monthly market monitoring bulletin issue number: 12 july: 2016 · january 2015 -july 2016 wheat...

Food Security Technical Secretariat (FSTS) Ministry of Planning & International Cooperation (MOPIC)

The Republic of Yemen

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MONTHLY MARKET MONITORING BULLETIN Issue Number: 12 July: 2016

Background The Monthly Market Monitoring Bulletin provides monthly market prices summary on the targeted Governorate markets. It also provides and allows the users to compare the current prices with the previous month and the pre-crisis (Feb 2015) average. The market prices data and information is collected from seven Governorates targeted by FSIS Programme through the Governorate Focal Units (GFU) and FSTS in Sanaa city. The prices are collected from Hodeidah, Hajjah, Dhamar, Hadramout, Lahej, Taiz and Sanaa city markets. The prices are collected from 3 representative market centers and the average is calculated for each location.

Highlights x International Wheat Price :According to FAO’s (FPMA, July 2016),the benchmark US wheat (No.2 Hard Red Winter, f.o.b.) price averaged USD 198 per ton

in June, up almost 3 percent from May 2016 but still 18 percent below its level a year earlier. x Wheat grains & Flour: The wholesale prices of wheat grain and flour (sack of 50 kg) has shown a very wide variation across the target governorates, where

the lowest prices for both commodities (5100 & 6100 YR ) recorded in Hodeidah, and the highest prices for wheat flour (7600 YR ) was recorded in Taiz. x Gas: Ongoing conflict limiting the movement of domestic gas between the governorates that caused shortages in the market resulted in unbalanced

demands and supply, which led to the increased price of the single cylinder in Hajjah, Dhamar and Taiz by 23.80%, 5.57% and 7.20% respectively compared to the previous month.

x Fuel: Despite the official supply of petrol at 3600 YR /20 liter in some fuel stations the retail price of diesel and petrol still widely variant across the target governorates. The highest price was registered in Taiz (270 and 327 YR/liter ) and the lowest was recorded in Hadramout (160 and 190 YR/liter)

x Local cereals: The average retail price of the locally produced cereals in Lahej still showed the highest across all the target governorate markets. x Food Security: The current insecurity in the conflict affected areas especially in Taiz interrupted the basic food and non-food commodities availability,

movement, access and prices is considerably worse than June 2016. x The shortage of hard currency for the importation of basic commodities continued affecting the average prices of imported commodities in the local

market.

Retail Market Prices and Trends of Key Commodities

Table 1 Average Retail Price (YR/Kg) of Imported commodities and % change

Cereals July 2016 price

Percentage change

1 Month Pre-crisis1

Wheat 137.67 0.27% 28.18%

Wheat flour 163.51 -0.21%

27.74%

Sugar 252.38 2.59%

43.13%

Rice * 309.70 1.40% 54.85%

Veg oil ** 500 -1.24% 44.68%

Faba-Beans 304.83 -1.44% NA

Beans 389.76 -1.79% 23.41%

Lentils 451.07 -1.91%

28.51%

Table 2. Average Retail Price (YR/KG) of Locally produced cereals and % change

Cereals July 2016 price Percentage change

1 Month Pre-crisis

Sorghum 290.60 -4.16% 60.20%

Millet 268.33 -0.51% 60.29%

Maize 275,69 -2.81% 66.68%

Barley 258.57 -5.63% 70.11%

1 Pre-crisis prices refer to the February 2015 prices prior to the escalation of the conflict in Yemen.

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Fig 2. Average Retail Prices of Locally produced cereals (YR/Kg) Jan 2015- July 2016

Sorghum Millet Maize

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Fig 1. Average Retail Price of Wheat, wheat flour and Rice (YR/Kg)

January 2015 - July 2016

Wheat Wheat flour Sugar Rice * This is the average price of two varieties: Basmati and non-basmati **This is the average price of imported and locally produced veg oil



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Monthly Average Prices of Locally Produced Commodities Cereals

