Monitoring theParis Declaration in 2011

Preliminary Findings

Working Party on Aid Effectiveness

Paris, 5-8 July 2011

Overview

1. Monitoring and the 2011 Survey- Why? What? How?

2. What do the findings tell us?

3. Some notes on the process

4. What next?

Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?

2005: Paris Declaration on Aid EffectivenessFive principles,56 commitments... and agreement to monitor progress

against targets established for 2010

12 indicators of progress measured at the country level

Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?

Aims of the Survey1. Stimulate dialogue at the country level:

• Identify opportunities and bottlenecks to make aid more effective

• Foster a shared understanding• Track progress over time

2. At the global level:• Monitor implementation of the PD,

supporting political accountability• Evidence and learning – a key input to HLF-

4

Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?

What is being monitored?– Progress towards agreed targets using

standard indicators– Efforts in other areas not captured by the

indicators• e.g. elements of the Accra Agenda for Action• Qualitative observations on opportunities and

challenges at the country level• Complementary evidence through optional

modules (gender equality; inclusive ownership)

• Monitoring the Fragile States Principles

Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?

How is progress monitored?– Three successive Surveys

• 2006 Baseline Survey (the state of play in 2005)

• 2008 Survey (stock-taking, informing HLF-3)• 2011 Survey (were the 2010 targets met?)

– A country-led process• Managed by national co-ordinators in partner

countries, with support from donors• Dialogue with a broad range of stakeholders• Global co-ordination and support (OECD,

UNDP and World Bank)

Monitoring the Paris DeclarationWhy? What? How?

Increasing Survey coverage

20062008 2011

% of global core aid covered by the Survey (est.)

34 partner countries36% of global aid

55 partner countries58% of global aid

76 partner countries76% of global aid

Broader stakeholder participation(emerging donors, civil society, parliamentarians more involved in some countries)

Have the 2010 targets been met?(Preliminary 2010 aggregates, 32 baseline countries)

2010 Target2005 Baseline

75%

50%

54%

38%

19%

40%

7%

50%

38%

47%

25%

85%

565

71%

66%

40%

66%

100%

44%

1 696

42%

43%

20%

41%

44%

43%

1 145

40%

46%

22%

44%

48%

50%

>87%

49%

87%

51%

89%

Findings beyond the 12 indicators

More participatory approaches in development strategies, but challenges for civil society activity in some countries

Technical co-operation better co-ordinated, but further efforts needed to ensure support for capacity development is demand-driven

Improved country systems in 1/3 of countries, but a decline observed in others

Donors are not making systematic use of country systems where these are more reliable

Transparency – some promising initiatives, but work in progress

Efforts to enhance medium-term predictability of aid limited

Limited efforts to reduce the fragmentation of aid

Looking beyond the headlines

Significant variations across countries and donors on many indicators and issues

Particular challenges in fragile states and situations

There may also be variations across donor types, regions and groups of partner countries– Analysis of these trends is ongoing

Some notes on the process

Report on Progress since Paris– Evidence from the Surveys...– ... and other relevant and credible evidence– Country chapters – detailed analysis of

progress and challenges in each partner country

These findings are provisional– Data validation and verification is ongoing– Findings are still subject to change– Final Report available September 2011

What next?

Draft Report on Progress since Paris(room document for discussion)

Survey website: www.oecd.org/dac/pdsurvey

www.busanhlf4.org

Further information