monsoon behaviour,swm(2009)

1

Monsoon Behaviour,SWM(2009)

• Eratic and deficient rainfall Region Actual Rainfall(mm) Normal Rainfall(mm) % departure

NW

India 392.1 611.7 -36%

Central

India795.4 995.1 -20%

Southern Peninsula

692.9 722.5 -4%

NE India 1037.7 1427.3 -27%

Country as a whole

689.8 892.2 -23%

2

Rainfall (mm)during 1 June to 30 September, 2009

Regions

% Departure (1 June- 30 September August )

1 June to30 June

1 June to 31 July

1 June to24 Aug

1 June to30 Sept.

Country as a whole -48 -21 -25 -23

Northwest India -46 -34 -40 -36

Central India -60 -03 -22 -20South Peninsula -32 -15 -16 -4

North East India -47 -38 -24 -27

June : Deficient rainfall over all regions; July : Excess rainfall over Central India and deficient rainfall over northwest and northeast India and; 1 June –30 Sept : Deficient over northwest and northeast

3

RAINFALL STATUSduring critical Kharif season,2009

(SW Monsoon 2009)

•June Rainfall:-51%

•July Rainfall: -5%

•1st June to 30th Sept: -23%

4

Cumulative Rainfall (mm)Since 1st June ( Crucial for Rice crop)

WEEK ENDING ACTUAL NORMAL % DEPARTURE

10-Jun 22.5 36.8 -39

17-Jun 39.5 72.5 -45

24-Jun 52.8 115.2 -54

1-Jul 92.6 171.2 -46

8-Jul 151.0 234.7 -36

15-Jul 220.0 300.8 -27

22-Jul 298.7 368.8 -19

29-Jul 353.3 437.3 -29

5-Aug 376.6 503.4 -25

12-Aug 401.0 566.0 -29

19-Aug 463.4 627.5 -26

26 Aug 514.3 682.0 -25

2 Sept 565.3 731.7 -23

9 Sept 622.5 778.0 -20

16 Sept 648.6 823.2 -25

23 Sept 668.3 858.7 -22

30 Sept 689.8 892.2 -23

5

S. No.

Description

Status of 81 important Reservoirs in the country

20.8.0913.8.09 30.7.09 3.9.09 1.10.09

1

Current year’s storage and % of live capacity at FRL

59.059 BCM

38%

57.15 BCM

38%

52.79 BCM

35%

68.826 BCM

45%

90.476 BCM

60%

2Current year’s storage as % of last year’s storage

67% 85 % 112% 71% 80%

3Current year’s storage as % of average of last 10 years storage

75% 83 % 102% 75% 90%

4Reservoirs having storage more than 80% of average of last 10 years

14 5 nos 58 nos 39 nos. 49 nos.

5Reservoirs having storage more than 50% & upto 80% of average of last 10 years

26 41 nos 18 nos 20 nos. 21 nos.

6

Reservoirs having storage more than 20% & upto 50% % of average of last 10 years

25 27 nos 3 nos 14 nos. 6 nos.

7 Reservoirs having storage 30% or below of average of last 10 years

16 8 2 nos 6 nos. 4 nos.

5

The level of 90.476 BCM in 81 important reservoirs in the country, as on 1.10.2009, is less than the level of 113.737 BCM of last year i.e. 75% of storage at FRL and less than the level of 100.947 BCM of average

of last 10 years i.e. 67 % of storage at FRL.

666

Region wise Storage StatusRegion wise Storage Status• NorthNorth : Overall storage is less than Normal in H.P. by : Overall storage is less than Normal in H.P. by

30%, in Punjab by 48% and in Rajasthan by 18%.30%, in Punjab by 48% and in Rajasthan by 18%.

• EastEast : Overall storage is better than Normal in : Overall storage is better than Normal in Jharkhand and in less than normal in Orissa by 17%, Jharkhand and in less than normal in Orissa by 17%, in Tripura by 37% and in West Bengal by 24%.in Tripura by 37% and in West Bengal by 24%.

• WestWest : Overall storage is less than Normal in Gujarat : Overall storage is less than Normal in Gujarat by 26% and in Maharashtra by 23%.by 26% and in Maharashtra by 23%.

• CentralCentral : Overall storage is better than Normal in : Overall storage is better than Normal in Madhya Pradesh, but less than normal in Madhya Pradesh, but less than normal in Uttarakhand by 9%, in Uttar Pradesh by 35% and in Uttarakhand by 9%, in Uttar Pradesh by 35% and in Chattisgarh by 21%.Chattisgarh by 21%.

