neep’s air source heat pump and smart controls … ashp initiative...assumed market shares in 2035...
TRANSCRIPT
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• Presented by Dave Lis, Director, Technology and Market Solutions
NEEP’s Air Source Heat Pump and Smart Controls Initiative - How and Why of Engagement
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Provide stakeholders:
– A greater understanding of NEEP’s work to facilitate transformation of the HVAC market, via Air Source Heat Pumps
– Clear direction for how to engage the Initiative going forward
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Purpose of today’s webinar
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MissionWe seek to accelerate regional collaboration to promote advanced energy efficiency and related solutions in homes, buildings, industry, and communities.
ApproachDrive market transformation regionally by fostering collaboration and innovation, developing tools, and disseminating knowledge
Northeast Energy Efficiency Partnerships
“Assist the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic region to reduce building sector energy consumption 3% per year and carbon emissions 40% by 2030
(relative to 2001)”
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About NEEPA Regional Energy Efficiency Organization
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Meeting Agenda
• Welcome/Opening remarks
• Where have we been with the ASHP initiative?
• What are the drivers for change?
• What is new in NEEP’s ASHP initiative?
• How do you stay/get involved?
• Q&A
• Wrap-up
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• Attendees will be muted for the entirety of the webinar
• There will be an opportunities to comment/ask questions. We will ask you to enter questions via chat box on the GoToWebinar sidebar
• Webinar is being recorded and will be made publically available
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Webinar Logistics
Slides will be circulated
following call
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• Stakeholder type?
• Current level of engagedment with NEEP’s ASHP Initiative?
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Launch Poll
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Initiative history
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Regional ASHP Market Transformation Strategy
POLICYMAKERS
INDUSTRY PLAYERS & BUSINESS INTERESTS
PROGRAM ADMINISTRATORS
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Market Transformation Strategies
1. Increase consumer education and awareness
2. Increase installer/builder awareness of, and confidence in, ASHP
through expanded training and education
3. Reduce upfront costs of installed systems through robust and aligned
promotional programs and the support of alternative business models
4. Mobilize state and local policymakers to expand support for ASHPs
5. Promote advanced control technologies to allow automated
coordination among multiple heating systems
6. Enable the promotion of climate-appropriate ASHPs through improved
performance metrics
7. Develop more accurate tools to predict energy, cost and GHG savings
associated with ASHP installation through collection and analysis of real
world performance data
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Theory of Change- Accelerated ASHP Adoption
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Penetration of ASHPs as Primary Heating System (Northeast/Mid-Atlantic)
BAU Market Transformation
Medium Term (2020-2024)
Long Term (2025-2030)
Near Term
(2017-2019)
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• Regional MT Strategy
• Quarterly WG/Market tracking
• Annual Workshops
• Cold-Climate ASHP Specification/product List
• Installer/Consumer resources
• Regional/National Coordination
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Key Initiative activities since 2013
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ccASHP Specification and Product List
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Annual Workshops
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2018 ASHP Installer Guides
• Updated Existing guides (Installation and Sizing/Selecting) with improved content and format
• Developed video versions of these Guides
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Installer/Consumer Resources
Go to; www.neep.org/ASHPInstallerResources Need your help in driving use!
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Thank you to our 2018 ASHP Initiative Funders:
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Drivers for Change…..
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Region’s Aggressive Carbon Reduction Targets
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Aren’t we on the path to 80% CO2 reductions?
~ half of the needed reduction
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Aren’t we on the path to 80% CO2 reductions?
~ half of the needed reduction
Where are all these “other” emissions coming from?
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Direct use of Fossil Fuels
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Advanced Electrification technologies
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Assumed Market shares in 2035 according to NEEP’s “Plausibly Optimistic” scenario reflects; Residential Heat Pumps-
89% for delivered fuel systems 68% sales share of today’s natural gas systems sales
Cars and Light trucks- 70% of Sales
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Requires massive market transformations
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Similar conclusions
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• Scale of challenge
• Growing interest in ASHPs across the U.S. & Canada as a pathway to Decarb/EE/grid services
• Opportunity for Initiative to influence shape of the wave
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2019 ASHP Initiative…Positioning for Growth!