Table 3: Average price of cereals (YR/Kg July 2016 and % change previous month Item % change Sanaa

city Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout

Lahj Taiz

July 259 217 246 229 383 400 300

1 M -8.26% -10.34% -7.81% -7.72% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

Pre-crisis 43.98% 70.60% 44.61% 27.31% 53.33% NA 50.00%

July 167 200 217 245 350 400 300

1 M -7.41% 4.35% -7.14% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 4.35%

Pre-crisis -1.96% 57.48% 27.45% 22.50% 105.88% NA 50.00%

Maize July 253 NA 271 209 283 400 238

1 M -3.80% NA -1.52% -9.06% -4.23% 0.00% 0.00%

Pre-crisis 49.02% NA 50.46% 23.04% 57.41% NA 18.75%

Barley July 223 300 271 187 242 300 288

1 M -3.25% 0.00% -9.72% -11.81% -15.70% 1.41% -1.43%

Pre-crisis 59.52% 130.77% 80.56% 16.67% 34.26% NA 91.67%

x Sorghum: The average price of sorghum in July 2016 remained stable in Hadramout, Lahej and Taiz governorates. However, the average prices of the same commodity has decreased in Sana’a, Hodeida Hajja and Dhamar governorates in July 2016 when compared to average prices in June 2016. The magnitude of this change ranges from -8.26% in Sana’a to -10.34% in Hodeida. In Hajja and Dhamar, the percentage change was – 7.81 and -7.72% respectively.

x Millet: The same trend in prices of millet and maize was more or less noticed in most governorates with slight increase in Hodiadah and Taiz by 4.35% in both governorates in July 2016 compared to June 2016.

x Maize: The average price of maize in July 2016 ranged between 209 YR in Dhamar and 400 Yr in Lahej , it declined by 9.06%, 4.23% and 3.80% in Dhamar, Hadramout and Sana’a City respectively compared to June 2016.

x Barley: The average prices of barley in July 2016 were lower than the average prices of the same commodity in June 2016 by 3.25%, 9.72%, 11.81%, and 15.70% in the governorates of Sana’a, Hajja, Dhamar, and Hadramout respectively.

x The average prices of the locally produced commodities were much higher in July 2016 than the pre-crisis in all targeted governorates.

Vegetables Table 4: Average Prices of vegetables (YR/Kg) July2016 – and the change % previous month

Commodities Month Sanaa city

Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar

Hadramout

Lahj Taiz

Onion July 200 196 246 188 164 188 200

1 M 0.00% 2.17% 18.00% -4.26% 45.93% 25.00% 6.67%

Tomato July 200 213 208 160 292 238 225

1 M -11.11% -8.93% 2.04% -20.45% 0.00% 1.79% -6.90%

Potato July 288 246 263 238 286 258 271

1 M 13.11% 3.51% 26.00% 1.06% 7.19% 5.08% 8.33%

Pepper July 325 358 358 417 563 496 592

1 M -13.33% -8.51% -11.34% -2.91% -25.00% 6.25% -14.97% Chilly July 350 329 500 400 667 750 1771

1 M -23.64% -28.18% -10.45% -14.29% -21.57% 29.50% 7.32%

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Figure: 3 Retail price of local cereals (YR/Kg) - Jan 2015 - July2016

Sorghum Millet Maize Barley

Onions: The average prices of onions were higher in July 2016 compared to June 2016 in most governorates. The difference in prices ranged from 2.17% in Hodeida, 18.0% in Hajja, 45.93% in Hadramout 25.0% in Lahej and 6.67% in Taiz. The average prices of the same commodity remained the same in Sana’a city. In Dhamar, the average price of onions was lower in July 2016 compared to June 2016 by 4.26%. Tomatoes: The average prices of tomatoes were lower in July 2016 compared to June 2016. This was evident in Sana’a, Hodeidah, Dhamar and Taiz. The decrease in prices was -11.11%, -8.93%, -20.45% and – 6.90% respectively. Potatoes: The average prices of potatoes in July 2016 were higher in all targeted governorates. This increase was 13.11% in Sana’a City, 3.51% in Hodeida, 26.0% in Hajja, 1.06% in Dhamar, 7.19% in Hadramout, 5.08% in Lahej and 8.33% in Taiz. Pepper & Chilly: The average price of pepper in July was lower compared to June 2016 except in Lahej it was increased by 6.25%. The decrease in average prices was evident in most of governorates and ranged from -2.91%in Dhamar to -14.97% in Taiz. The same trend was noticed in the average prices of chilly pepper in July 2016 compared to June 2016 in most of the governorates, while the prices were higher in Lahej and Taiz compered to June 2016 by 29.50% and 7.37% respectively.



