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WWW.METHANOL.ORG New Methanol Uses in Fuels Gregory Dolan, CEO Methanol Institute IHS World Methanol Conference Budapest October 1, 2016

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Page 1: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

WWW.METHANOL.ORG

New Methanol Uses in Fuels

Gregory Dolan, CEO

Methanol Institute

IHS World Methanol Conference

Budapest – October 1, 2016

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WHO WE ARE 01

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Global Methanol Representation

• The Methanol Institute (MI) was first formed in 1989 to represent US methanol producers in

Washington.

• 27 years later, MI is truly a global trade association supporting the expansion of the methanol

industry in every corner of the world from offices in:

S i n g a p o r e | Wa s h i n g t o n | B r u s s e l s | B e i j i n g

Page 4: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Page 5: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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TRANSITION TO ENERGY RESOURCE 02

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Alternative Fuel Drivers

Scale: The feedstock base needs to be large enough to support global transportation market.

Sustainability: There needs to be a viable pathway to low- or no-carbon transport, while reducing smog.

Subsidy: Can’t rely on government support forever, so someone needs to make money.

Consumer: Demands seamless transition and ease of use.

Methanol: Checks all the drivers!

Page 7: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol is Simplest of Alcohols

• Simple molecule rich in

hydrogen, with only no carbon-

to-carbon bonds.

• Clear and colorless liquid at

room temperature and ambient

pressure.

• Also known as “wood alcohol,”

methanol can be produced

from a wide range of

feedstocks.

Formula: CH3OH

Density: 0,792 g.cm-3

Molar mass: 32,04 g mol-1

Appearance: colourless liquid

Page 8: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Feedstock:

Abundant/Sustainable

Market:

Large/Diverse

Page 9: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol: Essential Chemical Building Block

Source: Methanex

Page 10: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol is a Versatile Fuel Source

FUELS

• Neat fuel

• Low blends

• High blends

• GEM

• MTBE

• Biodiesel

• DME & OME

• MTG

TECHNOLOGIES

• SI & CI engines

• Turbines

• Fuel cells

• Stoves

• Out of the ~70 million metric tons of methanol sold globally in 2015, energy and

fuel uses represent 40% of total demand

• From 2009-2015, direct methanol fuel blending has increased at an annual rate

of nearly 23%

SEGMENTS

• Road & non-road

transportation

• Power & heat

generation, and

• Marine

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Source: IHS Chemical, November 2015

Oil Displacement Drives Demand Growth

Page 12: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Denmark –

methanol fuel cells

for vehicles

Sweden – methanol

marine fuel

Israel – Power generation & M15

Standard

Australia – GEM fuel

Africa – cooking

stoves

China– M15 to

M100, Industrial

Boilers UK – EN228

low blend USA – methanol

motorsport fuel

Methanol Fuel Examples Around the World

Iceland – M100

Trials

Egypt – M15 Trials

New Zealand –

Introducing M3 India – Methanol

Economy Roadmap

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ROAD TRANSPORT 03

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Methanol - Practical Liquid Fuel Alternative

Page 15: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Various Gasoline/Diesel Blend Options

M3 – M15 • EU allows M3

(EN228)

Blended a.o. in UK

and NL

• China uses M15

Estimated 10 million

metric tons

~75% of cars built by

international

automakers

• Israel standard for

M15 gasoline blend

A20 – A30 • Automakers call for

higher octane to

facilitate greater

engine efficiency

(higher compression,

turbocharging,

downsizing)

• Methanol and ethanol

alcohol fuels together

at mid-level blends

provide needed

octane

M51-100 • ASTM D5797

standard revision

• M100 dedicated

vehicles (e.g. Geely)

• Use of SI

technologies in light

duty vehicles

• Both SI and CI for

heavy duty vehicles

• Few changes needed

to existing vehicle

technologies at low

cost

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10 Million Tons Fuel Blending

China Pol icy Shif t ing from Provinces to Central Government

• China is progressing on dedicated M100 methanol fueled vehicles both in R&D and through an extensive pilot program under Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.

• Currently, Chinese automotive OEMs like Geely, FAW and Brilliance are working on M100 passenger cars.

• For commercial vehicles, work is split into two technologies directions: M100 heavy-duty vehicles/engines led by FAW Jingye, and Diesel Methanol Compound Combustion (DMCC) heavy-duty vehicles/engines led by Tianjin University.

• Existing car retrofitting from gasoline to M100 is also gaining market traction and is being promoted by some local governments.

• In China, over 156,000 cars have been retrofitted, the cost is no more than 1000 RMB/unit or about USD$150.

