ€์ฑ„ ๋””๋ ˆ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ์ง•์ด ๋ฐœ์ƒํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ

โ—‹ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ์—์„œ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ดˆ๊ณผ, ๊ธˆ์œต๋ถ€์‹ค ๋“ฑ ๊ณผ์ž‰ ํˆฌ์ž์˜ ๋ถ€์ž‘์šฉ์ด ๋ถ€๊ฐ๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ์ตœ ๊ทผ ํˆฌ์ž๊ฐ€ ์ถ•์†Œ๋˜๊ณ 

์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋™๋ ฅ์ด ์•ฝํ™”๋˜๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ ์ „๊ฐœ

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Page 6: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

๊ฐ€. ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€

์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์šฐํฌ๋ผ์ด๋‚˜ ์‚ฌํƒœ, ์ด์Šฌ๋žŒ๊ตญ๊ฐ€(IS) ์„ ์–ธ ๋“ฑ ์ง€์ •ํ•™์  ๋ถˆ์•ˆ์œผ๋กœ ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€๋Š” ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 100 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ด์ƒ์˜

๊ณ ์ˆ˜์ค€์—์„œ ๋“ฑ๋ฝํ•˜์˜€์œผ๋ฉฐ, 6 ์›”๋ง์—๋Š” ๋‘๋ฐ”์ด์œ  ๊ธฐ์ค€ ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 110 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ๋„˜์–ด์„œ๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•˜์˜€๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜

ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋“ค์–ด ์ค‘๊ตญ ๋“ฑ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ์˜ ์ œ ์กฐ์—… ๋ถ€์ง„์ด ์ง€์†๋จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์š”์˜ ๋‘”ํ™” ์šฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€ ๋†’์•„์กŒ๋‹ค.

์‹ค์ œ 2013 ๋…„ ์—ฐํ‰๊ท  6.2%์˜ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ด๋˜ ์ค‘ ๊ตญ์˜ ์›์œ  ์†Œ๋น„๋Š” ์˜ฌํ•ด ๋“ค์–ด ์ ์ฐจ ๋‘”ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ 8 ์›”์—๋Š”

1.1% ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋–จ์–ด์กŒ๋‹ค. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ๋ถ€์ง„ํ•œ

๋ฐ˜๋ฉด ๊ตญ์ œ ์›์œ  ์ƒ์‚ฐ์ด ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋“ค์–ด

์œ ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ ๋น ๋ฅด๊ฒŒ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. 10 ์›” 10 ์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์œผ๋กœ

์ฃผ์š” 3 ๋Œ€ ์œ ์ข…(Brent, WTI, Dubai) ๋ชจ๋‘ 6 ์›” ๊ณ ์ 

๋Œ€๋น„ 20% ์ด์ƒ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•˜์—ฌ ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 90 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ

ํ•˜ํšŒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

๋‚˜. ํ™˜์œจ

๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ดํ›„ 9์›” ์ดˆ๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ฒฝ์ƒ์ˆ˜์ง€ ํ‘์ž ์ง€์†์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ์›ํ™”๋Š” ์ ์ง„์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์„ธ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์˜€๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ 9์›”

๋“ค์–ด ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ๋…ผ์˜๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”๋˜๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ•์„ธ ๊ธฐ์กฐ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ž„์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ ํ†ตํ™”๋Š”

๋ฌผ๋ก  ์›ํ™”๋„ ์•ฝ์„ธ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ํ–ˆ๊ณ  ์—”ํ™”๋Š” ์•ฝ์„ธ๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€์†ํ™”๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ํ–ฅํ›„ ํ™˜์œจ์„ ๊ฒฐ์ •์ง“๋Š” ์š”์†Œ๋Š” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ

์ธ์ƒ์ด ์–ธ์ œ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์งˆ์ง€ ์™€ ์–ด๋–ค ์†๋„๋กœ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์งˆ ์ง€์— ์˜ํ•ด ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ฐ•์„ธ์˜ ์ •๋„๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฐ์ •๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ

์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

ํ˜„์žฌ๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” 2015๋…„ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ค‘์œผ๋กœ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ์ด ์‹œ์ž‘๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ๊ฒฌ๋œ๋‹ค.

2014SUS (f) 2015๋…„(f)

์ƒ ํ•˜(f)

์›/๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ 1,046 1,049 1,043 1,060

โ€œ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋ถ€์ง„์œผ๋กœ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€ ๋‘”ํ™”๋จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๋“ค์–ด ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€ ๊ธ‰๋ฝโ€

Page 4

(๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ/๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด)

2014 2015 3 ๋ถ„๊ธฐ

4 ๋ถ„๊ธฐ

ํ‰๊ท  1 ๋ถ„๊ธฐ

2 ๋ถ„๊ธฐ

3 ๋ถ„๊ธฐ

4 ๋ถ„๊ธฐ

ํ‰๊ท 

Brent 103 95 104 98 100 101 102 100

Dubai 102 94 102 96 98 100 101 99

WTI 97 92 98 93 95 96 97 95

Page 7: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

2. OPEC ์ˆ˜์š”์ „๋ง ํ•˜์–‘์— ๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝ

๊ตญ์ œ์œ ๊ฐ€๊ฐ€ 6 ์ผ(ํ˜„์ง€์‹œ๊ฐ„) ์„์œ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๊ตญ๊ธฐ๊ตฌ(OPEC)์˜ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์š” ์ „๋ง ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์กฐ์ • ๋“ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

