nemo link brexit webinar … · nemo link’s team page 5 nemo link brexit webinar - 09 november...
TRANSCRIPT
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar9th November 2020
14:00 – 15:30 GMT
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Welcome
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020
FORMAT OF THE SESSION
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be using it for questions and polling
Q&A
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➢ raise a hand in MS Teams; or
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⚫ Q&A at the end of the session: Slido #41536
FALLBACK PROCEDURE
⚫ Please use the slides distributed before the webinar in case there is any issue with the screen sharing
⚫ Dial-in details in case of technical issues:
➢ Dial +44 20 3321 5208
➢ conference ID: 362 020 898#
Introduction
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 3
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 4
About Nemo Link
Nemo Link’s Team
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 5
Bart Goethals
-
Chief
Commercial
Officer
Nigel Wood
-
Senior
Operations
Manager
Nick Pittarello
-
Customer,
Regulation
and Policy
Manager
Martin Croucher
-
Operations
Director
Sandy Lalli
-
Finance
Manager
Raj Bhogal
-
System
Operations
and ICT
Manager
Bert Maes
-
CEO
Munti Nguyen
-
Customer
Relations
Monne Depraetere
-
Product and
Services Manager
Please log in to Slido using the above code
page 6 Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020
➢ Click on the "Polls" tab
➢ Indicate in which country you are located
➢ Write your organisation's name
Content
General Updates
Martin / Monne
Brexit and cutover to Non-IEM
Nick / Munti
Beyond Brexit: Honing our rules
Monne
What’s next
Nick
Q&A
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 7
General Updates
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 8
Nemo Link’s Operations in 2020
• YTD Availability 99%
• Managing through COVID-19
• September Outage
• Few Operational Issues
• Look Ahead
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 9
-20 €
-10 €
0 €
10 €
20 €
30 €
40 €
50 €
60 €
70 €
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Spread Price GB Price BE
GW
1GW
2GW
3GW
4GW
5GW
6GW
7GW
8GW
BE Solar BE Wind BE Nuclear
GW
20GW
40GW
60GW
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
DA
po
we
rp
ric
es
& s
pre
ad
BE
ge
ne
ratio
nF
RN
ucle
ar
ge
n
Markets Update2020 YTD spreads and fundamentals
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 10
Depressed pow er demand &
high solar & w ind output →
Oversupply disproportionally
drives dow n BE prices
Demand recovery, low er w ind
output & outages at FR and BE
reactors push up BE prices.
Source: Energy Quantified, NLL analysis
⚫ Current forward prices imply price
direction towards GB (even for
winter peak)
⚫ Cal 21 spreads recovered
significantly over last months
based on higher gas prices and
improving nuclear availability
⚫ Low off-peak prices in Belgium as
price falls below gas plant short
run marginal cost.
Markets Update2021 outlook (forward prices)
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 11
To BE
To GB
€(10)
€(5)
€-
€5
€10
€15
€20
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2019 2020 2021
intrinsic value Base spread Peak Spread Offpeak spread
Spre
ads
& In
trin
sic
Actual - Forwards
€-
€20
€40
€60
€80 BE peak-offpeak range GB peak-offpeak range BE base GB base
Po
wer
Pri
ces
Source: Energy Market Price (forward prices as per 3 Nov 2020, NLL analysis, nominal prices
page 12Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020
⚫ On 31st January 2020 the UK ceased to be a member of the EU
➢ Under the terms of the Withdrawal Agreement the UK continues to follow EU rules until 23:00 GMT on 31/12/20
⚫ EU and UK negotiating an enduring Free Trade Agreement (FTA) to apply from 01/01/21
⚫ However on 9th July 2020, the European Commission confirmed in a stakeholder notice that regardless of the FTA negotiations
➢ “…although electricity and gas interconnectors can of course still be used, the United Kingdom will no longer participate in the Union’s dedicated platforms. Alternative fall-back solutions will be used instead to trade electricity on interconnectors with Great Britain.”
