murray dairy presentation from paul higgins slideshare version
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A presentation by Paul Higgins to the Murray Dairy Region Business Forum May 28th 2009TRANSCRIPT
Emergent Futures, Level 27, 101 Collins St, Melbourne, Vic 3000, Ph 039 018 7917, Fax 039 012 3580, www.emergentfutures.com
A Future A Future Dairy Dairy
PerspectivePerspective28th May 2009
Purpose
“Let me be really clear.
My job is not to tell you what to do.
I don't know what to do. You do”:
Seth Godin
“If you want to build a ship, don’t drum up the men to gather the wood, divide the work and give orders. Instead teach them to yearn for the vast and endless
sea.”
Antoine de Saint-Exupery 1948
what futurists are not
2
Best Long Range Forecasting Study
http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=profile&l=weirdvis
“Futurists Help People Think
About the Future”
So what do I think about your
future?
Karma
http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=profile&l=mzacha
Dharma
The Wayhttp://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=profile&l=pepo
My Experience
Data: RBA
A$/US$ 2007
0.5000
0.5500
0.6000
0.6500
0.7000
0.7500
0.8000
0.8500
0.9000
0.9500
1.0000
2/07
/07
9/07
/07
16/0
7/07
23/0
7/07
30/0
7/07
6/08
/07
13/0
8/07
20/0
8/07
27/0
8/07
3/09
/07
10/0
9/07
17/0
9/07
24/0
9/07
1/10
/07
8/10
/07
15/1
0/07
22/1
0/07
29/1
0/07
5/11
/07
12/1
1/07
19/1
1/07
26/1
1/07
3/12
/07
10/1
2/07
17/1
2/07
24/1
2/07
31/1
2/07
0.9654
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/RachelWarn
Scenario 04Scenario 03Scenario 02Scenario 01
YOU
$ 480,972
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/RachelWarn
Advice
http://www.sxc.hu/browse.phtml?f=profile&l=woodsy
“I advise you consider your position carefully, perhaps adopting a more flexible
posture, while keeping your ear to the ground, covering your retreat and watching
your rear.”
Advice to Sir Humphrey in Yes Prime Minister – A Real Partnership
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/TALUDA http://www.sxc.hu/photo/1187431
Low PriceLow Water
Low PriceHigh Water
High PriceLow Water
High PriceHigh Water
Recoveryre⋅cov⋅er⋅y [ri-kuhv-uh-ree]
“restoration or return to any former and better state or
condition”
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/lusi
Will Attitudes to Debt Remain the Same?
From: Oliver’s Insights – AMP Capital Feb 2009
From: Oliver’s Insights – AMP Capital Feb 2009
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/betokano
What happens if debt growth is no
longer underpinning the economy?
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/peter_w
Climate Change and
Water
The impacts of climate change by 2030
are uncertain; however, surface water
availability across the entire MDB is more
likely to decline than to increase.
700
BootSTRAP
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/saavem
http://www.sxc.hu/photo/721090
BET
http://www.sxc.hu/profile/gravityx9
SCAN
Trial
http://www.sxc.hu/photo/875413
http://www.sxc.hu/photo/1113730
React
http://www.sxc.hu/photo/1112706
ACT
Prudent
Final Thought
http://thedw.us/post/108300245/this-is-also-the-t-shirt-of-the-day-of-the-day
Image Note
Most of the images used in this presentation are from free image sharing sites. Where
applicable we have included the web address of the profile of the creator. If you like some of the images then please visit their sites and help them promote their
work.