OPEC ๋Š” ์ด๋‚  ์„ธ๊ณ„ ์„์œ  ์ „๋ง ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด 2 ๋…„ ํ›„ OPEC ์‚ฐ ์„์œ  ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€ 14 ๋…„ ๋งŒ์— ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€๊นŒ์ง€

๋–จ์–ด์งˆ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚ด๋‹ค๋ดค๋‹ค. 2017 ๋…„ OPEC ์‚ฐ ์„์œ  ์ˆ˜์š” ์ „๋ง์น˜๊ฐ€ 14 ๋…„ ๋งŒ์— ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์•ฝ์„ธ์ธ ์ผ๊ฐ„ 2820 ๋งŒ

๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด์— ๊ทธ์น  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋งํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์ง€๋‚œํ•ด OPEC

์ „๋ง์น˜๋ณด๋‹ค ์ผ๊ฐ„ 60 ๋งŒ ๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด ์ ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ด๋‹ค. OPEC ์€ ๋‚ด๋…„์„

์ œ์™ธํ•˜๊ณ  ์˜ค๋Š” 2035 ๋…„๊นŒ์ง€ ์„์œ  ์ˆ˜์š” ์ „๋ง์น˜๋ฅผ ๋ชจ๋‘

์ง€๋‚œํ•ด๋ณด๋‹ค ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์กฐ์ •ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

์„์œ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๊ตญ๊ธฐ๊ตฌ(OPEC)์˜ ์›์œ  ์ˆ˜์š” ์ „๋ง ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์กฐ์ •๊ณผ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌํ™”

๊ฐ•์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝ์„ ๋ถ€์ถ”๊ฒผ๋‹ค.

์••๋‹ฌ๋ผ ์—˜-๋ฐ”๋“œ๋ฆฌ OPEC ์‚ฌ๋ฌด์ด์žฅ์€ ์ด๋‚  ์˜ค์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌ์•„ ๋นˆ์—์„œ ์—ฐ๋ก€ '์„ธ๊ณ„ ์„์œ  ์ „๋ง ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œโ€™ ๋ฐœํ‘œ

๊ธฐ์žํšŒ๊ฒฌ์—์„œ "์ตœ๊ทผ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜๋ฝ์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์šฐ๋ ค๊ฐ€ ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ ํ˜ผ๋ž€์— ๋น ์ง€์ง€๋Š” ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค"๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”๋‹ค.

๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ๊ทธ์˜ ์ด๋Ÿฐ ๋ฐœ์–ธ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ  OPEC ์ผ๊ฐ์—์„œ๋Š” ๊ตญ์ œ ์œ ๊ฐ€ ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์ง€ํ‘œ์ธ ๋ถํ•ด์‚ฐ ๋ธŒ๋ ŒํŠธ์œ  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด

๋ฐฐ๋Ÿด๋‹น 70 ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ๋„๋‹ฌํ•˜๋ฉด OPEC ์ด ๋ฐ˜๋“œ์‹œ ๋Œ€์‘์— ๋‚˜์„œ์•ผ ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณธ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์›”์ŠคํŠธ๋ฆฌํŠธ์ €๋„(WSJ)์€

์ „ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

3. ๋ฒŒํฌ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ ์žฅ๊ธฐ์ „๋ง โ€œ๋ถ€์ •์ โ€

๊ธˆ๋…„ 10์›” 1 ์ผ 1,055p์—์„œ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•œ ๋ฒŒํฌ์„ ์šด์ž„์ง€์ˆ˜ BDI๊ฐ€ 10์›” 16์ผ 930p๊นŒ์ง€ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•ด ์•ฝ 2์ฃผ๋งŒ์—

125p(12%) ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ฐ€ 10 ์›” 31์ผ 1,428p๋กœ ์ƒ์Šน, ๋‹ค์‹œ 2์ฃผ๋งŒ์— 498p(53%) ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

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STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

๋ถˆ๊ณผ 1๊ฐœ์›”๋‚ด์— ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์šด์ž„์˜ ๋ณ€๋™ ํญ์ด 65%์— ๋‹ฌํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์ด ๋‹จ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์— ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ธฐ

ํž˜๋“  ์ˆ˜์ค€์œผ๋กœ ๊ธ‰๋ณ€ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Œ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ ์ฃผ๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋ก€๋‹ค.

์ด์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„ ์ด ๋‹จ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์— ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ๋ฝํ•˜๋Š” ์›์ธ์€ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์š”์ธ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ผ ์ค‘๊ตญ, ์ธ๋„ ๋“ฑ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ

์ˆ˜์ž…๋Œ€๊ตญ๊ณผ ๋ธŒ๋ผ์งˆ, ํ˜ธ์ฃผ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ, ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„ ๋“ฑ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๋Œ€๊ตญ์—์„œ ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜๋Š” ์ผ์‹œ์  ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด

๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์ด ์š”๋™์น˜๋Š” ํ˜„์ƒ์ด ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ํŒ๋‹จ๋œ๋‹ค.