⚫ SDAC have communicated the removal of GB from the implicit coupling process
➢ http://www.nemo-committee.eu/assets/files/information-note-about-the-exiting-gb-parties-in-sdac.pdf
⚫ Nord Pool and EPEX have adjusted their GB energy auction times ahead of SDAC
GB Leaving the Internal Energy Market
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 13
Customs
Great Britain
⚫ “For no-FTA, and neither publicly proposed
text of EU and UK for FTA covering energy
proposes tariff on electricity trade. So
we can assume zero in either outcome”
➢ BEIS 03/11/20
⚫ Nemo Link will make import/ export
declarations on behalf of market
participants
Belgium
⚫ No tariffs expected
⚫ UK registered traders are expected to have
to be represented by an EU customs agent
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 14
VAT
⚫ All invoicing is carried out by JAO for explicit auctions
⚫ Unless a trader is based in Luxembourg, interconnector transactions are exempt from VAT
Great Britain
⚫ "VAT is zero – unlikely to be any fiscal impact"
⚫ "No fiscal risk even if things go slightly wrong"
⚫ "Can't guarantee it will stay like that for all eternity"
- HMRC 03/11/2020
⚫ See the following sites for confirmation of VAT
exemption for energy
➢ https://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2010/2924/contents/made
➢ https://www.trade-
tariff.service.gov.uk/headings/2716?currency=EUR
Belgium
⚫ No VAT
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 15
REMIT
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 16
Great Britain
⚫ The UK is adopting a "UK version" of
REMIT from 01/01/21
⚫ Parties will need to ensure that if they are
active in the EU they register with an EU
regulator
⚫ If currently only registered with Ofgem they
will need to transfer the registration to an
EU regulator
⚫ UK activities will need to be reported
through the ELEXON REMIT Portal
Belgium
⚫ REMIT continues to apply in the EU
⚫ EU activities will need to be reported
through the ENTSOe transparency
platform
After 1st Jan 2021 there is no longer an equivalence so reporting in the UK will no longer meet the EU requirements and vice versa
⚫ We have not received any indication that the ITC arrangements are to
deviate from their current arrangements whereby GB participates in the
ITC scheme via NGESO
⚫ Additional information for background
➢ ITC Scheme compensates onshore TSOs for losses related to transit flows resulting from cross border trade
➢ 3rd countries (e.g. Ukraine) pay a "perimeter fee" for imports and exports currently set at €0.7/MWh
➢ The relevant EU Regulation can be found here (paragraph 7)
– https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex%3A32010R0838
➢ Perimeter fee information can be found here
– https://www.entsoe.eu/news/2020/04/03/i tc-2020-perimeter-fee/
Inter-TSO Compensation (ITC)
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 17
⚫ UK to adopt EU regulations preventing application of transmission charges to interconnectors
⚫ Charging Futures work being led by NGESO has recommended that Balancing Services Use
of System Charges (~£2/MWh currently paid by both generation and demand) should only be
paid by demand
⚫ Implementation of these recommendations, if accepted by the regulator, is unlikely
before 2023
page 18
Transmission Charges
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020
Brexit cut-over and timelines
page 19 Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 20
Post Brexit Trading Framework (from 01/01/21)
Long term Day Ahead Intraday
Use-it-or-Sell-it = Loss Adjusted Market Spread Use-it-or-Lose-it
Explicit Auctions Implicit Auctions Explicit Auctions
Long term Day Ahead Intraday
Use-it-or-Sell-it = Day Ahead Auction Clearing Price Use-it-or-Lose-it
Explicit Auctions Explicit Auctions Explicit Auctions
IEM
Tra
din
g F
ram
ew
ork
(today)
Non-
IEM
Tra
din
g
Fra
mew
ork
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020
Non-IEM Registration Check-list
Long term Day Ahead Intraday
Auctions
Nominations➢ Signed Nemo Link Participation Agreement➢ Registered with NGESO➢ Registered with Elexon➢ BMU’s registration with NGESO and Elexon➢ Registered with Elia
➢ Signed JAO Participation Agreement (PA)
➢ Signed JAO PA Amendments to accept GB-BE non-IEM Long Term Rules
➢ Signed JAO PA➢ Signed JAO PA Amendments to
accept GB-BE non IEM Day Ahead Rules
➢ Signed Nemo Link ParticipationAgreement
➢ Signed JAO PA➢ Signed JAO PA Amendments
to accept GB-BE Intraday Rules
➢ Signed Nemo Link Participation Agreement
page 21
Brexit Transition Timeline
01JAN
31DEC
First Explicit Day
Ahead AuctionsFinal Implicit Day
Ahead Auctions
30DEC
16NOV
First delivery day
under non-IEM Access
Rules
RNP
JAO
Nemo Link
SDAC
CUT OVER DATE BREXIT TRANSITION ENDS
Explicit Day Ahead Auctions
Customer Testing on eCAT (*)
(organised by JAO)
27NOV
Explicit Day Ahead Nominations
Customer Testing on RNP (**)(organised by Nemo Link , IFA, BritNed)
Linked (***)
(*): Customers notify JAO to register for the eCAT testing.