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Monthly Average Prices of Imported Food Commodities Table 5: Average price of Imported Food Commodities (YR/Kg) & % changes (previous month and Pre-crisis) Food commodity

% change

Governorates

Sanaa Hodeida Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz

Whe

at

July 139 120 104 150 157 144 150

1 M -4.02% 0.00% -1.66% 0.00% 1.62% 5.49% 0.00%

Pre-crisis 7.05% 20.00% 34.63% 36.36% 30.56% NA NA

Whe

at fl

our

July 152 150 151 174 157 161 200

1 M -2.67% 0.00% -1.36% 1.46% 0.00% 1.05% 0.00%

Pre-crisis 16.67% 25.00% 51.25% 16.11% 11.90% NA 33.33%

Suga

r

July 247 250 250 257 245 232 287

1 M -1.99% 0.33% 9.09% 0.00% 0.68% 1.46% 8.52%

Pre-crisis 54.17% 31.58% 26.26% 50.98% 36.11% NA 79.17%

Rice

1 Ba

smat

i

July 410 349 421 433 352 398 467

1 M 0.00% -6.47% 7.45% -3.70% -0.47% -1.65% 17.40%

Pre-crisis NA NA NA NA NA NA

55.56%

Rice

2\

Non

*

July 203 280 250 200 177 146 251

1 M -1.61% 0.60% 9.09% -3.23% 0.95% -2.78% 0.33%

Pre-crisis 35.56% -6.67% 66.67% 33.33% 17.78% NA 0.33%

V.oi

l (im

port

)

July 613 483 713 637 370 571 758

1 M -0.54% -1.69% 0.00% 1.19% 1.83% -4.86% -8.54%

Pre-crisis NA NA NA NA NA NA

-5.21%

V.oi

l (lo

cal)*

*

July 408 400 425 450 417 301 454

1 M 0.00% 1.16% 0.99% 0.84% 0.00% -5.00% 2.83%

Pre-crisis 25.64% 15.82% 9.54% 7.14% 66.67% NA 16.75%

Faba

Be

ans

July 257 313 275 300 338 NA 346

1 M 0.00% 5.63% -8.33% -2.17% -2.17% NA -1.19%

Pre-crisis NA NA NA NA NA NA 15.28%

Bean

s

July 353 417 317 400 350 450 442

1 M -0.70% 3.95% -14.61% 0.00% 0.00% -1.82% 0.00%

Pre-crisis 15.85% 29.40% -0.42% 33.33% 40.00% NA 10.42%

Lent

ils

July 387 500 238 483 517 500 533

1 M -7.39% 1.69% -25.97% 5.45% 0.00% 0.00% 4.07%

Pre-crisis 9.54% 66.67% -41.07% 38.10% 72.22% NA 33.33%

* Represent average prices of non-Basmati rice’s in the target markets. ** Average prices locally produced oil price for comparison with the imported ones

x Despite slight variation, the average price of imported wheat grain was stable in July 2016

compared to June 2016. Similar trend was observed in the average prices of wheat flour in July 2016 compared to June of the same year.

x The average price of basmati rice varied from governorate to another. Overall, the average price shows a decreasing trend except in Hodeidah and Taiz, which shows 7.45% and 17.40 % respectively. The same trend was observed in the average price of ordinary rice, imported and local produced vegetable oil in all targeted governorates.

x The average price of Faba-beans and Beans as well as lentils witnessed slight variation in July 2016 compared to June 2016. There is a significant increase in the average prices for imported food commodities compared to the pre-crises era average prices.

Fisheries

Table 6: Average price of common fish types (YR/Kg),) July.2016 – and the change % previous month and pre-crises.

Governorate

% change

Common Fish Types Thamad Sakhla Bagha Jahsh

Sanaa city July 2100 2263 588 1375

1 M 33.69% 35.75%

19.49%

7.14%

Hodeidah July NA 1875 625 1433 1 M

NA 60.14% 50.00%

47.01%

Hajjah July 1525 1475 442 1542

1 M 18.32% 3.51% 8.16% 6.32%

Dhamar July 1650 2425 667 1800

1 M 2.33% 0.34% 3.90% 2.86%

Hadramout July 1683 2958 617 1200

1 M 18.13% 33.46%

12.12%

18.03%

Lahj July 2089 NA 658 833

1 M 16.05% NA 27.42

% 3.63%

Taiz July 1767 2083 NA 2158 1 M -1.40% 3.31% NA 9.44%

x The average price of Thamad type of fish ranged

from 1525 YR in Hajja to 2100 YR in Sana’a City in July 2016. The average prices were higher in July 2016 when compared to June 2016.

