nhcaa conference installing predictive modeling claims scoring technology november 18, 2010 1

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NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

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Page 1: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

1

NHCAA CONFERENCE

Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring

Technology

November 18, 2010

Page 2: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

2

Welcome to Highmark

Primary Offices in Pittsburgh & Camp Hill along with satellite offices throughout the USA

18,500 Employees 4.6 Million Health Care

Members 28 Million Members

Across all Products 2008 Revenues: $12

Billion

Page 3: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

Strategic Initiative toCombat Health Care Fraud

Three Phase Approach– Enhance query capabilities of

existing claims history repositories.– Purchase a provider scoring model

which allows for automated detection of aberrant provider behavior.

– Purchase an automated claims scoring model which scores suspicious claims prior to payment. 3

Page 4: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

4

Fraud Detection and Investigation Process Flow

RuleBased Detection

Referrals

Recovered orAverted Costs

Evaluation / Prioritization

Investigation

DataTools

People

DataTools

People

DataTools

People

DataTools

People

Data

People

DataTools

People

PredictiveModeling

FinancialRecovery

DataTools

People

PaymentPrevention

DataTools

People

Provider ClaimsReview

Phase I

Phase IIProvider Scoring Model

Phase III -Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Model

Tools

Page 5: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

5

Implementing Pre-Payment Claims Scoring Technology

Critical Success Factors:– Efficient data transmission of claims (post adjudication but

prior to physical payment).– Building an effective evaluation team:

Appropriate skill sets New job rating/job class Job performance measurements

– Establish effective workflow processes between evaluation team and existing departments

Fraud cases Abuse cases Policy changes System changes

– Define and implement an effective value realization/ROI process

Page 6: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

PROJECT ORGANIZATION

6

Executive Sponsor

Business Owner

Steering CommitteeBusiness Owner

Program ManagerProject Manager

Claims Processing VPEvaluation Team

Manager

Program Manager

Governance TeamAudit VP

Program ManagerEvaluation Team

Manager

Pre Payment TeamEvaluation Team

Information Services Group Project

Manager

Information Services Group Team

Information Services Group Resources only needed until data extracts are in place

Page 7: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

IMPLEMENATION TIMELINE

7

Hourly Extract Implemented 09/09 Go Live for Testing 03/29/10Initial Steering Committee Meeting

6/9/10

Page 8: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

Pre-payment process flow

8

Page 9: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

Value Realization Term Definition

TERM DEFINITION

Identified Savings Monies identified from suspicious providers, contracting, system edits or medical policy issues identified by the FICO pre-payment software. Calculations for ROI are 12 months.

Un-pursued savings Dollars identified by Pre-Pay but cost prohibited to pursue.

Deny Button Savings Calculated each time a team member denies claim payment.

Previously Identified Savings

Dollars identified by the software in which an active case is already addressing the issue.

Savings referred to other plans

Dollars identified by Pre-pay but the case has been transferred to another plan (IBC, NEPA, etc.)

Actual Savings Monies received from refunds, restitutions, settlement agreements, claim offsets, and claim denials.

9

Included in calculation of identified savings

Page 10: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

Case Summary

Unique Highmark Cases Opened 100

Highmark Cases Opened affecting multiple providers

19

Total Highmark cases opened 259

Cases related to un-pursued savings 14

Events related to previously identified cases 2

Cases referred to other plans 5

10

Page 11: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

11

Pre Pay Case Trending

April

1 -

May

28

June Ju

ly

Augu

st

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er0

20406080

100120140

14 15 21 21 16 1525

15

42

127

23 18

Unique CasesTotal Cases

Page 12: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

12

Pre Pay Claim Trending

April

1 -

May

28

(Tes

t Per

iod)

June Ju

ly

Augu

st

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er0

1,000

2,0001,192 1,219 1,133

1,6612,024

1,816

0 99 97 101 62 154

ReviewDenied

Page 13: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

13

Net ROI per month:Identified savings divided by monthly

operational costs

April

1 -

May

28

(Tes

t Per

iod

June Ju

ly

Augu

st

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er

ROI to

date

0

4

8

12

Page 14: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

Hit Rate

Claims reviewed 9,045

Highmark Cases opened 259

Case hit rate 2.9%

Deny button hit 513

Deny button hit rate 5.7%

14

Page 15: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

15

Case hit rate:Claims reviewed divided by cases created

Test Period June July August September October0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Page 16: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

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Deny Button Hit Rate:Claims reviewed divided by claims

denied

June July August September October0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Page 17: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

17

Productivity Graph

Other

Pro

ject

sJu

ly

Augu

st

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Days WorkedVacationSystem OutagesOther Projects

Page 18: NHCAA CONFERENCE Installing Predictive Modeling Claims Scoring Technology November 18, 2010 1

Opened case value by monthly operating costs (MOC)

62

3

10

53

Case $ value < 50% of MOC

Case $ value 50% - 100% of MOC

Case $ value 101% - 150% of MOC

Case $ value 151% - 200% of MOC

Case $ value > 200% of MOC

18CONCLUSION: The identified savings of approximately 22% (18 of 83) of cases opened exceed the operational costs for an entire month.