ncdot state tip project no. u-6003 12, 2018 memorandum to: w. al blanton, pe, pls project team lead...

JANUARY 2018

PREPARED FOR

PREPARED BY

Final Report

NCDOT State TIP Project No. U-6003

New Route - North Main Street (NC 150) to Piney Grove Road (SR 1969)

North Main Street/ Piney Grove Road Connector

Kernersville, Forsyth County WBS #47138.1.1

January 12, 2018

MEMORANDUM TO: W. Al Blanton, PE, PLS Project Team Lead Division 9 – Project Development North Carolina Department of Transportation FROM: Taruna Tayal, PMP VHB Engineering NC, P.C. SUBJECT: Traffic Forecast for U-6003 (Piney Grove Road Connector), Forsyth County

Please find attached the 2017 / 2040 Traffic Forecast for the above-mentioned project. TIP Project No. U-6003 proposes a new route which extends from NC 150 (North Main Street) to SR 1969 (Piney Grove Road) in Forsyth County, North Carolina. The project consists of construction for the NC 150 (North Main Street)/SR 1969 (Piney Grove Road) Connector, a new two-lane divided facility with bike accommodations and sidewalks. The project is located in eastern Forsyth County in Kernersville, NC. Subject project TIP U-6003 is included in the WSUAMPO 2040 MTP list. This project lies within the Winston Salem Urban Area MPO (WSUAMPO). According to the 2018-2027 NCDOT State Transportation Improvement Program (STIP) approved in August 2017, this project is programmed for construction in 2022. This forecast has been reviewed and approved by the Transportation Planning Branch on January 3, 2018.

Rochelle B. Joseph (Town of Kernersville Community Development Manager), Jeff Hatling (Town of Kernersville Community Development Director,) and James H. Upchurch (Winston Salem MPO Coordinator at NCDOT) were contacted for additional information regarding future developments and networks in the project area. The following scenarios are provided in this forecast:

1. 2017 Base Year No-Build 2. 2017 Base Year Build 3. 2040 Future Year No-Build 4. 2040 Future Year Build

Fiscal Constraint: Within an MPO, the future year forecasts assume construction of projects as listed within the MPO’s Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP, previously called LRTP). This forecast is consistent with Winston Salem Urban Area MPO’s current MTP, adopted (September 17, 2015). Projects in the MTP which may affect this facility include:

U-4734 - (Macy Grove Road Extension). This project is a new multi-lane divided facility between SR 1006 (E Mountain Street) and NC 150 (North Main Street).

W Al Blanton Ref: 38679.02 January 12, 2018 Page 2

Future Conditions and Development Activity: Town of Kernersville provided detailed information regarding recommended developments in the area. 300+ acres “Land Use Plan – North Main Street Area Study” for the North Main/Macy Grove Extension Area Study was adopted by the Town of Kernersville for a portion of this area in March 2017. A combination of business support and an enhanced commercial node along North Main street and County Line Road were recommended for the underdeveloped areas along the subject project. To reflect this additional growth, ITE Trip Generation rates were applied to the estimated approved acreage of these facilities. Rates were determined using ITE regression formulas appropriate to the total build out (acreage and other units) of each development. There is moderate to extensive growth and development proposed in the study area between 2010 and 2040 in PTRM v4.2. Based on the household and employment data from the Regional Travel Demand Model, household growth is expected to be greater than 75% between these years, and employment growth will be between 25% and 75%.

Forecast Methodology: The Base Year No-Build traffic forecasts were developed primarily based upon traffic counts taken for this forecast, available historic traffic counts information was also reviewed. The Design Year 2040 traffic forecasts are developed based upon the modeling results, existing traffic data, as well as the expected traffic pattern change. The PTRM v4.2 (adopted on October 26, 2016) was used as a tool in the development of the traffic forecasts.

Interpolation: To determine any intermediate years straight-line interpolation may be used. AADT volumes may be extrapolated for up to two years immediately following 2040. If it is determined that any of these assumptions have become inconsistent with the project and surrounding area activity, please request updated projections at this location.

For future reference this forecast will be saved in Project Store in the LongRangePlanning\ Traffic Forecasts folder, under project U-6003.

If you have any questions or I can be of further assistance, please do not hesitate to call me at 919.741.5525, or e-mail me at [email protected].

cc: (via e-mail as PDF attachments): Doumit Y. Ishak, Congestion Management Brenda Moore, PE, CPM, Highway Design Branch Clark Morrison, PhD, PE, Pavement Management Diane K. Hampton, PE, Division 9 Planning Engineer Gregory Errett, Transportation Planner, City of Winston-Salem Michal L. Orr, Transportation Planning Division James H. Upchurch, Winston-Salem MPO Coordinator, NCDOT Keith G. Dixon, State Traffic Forecast Engineer, TPD Traffic Forecasting GIS Support File Copy: U-6003, Forsyth

134

131

L E G E N D

###

K(d,t)PM

D

No. of Vehicles per Day

(VPD) in 100s

PM PM Peak HourD Peak Hour Directional Split (%)

Indicates Direction of D(d,t) Duals, TTSTs (%)K Design Hour Factor (%)X Movement Prohibited1- Less than 50 VPD

PROJECT: NC 150/ Piney Grove Connector

LOCATION: NC 150 (North Main Street) to SR 1969 (Piney Grove Road), Kennersville, NC

PREPARED BY: VHB Engineering NC, P.C.