๋จผ์ € 10 ์›” ์ฒซ๋ฒˆ์งธ 2 ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ์šด์ž„์ด ํ•˜๋ฝํ•œ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์ค‘์š”ํ•œ ์›์ธ์€ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์—…๊ณ„๊ฐ€ ์ž๊ตญ ํ•ญ๋งŒ์˜ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„

์žฌ๊ณ ๋ฅผ ์†Œ๋น„ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์ˆ˜์ž…์ด ๊ฐ์†Œํ•˜์—ฌ ์ผ€์ดํ”„ ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ์ผ์‹œ์  ์‹œํ™ฉํ•˜๋ฝ์„ ๊ฐ€์ ธ์™”์œผ๋ฉฐ, 10 ์›”

๋‘๋ฒˆ์งธ 2 ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ์šด์ž„ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ์›์ธ์€ ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ•ญ๋งŒ์˜ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ์†Œ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ˆ˜์ž…์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ ๋ธŒ๋ผ์งˆ

์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์ˆ˜์ถœ์ด ๊ฐ‘์ž๊ธฐ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๋ฐ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์ด๋Š” 10์›” BDI์˜ ๋น„์ •์ƒ์ ์ธ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ ํ˜„์ƒ์„ ์„ค๋ช…ํ• 

์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์„ ๋ฟ์ด๋ฉฐ, ์˜ฌํ•ด ๋˜๋Š” ๋‚ด๋…„ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์ „์ฒด ์‹œํ™ฉ์„ ์„ค๋ช…ํ•˜์ง€ ๋ชปํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

๋”ฐ๋ผ์„œ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์„ ์˜ˆ์ธกํ•จ์— ์žˆ์–ด ๋‹จ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์— ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜๋Š” ์šด์ž„์˜ ๊ธ‰๊ฒฉํ•œ ๋ณ€ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์•„๋‹Œ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ 

์š”์ธ์˜ ๋ณ€ํ™”์— ์ฃผ๋ชฉํ•  ํ•„์š”๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ฆ‰ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์˜ ์ˆ˜์š”์™€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์˜ ๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ, ์ฃผ์š” ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์˜ ๊ต์—ญ์—

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Page 9: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ˆ˜์ž…๊ตญ๊ณผ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๊ตญ์˜ ์ •์ฑ…๋ณ€ํ™”, ์„ ๋ฐ•์˜ ๋ฐœ์ฃผ์™€ ์ธ๋„ ๋“ฑ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š” ํ•ต์‹ฌ

์š”์ธ๋“ค์˜ ๋ณ€ํ™”์™€ ์ถ”์ด๋ฅผ ์ฃผ์˜๊นŠ๊ฒŒ ๊ด€์ฐฐํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด ํ•„์š”ํ•˜๋‹ค๋Š” ์ง€์ ์ด๋‹ค.

์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ตญ๋‚ด์™ธ ํ•ด์šด์‹œ์žฅ๋ถ„์„๊ธฐ๊ด€๋“ค์ด ์ œ์‹œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ์ฃผ๋Š” ์š”์ธ์„ ๋ณด๋ฉด ์šฐ์„  ๋ถ€์ •์ ์ธ

์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์ฆ๊ฐ€์œจ์ด ๋‚ด๋…„์—๋„ 5%๋Œ€ ์ฆ๊ฐ€, ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณผ์ž‰์ด ์ง€์†๋  ์ „๋ง์ด๋ฉฐ

๋ฐœ๋ ˆ๋ง‰์Šค๊ธ‰ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์šด๋ฐ˜์„ ์˜ ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ•ญ๋งŒ ์ž…ํ•ญ์ด ๋ณธ๊ฒฉํ™”๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋„ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณผ์ž‰์„ ์‹ฌํ™”์‹œํ‚ค๋Š” ์š”์ธ์ด ๋ 

๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋ง๋œ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ์ˆ˜์š”์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€์˜ ๋ถ€์–‘๋Œ€์ฑ… ์ž์ œ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ฒ ๊ฐ•์žฌ ์†Œ๋น„ ๋‘”ํ™”, ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ •๋ถ€์˜

์„ํƒ„์†Œ๋น„ ๊ฐ์†Œ์ •์ฑ…๊ณผ ์ˆ˜์ž…์„ํƒ„ ๊ด€์„ธ๋ถ€๊ณผ, ์ธ๋„๋„ค์‹œ์•„์˜ ๋‹ˆ์ผˆ, ๋ณดํฌ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ ์ˆ˜์ถœ๊ธˆ์ง€ ๋“ฑ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ

๋ฌผ๋™๋Ÿ‰ ์ผ๋ถ€ ๊ฐ์†Œ๊ฐ€ ๋ถˆ๊ฐ€ํ”ผํ•˜๋‹ค.