• SouthSouth : Overall storage is better than Normal in : Overall storage is better than Normal in Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, but less than Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala, but less than Normal in Tamil Nadu by 4%.Normal in Tamil Nadu by 4%.

777

Area coverage of Kharif CropsArea coverage of Kharif Crops

Sl.NoSl.No CropCrop NormalNormal

AreaArea

Area Sown Area Sown Increase /Increase /Decrease Decrease over last over last yearyear

2009-102009-10 2008-092008-09

11 PaddyPaddy 391.17391.17 328.98328.98 389.49389.49 -60.51-60.51

22 JowarJowar 42.0842.08 31.2731.27 29.3429.34 +1.93+1.93

33 BajraBajra 91.8191.81 85.4485.44 85.2785.27 +0.17+0.17

44 Maize Maize 63.7163.71 71.1371.13 70.5370.53 +0.60+0.60

55 Total Coarse Total Coarse CerealsCereals

228.62228.62 207.38207.38 206.68206.68 +0.70+0.70

66 CottonCotton 83.7383.73 99.9099.90 92.2592.25 +7.65+7.65

77 PulsesPulses 111.70111.70 101.42101.42 96.0096.00 +5.43+5.43

88 OilseedsOilseeds 166.40166.40 174.92174.92 184.43184.43 -9.51-9.51

Area in lakh ha

As on 30.10.2009

8

State-wise Sowing of PaddySl State Normal Area sown Absolute

change +2009-10 2008-09

1 A.P. 22.77 18.30 28.03 -9.73

2 Assam 21.61 20.26 21.24 -0.98

3 Bihar 33.02 23.03 34.29 -11.26

4. Chattisgarh 37.82 35.19 36.10 -0.91

3 Haryana 10.06 10.90 12.10 -1.20

4 Karnataka 10.38 10.53 10.76 -0.23

5 Madhya Pradesh 16.91 11.41 13.85 -2.44

7 Maharashtra 14.89 14.30 15.01 -0.71

8 Orissa 41.85 38.68 36.45 +2.23

Punjab 25.84 27.15 27.35 -0.20

9 Tamil Nadu 16.15 7.03 7.24 -0.21

10 U.P. 56.27 40.82 61.08 -20.26

11 West Bengal 44.66 40.93 43.79 -2.86

All India 391.17 328.17 389.19 -60.51

Area lakh ha

999

S.NoS.No..

CropCrop Normal Normal area area

Area sownArea sown Absolute Absolute change change (+/-)(+/-)

2009-2009-10 10

2008-092008-09

11 ArharArhar 35.8035.80 35.9235.92 34.4734.47 +1.45+1.45

22 UrdUrd 24.6124.61 22.4022.40 20.9020.90 +1.50+1.50

33 MoongMoong 27.3427.34 24.0124.01 22.3522.35 +1.66+1.66

All IndiaAll India 111.70111.70 101.42101.42 96.0096.00 +5.43+5.43

Area Coverage of Pulses Area Coverage of Pulses Area lakh ha

10

State-wise Sowing of Pulses

Sl State Normal

Area sown Absolute change +2009-10 2008-09

1 A.P. 8.95 6.45 7.11 -0.66

2 Chhatisgarh 2.33 4.15 4.37 -0.22

3 Gujarat 6.35 5.96 6.14 -0.18

4 Karnataka 14.16 13.72 11.11 +2.61

5 M.P. 9.40 11.70 9.47 +2.23

6 Maharasthra 24.41 20.03 18.26 +1.77

7 Orissa 5.15 6.93 6.64 +0.29

8 Rajasthan 24.50 20.08 20.31 -0.23

9 U.P. 8.71 8.27 8.45 -0.18

All India 111.70 101.42 96.00 +5.43

Area lakh ha

111111

S.No.S.No. CropCrop Normal Normal area area

Area sownArea sown AbsolutAbsolute e change change (+/-)(+/-)

