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Page 1: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

National Sun

(Names Removed)

Page 2: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Project Description Methodology Market Research Financial Research Recommendations Questions

Agenda

Page 3: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

National Semiconductor

Market Research Project◦Market Analysis◦Potential Success ◦Recommendations

Project Description

Page 4: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Optimizes energy output Ideal for non-uniform conditions Increases array output 10% – 30%

SolarMagic

Page 5: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Initial research◦Internet articles◦Press releases

Technical research◦Interviews◦Financial statements◦Analyst reports

Methodology

Page 6: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Analysis◦Excel models

Recommendations development

Methodology

Page 7: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Market Research

Page 8: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Growth potential

2008 install capacity and generation

Projected 40%-50% CAGR

Industry maturity 2030

Forecast

Page 9: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Customers◦Growing Markets◦Existing solar system owners

International Market Segmentation

◦Spain ◦Germany◦Australia◦Japan

◦China◦India◦Africa◦USA

Page 10: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

United States◦Go Green◦Stimulus Package

Spain and Germany◦Backward Integration

Japan◦ High Demand

Top 3 Market Segments

Page 11: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Industry Leaders◦The top 10 module manufacturers

Business Partner Evaluation

◦Kyocera ◦Sharp◦Sanyo◦Suntech◦Sunpower◦Conergy

◦Sunergy◦First Solar◦Solarworld◦Q-Cells

Page 12: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Sharp Q-Cells Suntech Power◦Strategy◦Market share◦Forecast◦Financials

Top B2B Partner Strategy

Page 13: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Q-Cells

◦# 1 leader in PV manufacturing

◦ Growth

◦ U.S. Focus

Top B2B Partner Strategy

Page 14: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Sharp

◦# 2 leader in PV manufacturing

◦ Located in key market

◦ Huge growth and support

Top B2B Partner Strategy

Page 15: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Suntech Power

◦Growth and strength

◦ Strategic in Spain and Germany

◦ China based

Top B2B Partner Strategy

Page 16: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Enphase Energy◦Enphase Energy Inverter Micro Inverter

MorningStar ◦Sunsaver Maximum Power Point Tracking

Act Solar◦Power String

Competitor Products

Page 17: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Financial Research

Page 18: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Pricing Model

Page 19: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Pricing Model

Page 20: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Cost Per Kilowatt 0.25 Recaptured Kilowatt 1277.5

% of Shades 0.03Recaptured Annually (S)

319.375

% Power Loss 0.25Decreased in Payback Period

2.41134

Average Sunlight 5 Annual Savings ($)

319.375

Recapture Rate 0.5Annual Savings Per Unit

9.98047

Net Cost for System 25536 Estimated Life of Unit 25

Value Pricing per Solar Magic

$ 173.79

Pricing Model

Page 21: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

PG&E Baseline Territory X

Value Proposition

Cost/kWh

Baseline – 360 kWh $0.11

101% - 130% $0.13

131% - 200% $0.26

201% - 300% $0.38

Over 300% $0.44

Page 22: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Demand: 700 kWh

Value Proposition

5.6 kW 4.2 kW 2.8 kWGrid Electricity (kWh)

170 300 440

Annual Cost Savings

$160 $130 $140

Equivalent Panels 9 6 4Payback Period 22 21 13ROI 1% 1% 6%

Page 23: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Demand: 1300 kWh

Value Proposition

5.6 kW 4.2 kW 2.8 kWGrid Electricity (kWh)

770 900 1050

Annual Cost Savings

$540 $400 $280

Equivalent Panels 9 6 4Payback Period 7 7 6ROI 14% 14% 15%

Page 24: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

700 kWh 1000 kWh 1300 kWh0

5

10

15

20

25

5.6kW4.2kW2.8kW

Payback

Page 25: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

700 kWh 1000 kWh 1300 kWh0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

5.6 kW4.2 kW2.8 kW

Return on Investment

Page 26: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Recommendations

Page 27: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Push Strategy

◦Module Manufacturer

◦Local Installers

Strategic Recommendations

Page 28: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Module Manufacturers◦Increase efficiency ◦Increase TAM◦Ingredient branding

Local Installers ◦Increase service line◦Backward and forward◦Support

Strategic Recommendation

Page 29: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Recap:◦ International focus U.S., Germany and Spain, Japan

◦B2B: Q-Cells, Sharp, Suntech Power

◦Price ceiling $175

Strategic Recommendation

Page 30: National Semiconductor Honors Presentation

Questions