๋ฐ˜๋ฉด ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ธ์ •์  ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ๋ธŒ๋ผ์งˆ ๋ฐœ๋ ˆ, ํ˜ธ์ฃผ์˜ BHP, ๋ฆฌ์˜คํ‹ดํ†  ๋“ฑ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ๋ฉ”์ด์ ธ์˜

์ƒ์‚ฐ์‹œ์„ค ํ™•์žฅ(2014๋…„ 1 ์–ตํ†ค ์ด์ƒ ํ™•๋Œ€), ์ค‘๊ตญ ํ•ญ๋งŒ์˜ ์ฒ ๊ด‘์„ ์žฌ๊ณ ๊ฐ์†Œ, ์ธ๋„์˜ ์„ํƒ„์ˆ˜์ž… ์ฆ๋Œ€ ๋“ฑ์ด

์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๊ฐ™์ด ๊ตญ๋‚ด์™ธ ํ•ด์šด์‹œ์žฅ๋ถ„์„๊ธฐ๊ด€๋“ค์ด ์ œ์‹œํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œํ™ฉ์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š” ๊ธ์ •์ 

์š”์ธ๊ณผ ๋ถ€์ •์  ์š”์ธ์„ ๋น„๊ตํ•˜๋ฉด ๋ถ€์ •์  ์š”์ธ์ด ๋” ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ž‘์šฉํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฅผ ์š”์•ฝํ•ด ๋ณด๋ฉด

๋‚ด๋…„์€ ๋ฌผ๋ก  2016 ๋…„์—๋„ ๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์‹œ์žฅ์€ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณผ์ž‰์ด ์ง€์†๋˜๋Š” ๋ฐ˜๋ฉด ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ๋‘”ํ™”๋  ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’์•„

๊ฑดํ™”๋ฌผ์„  ์žฅ๊ธฐ ์‹œํ™ฉ์€ ์˜ฌํ•ด ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋‚˜์•„์ง€๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์–ด๋ ค์šธ ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค.

4. ๋Œ€ํ•œํ•ด์šด ์ปจ์†Œ์‹œ์—„ VS ํ•˜๋ฆผ โ€“ ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜ ์ธ์ˆ˜๊ฒฝ์Ÿ

๋งค๊ฐ์˜ ์ฒซ ์ถœ๋ฐœ์ธ ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜ ์ธ์ˆ˜์˜ํ–ฅ์„œ ์ ‘์ˆ˜๊ฒฐ๊ณผ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค์†Œ ์‹ค๋ง๊ฐ์„ ์ฃผ๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋ฒŒํฌ์„ ์‚ฌ ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜

๋งค๊ฐ ๋ณธ์ž…์ฐฐ์— ์•ž์„œ ์ธ์ˆ˜์˜ํ–ฅ์„œ๋ฅผ ์ œ์ถœํ•œ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋“ค์˜ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ํ•˜๋ฆผ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ๋Œ€ํ•œํ•ด์šด์„ ์ธ์ˆ˜ํ•œ

SM๊ทธ๋ฃน+๋Œ€ํ•œํ•ด์šด ์ปจ์†Œ์‹œ์—„์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๊ณค ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ฐ– ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์ด์–ด์„œ ๋ˆˆ๊ธธ์„ ๋ˆ๋‹ค.

4์ผ ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜ ์ธ์ˆ˜์˜ํ–ฅ์„œ๋ฅผ ์ œ์ถœํ•œ ๊ธฐ์—…๋“ค์€ ํ•˜๋ฆผ-JKL ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ์Šค ์ปจ์†Œ์‹œ์—„, SM ๊ทธ๋ฃน๊ณผ ๋Œ€ํ•œํ•ด์šด ์ปจ์†Œ์‹œ์—„,

๋„์ด์น˜์€ํ–‰, KKR(๋ฏธ๊ตญ๊ณ„ ์‚ฌ๋ชจํŽ€๋“œ), ํ•œ๊ตญํˆฌ์žํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ์Šค ๋“ฑ 5๊ณณ์ด ์ฐธ์—ฌํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์•Œ๋ ค์กŒ๋‹ค.

Page 7

Page 10: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋Œ€๋กœ ๋‹ญ๊ณ ๊ธฐ ์ „๋ฌธํšŒ์‚ฌ ํ•˜๋ฆผ์ด ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜์˜ ์ธ์ˆ˜์˜์ง€๋ฅผ ํ™•๊ณ ํžˆ ํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ๋‹ค. ํ•˜๋ฆผ๊ทธ๋ฃน ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋Š”

"์‹๋Ÿ‰์˜ ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„์„ ํ•ด์™ธ์— ์˜์กดํ•˜๋Š” ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ๋Š” ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ณก๋ฌผ์‚ฌ์—…์— ์ง„์ถœํ•˜์—ฌ ์‹๋Ÿ‰์ฃผ๊ถŒ์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ•ด์•ผ

ํ•œ๋‹ค"๋ฉฐ "์ด๋ฅผ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ๊ณก๋ฌผ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์•ˆ์ •์  ์ˆ˜์š”๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์„ ๊ฐ€์ง„ ๊ธฐ์—…๊ณผ ํ•ด์ƒ์šด์†ก ยทํ•ญ๋งŒ๋„คํŠธ์›Œํฌ ๋“ฑ์˜

์šด์†ก๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์„ ๊ฐ€์ง„ ์—…์ฒด๊ฐ€ ๊ฒฐํ•ฉํ•˜๋Š” ์ „๋žต์  ์ ‘๊ทผ์ด ํ•„์š”ํ•˜๋‹ค"๊ณ  ์„ค๋ช…ํ•˜๋ฉฐ,๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ตœ๋Œ€์˜ ๊ณก๋ฌผ ์ˆ˜์š”๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์„