2009-2009-10 10

2008-2008-0909

11 GroundnutGroundnut 53.5953.59 44.4744.47 53.3353.33 -8.85-8.85

22 SoybeanSoybean 78.1078.10 96.1296.12 96.3596.35 -0.23-0.23

33 SunflowerSunflower 8.068.06 6.056.05 6.796.79 -0.74-0.74

44 SesamumSesamum 14.9414.94 17.8217.82 15.6515.65 +2.17+2.17

55 NigerNiger 3.843.84 2.952.95 3.913.91 -0.96-0.96

66 CastorCastor 7.897.89 7.517.51 8.408.40 -0.90-0.90

All India All India 166.40166.40 174.92174.92 184.43184.43 -9.51-9.51

Area coverage of OilseedsArea coverage of OilseedsArea lakh ha

12

State-wise Sowing of Groundnut

Sl State Normal Area sown Absolute change +2009-10 2008-09

1 A.P 14.17 9.96 14.99 -5.03

2 Gujarat 18.13 16.58 17.91 -1.33

3 Karnataka 7.43 5.73 6.40 -0.67

4 M.P. 2.08 1.90 1.91 -0.01

5 Maharashtra 3.36 2.57 2.47 +0.10

6 Rajasthan 2.79 3.43 3.29 +0.14

7 Tamil Nadu 3.84 1.89 3.62 -1.73

All India 53.59 44.47 53.33 -8.85

Area Lakh ha

131313

Important Kharif CropsImportant Kharif Crops

• Cereals -Cereals - Rice, Maize, Jowar, Bajra, Rice, Maize, Jowar, Bajra, different kinds of millets different kinds of millets

• Pulses - Pulses - Tur, Greengram, Blackgram, Tur, Greengram, Blackgram, Mothbean, Cow PeaMothbean, Cow Pea

• Oilseeds -Oilseeds - Soybean, Groundnut, Til, Soybean, Groundnut, Til, Sunflower, CastorSunflower, Castor

• Other Crops – Cotton, Sugarcane, JuteOther Crops – Cotton, Sugarcane, Jute

14

State-wise Sowing of Soybean


1 A.P 0.87 1.86 1.42 +0.44

2 Gujarat 0.39 0.86 0.83 +0.04

3 Karnataka 1.26 2.38 2.00 +0.38

4 M.P. 45.47 51.02 51.42 -0.40

5 Maharashtra 22.45 30.75 30.68 +0.07

6 Rajasthan 6.60 7.78 8.52 -0.74

All India 78.10 96.12 96.35 -0.23

Area Lakh ha

15

State-wise Sowing of Oilseeds


1 A.P. 20.02 14.68 19.33 -4.65

2 Chhatisgarh 2.33 3.30 3.29 +0.01

3 Gujarat 25.31 24.23 26.11 -1.88

4 Karnataka 15.53 13.49 13.86 -0.37

5 M.P. 50.38 55.66 56.76 -1.10

6 Maharasthra 28.60 34.87 35.31 -0.44

7 Orissa 1.82 3.99 4.16 -0.17

8 Rajasthan 13.83 18.37 17.32 +1.05

9 Tamil Nadu 4.40 2.53 4.67 -2.14

10 U.P. 2.68 3.16 2.90 +0.26

All India 166.40 174.92 184.43 -9.51

Area Lakh ha

16

State-wise Sowing of Sugarcane( As on 3-9-2009)


1 A.P. 2.20 1.34 1.64 -0.30

2 Bihar 1.05 1.90 1.08 +0.82

3 Gujarat 1.90 1.91 1.97 -0.06

4 Haryana 1.53 0.85 0.90 -0.05

5 Karnataka 2.86 2.52 2.78 -0.26

6 M.P. 0.46 0.55 0.73 -0.18

7 Maharasthra 4.84 7.36 7.70 -0.34

8 Punjab 1.18 0.85 0.94 -0.09

9 Tamil Nadu 2.68 3.14 3.23 -0.09

10 U.P. 20.65 20.02 20.84 -0.82

Aii India 39.27 42.50 43.79 -1.29

Area Lakh ha

17

• Rabi conference was held on 24-25, September,2009. In which Principal Agriculture Secretaries/Vice Chancellors/ Directors of Agriculture/Horticulture participated.

• This meeting was addressed by Honorable Agriculture Minister himself, who emphasized higher area coverage during Rabi season to compensate for losses in production.

Preparedness for Rabi 2009-10

18

• The Cabinet Secretary, Government of India had a video conference with the major wheat growing states on 3.11.2009 and reviewed the preparedness for Rabi crops.

• The Ministry is monitoring the situation on daily basis about input availability i.e. fertilizer, seed, pesticide to ensure that the input is made available to farmers well in time.

