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UNFCCC secretariat Bernd Hackmann, Mitigation, Data and Analysis Programme NDCs and NDC implementation Regional Dialogue on NDCs for Africa 26-28 September 2017, Rabat, Morocco

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Page 1: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

UNFCCC secretariat

Bernd Hackmann, Mitigation, Data and Analysis Programme

NDCs and NDC implementation

Regional Dialogue on NDCs for Africa

26-28 September 2017, Rabat, Morocco

Page 2: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Agenda

• NDCs in the Paris Agreement

• Global response to the Paris Agreement

• What are NDCs and how are they communicated?

• NDC negotiations under the UNFCCC

• Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs

Page 3: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDCs in the Paris Agreement

Page 4: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDCs in the Paris Agreement

The Paris Agreement and its objectives

Collective goals: long term temperature goal; resilience and low GHG emission development;

Collective efforts: a global emission trajectory (peaking, reduction, balance between sources and sinks)

Individual efforts: successive Nationally Determined Contributions - NDCs

Page 5: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDCs – a central element of the Paris Agreement

“Each Party shall prepare, communicate and maintain

successive nationally determined contributions that it intends

to achieve. Parties shall pursue domestic mitigation measures,

with the aim of achieving the objectives of such contributions.”

Page 6: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDCs the central elements of the Paris Agreement

Global objective

(2/1.5)

Contribution country A

Contribution country B

Contribution country C

Contribution country D

Page 7: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Global response to the Paris Agreement

Page 8: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Unprecedented response to the Paris Agreement

• Early entry into force on 4 November 2016

• 166 out of 197 Parties have ratified the Paris Agreement

• 159 Parties have already submitted their first NDC

o 146 INDCs have been directly converted into NDCs

o 14 INDCs have been revised before converting to NDCs

o 6 INDCs are currently being revised

Unprecedented momentum for climate action in virtually all

countries

Page 9: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDCs from African Countries

• 43 out of 54 African countries have ratified the Paris Agreement

• 41 NDCs from African countries have been submitted

o 39 INDCs have been directly converted into NDCs

o 2 INDCs have been revised before converting to NDCs

o 2 governments are currently revising their NDC

Strong response across Africa

Page 10: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

What are NDCs and how are they communicated?

Page 11: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

National circumstance

Support needs/costs

Adaptation actions

Fairness/ambition

Mitigation actions

Opportunities for cooperation

Climate vulnerabilitiesEconomic indicators

NDC information

Page 12: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDCs in national context

Mid century Long term strategies

NDCs/ National “targets”

(5-10 years)

Policies, programmes and other measures

Actions by economic actors

Page 13: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country
Page 14: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

• The Paris Agreement recognizes that its

objectives will be achieved through time

• It builds on aggregate and individual

progression/ambition

• It establishes a mandatory cycle of NDCs:

• First submission by 2020

• Enhanced ambition submitted every 5 years

• Feedback Mechanisms

o Facilitative dialogue/Global Stocktake

o Transparency Framework

Reaching the long-term objectives

Page 15: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

The NDC submission process

Ongoing 5 Year

NDC Submission

Process

February 2020

NDCs Due

Synthesis Report

November2020

Conference of Parties

(COP)

2023

Global Stock Take

2025

NDCs Due

Page 16: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDC negotiations under the UNFCCC

Page 17: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

NDC negotiations under the UNFCCC

Governments are developing further guidance in relation to the NDC:

features of NDC (additional characteristics of NDCs)

information to facilitate clarity, transparency and understanding of

NDCs (information to further explain the NDCs)

accounting for NDCs (how to account for emissions)

NDC registry (where and how to store NDCs)

Common timeframes (what is the implementation period)

2018 @ COP 2420182017 @ COP 23

Outcome of the

APA negotiations

Working on the

negotiating text

Arriving at a

negotiating text

Page 18: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs

Page 19: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Getting ready for NDC implementation

Negotiating the Paris Agreement Implementing the Paris Agreement

What governments are doing right now:

Aligning NDC actions with new policy priorities

Refining/Updating the analysis underpinning the NDC

Improve the Regulatory Framework/Institutional Framework

Identifying and Prioritising Policies and Measures

Developing an NDC Implementation Plan

Page 20: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

From projects to long-term low emission development programmes/policies

• All Parties should formulate and communicate long-term low

greenhouse gas emission development strategies, by 2020

Years

GH

G

BAU

Long

term

vision

Page 21: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Linkages between NDCs and SDGs

• Climate actions to achieve low emissions and climate resilient

development have direct implications for the achievement of

SDGs and vice versa

• Addressing climate change means for governments integrating

climate actions into key socio-economic development strategies

• Actions are aiming at achieving low emissions and climate resilient

development as well as SDGs

Climate actions and sustainable development pathways are for many

developing countries two sides of the same coin

Further mainstreaming climate action into development strategies

and approaches could create major synergies

Page 22: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Linkages between NDCs and SDGs

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

SDG 1SDG 2SDG 3SDG 4SDG 5SDG 6SDG 7SDG 8SDG 9 SDG10

SDG11

SDG12

SDG13

SDG14

SDG15

SDG16

SDG17

Page 23: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

BAU

NDC

Years

GH

G

$100

$80

$100= $280

= $330

$120

$100

$110NDC-BAU= $50

National contribution= $20

Additional supoport= $30

Long-term development

Page 24: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Implementing the Paris Agreement

• Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require

transformational changes by each country towards low-emission,

climate resilient, sustainable development

• The NDCs show that the greatest challenges and the largest gaps

of capacity and financial means for implementation prevail in the

developing countries

• In particular since many countries are facing multiple development

challenges and have little flexibility to mobilize necessary additional

resources

• Developing countries can benefit from (southern) solutions that can

address both climate change and multiple development challenges

Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require enhanced

international support, cooperation and partnerships

Page 25: NDCs and NDC implementation...Sep 26, 2017  · Implementing the Paris Agreement • Implementing the Paris Agreement and the NDCs require transformational changes by each country

Thank you for your attentention!

mailto: [email protected]