๊ฐ–์ถ˜ ํ•˜๋ฆผ๊ณผ ๊ณก๋ฌผ ๋ฒŒํฌ ์šด์†ก์˜ ์ธํ”„๋ผ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ–์ถ˜ ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜์ด ๊ฒฐํ•ฉ์œผ๋กœ ๊ณก๋ฌผ์‚ฌ์—…์— ์ง„์ž…ํ•˜๊ฒ ๋‹ค๋Š” ์˜์ง€๋ฅผ

๊ฐ•ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋ฐํžˆ๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

ํ•œํŽธ ๋งค๊ฐ ์ฃผ๊ด€์‚ฌ ์‚ผ์ผํšŒ๊ณ„๋ฒ•์ธ์€ 11 ์›” 6 ์ผ ์ˆ๋ฆฌ์ŠคํŠธ๋ฅผ ์ž‘์„ฑํ•˜๊ณ  28 ์ผ๊นŒ์ง€ ์˜ˆ๋น„์‹ค์‚ฌ๋ฅผ ๊ฑฐ์น 

๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค. ๋ณธ์ž…์ฐฐ์€ 12 ์›” 11 ์ผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ •๋ผ ์žˆ๋‹ค.๋Œ€๋‹ค์ˆ˜ ์—…๊ณ„ ๊ด€๊ณ„์ž๋“ค์€ ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ธ์ˆ˜์˜ํ–ฅ์„œ๋ฅผ ์ œ์ถœํ•œ

๊ธฐ์—…๋‚ด์—์„œ ํŒฌ์˜ค์…˜ ์ธ์ˆ˜์ž๊ฐ€ ๊ฐ€๋ ค ์งˆ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋‚ด๋‹ค๋ณด๊ณ  ์žˆ์–ด ๊ท€์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ฃผ๋ชฉ๋œ๋‹ค.

โ–ฒ ๊น€ํ™๊ตญ ํ•˜๋ฆผ๊ทธ๋ฃน ํšŒ์žฅ โ–ฒ ๊น€์šฉ์™„ ๋Œ€ํ•œํ•ด์šด ๋Œ€ํ‘œ์ด์‚ฌ ๋ถ€ํšŒ์žฅ

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Page 11: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ข. Bulk Carrier

(์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„๊ธฐ์ค€, Million USD)

๊ตฌ๋ถ„ 1 ์›” 2 ์›” 3 ์›” 4 ์›” 5 ์›” 6 ์›” 7 ์›” 8 ์›” 9 ์›” 10 ์›” 11 ์›”

2 ์ฃผ์ฐจ

ํ‰๊ท 

2 0 1 4

CAPE 180K

์„ ๊ฐ€ 46.00 48.00 52.00 53.00 50.00 47.00 47.00 47.00 48.00 42.00 42.00 47.5

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 39.4%

41.2%

52.9%

60.6%

47.1%

38.2%

38.2%

38.2%

26.3%

5.0% -4.5% 30.6%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 4.5% 4.3% 8.3% 1.9% -5.7% -6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.1% -12.5% 0.0% -

PMAX 76k

์„ ๊ฐ€ 27.00 27.00 28.00 27.00 26.50 24.00 24.00 24.00 22.50 22.00 20.50 24.8

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 50.0%

45.9%

51.4%

42.1%

20.5%

9.1% 9.1% 14.3%

2.3% -10.2% -19.6% 15.0%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 5.9% 0.0% 3.7% -3.6% -1.9% -9.4% 0.0% 0.0% -6.3% -2.2% -6.8% -

SMAX 56k

์„ ๊ฐ€ 26.00 26.00 27.00 27.00 25.50 25.50 24.50 24.00 23.00 22.50 22.00 24.8

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 40.5%

40.5%

45.9%

35.0%

24.4%

18.6%

14.0%

11.6%

2.2% -6.3% -10.2% 16.3%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 6.1% 0.0% 3.8% 0.0% -5.6% 0.0% -3.9% -2.0% -4.2% -2.2% -2.2% -

HANDY 32k

์„ ๊ฐ€ 21.00 21.00 21.00 20.50 20.50 19.50 19.50 19.00 18.50 18.50 18.00 19.7

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 35.5%

23.5%

23.5%

20.6%

13.9%

8.3% 8.3% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% -5.3% 10.9%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 10.5%

0.0% 0.0% -2.4% 0.0% -4.9% 0.0% -2.6% -2.6% 0.0% -2.7% -

2013

CAPE 33.00 34.00 34.00 33.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 38.00 40.00 44.00 36.3

PMAX 18.00 18.50 18.50 19.00 22.00 22.00 22.00 21.00 22.00 24.50 25.50 21.5

SMAX 18.50 18.50 18.50 20.00 20.50 21.50 21.50 21.50 22.50 24.00 24.50 21.3

HANDY 15.50 17.00 17.00 17.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.00 18.50 18.50 19.00 17.8

Page 9

Page 12: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 Cape

Panamax

Supramax

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

1์›” 2์›” 3์›” 4์›” 5์›” 6์›” 7์›” 8์›” 9์›” 10์›” 11์›”-2์ฃผ 12์›”

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

15

17

19

21

23

25

27

29

1์›” 2์›” 3์›” 4์›” 5์›” 6์›” 7์›” 8์›” 9์›” 10์›” 11์›”-2์ฃผ 12์›”

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

15

17

19

21

23

25

27

29

1์›” 2์›” 3์›” 4์›” 5์›” 6์›” 7์›” 8์›” 9์›” 10์›” 11์›”-2์ฃผ 12์›”