x The average price of Sakhla ranged from 2958YR in Hadramout to 1475YR in Hajja. The average prices in July were higher than June 2016 in all targeted governorates.

x The average prices of Bagha type of fish ranged from 442YR in Hajja to 667YR in Dhamar. The average prices of July 2016 were higher than the average prices of June 2016. The increase in prices in June ranged from 3% to more than 50%.

x The average prices of Jahsh followed the same trend as Bagha in nearly all governorates. The increase in June 2016 ranged from 2.9% to more than 47%.

x It can be concluded that there is a slight increase in prices in July 2016 compared to June 2016 in nearly all targeted governorates



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Fig. 4: Price trends of the Imported wheat and Wheat flour (Dec 2015 to July 2016)

Livestock and livestock products

Sheep: The trend of average prices of 6 months old and 12 months old sheep remained more or less the same in July 2016 compared to June 2016 in all the targeted markets. Apart from Sanaa city and Hajja markets, which recorded lower prices as compared to June, all other markets recorded increased prices. Taiz markets recorded the highest increase (29.34%) for 12 months old sheep. Goats: There was considerable variations in the prices of 6 month goat in all markets as compared to June 2016 prices from low prices in Sanaa (-0.46%) to 16.50% in Taiz markets. The average prices of 12 months goat in July was 18.21% in Lahaj, 16.92% Hodeida and 9.17% and 8.86% in Hadramout and Taiz respectively compared to June 2016. Chicken: The average price of live chicken in July 2016 ranged from 1400 YR per chicken in Dhamar governorate to 1108 YR in Lahej governorate. Highest change in average price (20.66%) of live chicken in July 2016 was registered in Hodeidah governorate compared to June 2016. Beef: The average price of beef ranged from 2000YR per KG in Sana’a City to 3338 YR per KG in Hadramout. The average prices increased in some governorates ranging from 12% to 2%. In some governorates like Sana’a City, the prices remained the same in both months. Mutton: Average monthly prices of Mutton decrease by 10% in Hajja and increased by 13% in Lahej compared to June 2016. Cow Milk Local: The average price of one Kg cow milk remained more or less the same in nearly all targeted governorates. The few exceptions are in Hadramout and Lahej where there was a decrease in prices in June 2016 compared to July 2016 reaching -2.50 % and 1.97% respectively. Never the less, there was slight increase by 2.9% in Taiz compared to June 2016. Processed Powdered Milk: The average prices of powdered milk were more or less comparable in all targeted governorates in July 2016. When these average prices were compared to June 2016, there was a decrease in prices reaching -1.32% in Sana’a City and -1.94% in Taiz while there was an increase in average prices ranging from 1.80% in Hodeida to 4.12% in Hajja Governorate. Chicken Meat: The average price of chicken meat ranged from 700 YR to 1658 YR in July in all targeted markets. Compared to the previous month there was an increase in average prices of chicken meat in Sana’a City, Hajja, Lahej and Taiz while there was a decrease in average prices in Hodeida (-13.6%), Dhamar (-6.9%) and Hadramout (–0.59%). Eggs: The average prices of a 30 eggs package ranged from 803Yr to

917Yr in all targeted governorates. The average prices of July were slightly higher than June 2016 except in Taiz where the average prices decreased by 2.2%.

Table 7: Average price of live animal (YR/Head), July 2016– and % change (previous month and pre-crises).

Type of animal and

age Month

Governorates

Sanaa Hodeida. Hajja Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz

Sheep/6 month

July 26500 15000 14188 18625 24083 28542 26250

1 M -3.64% 13.92% -3.40% 5.67% 20.92% 18.92% 18.20%

Sheep12 month

July 33125 24333 24938 28750 33750 32125 33833

1 M -1.49% 14.06% 0.00% 4.55% 11.26% 8.29% 29.34%

Goat /6 month

July 27000 15667 13375 19500 31417 29583 28833

1 M -0.46% 5.62% 2.88% 5.41% 11.21% 14.52% 16.50%

Goat/12 month

July 31000 25333 24063 29750 41667 37333 46083

1 M -1.59% 16.92% -0.52% 4.39% 9.17% 18.21% 8.86%

Chicken (live)

July 1392 1217 1267 1400 1225 1108 1033

1 M 1.83% 20.66% -0.33% 0.00% -1.01% 10.83% -28.36

Table 8: Average Prices of animal products (YR/Kg)) July 2016 – and % change (previous month and pre-crises)