(**): Registered customers on RNP with access to RNP Training Environment will be able to participate.(***): Capacity bought on eCAT Test Environment can be nominated on RNP Training Environment.
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 22
Cutover Detail
01JAN
31DEC
Long Term Nomination Gate
for 01/01/2021 delivery
closes @ 09:00 CET
(Explicit UIoSI)
First Explicit Day Ahead Auction
for 01/01/2021 delivery
opens @ 09:40 CET
closes @ 10:10 CET
First Explicit Day Ahead Nomination
for 01/01/2021 delivery
opens @ 12:05 CET
closes @ 14:00 CET
Long Term Nomination Gate
for 31/12/2020 delivery
closes @ 09:30 CET
(Implicit UIoSI)
Final Day Ahead
Implicit Auction
for 31/12/2020 delivery
Gate Closure @ 12:00 CET
Results @ 12:42 CET
Long Term Nomination Gate
for 01/01/2021 delivery
opens @ 16:30 CET
(Explicit UIoSI)
30DEC
29DEC
GB Day Ahead auction BE Day Ahead auction
(SDAC)
Closes @ 12:00 CET
Results @ 12:42 CET
Final Results @ 12:55 CET
First delivery day
under
non-IEM Access Rules
CUT OVER DATE BREXIT TRANSITION ENDS
Long Term Nomination Gate
for 31/12/2020 delivery
opens @ 16:30 CET
(Implicit UIoSI)
NordPool
Closes @ 09:50 GMT
Results @ 10:00 GMT
EPEX SPOT
Closes @ 09:20 GMT
Results @ 09:30 GMT
IEM
AC
CE
SS
RU
LE
SN
ON
-IE
MA
CC
ES
S R
UL
ES
page 23
Final delivery day
under IEM Access Rules
Non-IEM Processes
08:00 08:30 09:3009:00 10:00 10:30 11:00 12:0011:30 12:30 13:3013:00 14:00
D-1
Long Term Nomination Window
Times
in CE(S)T
09:30 (D-1)16:30 (D-2)
Non-IEM Long Term and Day Ahead timings
IEM Long Term and Day Ahead timings (today)
SDAC
08:00 08:30 09:3009:00 10:00 10:30 11:00 12:0011:30 12:30 13:3013:00 14:00
D-1
Long Term Nomination WindowDay Ahead Nomination WindowGB-BE Day ahead
Explicit Auction
10:1509:00 (D-1) 09:40 - 10:10 12:05
Auctions
Results
14:0016:30 (D-2)
10:20 10:50
Times
in CE(S)T
EPEX SPOT
DA Auction Gate Closure
NordPool
DA Auction Gate Closure
12:00 – 12:55
SDAC
12:00 – 12:55
page 24
Firmness Rules
Timescales Before DAFD (11:00 CET/CEST) After DAFD (11:00 CET/CEST)
Long Term Capacity ❖ Can be curtailed❖ Compensation:
- initial price paid if no DA held
- DA auction clearing price if held
❖ N/A
Long Term Nominations ❖ Can be curtailed❖ Compensation:
- initial price paid if no DA held
- DA auction clearing price if held
❖ Can be curtailed❖ Compensation:
- initial price paid if no DA held
- DA auction clearing price if held
Day Ahead Capacity ❖ Can be curtailed❖ Compensation: initial price paid
❖ Can be curtailed❖ Compensation: initial price paid
Day Ahead Nominations ❖ N/A ❖ Can be curtailed❖ Compensation: initial price paid
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 25
Firmness Policy (Long Term)- in the event of a trip on the Nemo Link Interconnector- excluding curtailments initiated by onshore TSOs
08:00 08:30 09:3009:00 10:00 10:30 11:00 12:0011:30 12:30 13:3013:00 14:00D-1
Long Term Nomination Window
12:55
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
09:30 (D-1) 11:00
SDAC
Results
16:30 (D-2)
IEM Policy
CE(S)T
SDAC
Policy Not to CurtailLT Curtailment compensation:
Loss Adjusted Day Ahead Market Spread
Non-IEMPolicy
Long Term Nomination Window Day Ahead Nomination Window
GB-BE DA
ExplicitAuction
10:15
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
09:00 (D-1) 09:40 - 10:10 11:00 12:05
Auction
Results
14:0016:30 (D-2)
page 26
Policy Not to CurtailLT Curtailment compensation:
Initial Price Paid
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 27
Firmness Policy (Day Ahead)- in the event of a trip on the Nemo Link Interconnector- excluding curtailments initiated by onshore TSOs
08:00 08:30 09:3009:00 10:00 10:30 11:00 12:0011:30 12:30 13:3013:00 14:00D-1
12:55
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
11:00
SDAC
Results
CE(S)T
SDAC
No Curtailment
Day Ahead Nomination Window
GB-BE DA
ExplicitAuction
10:15
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
09:40 - 10:10 11:00 12:05
Auctions
Results
14:00
Policy Not to Curtail
IEM Policy
Non-IEMPolicy
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 28
Firmness Policy (Intraday)- in the event of a trip on the Nemo Link Interconnector- excluding curtailments initiated by onshore TSOs
Timescales Before Final Nomination Gate Closure After Final Nomination Gate Closure
Intraday ❖ Non-nominated/Draft nominations can be curtailed❖ Compensation: initial price paid
❖ Physically firm (no curtailment)
➢ Further information on the Intraday process and curtailment can be found on our slide pack (here) that was presented in our Nemo Link’s Intraday Launch Event in Brussels on 23 October 2019.