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

Page 10

Page 13: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 Handy

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

1์›” 2์›” 3์›” 4์›” 5์›” 6์›” 7์›” 8์›” 9์›” 10์›” 11์›”-2์ฃผ 12์›”

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

Page 11

Page 14: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ข-1. Bulk Carrier Sales Reported

Type Vessel DWT Built Builder M/E Gear Price Currency Remarks (Buyers)

BC MEDI SENTOSA 83,690 2008 JAPAN B&W 19.5 mill USD Greek buyers (clients of Magna Marine)

BC CASTILLO DE VIGO 73,204 1994 KOREA B&W 6.2 mill USD undisclosed buyers

BC BRILLIANT SKY /RADIANT SKY /JUBILANT SKY

52,307 2004 JAPAN MITSU Cr 4X30T 15-16 mill USD

(each) US based buyers

(clients of Valhalla Corp.)

BC ELENI T 27,802 1997 CHINA B&W Cr 4X30T 5.3 mill USD

auction sale, Singaporean buyers (clients of Glory Ship

Management), incl ROB 30.67T

BC BIRCH 1 24,306 1995 JAPAN B&W Cr 4X30T 5.3 mill USD undisclosed buyers

Page 12

Page 15: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ฃ. Tanker

(์„ ๋ น 5 ๋…„๊ธฐ์ค€, Million USD)

๊ตฌ๋ถ„ 1 ์›” 2 ์›” 3 ์›” 4 ์›” 5 ์›” 6 ์›” 7 ์›” 8 ์›” 9 ์›” 10 ์›” 11 ์›”

2 ์ฃผ

ํ‰๊ท 

2 0 1 4

VLCC 310K

์„ ๊ฐ€ 68.00 72.00 73.00 74.00 75.00 74.00 74.00 74.00 74.00 77.00 77.00 73.8

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 19.3% 26.3% 32.7% 34.5% 36.4% 34.5% 34.5% 34.5% 32.1% 37.5% 32.8% 31.4%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 13.3% 5.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% -1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 0.0% - SUEZ 160K

์„ ๊ฐ€ 47.00 48.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 49.00 49.00 49.00 50.00 54.00 54.00 50.0

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 17.5% 20.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 22.5% 22.5% 28.9% 25.0% 35.0% 35.0% 25.0%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 11.9% 2.1% 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% -2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.0% - AFRA 105K

์„ ๊ฐ€ 34.00 37.00 38.00 38.00 38.00 37.00 37.00 38.00 41.00 42.00 42.00 38.4

์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 23.6% 34.5% 40.7% 26.7% 26.7% 32.1% 23.3% 31.0% 46.4% 44.8% 40.0% 32.3%

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 6.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% -2.6% 0.0% 2.7% 7.9% 2.4% 0.0% - MR 47K

์„ ๊ฐ€ 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 27.00 27.00 26.00 25.50 25.50 25.500 25.00 27.0 ์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 16.0% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0% 8.0% 12.5% 0.0% -5.6% -5.6% -8.9% -13.8% 3.0% ์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -6.9% 0.0% -3.7% -1.9% 0.0% 0.0% -2.0% -

CHEM IMO2 13K

์„ ๊ฐ€ 12.50 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13 13 13.0 ์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„ 19.0% 8.3% 13.0% 13.0% 8.3% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 13.0% 13.0% 8.3% 8.7% ์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„ 0.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -

2013

VLCC 57.00 57.00 55.00 55.00 55.00 55.00 55.00 55.00 56.00 56.00 58.00 56.2 SUEZ 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 38.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.0 AFRA 27.50 27.50 27.00 30.00 30.00 28.00 30.00 29.00 28.00 29.00 30.00 29.0

MR 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 24.00 26.00 27.00 27.00 28.00 29.00 26.3 CHEM 10.50 12.00 11.50 11.50 12.00 12.75 12.75 12.75 11.50 11.50 12.00 11.9

Page 13

Page 16: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

VLCC-310K

SUEZMAX-160K

AFRAMAX-105K

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

3537394143454749515355

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

25272931333537394143

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

Page 14

Page 17: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

MR-47K

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

Mill

USD

๊ธˆ๋…„

์ „๋…„

์ „๋…„ ํ‰๊ท 

Page 15

Page 18: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ฃ-1. Tanker Sales Reported

1) TANKER

Type Vessel DWT Built Blder M/E IMO Price Currency Remarks (Buyers)

TANKER OVERSEAS SOVEREIGN 309,892 1996 JAPAN B&W 22 mill USD Thai buyers for conversion

TANKER DS VALENTINA 308,491 2000 KOREA SULZ 30 mill USD undisclosed buyers

TANKER NEW TALENT 297,572 2009 CHINA B&W 60.34 mill USD Aldebaran Shipping

TANKER OS BREEZE 134,441 1996 KOREA B&W 13.6 mill USD undisclosed buyers

TANKER LION SPIRIT 105,203 1997 JAPAN B&W 13 mill USD undisclosed buyers

TANKER BRIGHT PACIFIC 48,694 2004 JAPAN B&W 13.5 mill USD Indian buyers

(clients of Great Eastern)

