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Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… www.cogen.nl [email protected]l

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Page 1: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…

www.cogen.nl [email protected]

Page 2: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

..thanks using/wasting lots of energy…

Bron: IEA; World Energy Outlook 2012

Page 3: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

..pushing 40% of mankind of our planet!

http://www.footprintnetwork.org/en/index.php/GFN/page/carbon_footprint/

Page 4: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

OBVIOUS CHP ≠ OBVIOUS

To keep all on board and happy… E 1-3

1 …Combining Heat & Power is obvious… E 4-8

2 …hence CHP plays major reduction role. E 9-10

3 EU tries, but fails to grow CHP… E 11-13

4 …as Separating Heat and Power pays E 14-19

Kees den Blanken; Cogen Europe/Nederland

IEA CHP/DHC; Paris; February 12, 2013

Page 5: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

1. Conversion losses biggest energy “user”…

Bron: IEA; World Energy Outlook 2012

Page 6: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

…as Power Generation loses

75% of energy quantity in conversion…

Primary

Energy carriers

– Coal

– Oil

– Gas

– Wood

– Peat

– Biomass

– Water stream

– Airstreams

– Sunbeams

Secundaire

Energy carriers

– Electricity

– Steam

– Motion

– Heat/Warmth

Conversion

“Losses

Usage

Low

Temperature

Warmth >>

Environment

Temperature

“Losses”

60% 15%

25%

INDICATIVE

Page 7: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

..and direct spatial heating by fuels destroys over

90% of energy quality when converting…

Primary

Energy carriers

– Coal

– Oil

– Gas

– Wood

– Peat

– Biomass

– Water stream

– Airstreams

– Sunbeams

Secundaire

Energy carriers

– Electricity

– Steam

– Motion

– Heat/Warmth

Conversion

“Losses

Usage

Low

Temperature

Warmth >>

Environment

Temperature

“Losses”

90% 5%

5%

ILLUSTRATIVE

Page 8: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

..Combining Heat and Power is Obvious…

• Never use (fossil/RES) fuels for heating/power only

• Always cogenerate power/heat/cool/motion

• Stimulate heat/steam generation to co-produce power.

• (Re) Locate power generation near heat demand

• If possible maximize cascade and reuse of heat

• Integrate many small heat users by district heating networks, optimize scale/location of conversion

> Improves energy conversion efficiency and quality

> Saves fuel, emission, grids vs. separate generation

> Integrates well with RES and other saving options

Page 9: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

…with different (Obvious) CHP levels per plant

illustrative

Page 10: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

2. Efficiency to close 58% of global policy gap

Source: IEA, 2011; http://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/name,3980,en.html

Page 11: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Efficiency to close 68% of EU abatement gap

Source: IEA, April 2012, Horsens Denmark; http://www.iea.org/newsroomandevents/speeches/horsens.pdf

Page 12: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

3. Getting CHP share >15% not obvious

Source: EU; DG Energy C3, Brussels, May 3-4 2012

Page 13: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Varying CHP% penetrations in EU

Source: EU; DG Energy C3, Brussels, May 3-4 2012

Page 14: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Market reforms drove/drive CHP beyond the

obvious share %

Non-Obvious CHP: Reformed markets: Location/participation

stimuli; CHP for grid: bottom CO2 prices, valuable certificates,

Investment aid, exploitation support; Heat planning, DH; Ind

CHP; Cascading; Tax incentives; efficiency standards; etc.

Obvious CHP: Markets as is: Auto generation; Incidental DH

Page 15: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

4. Beyond obvious CHP decentralises

Source: Jesper Lorentzen: Decentralised Denmark in COSPP, dec. 2005

Denmark, 1980’s Denmark, 2005

Page 16: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Backslide is possible: Dutch stop of CHP policy

in 2008…

CHP policy: market reform, supports No CHP policy

Source: Cogen Nederland

Page 17: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

..and grows central, non CHP power…(leading to additional fuel needs, emissions and grids)

Source: TenneT

Page 18: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

…reducing CHP power park.

Source CBS

Page 19: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Conflicting worldviews

• Physical/Rational

• Laws of nature

• Engineering / STEM

• Integral energy system

• Collective/long term

• Societal interest/offer

• Good Government

• Unite and Solve

• CHP! hi level principle

• Metaphysical/Emotional

• Laws of men

• Economics / Arts

• Power only/Heat only/..only

• Individual/short term

• Self interest/greed

• Populism Politics

• Divide and Rule

• CHP? Does not fit my box

Page 20: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Lessons from Holland

• Explain physical, integrated energy system view

• Push Energy Policy Politically– EED, Internal Energy Market, ETS, Market restructuring,…

– Provide investors security

• Improve energy economics– Market based: price emissions, networks, security…..

– Regulated: standards; cap, tax, min pricing, ……

• Execute non-market based energy policies

• Balance worldviews– Find the Middle

– Merge STEM and Arts to STEAM

Page 21: Most live happy on our wonderful Earth… · Most live happy on our wonderful Earth…  kees.denblanken@cogen.n l

Mind you! We only have One

WE LOVE LIVING ON THIS EARTH

WE ARE PASSIONATE ABOUT HEATING,

POWERING, COOLING IT,

AS EFFICIENT AS POSSIBLE

TOGETHER

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/series/eyewitness; Réunion, Indian Ocean; 20/9/2012