19

Special Action Plan for Boro / Summer Rice Production

20

Higher target for Rabi/Summer Rice Area for 2009-10 (Area in lakh ha)

S.N State 2007-08 2009-10

(Targeted Area )

2009-10

(Addl

Area)

1 Andhra Pradesh 14.06 16.16 2.10

2 Karnataka 3.65 4.5 0.85

3 Kerala 0.45 0.50 0.05

4 Maharashtra 0.39 0.60 0.21

5 Orissa 3.34 4.5 1.10

6 Tamil Nadu 1.53 2.03 0.50

7 Tripura 0.64 0.84 0.20

8 Others 0.72 1.44 0.72

9 Total 24.78 30.57 5.80

21

Higher Target for Rabi / Summer Rice Production 2009-10 (in lakh tonnes)

S.N State 2007-08 2009-10

(expected production )

2009-10

(Addl. production)

1 AP 51.33 55.72 4.39

2 Karnataka 10.42 18.00 7.58

3 Kerala 1.09 1.40 0.31

4 Maharashtra 0.83 1.38 0.55

5 Orissa 8.17 9.25 0.00

6 Tamil Nadu 5.44 8.73 3.30

7 Tripura 1.72 2.27 0.55

8 Others 2.12 3.89 1.76

9 Total 81.12 100.64 18.44

22

Current Boro Rice Area, Production and Productivity and targeted Productivity for

2009-10

Boro Rice 2005-06 2006-07

2007-08

(Target)

2009-10 2009-10

(Addl

Area, Production and Productivity)

Area (lakh ha ) 18.14 18.41 19.64 30.57 5.89

Production (lakh tonn)

47.74 53.56 58.78 106.99 20.59

Yield

(kg / ha)

2631 2910 2993 35.00

States : Assam, Bihar, Orissa, U.P., W.B.

23

Boro / Summer Rice

• Action Plan : • Promote improved varieties / more

minikits : Special Seed plan for boro rice • Increase area of boro / summer rice in

West Bengal, Bihar, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Chattisgarh, Orissa

• Increase Productivity by use of higher doses of fertilizer, SRI Cultivation

24

• Requirement is 130.87 lakh qtls

• Availability is 148.39 lakhs qtls

• Surplus of 17.52 lakhs qtls

• No shortfall in cereals, major pulses, oilseeds, fibre, fodder

Seed Availability for Rabi 2009-10

25

Rabi Maize and Jowar / Bajra • Increase area under rabi maize in

Eastern Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Punjab, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh

• Increase area under Rabi jowar in Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka

• Improve productivity by promotion of hybrids, higher doses of fertilizers

• Protection from shoot borer by appropriate use of pesticide and timely planting

26

IMPACT ON CROPS• Crop sowing is affected particularly in Paddy and

the crop health could be affected due to prolonged dry spell due to moisture stress;

• 300 districts in 12 States declared drought and drought like conditions so far to provide relief in terms of provisioning drinking water, food, fodder and employment

• Alternate crop plans were required to be pressed into action to take some crop in the remaining season to ease the hardship of farmers

• Heavy demand for energy – electric and diesel from the farmers

27

CRITICAL GROWTH STAGES OF RICE CROP

• Vegetative (germination to panicle initiation);– Emergence- ( covering nursery to transplanting) [21 DAS]– Tillering [25-30 DAT]– Panicle initiation [ ABOUT 45 DAT]

• Reproductive (panicle initiation to flowering); – Booting [ 60-65 DAT]– Heading[65-70 DAT]

• Ripening/Maturity (flowering to matured grain)[30-35 DAYS DURATION i.e. 70-75 DAT ]

28

MITIGATING MEASURES• For Standing crops, Diesel subsidy to farmers

for protective irrigation to standing crops; Additional power.

• Technical advisories - involvement of Extenstion machineries and ICAR/SAU

• Growing Alternate crops( viz., Toria, Pulses like Greengram/Blackgram) alongwith Technical advisories

• Supported with additional quantities of seeds• Inter Ministerial Central Assessment Teams• Financial allocation under CRF and NCCF• Positioning of fertilisers and other inputs.

29

• Awareness campaign for completing the sowing of wheat by 15th Nov with more stress in Eastern UP, Bihar, and West Bengal; Early wheat sowing with available soil moisture in Rainfed areas. Additional wheat minikits distributed.

• Emphasis on more rust resistant varieties like DBW-17 and PBW-550 in Wheat Bowl of

NWPZ.Minikits distributed for quick varietal replacement.

• Promote traditional relay cropping system like utera and pyra for cultivating rice fallows with chick pea, lentils and other pulses crops

contd…/-

30

…contd Plan for early Rabi and higher coverage

• Plan for increasing the area and productivity under Boro/Summer/Rabi Rice in Assam, Bihar, West Bengal and Orissa; Minikits distributed.

• Plan for early Rabi Jowar and Mustard crops on the residual moisture after kharif harvest

• Actively promote crop development schemes to enhance Rabi crop productivity; enhanced subsidy on seeds.