TANKER HANA 38,695 2002 ROMANIA B&W 9.1 mill USD Singaporean buyers

CHEM MONTENERO 40,158 2006 KOREA B&W 3 16.75-17.3 mill USD Greek buyers

CHEM CRYSTAL ATLANTICA (stst) 16,631 2000 ITALY WART 2 9 mill USD Chinese buyers

(clients of Sinochem)

CHEM LIQUID FORTUNE (stst) 11,747 2000 JAPAN B&W 2&3 6.7 mill USD

auction sale, South Korean buyers

(clients of Jeil International)

CHEM RHONE 4,581 2007 TURKEY MAK 2&3 7.5 mill USD US based buyers

LPG NORGAS NAPA 10,790 2003 CHINA MAN 27 mill USD

Canadian buyers (clients of Teekay), incl BBC back for 5

years

Page 16

Page 19: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

2) Container, Reefer, Etc

Type Vessel DWT Built Blder M/E Capacity Unit Price Currency Remarks (buyers)

CONT RIO ADOUR 34,347 2006 GERMANY SULZER 2490 TEU 13 mill USD European buyers

CONT OOCL TIANJIN 99,500 2005 KOREA B&W 8063 TEU 55 mill USD

(T/C)

undisclosed buyers, incl., 36 - 39 months TC

back at $34,000

CONT AS CATALINA 39,420 2006 KOREA B&W 2824 TEU 13 mill USD Greek buyers

PAX FINNHANSA (roro pass) 10,700 1994 POLAND SULZ 293 TEU 37 mill USD

Italian buyers (clients of Grimaldi

Group)

PAX EUROFERRY

BRINDISI (car ferry)

6,124 1996 INDONESIA SULZ 800 CAR 40.3 mill USD undisclosed buyers

Page 17

Page 20: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ค. Demolition

1) ์„ ๊ฐ€

USD/LDT 2011 ํ‰๊ท 

2012 ํ‰๊ท  2013 ํ‰๊ท  2014 ํ‰๊ท  2014 10 ์›” 2014 11 ์›” ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

(%)

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

(%)

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

(%)

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ

(%)

์ „์›”๋Œ€๋น„

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ(%)

TANKER 510.83 443.96 -13.1% 422.08 -4.9% 479.55 13.6% 495.00 3.2% 490.00 -1.0%

BC 497.08 426.71 -14.2% 409.79 -4.0% 475.23 16.0% 482.50 1.5% 477.50 -1.0%

๊ธฐ์ค€ :์ธ๋„ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์‹œ์žฅ(USD/LDT), ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ (์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

2) ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ๋ˆ„์ ํ˜„ํ™ฉ

ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์ด๋Ÿ‰ 2013 ๋…„ 2014 ๋…„๋ˆ„์  2013 ๋…„ 10 ์›”

2014 ๋…„ 10 ์›”

Million DWT

No. Million DWT

๋ˆ„์ ์œจ (์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

No. ๋ˆ„์ ์œจ (์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

Million DWT

No. Million DWT

์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ (์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

No. ์ฆ๊ฐ์œจ (์ „๋…„๋Œ€๋น„)

TANKER 11.02 114 7.44 67.5% 75 65.8% 1.78 13 1.05 -41.0% 7 -46.2%

BC 23.30 430 11.02 47.3% 202 47.0% 2.17 32 0.95 -56.2% 21 -34.4%

3) ํ•ด์ฒด์„ ์ด๋Ÿ‰ (Million DWT)

0.58 1.04 0.75 0.81 1.07

0.49 1.14

0.34 0.17

1.05

1.32

1.32

0.59

1.30

1.88

0.52

1.19

1.09 0.86

0.95

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

BC Tanker (10k+)

Page 18

Page 21: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ค-1. Demolition Sales Reported Type Vessel DWT LDT Built Blder M/E Price Currency Remarks

BC GOLD FOUNTAIN 40,688 7,000 1984 JAPAN SULZ 450 USD/LDT BANGLADESH

BC AMIRA DIANA 37,611 7,635 1984 JAPAN SULZ 476 USD/LDT PAKISTAN

BC JIMILTA II 42,838 7,655 1985 JAPAN SULZ 477 USD/LDT PAKISTAN

CHEM MENELAUS 4,999 2,901 1974 FINLAND WERKSOOR 495 USD/LDT BANGLADESH

CONT ANTHEA(conbulk) 53,705 13,454 1997 CHINA SULZ 470 USD/LDT As is Saudi Arabia, incl. ROB 150 tons

CONT CAP ROCA 42,026 17,655 1990 CHINA SULZ 488 USD/LDT INDIA

CONT MSC ELENA 36,887 12,714 1994 SPAIN B&W 485 USD/LDT INDIA

CONT SOPHIE(conbulk) 35,230 10,150 1999 POLAND SULZ 485 USD/LDT INDIA

TANKER GANDHAR 147,474 22,257 1994 KOREA B&W 445 USD/LDT INDIA

Page 19

Page 22: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ฅ. Key Indicators

1) Baltic Index

2014-11-07 2014-10-31 CHANGE 5 Year High 5 Year Low

BDI 1,437 1,428 9 4,661 647

BCI 3,661 3,552 109 8,243 1,082

BPI 1,183 1,233 -50 4,622 418

BSI 881 892 -11 3,111 600

BHSI 454 467 -13 1,520 355

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

2009-11-10 2010-11-10 2011-11-10 2012-11-10 2013-11-10

BDI BCI BPI BSI BHSI

Page 20

Page 23: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014

2) Bunker Price (USD/TON, ์ „์ฃผ๋Œ€๋น„์ฆ๊ฐ)