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Can it be done? Yes!
• NEEP’s Design Lights Consortium established Qualified Products List for Commercial SSL products in 2008
• List helped define efficiencyand quality in the market
• 10 years later, Commercial Lighting Market quickly becoming dominated by SSL technology
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The Initiative going forward
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• NEEP provided proposal for Initiative changes in September
• Feedback led to many changes to final structure/scope
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Thank you for the feedback
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• Accelerated adoption of ASHP/VRF systems
• Broader implementation of regional market strategies (described in 2016 Market Transformation Strategy Report, forthcoming VRF Strategy Report)
• Broader use of NEEP’s ccASHP Specification/Product List
• Broader use of NEEP’s ASHP/VRF Resources
• Growth in availability of ccASHP products
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Initiative Goals/Intended Impact
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ASHP• Stakeholder engagement/technical assistance• Performance Specification • Installation Best Practices• Consumer Education• Smart Controls• Research
VRF• Stakeholder engagement/technical assistance• Market Transformation Strategy Development • Explore Performance Specification
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2019 ASHP Initiative– The work
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New ccASHP Product List Website/Portal
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Focus on Integrated Controls
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Initiative expanding to include VRF
• Meeting in NYC on the 19th to inform regional strategy report
• Complete Report by April
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Stakeholder engagement Structure
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• Working increasingly with partners outside the region who are also working to drive adoption of high performing ASHPs….NEEA, MEEA, NRCan, California Utilities, etc.
• Exploring partnerships across broader renewable heating and cooling market
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Expanding Partnerships
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Guided by the need for diversity, equity, sustainability and impact
• Initiative Subscription
• ccASHP Product Listing Fees
• Event registration/sponsorship
• Federal Grants
• Foundation Grants
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Need for evolved funding structure
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• “Unfettered” Access to ccASHP Product List
• Participation in NEEP’s ASHP/VRF Working Groups
• Participation in a number of sub-committees
• Opportunity to contribute to the development of NEEP resources/tools
• Technical assistance
• Visibility
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Subscription Benefits
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Initiative Subscription Costs
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• Go to NEEP’s website
– https://neep.org/initiatives/high-efficiency-products/emerging-technologies/ashp/subscription
• Complete Subscription Form linked at top or bottom of Subscription page
• Subscribers receive 25% discount toward NEEP’s Allies Program
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Next steps to become a subscriber
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• Manufactures will be required to submit a listing fee for the review, approval and listing of products
• Fee based on total # of listed products, not a per/unit fee)
• Program will launch in Feb-March 2019, aligned with our new website/interface
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Product Listing Fees
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Product Listing Fee Costs
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• Register for February 27 webinar for details
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For more information
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Hands in!
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Q&A
Please type your questions into the sidebar
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THANK YOU FOR JOINING TODAY’S MEETING!
• Slides/Recording will be circulated tomorrow• Go to NEEP website to Subscribe!
– https://neep.org/initiatives/high-efficiency-products/emerging-technologies/ashp/subscription
• Manufacturers register for our February Webinar on the details of the new product listing process– https://neep.org/events/tutorial-listing-your-products-neeps-new-product-list
• Register for April 17 Webinar; NEEP’s new Product List– https://neep.org/events/introducing-neeps-new-product-list-and-subscription
• Announcement coming soon about our annual Workshop • Please follow up with Dave Lis and/or Claire Miziolek with any further
questions or comments.– [email protected] , 781-860-9177 x127– [email protected], 781-860-9177 x115
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A day event over the summer
2019 NEEP Summit: an exciting event coming up!
A partnership with other organizations to bring more stakeholders to the table and have a strong regional conversation on decarbonization
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THANK YOU!
David Lis
January 30, 2019
81 Hartwell Avenue Lexington, MA 02421
P: 781.860.9177
www.neep.org
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