Commodities Month Governorates

Sanaa city Hodeidah Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz

Beef July 2000 2617 2408 2721 3338 NA 2083

1 M 0.00% 12.14% -5.86% 2.19% 12.66% NA 5.93%

Mutton July 2500 2700 2270 3000 2908 2833 3083

1 M 0.00% 8.00% -10.98% 3.45% -1.69% 13.33% 7.56%

Cow milk local July 300 400 NA 375 390 310 353

1 M 0.00% 0.00% NA 0.00% -2.50% -1.97% 2.91%

Processed Powered milk

July 1242 1883 2108 1433 1388 2000 1900

1 M -1.32% 1.80% 4.12% 0.00% 2.15% 0.00% -1.94%

Chicken meet July 820 950 800 788 700 894 1658

1 M 2.50% -13.64% 4.92% -6.90% -0.59% 9.44% 7.28%

Egg ( 30 eggs)

July 803 846 858 821 929 904 917

1 M 2.45% 0.50% 5.10% 3.14% 5.19% 0.46% -2.22%

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Sana'a Hodieda Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout

Wheat Wheat flour



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Diesel: The average price per liter of diesel in July 2016 ranged from 160YR in Hadramout to 270 yr in Taiz. Diesel was not available in Lahej in June and July 2016. Petrol: The average prices per liter of petrol ranged from 225YR in Hajja to 327YR in Taiz. Generally, there was a decrease in prices in July as compared to June (Sana’a -23.34%, Hodeida – 29.83%, Hajja -23.83%, Dhamar -24.97%, Lahej – 53.38% and Taiz -32.62%). Hadramout was the only governorate that shows a 2.01% increase in average prices of petrol. Cooking Gas: The average prices of one cylinder cooking gas ranged from 2167 YR in Hadramout to 6950 YR in Taiz. The average prices of July 2016 compared to June prices shows a decrease in Sana’a (-3.21%), Hodeida (-4.25%), Hadramout (-7.14%) and Lahej (-3.82%). However, Hajjah markets in contrast recorded the highest increase of 23.80% followed by Taiz 7.20% and Dhamar by 5.57% Despite the relative improvement of average price per liter of diesel and petrol during July 2016 there is significant increase in the average prices ranging from 6.6% for diesel and 26.67% for petrol in Hadramout to 80% for diesel and 118% for petrol

in Taiz compared with the pre-crisis prices. The average prices of one cylinder cooking gas significantly increased when compared to the pre-crisis average prices. This increase ranged from 44.44% in Hadramout to more 178% in Taiz. The slight improvement of average prices of fuel products is mainly related to relatively improved supply and open market prices adopted recently.

Table 9 : Average price of fuel (Diesel and Petrol) and Cooking gas and % change (July 2016, previous month and Pre-crisis) Item %

change Sanaa city Hodeidah Hajjah Dhamar Hadramout Lahj Taiz

Diesel (YR/LT)

July 183 187 183 188 160 NA 270 1 M -3.73% 1.36% 1.38% 2.73% 3.23% NA -4.71%

Pre-crisis 21.94% 24.44% 22.22% 25.56% 6.67% NA 80% Petrol (YR/Lt)

July 231 239 225 245 190 258 327

1 M -23.34% -29.83% -23.11% -24.97% 2.01% -53.38% -32.62%

Pre-crisis 54.17% 59.44% 49.72% 63.61% 26.67% NA 118.06%

Cooking gas YR/18Kg

July 3767 4133 4292 4108 2167 3775 6950 1 M -3.21% -4.25% 23.80% 5.57% -7.14% -3.82% 7.20%

Pre-crisis 79.37% 175.56% 84.59% 173.89% 44.44% NA 178.00%

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The Market information Bulletin is one of the regular products of the FSTS supported by FAO - FSIS Programme funded by the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of FSTS and do not reflect the views of the European Union or FAO. For more information please contact: Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation MoPIC /FSTS: Fifth Floor Tel/Fax 00-967 -1- 238215 E. mail: [email protected] - www.fsts-gov.com

The Yemen Food Security Information Systems (FSIS) Development Programme is funded by the European Union and implemented by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the Food Security Technical Secretariat (FSTS) of the Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation (MOPIC).

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Average Retail Price of Diesel, Petrol and Cooking gas (YR/LT)Jan 2015-July2016

Diesel Petrol Cooking Gas

monthly market monitoring bulletin issue number: 12 july: 2016 · january 2015 -july 2016 wheat...

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