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• Israel fundamentals:

• Large gas finds in Israel.

• Strategic need to reduce oil dependence.

• Prime Minister Netanyahu established Fuel

Choices Initiative.

• Standards Institution of Israel has approved a

national standard for M15 fuel blends, first such

standard outside China.

• Fiat will introduce M15 car in 2016, and M85 car

in 2 years.

Israel Methanol Fuels Demonstrations

“The Israeli Standard for M15

is an important step forward

in the reduction of the use of

oil products and in the

utilization of the natural gas

reservoirs that Israel was

blessed with.”

Helen Atarot, Standardization

Division Director, Standards

Institute of Israel

Page 18: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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OK Denmark Recently Opened 1st Methanol Fuel Pump in the EU

• In Denmark the Green Methanol Infrastructure

consortium (Serenergy, OK and Hamag)

recently opened the 1st methanol fuel pump

in Europe.

• Response to EU’s Renewable Energy

Directive and Fuel Quality Directive.

• Cars use Serenergy RMFC technology as

range extender and CRI methanol as fuel.

• The consortium reports a battery powered

vehicles to drive 800 kilometers on one tank.

Page 19: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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India: Roadmap to Methanol Economy

• On 11 September 2015, NITI Aayog held brainstorming session on possible roadmap for Methanol Economy for India’s long-term energy security.

• Formed three Expert Groups:

• Production of Methanol and DME

• Utilization of Methanol and DME

• Research and Development

• The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production from coal and biomass, and utilize methanol and DME as transportation fuels.

• MI jointly organized Methanol Economy International Seminar held in Delhi on 6-7 September 2016.

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MARINE FUELS 04

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• Over 90,000 commercial vessels on world’s

oceans, consuming 370 million tons of

bunker fuel (Heavy Fuel Oil and Middle

Distillates).

• One container ship: SOx = 50 million

cars

• 15 largest ships: SOx emissions = 760

million cars in the world

Marine Fuel in Transition

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Environmental & Health Hazards

• NOAA: Globally

shipping accounts

for 60,000 deaths

and US$330

billion in health

costs.

• NRDC: Shipping

at intersection of

high population,

choking pollution,

and rapid growth. Source: Natural Resources Defense Council

Page 23: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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• The International Maritime Organization has adopted regulations for SOx and NOx that are transforming the shipping industry.

• While SOx reductions may be met with low sulfur fuels, the combination of SOx and NOx reductions driving shipboard solutions.

Emissions regulations driving market

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Different Options Available to Ship Owners

HFO

+ scrubbers MGO LNG Methanol

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Methanol is Also a Low Flash Point Fuel

Properties HFO MGO LNG Methanol

Physical state liquid liquid cryogenic liquid liquid

Boiling temperature at 1 bar [oC] - 175 – 650 -/- 161 65

Density at 15oC [kg/m3] (LNG shown at -/-160oC)

989 Max. 900 448 796

Dynamic viscosity at 40oC [cSt] - 3,5 - 0,6 (at 25oC)

Lower heating value [MJ/kg] 40 43 50 (at -160oC, 1 bar)

20

Lubricity WSD [μm] - 280-400 - 1100

Vapour density air = 1 - >5 0,55 1,1

Flash point (TCC) [oC] >60 >60 -/-175 12

Auto ignition temperature [oC] - 250-500 540 464

Flammability limits [by % vol. of mixture] - 0,3 – 10 5 – 15 6 - 36

Source:

EMSA

Study on the use of ethyl and methyl alcohol as alternative fuels in shipping

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Examples of Vessels Running on Methanol

2-stroke 4-stroke high speed projects

7 chemical tankers 1 RoPax Ferry 1 pilot boat cruise ship, ferry, a.o.

MAN Wärtsila Volvo, Scania, FiTech various

MOL, WL, Marinvest Stena Lines Swedish Maritime

Administration, MI

Methaship,

LeanShips, a.o.

operational

new build retrofit retrofit new build

operational testing design

DNV GL Lloyds Register various

Page 27: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol Fuel Cells Improve Electrical Efficiency

As part of the Pa-X-ell project Meyer Werft

installed a Serenergy high temperature methanol

fuel cell system demonstrator on board the

Mariella.

The system electricity at higher efficiencies

than a typical diesel system. [source: Serenergy]

Page 28: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Dual Fuel Engine Technology Ensures Flexibility

Engines converted

for methanol

combustion

Double walled fuel

pipes

Pump room

Ballast tank converted

to methanol fuel tank

Source: Stena Line

• Pilot fuel assisted diesel combustion concept.

