natural gas market in the eu: pipeline versus or plus lng?

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National Energy Security Fund Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG? Aleksei Grivach December, 2016

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Page 1: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

Natural Gas Market in the EU:

Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

Aleksei Grivach

December, 2016

Page 2: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

Share of own production and imports in EU’s

natural gas balance , %

National Energy Security Fund Source: Eurostat, NESF Calculations

Page 3: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

EU Natural Gas Production , BCM

National Energy Security Fund Source: Eurostat

0

50

100

150

200

250

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Others

Austria

Hungary

Croatia

Poland

Denmark

Italy

Germany

Romania

UK

Netherlands

Page 4: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

EU Natural Gas Imports by Source, BCM

Source: ENTSO-G, UTG, Gassco, Snam Rete,

DESFA, Enagas, GRT Gaz, NESF Calculations

*pipeline, ** NESF estimations based on 10 months data

Page 5: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

Southern Corridor to Italy

Balancing North African Flows?

Source: SNAM Rete, ENTSO-G, NESF

23 BCM

Page 6: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

Monthly Exports to the EU by Source, BCM

*pipeline

Source: ENTSO-G, Gazprom, Norway

Statbank, Snam Rete, DESFA, GIE, NESF

Calculations

Page 7: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

Nord Stream and Yamal Pipeline

Performance in 2016 (monthly), BCM

Source: OPAL Gastransport, NEL

Gastransport, ENTSO-G, NESF calculations

*net of OPAL transit restrictions

Page 8: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

Main Ukrainian Transit Pipelines and

Actual Gas Flow in November 2016

National Energy Security Fund

Source: Ukrtransgaz,

Eustream, NESF Calculations

Route, km

Compressor

stations

Projected

capacity,

bcm/year

Start of

operation

Soyuz Pipeline (Novopskov-Uzhgorod) 1,567 12 26 1976

Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod (Ukrainian

section) 1,160 9 28.5 1983

Progress Pipeline (Sudzha-Uzhgorod) 1,120 9 28.5 1988

Page 9: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

LNG Infrastructure in the EU

Source: ENTSO-G, Enagas, Snam Rete, GRT

Gaz, Gasunie, Fluxys, Amber Grid, DESFA,

NESF Calculations

Page 10: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

Natural Gas Balance in Spain, BCM

National Energy Security Fund Source: Enagas, NESF Calculations

Page 11: Natural Gas Market in the EU: Pipeline versus or plus LNG?

National Energy Security Fund

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