(USD/Ton, Change) Singapore Rotterdam Houston

IFO380 464.00 -13.50 439.50 -16.50 446.00 -19.00

IFO180 476.00 -14.50 459.50 -20.50 561.50 -8.50

MDO 711.50 -12.00 - - - -

MGO 722.50 -11.00 722.00 -3.00 829.00 -16.00

๊ธฐ์ค€์ผ :11 ์›” 07 ์ผ

3) Exchange Rate ๊ตฌ๋ถ„ 2014-11-07 2014-10-31 CHANGE

๋ฏธ๊ตญ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ 1,089.10 1,054.00 35.10

์ผ๋ณธ์—”(100) 945.19 964.05 -18.86

์œ ๋กœ 1,348.47 1,328.78 19.69

์ค‘๊ตญ์œ„์•ˆ 177.86 172.29 5.57

์ตœ์ดˆ๊ณ ์‹œ, ๋งค๋งค๊ธฐ์ค€์œจ๊ธฐ์ค€

Page 21

Page 24: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ฆ. Useful Information ๊ตฌ๋ถ„ ํ–‰์‚ฌ๋ช… ์ผ์‹œ ์žฅ์†Œ ๊ธฐํƒ€

๊ต์œก

ํ•ด์šด์ค‘๊ฐœ์—…

์ข…์‚ฌ์ž

์‹ค๋ฌด๊ต์œก

11.24~1

1.28 ์ผ

์—ฌ์˜๋„

ํ•œ๊ตญ์„ ์ฃผ

ํ˜‘ํšŒ

ใ…‡ ๊ต์œก์ผ์‹œ : 2014. 11. 24(์›”) - 11.28(๊ธˆ)๋งค์ผ

09:30-12:30(3 ์‹œ๊ฐ„)

ใ…‡ ๊ต์œก์žฅ์†Œ : ์—ฌ์˜๋„ ํ•œ๊ตญ ์„ ์ฃผํ˜‘ํšŒ ๊ต์œก์‹ค

ใ…‡ ์—ฐ๋ฝ์ฒ˜ : ํ•œ๊ตญํ•ด์šด์ค‘๊ฐœ์—…ํ˜‘ํšŒ : 02-701-6021

ํฌ๋Ÿผ

ํ•œ-๋Ÿฌ์‹œ์•„

๊ธฐ์ˆ ํฌ๋Ÿผ ๋ฐ

์ƒ๋‹ดํšŒ

11.11 ์ผ

(ํ™”)

๊ฐ•๋‚จ

๋ฒ ์ŠคํŠธ์›จ์Šค

ํ„ดํ˜ธํ…”

โ–ก ์ค‘์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์ง„ํฅ๊ณต๋‹จ ์ถ”์ฃ„,

โ–ก ์ค‘์†Œ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์„ฑ ํ–ฅ์ƒ ๋ฐ ํ•ด์™ธ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ํ˜‘๋ ฅ

๊ธฐํšŒ์ œ๊ณต์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ํ–‰์‚ฌ

์„ธ๋ฏธ

๋‚˜

'๋ฐ”๋ ˆ์ธ์˜ IT

์‚ฐ์—… ํ™˜๊ฒฝ๊ณผ

๋น„์ฆˆ๋‹ˆ์Šค ๊ธฐํšŒ

12.01 ์ผ

(์›”)

์†Œ๊ณต๋™

๋กฏ๋ฐํ˜ธํ…”

36 ์ธต

โ–ก ๋Œ€ํ•œ์ƒ๊ณตํšŒ์˜์†Œ๋Š” ์ค‘๋™์ง€์—ญ ์ง„์ถœ ๋ฐ ์‚ฌ์—…

ํ™•์žฅ์„ ๊ณ ๋ คํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ธฐ์—…์— ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณต

ํ•˜๊ณ ์ž ์„ธ๋ฏธ๋‚˜ ๊ฐœ์ตœ

Page 22

Page 25: [No.24] STL Global Weekly Market Report(Nov 11, 2014)

STL Market Report No.24 Nov 11, 2014 โ…ง. Contact IN

Neal S.I. Kwon (๊ถŒ์ˆœ์ผ์ด์‚ฌ) Director Tel070-7771-6410 Mob 010-9496-0523 [email protected] [email protected] (Personal)

Claire C.W. Ji (์ง€์ฐจ์šฑ๊ณผ์žฅ) Manager Tel070-7771-6411 Mob 010-6625-9785 [email protected] [email protected] (Personal)

Patima J.H. Lee (์ด์ง€ํ˜œ๊ณผ์žฅ) Manager Tel 02-776-0860 Mob 010-6455-1646 [email protected] [email protected] (Personal)

STL GLOBAL Co., Ltd. 101-1401, Lotte Castle President, 109, Mapo-daero, Mapo-gu, Seoul, Korea Tel: +82-2-776-0840 (Rep.) Fax: +82-2-776-0864 TLX: K35476 E-mail: [email protected] www.stlkorea.com

Page 23