Navy QDRNavy QDR

4 December 2009

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Overall brief classification: Unclassified

C5ISR ConferenceC5ISR Conference

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This QDR is Different…This QDR is Different…

• 1st Term Administration– Driving change

• Accelerated timeline– Fiscal Year 11 (FY-11) budget

• Fiscal environment– Worldwide economic slowdown– Defense spending flat at best– Rising military personnel costs

• SECDEF– Signaled change with FY-10 budget

• Other Reviews– Nuclear Posture Review– Space Posture Review – Missile Defense Review

• But the same…– New people

– Differing OSD views

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Confluence of EventsConfluence of Events

SECDEF Foreign Affairs Article

Nuclear Posture Review

Missile Defense Review

Roles & Missions

PR-11

CS21CSMaritime Strategy

SupplementalFunding

Naval OperationsConcept

Posture HearingsPOM-10 (amended)

Space PostureReview National Defense

Strategy

QuadrennialDefenseReview

Confluence

of

Events

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Products of QDR Key results Navy seeks to influence

Products of QDR Key results Navy seeks to influence

• National Security Defense Strategy

• Force Planning Construct– Number, timing, duration and type of conflicts military should be prepared to address– Decisions will reflect constraints of projected budget

• Budget topline

Additionally, QDR may direct specific changes to a limited number of major defense acquisition programs

Success based on:1. DoD leaders agree with Navy and maritime strategy2. The resulting force structure supports the strategy

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Adversaries of greatest concern are pursuing new capabilities and concepts

Adversaries of greatest concern are pursuing new capabilities and concepts

Scale and Scope

COIN/CT/Stab Ops Conflict w/ “High-End”Adversary

“Provide maximum flexibility against the broadest range of plausible threats.”- Secretary Gates

IW

Symmetric,Force-on-force

High-EndAsymmetric

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• Global Posture– Directed issues

• PACOM growth• Training in Pacific• Korea C2 changes• Fighter laydown

• EUCOM Force req

• Carrier homeporting

• Cost Drivers– Healthcare savings– In-sourcing – Logistics

• Cyber – USCYBERCOM

• Energy / Climate Change

Initial QDR Issue Areas Initial QDR Issue Areas

• Irregular Warfare– Improve Cooperative

Security and Capability– Improve U.S. Offensive

capability

• High End threats– Address capability vs

threats• Nuclear armed• Anti-access• Cyber• WMD

• Civil Support– Prevention of homeland

attacks– Provide consequence

management and border security

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QDR Analytic Process

HLD/CSHLD/CS

QDR Strat. Environment

QDR Strat. Environment

Pakistan, OIF/OEF

Pakistan, OIF/OEF

MCOsMCOs

Assess the Programmed

Force

Gather insights regarding

gaps in capability & shortfalls/overages in

capacity

Develop Force Planning Construct cases

QDR will analyze mid-long term supply and demand for forces

InsightsInsights

Scen

ario

Set

sSc

enar

io S

ets

A

B

C

GDF

Phase I (Survey & Analyze)Phase I (Survey & Analyze)

QDR Force Structure Building Blocks

QDR SelectedScenarios

Force of

Record

Phase II (Develop & Analyze)Phase II (Develop & Analyze)

Phase III (Inform and Analyze)Phase III (Inform and Analyze)

National DefenseStrategy

1

2

3

4

Analysis

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Establishment of N2N6 OrganizationEstablishment of N2N6 Organization

• CNO’s Vision for Navy Information– Information becomes a Main Battery of U.S. Navy warfighting capability

– Navy is Prominent and Dominant in the fields of ISR, Cyber Warfare, C2, Information & Knowledge Management

• Navy’s Information Transformation

– Every platform carrying multiple sensors

– Every sensor and processor adaptively connected to the network

•Goal

– Achieve unprecedented agility and innovation in the development and integration of information capabilities

– Information Dominance over potential adversaries

– Decision Superiority for our commanders, operational forces, and coalition partners

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QDR issuesQDR issues

• ISR– Hi vs Low– Reassessment of efficiency

• Cyber – Modeling

• UAS– C2 / Autonomy– Sense and Avoid– Power / Propulsion

• Space– Federation– Comms denial

Cyberspace

Space

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2010 203020202015 2025

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

30-Year Unmanned Systems Roadmap

SCAN EAGLE VTUAV IOC

BAMS IOC

LBS-Gliders IOC LBS-AUV IOC

MCM UUV-N IOC

N

• ISR

• Comms Relay

Possible N-UCAS IOC

• Strike

• ISR

• SEAD

• SUW

STUAS IOC

• ISR

• MDA• ISR

• MIW

• ASW

• Comms

• SUW

• MDA

STUAS-Lite IOC

• ISR

• MDA• ISR

SMCM IOC

• MCM

• LCS MCM MP

• MCM

BULS IOC

• ID/Track

• MCM• Ocean

Surveys• Ocean

Surveys

Maritime UAS DEMO

• ISR

SABER FOCUSOPS DEMO

RMS

• MCM

• LCS MCM MP

• Potential IOC in FY12-13

MCM USV DEMO

• MCM

• LCS MCM MP

ASW USV DEMO

• ASW

• LCS ASW MP

MUSCL DEMO

• NSW ISR

N-UCAS DEMO

Sea Stalker DEMO

• Penetrating ISR

SAHRV

• ID/Track

LDUUV INP DEMO

• ISR

• ASW

• MCM

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Questions