DATE: 01/11/2018

COUNTY: Forsyth

DIVISION: 9

WBS: 47138.1.1

TIP: U‐6003

Scenario 1No-Build Alternative2017 Average Annual

Daily Traffic

9(3,2)

PM

60

9(3,2)

PM

60

9(3,2)

PM

60

1

4

3

PROJECT E

ND

102

89

10(2,1)

PM

65

9(2,1)

PM

65

23

10

SR 1969(Piney Grove Road)

1

11(2,1)PM

60

PROJECT S

TART

SR 2030(Linville

Springs Road)33


2 5

Macy Grove Road (U-4734)

SR 2036(Smith Edwards Road)

7(3,1)PM

65

New Connector

131

Proposed Roadway

Existing Roadway

Realigned Roadway

(North Main Street)

(North Main Street)

150

150

117

164

119

L E G E N D

###

K(d,t)PM

D


(VPD) in 100s






DATE: 01/11/2018

COUNTY: Forsyth

DIVISION: 9

WBS: 47138.1.1

TIP: U‐6003

Scenario 2Build Alternative2017 Average Annual

Daily Traffic

9(3,2)

PM

60

10(2,1)PM

552

47

9(3,2)

PM

60

9(3,2)

PM

60

3

1

3

PROJECT E

ND

49

100

93

10(2,1)

PM

65

9(2,1)

PM

65

10

623

12


1

11(2,1)PM

60

PROJECT S

TART

SR 2030(Linville

Springs Road)68


2 4



7(3,1)PM

65

New Connector

Proposed Roadway

Existing Roadway

Realigned Roadway

(North Main Street)

(North Main Street)

150

150

Proposed Roadway

193

234

193

L E G E N D

###

K(d,t)PM

D


(VPD) in 100s

Existing Roadway






DATE: 01/11/2018

COUNTY: Forsyth

DIVISION: 9

WBS: 47138.1.1

TIP: U‐6003

Scenario 3No-Build Alternative2040 Average Annual

Daily Traffic

9(3,2)

PM

60

57

16

9(3,2)

PM

60

9(3,2)

PM

60

3

PROJECT E

ND

119

113

10(2,1)

PM

65

9(2,1)

PM

65

22

16


1

11(2,1)PM

60

PROJECT S

TART

SR 2030(Linville

Springs Road)38


2

10(2,1)PM

60



73

New Connector

Realigned Roadway

(North Main Street)

(North Main Street)

150

150

(North Main Street)

163

259

163

L E G E N D

###

K(d,t)PM

D


(VPD) in 100s






DATE: 01/11/2018

COUNTY: Forsyth

DIVISION: 9

WBS: 47138.1.1

TIP: U‐6003

Scenario 4Build Alternative2040 Average Annual

Daily Traffic

9(3,2)

PM

60

10(2,1)PM

55

52

105

59

9(3,2)

PM

60

9(3,2)

PM

60

(North Main Street)

3

PROJECT E

ND

103

121

129

10(2,1)

PM

65

9(2,1)

PM

65

27

1722

20


1

11(2,1)PM

60

PROJECT S

TART

SR 2030(Linville

Springs Road)101


2

10(2,1)PM

60



101

New Connector

Proposed Roadway

Existing Roadway

Realigned Roadway

150

150

!(

!(

!(TX1969

¾¾150

¾¾150

¾¾66

GUILF

ORD

COUN

TYFO

RSYT

H CO

UNTY

Donn

ell St

Nelson St

Oakland Ave

ClayFlynt Rd

Oak S

t

George Place Dr

Corjon Rd

Rierson Rd

LinvilleSprings Rd

Cinema Dr

Debra

Ln

CountyLine Rd

Flynnwood Dr

Tannelson Dr

LestonGilbert Dr

Hedrick Dr

Gralin St

Brown Rd

Maryl

ebon

e Dr

Mountain

View DrPitts St

Cedar Grove Ln

Manorwood Dr

Chelsea Place Dr

N Main

St

Piney Grove Rd

Landreth Rd

Dobson St

W Bodenhamer St

Willow Creek Rd

Smith Edwards Rd

3

1

2

April 2017

$Kernersville

OakRidge

¾¾66

¾¾150

GreensboroHighPointWinston-Salem

§̈¦40

0 1,000 2,000500Feet

Macy Grove Road ExtensionStudy CorridorStudy AreaCounty Boundary

TMC Count & ForecastLocation

!( Forecast Location Only

TRAFFIC FORECAST LOCATIONSU-6003: New route from NC 150 (N. Main St.) to SR 1969 (Piney Grove Rd.)

www.vhb.com

ncdot state tip project no. u-6003 12, 2018 memorandum to: w. al blanton, pe, pls project team lead...

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