• Methanol is ignited by a small amount of diesel pilot fuel

• Crew and passenger safety top priority.

• Safety measures include a.o. double walled pipes, ventilation, high pressure oil valves, nitrogen blanketing.

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Wärtsilä Methanol - Diesel on Engine Piping

Source: Toni Stojcevski / Wärtsilä

Page 30: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol Enables Significant Emission Reductions

SOx NOx PM 0%

-/-60%

-/-70%

-/-90%

-/-80%

-/-50%

-/-40%

-/-30%

-/-20%

-/-10%

Source: Stena Line

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Methanol Storage Capacity Estimates (thousand tons)

Available in Many Ports Around the World

Page 32: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol is Easy To Handle

• Liquid at atmospheric pressure.

• Available in many ports around the world and

along rivers.

• Low infrastucture cost.

• Flexible, modular system.

• Environmentally friendly as it is biodegradable.

Page 33: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol is Cost Competitive on an Energy Equivalent Basis

Over a five-year time frame methanol has been mostly cost competitive

despite decreased oil prices methanol remains competitive in many key

regions, including China.

Source: Platts and IHS Chemical

Methanol converted to MGO energy equivalent at factor of 2.16

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Methanol... • is plentiful, available globally.

• can be made 100% renewable.

• runs well in existing engine technology and has potential for further optimization.

• complies with increasingly stringent emission reduction regulations.

• requires only minor modifications to current bunkering infrastructure.

• is biodegradable!

• safe handling can rely on long history and experience in shipping and industry.

• cost are relatively modest and drop as experience mounts.

• shows slight regional price variation.

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A Picture Says More…

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EMERGING MARKETS 05

Page 37: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol in Gas Powered Turbines

In 2011, Israel Electric Corp (IEC) & Dor

performed trial conversion at Caesara power

plant located in valley in Eilat

Previously used diesel-fuelled turbine for

peak power. Permit limited to 300 hours of

operation annually; no pipeline natural gas

access

June 2014 commercial operation of 100%

methanol-fuelled Pratt & Whitney FT4C Twin

Pack 50 MW gas turbine.

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•Low-cost fuel system retrofits to methanol, with this initial project costing $5 million.

•Yields significant NOx, SO2, and particulates emission reduction, without affecting performance.

•Unit now permitted to operate for 2,000 hours per year.

•Methanol consumption is 30 tons per hour.

•This technology (first of its type in the world) can be adopted in many other places (mainly Islands) where due to no natural gas supply, are currently using polluting fuels.

IEC/Dor Findings

Page 39: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol in Cooking Stove Applications

•Traditional cooking fuels (wood/charcoal, dung, kerosene, paraffin, diesel, coal, LPG) can emit harmful particulates and potential fire hazards.

•Nigeria (kerosene stoves), South Africa (paraffin), China (coal).

•Project Gaia pilot project and studies in Nigeria since 2005.

•Distributed fuel already in canister: no handling of fuel by beneficiaries; results very successful.

Page 40: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol in Cooking Stove Applications

Page 41: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol in Cooking Stove Applications

China is Leading the World

•Methanol for cooking applications in China since 1983

•Potential for large amounts of methanol needed for future cooking applications in China.

•Use of alcohol in cooking fuels could reduce annual direct coal burning by 3,172 MW and CO2 emissions decrease of 8.25 billion tons.

Page 42: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol Boiler Fuel in China

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Main Driving Forces

• Government banning of Coal Fired Boilers in Urban Area

• CAPEX and OPEX

• Supply of Other Alternatives like NG and Biomass

• Partially Explaining the Missing Volume in the Consumption Statistics in China

Fuel Methanol1 Natural Gas2

(Low price)

Natural Gas (High

price) Diesel Coal

Commercial and

Industrial

Electricity3

Unit price of fuel (RMB) 1.8 /kg 2.2/m3 4.5/m3 5.5/kg 0.4/kg 0.9/kWh

Unit price/0.1 Cal (RMB) 3.8 2.6 5.4 5.5 0.8 10

Thermal Efficiency4 90% 90% 90% 90% 55% 96%

Actual Economics

(RMB/0.1 Cal) 3.7 2.7 5.2 5.4 1.45 11

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Methanol Boiler Fuel

Methanol

Boiler in

Tianjin;

15 steam

ton/hour

Page 44: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Methanol T W O T Y P E S O F M E T H A N O L F U E L C E L L S

Fuel Cells

Methanol

important in fuel

cells as an

environmentally-

friendly hydrogen

carrier fuel

Direct Methanol Fuel

Cells (DMFCs):

• Subcategory of proton

exchange fuel cells

• Liquid MEOH used as

the fuel.