• Converge NREGA and IWDP activities for ground water development

• employment and achieve higher production Increase

31

Drought affected districts,2009State Number of Districts

declared Drought affected

1. Andhra Pradesh - 22 (981 mandals)2. Assam * - 273. Bihar - 26 4. Himachal Pradesh - 125. Jharkhand - 24 6. Karnataka - 20 (86 taluks)7. Manipur - 09 8. Madhya Pradesh - 379. Maharashtra - 28 (221 talukas)10. Nagaland * - 11 11. Rajasthan - 26 (32833 villages)12. Uttar Pradesh - 58

Total - 300

* Declared having drought like condition

323232

Status of Drought relief to statesStatus of Drought relief to states

• Inter Ministerial Team visited the drought affected Inter Ministerial Team visited the drought affected states and reports of 10 states have been states and reports of 10 states have been considered by the High Level Committee headed considered by the High Level Committee headed by Honorable Finance Minister. The committee by Honorable Finance Minister. The committee has already recommended the relief to 10 states.has already recommended the relief to 10 states.

• The reports of Assam and Andhra Pradesh are The reports of Assam and Andhra Pradesh are under preparation which will go to High Level under preparation which will go to High Level Committee for its consideration.Committee for its consideration.

33

Statewise approval of CRF/NCCF Funds ( approvrd by HLC on 21 Oct,2009)

State Total Funds approved by HLC(Rs. In crores)

Remarks

1. Kerala 63.21 As Flood affected

2.Karnataka 44.96 -do-

3.Manipur 14.57 As drought affected

4.Bihar 1163.64 -do-

5.Jharkhand 207.95 -do-

6.Nagaland 21.12 -do-

7.H.P. 88.93 -do-

8.Karnataka 116.49 -do-

9.Rajasthan 1034.84 -do-

10.M.P. 246.31 -do-

11.Maharashtra 671.88 -do-

12.U.P. 515.05 -do-

Total 4091.95 Flood+drought

34

Area affected due to recent flood, late kharif,2009

State Total area affected

(lakh ha)

Major Crops affected

1. Andhra Pradesh

2.42 Rice,Maize,Redgram,Groundnut,Sunflower,Cotton, Castor besides sand cast affected area

2.Karnataka 18.95 Rice, Jowar,Maize,Bajra,

Redgram,Groundnut,

Sesamum, Sunflower, Soyabean,Cotton,

Total 21.37 -

35

First Advance Estimate of production during Kharif 2009-10 ( in million tons) released by ESA,DAC

Crop Kharif 2009 Kharif 2008

Rice 69.45 (-15.13) 84.58

Jowar 2.55 (-10.55) 3.10

Bajra 5.83 (3.00) 8.83

Maize 12.61 (1.29) 13.90

Kharif Coarse cereals

22.76 (-5.58) 28.34

Kharif Pulses 4.42 (-0.36) 4.78

Kharif foodgrains

96.63 (21.07) 117.70

36

First Advance Estimate of production during Kharif 2009-10( in lakh tons/bales)

Crop Kharif 2009 Kharif 2008

Groundnut 45.28 (11.09) 56.37

Soybean 89.30 (9.71) 99.01

Kharif Oilseeds 152.33 (26.49) 178.82

Cotton 236.57 (5.01) 231.56

Sugarcane 2494.82 (244.48)

2739.31

37

• Targetted rain water harvesting programmes and efficient recharge of ground water.

• Increasing efficiency of available water through drips and sprinkler system of irrigation.

• Strengthen the system of surface water supply through under ground pipes chanels to improve delivery of water at tail end.

• Developing varieties/crops and cropping systems which can sustain rise in temperature.

Future Challenges : PolicyIn view of immenent climatic variations there is need to develop medium term/long term measures to face the challenges of drought/flood and rise in temperature : i.e.

38

• Creation of sufficient seed Reserve / seed Bank for both grain and fodder crops

• Review the requirement of strategic reserve of food grains and norms of procurement

• Preparedness for alternate crops/cropping system

• Strengthen the fodder Bank

Other Policy measures required to face the challenges in future :

39

PROCUREMENT POSITION OF RICERICE Procurement (Lakh Tones)

States As on

06.11.2009

As on

06.11.2008

Absolute

Change

Andhra Pradesh 0.07 0.54 -0.47

Chhattisgarh 0.40 0.56 -0.16

Haryana 16.37 11.92 4.45

Kerala 0.68 0.34 0.34

Maharashtra - - -

Orissa - - -

Punjab 80.53 76.97 3.56

Tamil Nadu 0.22 1.57 -1.35

UP 0.18 1.22 -1.04

Uttaranchal 0.02 0.02 0.00

West Bengal - - -

All India 98.61 93.21 5.40

PROCUREMENT POSITION OF RICE

monsoon behaviour,swm(2009)

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