Consultation on possible improvements to Nemo Link's
Non-IEM rules
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 29
Consultation
• Opened 16/10/2020
• Closes 13/11/2020
• Information and documents:
https://www.nemolink.co.uk/consultation-notices/nemo-link-consults-on-changes-to-non-iem-explicit-day-ahead-auctions/
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 30
Proposal Non-IEM Processes
Proposal Non-IEM Explicit Capacity Auction
Long Term Nomination Window Day Ahead Nomination WindowDay ahead
Explicit Auction
09:25
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
08:45 (D-1) 09:00 –
09:20
09:00
12:05
Auctions
Results
13:3016:30 (D-2)
08:00 08:30 09:3009:00 10:00 10:30 11:00 12:0011:30 12:30 13:3013:00 14:00D-1
10:20 10:50
EPEX Spot
DAM CloseNordPool SPOT
DAM Close
SDAC
12:00 – 12:55
Long Term Nomination WindowDay Ahead Nomination WindowGB-BE Day ahead
Explicit Auction
10:15
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
09:00 (D-1) 09:40 - 10:10 11:00 12:05
Auctions
Results
14:0016:30 (D-2)
Approved Non-IEM Explicit Capacity Auction
PXs & Other IC auctions
CE(S)T
page 31
9:10 10:00
BritNed
DA auctionclose
IFA
DA auctionclose
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 32
Firmness (proposal for LT and DA)- in the event of a trip on the Nemo Link Interconnector
- excluding curtailments initiated by onshore TSOs
08:00 08:30 09:3009:00 10:00 10:30 11:00 12:0011:30 12:30 13:3013:00 14:00D-1
Long Term Nomination Window Day Ahead Nomination Window
GB-BE Day ahead
Explicit Auction
10:15
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
09:00 (D-1) 09:40 - 10:10 11:00 12:05
Auctions
Results
14:0016:30 (D-2)
Approved Non-IEM Explicit Capacity Auction
CE(S)T
Proposal Non-IEM Explicit Capacity Auction
Long Term Nomination Window Day Ahead Nomination Window
Day ahead
Explicit Auction
09:25
Day Ahead
Firmness Deadline
08:45 (D-1) 09:00 - 09:20
09:00
12:05
Auctions
Results
13:3016:30 (D-2)
Policy Not to Curtail
Policy Not to Curtail
⚫ Do you agree with the proposed Day Ahead auction time change?
⚫ Do you agree with the movement of the Day Ahead firmness deadline from 11:00 to 09:00
CE(S)T?
⚫ Do you agree with shortening the length of the DA nomination window from 14:00 to 13:30
CE(S)T?
⚫ Do you agree a Day Ahead energy auction in GB earlier than SDAC is desirable?
➢ Power exchanges have made announcements in this regard since the publication of the consultation
⚫ How important is a single GB energy reference price?
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 33
Consultation Questions
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Click on the "Polls" tab
➢ DA auction window
➢ DA nomination window
What’s next?
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 35
Auction Calendar 2021
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 36
Nemo Link 2021 auction schedule
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Annual (2022) A1 A2 A3 A4
Quarterly Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Monthly Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan
Further projects
• JAO 24/7 helpdesk?
• 30-minute resolution for intraday?
• Return to Implicit Auctions?
Questions and Answers
Slido: #41536
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 38
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From the Nemo Link Team
Nemo Link Brexit Webinar - 09 November 2020page 40
For registration or more queries: please contact [email protected]