• Easy to transport,

energy-dense/stable

• Low efficiency

• Good for portable

power

• Waste: CO2 & water

vapor

Reformed Methanol Fuel Cells (RMFC) / Indirect Methanol Fuel Cells (IMFCs):

• Methanol reformed to hydrogen gas before being fed into fuel cell.

• Higher efficiency, smaller cell stacks, better operation/storage at low temps.

• Heat mgt/insulation systems required

Page 45: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Primary Applications for Fuel Cells

Charging/Replacement of batteries

• Forklifts

• Camper vans

Provision of off-grid or grid-support power

• Backup power supply to telecoms towers

• Remote communities

• Desalinization plants

• Off-grid mining

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BONUS 06

Page 47: New Methanol Uses in Fuels · 2016-10-04 · • The Methanol Institute has committed to assisting the Expert Groups as they look to opportunities to increase methanol production

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Clinton vs. Trump on Energy Issues

Clinton

• Local/state governments should be allowed to ban fracking

• Wants US to be clean energy superpower “either China, Germany or America. I want it to be us.”

• Campaign staffer met with CARB creating firestorm that she would replace RFS with California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard

• Supports Paris climate change agreement

• Democratic platform calls for: WWII-like effort on climate change; a price on carbon; and 50% of electricity from clean energy within a decade.

Trump

• April criticized NYS ban on fracking, and in July said local/state governments should be allowed to ban fracking

• Wind power “kills all your birds” and solar power “I love solar power, but the payback is what, 18 years?”

• Opening all onshore/offshore and federal lands to oil/gas/coal development increase GDP by $100 billion year and create 500,000 jobs

• Vows to “cancel” the Paris climate change agreement

• Will “save the coal industry” in first 100 days in office

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Next President “Decider”

Critical Energy Issues for Next US President

• Renewable Fuel Standard

•Growing realization in Washington can’t get to 36 billion gallons by 2022

•EPA has limited authority to rejigger target

•Push for obligation from refiner to blender

• Fuel Economy Standards

•Obama’s signature 2011 agreement with autos for 54.5 mpg by 2025 up for midterm review by April 2018

•Low pump prices spurring purchase of fuel-thirsty pick-ups and SUVs

•Jockeying by car companies, regulators, and environmental groups

•High octane fuels opportunity for methanol

• Paris Climate Change Agreement

•According to Climate Analytics, 57 countries have now indicated they will ratify or have already ratified the agreement by year’s end. They account for 59.88% of global emissions.

•Paris agreement shaped to allow US to legally join by Presidential Executive Order without US Senate vote

•No real compliance teeth to agreement

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BONUS: Methanol as Diesel Substitute

Diesel Emiss ions Under At tack

• The “low hanging fruit” for methanol fuel blending may be the diesel substitution market for heavy-duty trucks and buses

• Methanol Institute looking at research agenda for dual-fuel compression ignition engines and dedicated spark ignition engines

• MI Member Fuel Injection Technologies of China working with Beiben Trucks and Yuchai engines in China

• MI sponsoring work in Finland to convert Scania ED95 engine to MD95

• MI sponsoring Green Pilot Boat to demonstrate methanol fueled engines from FiTech, Volvo, and Scania

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CONTACTS 07

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CONTACTS

01

02

03

04

• G R E G D O L AN

CEO

[email protected]

• C H R I S C H AT T E R T O N

COO

[email protected]

• D O M L AV I G N E

Director of Government

Affairs

[email protected]

• L AR RY N AV I N

Senior Manager External

Affairs

[email protected]

05

06

07

08

• E E L C O D E K K E R

Chief EU Representative

[email protected]

• K AI Z H AO

Chief China Representative

[email protected]

• AP R I L C H AN

Executive Manager

[email protected]

• S H E E VA N O S H I R VAN

Executive Assistant

[email protected]

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SINGAPORE (HQ) WASHINGTON D.C. BRUSSELS BEIJING

10 Anson Road

#32-10 International

Plaza

Singapore 079903

+ 65 6325 6300

225 Reinekers Lane

Suite 205

Alexandria, VA

22314

+1 (703) 248-3636

Square de Meeûs 38-40

B-1000 Brussels

Belgium

+32 241 6151

#511, Pacific Sci-tech

Development Center

Peking University

No. 52 Hai Dian Rd.

Beijing 100871, China

+86 10 6275 5984